UFC 265 Aldo vs Munhoz Picks: Aldo Should Deliver In Co-Main Event

Jose Aldo has lost six of his last 10 UFC matches, but five of those defeats were against some of the top fighters in the world... which Pedro Munhoz is not. That's why Aldo is favored at the co-main event of UFC 265 — and we're backing the all-time great.

Posted: Jul 30, 2021 12:23 PM ET Updated: Jul 30, 2021 12:23 PM ET Est Time: 5 min
UFC fighter Jose Aldo
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Jose Aldo vs. Pedro Munhoz will be the new co-main event for UFC 265 betting on August 7.

This should be a banger between a pair of Top-10 bantamweights with both fighters coming off recent victories. Oddsmakers are expecting a close fight with UFC betting lines installing Aldo as a -138 favorite while Munhoz comes back at +110.

Here are our best free Aldo vs. Munhoz picks and predictions for Saturday, August 7 from the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas.

Aldo vs Munhoz fight odds

Live odds courtesy of the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Aldo vs Munhoz method of victory odds

Method of Victory Jose Aldo Pedro Munhoz
Win by Points OTB OTB
Win by Submission OTB OTB
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook as of July 30, 2021.

Aldo vs Munhoz betting preview

Jose Aldo is a former featherweight champion and one of the greatest pound-for-pound fighters in MMA history. He's coming off a unanimous decision victory against Marlon Vera last December, which helped him snap a three-fight losing streak.  

The 34-year-old is a terrific striker who kicks with tremendous power and is able to keep fights standing up, thanks to his excellent takedown defense. He also has a very underrated grappling game and competed in BJJ before making the move to MMA. 

Pedro "The Young Punisher" Munhoz is the No. 9-ranked bantamweight contender and is coming off a unanimous decision victory over Jimmie Rivera in February.

Munhoz has gone 8-3 in his last 11 UFC fights and has earned a Fight of the Night bonus in three of his previous four bouts. The 34-year-old combines powerful boxing and leg kicks with good submission skills. 

Aldo vs Munhoz tale of the tape

Jose Aldo   Pedro Munhoz
34 Age 34
5-foot-7 Height 5-foot-6
136 lbs Weight 135 lbs
70 inches Reach 65 inches
29-7-0 (17 KO) Record 19-5-0 (5 KO)

Aldo vs Munhoz UFC prediction and betting picks

PREDICTION: Moneyline Jose Aldo (-138) - Aldo has taken a lot of damage in his career but he's the same age as the "Young Punisher," so that shouldn't play too much of a factor — especially with how hittable Munhoz can be.

Munhoz is coming off a win against Rivera where he damaged his shorter opponent with calf kicks but he won't have that advantage against Aldo, who is a Muay Thai specialist and has a five-inch reach advantage. 

Aldo should be able to use his kicking ability to pick apart Munhoz at range and he showed in his previous fight that you can't sleep on his underrated grappling game either. 

While Aldo is just 4-6 in his last 10 fights, five of those losses came against the best fighters in the world in their prime (Petr Yan, Alexander Volkanovski, Conor McGregor, and Max Holloway twice) and the other was a razor-thin split decision in his bantamweight debut against Marlon Moraes in 2019.

Munhoz isn't on the level of those first four guys and with Aldo continuing to add wrinkles to his game, he should be able to pick up the win on Saturday.

Where can I bet on UFC odds?

Most online sportsbooks and casinos offer bets on UFC odds and props. While odds to win usually come out as soon as a fight is announced, prop bets become more readily available closer to an event. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what UFC bets they have available.

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