UFC 262 Burgos vs Barboza Picks: Featherweights Set for War

May 11, 2021 |
UFC 262 Burgos vs Barboza Picks: Featherweights Set for War
Shane Burgos enters this fight with a 13-2 record, including a 6-2 mark in the octagon, but is coming off a decision loss to Josh Emmett last June. Expect great boxing and combinations from the 30-year-old.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Shane Burgos enters this fight with a 13-2 record, including a 6-2 mark in the octagon, but is coming off a decision loss to Josh Emmett last June. Expect great boxing and combinations from the 30-year-old.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Shane Burgos vs. Edson Barboza is on the main card for UFC 262 betting on May 15 at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas.

This should be a banger between a pair of featherweights who love to strike. UFC betting lines have Burgos installed as a slim -118 favorite while Barboza comes back at -104.

Here are our best free Burgos vs. Barboza picks and predictions for UFC 262 on Saturday, May 15.

Burgos vs Barboza fight odds

Method of Victory Shane Burgos Edson Barboza
Win Outright -118 -104
Win by KO/TKO +420 +380
Win by Points +180 +260
Win by Submission +1,200 +2,600
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook as of May 10, 2021.

Burgos vs Barboza betting preview

"Hurricane" Burgos is the No. 9-ranked featherweight contender and will try to bounce back from a decision loss to Josh Emmett last June that earned Fight of the Night honors. The 30-year-old enters this fight with a 13-2 record, including a 6-2 mark in the octagon.

Burgos is a strong boxer with great movement and puts together nice combinations. He's also an above-average wrestler and can control in the clinch with strong knees.

Barboza is coming off a unanimous decision victory over Makwan Amirkhani in October where he had a 32-11 edge in significant strikes and knocked his opponent down twice. He's just 2-5 in his last seven fights, although all of those defeats came against highly-ranked fighters including Justin Gaethje and Khabib Nurmagomedov. 

The 34-year-old Brazilian has been competing in the UFC since 2010 and was a lightweight contender for years before making his featherweight debut last year in a close split-decision loss to Dan Ige. With a background in Muay Thai, Barboza is a versatile striker who utilizes devastating kicks to every level.

Burgos vs Barboza tale of the tape

Shane Burgos   Edson Barboza
30 Age 35
5-foot-11 Height 5-foot-11
145 lbs Weight 145 lbs
75 inches Reach 75 inches
13-2-0 (5 KO) Record 21-9-0 (12 KO)

Burgos vs Barboza UFC prediction and betting pick

PREDICTION: Burgos to win -118 - Both of these fighters rarely attempt takedowns and have strong takedown defense, so expect this bout to stay standing up.

Although Barboza has very dangerous kicks, his output has slowed down in recent fights and he has taken a lot of damage over the years. He's the more technical striker in this matchup and better at range but Burgos has insane output, landing a whopping 7.31 significant strikes per minute. 

Barboza has also struggled when fighting on the backfoot and Hurricane's pressure, boxing, and toughness should give him the slight edge in what will be an absolute war. 

Where can I bet on UFC odds?

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