UFC 262 Chookagian vs Araújo Picks: Back the Well-Rounded Dog

Viviane Araújo is 4-1 since making her UFC debut in 2019, but the No. 7-ranked flyweight contender is a +116 underdog against Katlyn Chookagian at UFC 262.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
May 11, 2021 • 13:47 ET
Viviane Araújo UFC
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Katlyn Chookagian vs. Viviane Araújo is on the main card for UFC 262 betting on May 15 at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas.

This could serve as a stepping stone to a women's flyweight title shot for both fighters, with Chookagian looking for her second shot at incumbent champ Valentina Shevchenko.

UFC betting lines have Chookagian as a slim -142 favorite while Araújo comes back at +116.

Here are our best free Chookagian vs. Araújo picks and predictions for UFC 262 on Saturday, May 15.

Chookagian vs Araújo fight odds

Method of Victory Katlyn Chookagian Viviane Araújo
Win Outright -142 +116
Win by KO/TKO +1,100 +600
Win by Points +105 +220
Win by Submission +1,400 +1,400
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook as of May 10, 2021.

Chookagian vs Araújo betting preview

Chookagian is the No. 2 contender in the flyweight division and is fresh off a unanimous decision win over Cynthia Calvillo in November. She is 4-2 in her last six fights with her defeats in that span coming against the two highest-ranked fighters in the division in Valentina Shevchenko and Jessica Andrade.

Chookagian's nickname is "Blonde Fighter" but maybe it should be "points fighter." Chookagian is a long, high-volume striker with excellent cardio, but doesn't have a single finish in eight career UFC wins.

Viviane Araújo is the No. 7-ranked flyweight and in her last outing in January, dominated Roxanne Modafferi in a decision victory. She is 4-1 since making her UFC debut in 2019 and was previously the Pancrase strawweight champion.

The 34-year-old Brazilian is a well-rounded fighter that is comfortable both on the mat and on her feet, where she lands 4.97 significant strikes per minute.

Chookagian vs Araújo tale of the tape

Katlyn Chookagian   Viviane Araújo
32 Age 34
5-foot-9 Height 5-foot-4
126 lbs Weight 126 lbs
68 inches Reach 68 inches
15-4-0 (2 KO) Record 10-2-0 (3 KO)

Chookagian vs Araújo UFC prediction and betting pick

PREDICTION: Araújo to win +116 - Araújo's only loss in the octagon came against Jessica "Evil" Eye, who actually defeated Chookagian just one year earlier.

Araújo looked very impressive in her last two fights and while Chookagian has a five-inch height advantage, they are actually even when it comes to reach.

Chookagian will try to keep this fight at range with her kicks but Araújo has excellent movement and boxing ability and is also the more accurate striker. The Brazilian is also much the superior grappler, averaging 2.33 takedowns per 15 minutes and Chookagian has a takedown defense of just 51 percent.

Look for Araújo's well-rounded skill-set to translate to a victory over the one-dimensional Chookagian.

Where can I bet on UFC odds?

Most online sportsbooks and casinos offer bets on UFC odds and props. While odds to win usually come out as soon as a fight is announced, prop bets become more readily available closer to an event. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what UFC bets they have available.

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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez. You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports. Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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