UFC 255: Figueiredo vs Perez Picks and Predictions

Nov 13, 2020 |
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs Perez Picks and Predictions
Deiveson Figueiredo is a heavy -290 favorite heading into his first defense of the flyweight belt against Alex Perez (+235) at UFC 255.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Deiveson Figueiredo is a heavy -290 favorite heading into his first defense of the flyweight belt against Alex Perez (+235) at UFC 255.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Alex Perez is the main event for UFC 255 betting on Saturday, November 21 at the UFC APEX facility in Las Vegas, Nevada

On a card packed with fantastic flyweight fights, the headliner is a championship bout with Figueiredo making his first defense. UFC odds have Figueiredo as a -290 favorite, while the challenger Perez comes back at +235.

We break down the UFC betting odds for this title bout and give our best picks and predictions for UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez.

Figueiredo vs Perez Fight Odds

Method of Victory Deiveson Figueiredo Alex Perez
Win outright -290 +235
To win by KO/TKO -115 +550
To win by points +500 +700
To win by submission +600 +1,400
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Figueiredo vs Perez Betting Preview

Figueiredo is making the first defense of his flyweight title following a first-round submission victory over Joseph Benavidez in July. That was his second consecutive finish of Benavidez after knocking him out in the second round in February but failing to secure the title since he missed weight. 

Figueiredo is 8-1 at the UFC level with six of his eight wins coming via stoppage. The man nicknamed "Deus Da Guerra" (Portuguese for God of War) has terrific knockout power for this weight class, along with top-notch submission skills. 

Perez is on a three-fight win streak and is fresh off a victory over Jussier Formiga at UFC 250 in June, where he finished Formiga in the first round with calf kicks. The 28-year-old Californian is 24-5 in his career, including 6-1 since entering the UFC in 2017.

Perez comes from a wrestling background and averages 3.20 takedowns per 15 minutes, but is also a strong technical striker. 

Figueiredo vs Perez Tale of the Tape

Deiveson Figueiredo   Alex Perez
32 Age 28
5-foot-5 Height 5-foot-6
126 lbs Weight 123 lbs
68 inches Reach 65 inches
19-1 (9 KO) Record 24-5 (5 KO)

Figueiredo vs Perez UFC Prediction and Betting Pick

PREDICTION: Figueiredo to win -290 - The odds seem lopsided in Figueiredo's favor, but the Brazilian was absolutely dominant in his last two fights against Benavidez who is considered among the greatest fighters to never hold a UFC title.

Perez is a solid striker and showed against Formiga that he can use low kicks to his advantage, but he's still nowhere Figueiredo's level when it comes to stand-up. Figueiredo is longer, more explosive, has better defense, and more power.

Perez's best path to victory lies in using his wrestling to maintain control, much like Formiga did against Figueiredo in the only loss on Deus Da Guerra's resume. That said, Figueiredo is still very dangerous on the ground with seven submission wins and could take this one even if it ends up on the mat. 

 

PREDICTION: Figueiredo to win by KO/TKO -115 - While we think Figueiredo is capable of another submission win - after all, if he can sub an elite scrambler like Benavidez he can sub anyone in this division - it's more likely that he tries to keep this fight standing up. 

Figueiredo has the durability to walk through anything Perez throws at him and he has absolute dynamite in his hands as well.

Keep in mind that Perez's lone loss in the UFC came via first-round knockout at the hands of Benavidez two years ago. Look for another knockout win from Deus Da Guerra.

PREDICTION: Fight to start Round 3 No -122 - Four of Perez's last five fights have been finished in the first round - three wins by Perez and that previously mentioned loss to Benavidez. 

Likewise, five of Figuerido's previous six wins have come by stoppage in the first or second rounds. Forget about the championship rounds, we don't see this one going past the second. 

 

Where Can I Bet on UFC Odds?

Most online sportsbooks and casinos offer bets on UFC odds and props. While odds to win usually come out as soon as a fight is announced, prop bets become more readily available closer to an event. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what UFC bets they have available. 

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