Caio Borralho enters as the 60% favorite against Yousri Belgaroui, who hits back at 41% for their middleweight bout at UFC 334 in New York City.
This fight presents an interesting mix of styles, but my Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui predictions side with the underdog to find an edge on the feet.
Keep reading for the latest UFC odds and my free UFC picks for Saturday, Nov. 14.
Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui predictions for UFC 334
| Market | Pick |
|---|---|
| Who will win: | Yusri Belgaroui (41%) |
| Top pick | Fight to go the distance (66%) |
| Prop | Yusri Belgaroui by decision (22%) |
| Combo | 5.71x |
Who will win Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui: Yousri Belgaroui
Yousri Belgaroui is relatively new to MMA with just five years of pro experience under his belt, but "The Boogeyman" is making waves thanks to his 6-foot-6 frame as well as his knockout power.
Caio Borralho is the more well-rounded fighter and certainly more dangerous on the ground, but his wrestling is not strong enough to get Belgaroui down.
Belgaroui has defeated superior wrestlers in the past, and he'll be able to do that again thanks to his superior striking.
Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui top pick: Fight to go the distance
Borralho is one of the toughest combatants in the middleweight division, and most of his fights are long, grueling battles.
"The Natural" has gone the distance in seven of his nine UFC fights, and he's never been finished in 20 professional bouts.
Given Belgaroui's size and striking advantage, it will be in Borralho's best interest to keep this fight at a relatively slow pace and get to the ground as much as possible.
It remains to be seen whether Borralho will actually be able to get Belgaroui down, but those grueling wrestling exchanges will push this fight to the final bell.
COVERS INTEL: Borralho averages just 1.25 takedowns per 15 minutes and has completed only one successful takedown over his last five fights.Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui prop: Yousri Belgaroui by decision
Make no mistake about it, this is a huge step up in competition for Belgaroui, who has only three UFC fights under his belt.
While Belgaroui has undeniable knockout power and a massive 79-inch reach, Borralho is an experienced and well-rounded fighter who is notoriously difficult to knock out.
Belgaroui will likely get the better of Borralho on the feet, but he'll need the judges' scorecards to get his arm raised.
Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui combo
- Yousri Belgaroui by KO/TKO/DQ
- Fight to end before Round 3
While I believe this fight likely goes the distance, there is also a real chance that Belgaroui finds the knockout.
"The Boogeyman" has earned four straight KO wins, while nine of his 11 professional victories have ended via knockout.
Although Borralho earned a unanimous decision win over Reinier de Ridder last time out, he was bloodied in that fight. Belgaroui is even bigger than the 6-foot-4 RDR and a much more dangerous striker. If Borralho isn't careful, he could get finished early.
Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Method of Victory | Caio Borralho | Yousri Belgaroui |
|---|---|---|
| To win outright | 60% | 41% |
| To win by KO/TKO | 8% | 19% |
| To win by decision | 39% | 22% |
| To win by submission | 11% | 4% |
| Fight to go the distance | Yes 66% |
No 37% |
Odds as of 11-13.
The market favors this fight to go the distance, with both Borralho (39%) and Belgaroui (22%) most likely wo win via decision.
Belgaroui, however, has the much higher probability to win via knockout (19%), thanks to his superior size and striking.
or our BET99 promo code COVERS99 if you're in Canada.
Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui tale of the tape
| Caio Borralho | Yousri Belgaroui | |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Age | 34 |
| 6-foot-1 | Height | 6-foot-6 |
| Middleweight | Weight Class | Middleweight |
| 75 inches | Reach | 79 inches |
| 18-2-0 | Record | 11-3-0 |
| 5 | Wins by KO | 9 |
| 4 | Wins by submission | 0 |
Belgaroui is the tallest active middleweight at 6-foot-6, holding a massive five-inch height advantage and four-inch reach advantage against Borralho. However, Borralho defeated a similar sized opponent in de Ridder (6-foot-4) earlier this year.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
