UFC 334 takes over Madison Square Garden on Saturday night with two massive championship fights headlining the card.
My UFC 334 predictions feature Ciryl Gane exposing Josh Hokit's reckless style and Amanda Nunes reminding everyone why she's the greatest female fighter of all time.
For more analysis on Nov. 14, check out our latest UFC picks.
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
| Gane vs Hokit |
Gane by KO/TKO/DQ 39% |
| Harrison vs Nunes |
Nunes to win 40% |
| Medic vs Holland |
Medic to win 59% |
| Johnson vs Almeida |
Johnson to win 61% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps. For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
Start trading with Kalshi today!
Sign up now using our exclusive Kalshi promo code 'MAX60' and trade $25 on any event contracts to get $60!
*Eligible U.S. locations only
UFC 334 best bets
Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit pick: Gane by KO/TKO/DQ
This is a matchup between a reckless brawler and one of the best technical strikers the heavyweight division has ever seen.
Josh Hokit's 10-0 record is impressive, but beating Derrick Lewis in 2026 shouldn't get you a heavyweight title shot. Yet here we are.
Hokit is just seven months removed from absorbing an astonishing 174 significant strikes in a three-round fight against Curtis Blaydes. Giving up that many clean shots against Gane is a recipe for disaster.
The Frenchman also has a significant physical advantage, standing three inches taller with a 7.5-inch reach advantage. Hokit has legitimate wrestling skills, but his willingness to brawl will provide Gane with plenty of opportunities to land damaging strikes.
I think Gane exposes Hokit, probably badly, and finishes this fight inside the distance.
Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes pick: Nunes to win
I love the value on Amanda Nunes at 40%.
We're getting the greatest female fighter of all time at a price that implies she's a considerable underdog against an opponent coming off major neck surgery.
Everyone is concerned about Nunes' three-year layoff, but I'm actually more worried about Harrison's extended absence, which included surgery serious enough to postpone this fight earlier in the year.
And let's not forget the level of competition Nunes has faced. She's beaten legends like Valentina Shevchenko, Cris Cyborg, and Ronda Rousey.
Harrison's Olympic-level judo is a legitimate threat, but Nunes has the experience, power, and well-rounded skill set to give her problems everywhere.
This is easily the toughest opponent Harrison has ever faced, and this matchup is much closer than the probabilities suggest.
Nunes by decision at 13% is also my favorite longshot swing of the entire event.
Uros Medic vs Kevin Holland pick: Medic to win
Uros Medic is one of the hottest fighters in the welterweight division, and I'm backing him to keep rolling against Kevin Holland.
Medic has delivered FOUR consecutive first-round knockouts, with all four opponents finished within 79 seconds of the opening bell. That's ridiculous.
Meanwhile, Holland continues to be one of the most inconsistent fighters in the UFC, going just 3-4 over his last seven fights.
Medic also has the better striking numbers, landing more significant strikes per minute with superior accuracy and striking defense.
Holland has a considerable reach advantage and remains dangerous on the ground, but Medic is the more explosive striker and has been absolutely destroying opponents.
This is a tremendous opportunity for Medic to add a recognizable name to his resume, and I like him to make another statement on Saturday night.
Donte Johnson vs Cesar Almeida pick: Johnson to win
This looks like classic UFC matchmaking: an exciting prospect with a massive upside against an aging fighter whose career appears to be heading in the wrong direction.
Donte Johnson is a perfect 9-0 with eight finishes, including seven knockouts.
He's competed four times under the UFC umbrella, including Dana White's Contender Series, producing three finishes. Two of those were knockouts in the opening 98 seconds!
Meanwhile, 38-year-old Cesar Almeida has lost three of his last five fights, including a first-round knockout loss to Damian Pinas in July.
Almeida has a wealth of kickboxing experience, but he's a one-dimensional fighter facing a much younger, more explosive opponent who is just beginning to hit his stride.
Johnson is 11 years younger, has considerably more upside, and should have the athletic advantage. I like the undefeated prospect to remain perfect at Madison Square Garden.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
