UFC 255: Rua vs Craig II Picks and Predictions

Nov 16, 2020 |
UFC 255: Rua vs Craig II Picks and Predictions
After fighting to a draw last year, Mauricio Rua and Paul Craig will have a rematch at UFC 255. Despite being the underdog in the first fight, Craig is now the -188 favorite for the November 21 contest.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
After fighting to a draw last year, Mauricio Rua and Paul Craig will have a rematch at UFC 255. Despite being the underdog in the first fight, Craig is now the -188 favorite for the November 21 contest.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Mauricio Rua vs. Paul Craig II will be on the main card UFC 255 betting on Saturday, November 21 at the UFC APEX facility in Las Vegas, Nevada.

This will be a rematch after the two light heavyweights fought to a draw a year ago. UFC odds have Craig installed as the favorite at -188 while Rua comes back at +152.

We break down the UFC betting odds for this battle and give our best picks and predictions for Rua vs. Craig at UFC 255.

Rua vs Craig Fight Odds

Method of Victory Mauricio Rua Paul Craig
Win outright +152 -188
Win by KO/TKO +700 +950
Win by points +320 +200
Win by submission +1,000 +250
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel

Rua vs Craig Betting Preview

Maurício "Shogun" Rua is the No. 14-ranked light heavyweight and is coming off a split-decision win over Antônio Rogério Nogueira in July. In his last seven fights, he has five wins with one loss and the draw against Craig. 

For a guy who first made an international name for himself by defeating Rampage Jackson all the way back in 2005, Rua is still relatively young at 38. A strong boxer who likes to rely on his overhand right and leg kicks, Shogun has 27 wins, with 21 of those coming via KO/TKO. 

Paul "Bearjew" Craig is the former BAMMA World Light Heavyweight Champion and is currently No. 15 in the UFC Light Heavyweight rankings. The 32-year-old is coming off a first-round submission win over Gadzhimurad Antigulov in July and has gone 5-4-1 since joining the UFC in 2016. 

Craig is one of the most dangerous grapplers in the division, with 12 of his 13 career wins coming via submission. The most impressive victory on his resume was a last-second triangle choke against Magomed Ankalaev, handing Ankalaev the only loss of his career. 

Rua vs Craig Tale of the Tape

Mauricio Rua   Paul Craig
38 Age 32
6-foot-1 Height 6-foot-3
205 lbs Weight 205 lbs
76 inches Reach 76 inches
27-11-1 (21 KO) Record 13-4-1 (1 KO)

Rua vs Craig UFC Prediction and Betting Pick

PREDICTION: Craig to win by submission +250 - It's wild to think that just 12 months ago Rua was a -270 favorite against Craig for the first matchup, and after the draw – and a subsequent win – is now a +152 underdog. Although the first fight between these two light heavyweights was a back-and-forth contest, Rua only looked good when he had top control on the ground. 

Rua has BJJ background but his ground game is nowhere near the level of a submission expert like Craig. And when it came to standing up – an area Shogun was supposed to have the advantage in – Rua looked slow and landed far fewer significant strikes than Craig. 

Look for Craig to be more assertive and attempt more submissions than he did in the previous match. Back Craig to get the win and with an incredible 12 of his 13 wins coming by sub, taking him on the method to win prop gives the best betting value. 

 

Where Can I Bet on UFC 255 Odds?

Most online sportsbooks and casinos offer bets on UFC odds and props. While odds to win usually come out as soon as a fight is announced, prop bets become more readily available closer to an event. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what UFC bets they have available. 

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