Jets @ Buccaneers Picks & Props

The Dolphins enter this game looking to build on their recent momentum. They have demonstrated a strong offensive performance, ranking 3rd in points per game. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been pivotal, showcasing his ability to connect with star wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who leads the league in receiving yards. This dynamic duo has been crucial in driving the Dolphins' high-scoring offense.. On the other side, the Jets have faced challenges this season, particularly on the offensive side of the ball, where they rank 29th in points per game. Despite a solid defense, which ranks 5th in the league for points allowed, the Jets have struggled to find consistency in moving the ball downfield. Quarterback Zach Wilson will need to step up if the Jets hope to keep pace with the Dolphins' explosive offense.. From a betting perspective, the spread reflects the Dolphins' offensive prowess, with Miami favored to win. Bettors should consider the potential for a high-scoring affair, given the Dolphins' ability to put points on the board and the Jets' need to respond offensively. The total points line will likely attract attention, as many will weigh the Dolphins' scoring against the Jets' defensive capabilities.. As the game approaches, fans and bettors alike will be keen to see if Miami can maintain its offensive momentum or if New York can pull off an upset with a strong defensive showing.

The Dolphins enter this game looking to build on their recent momentum. They have demonstrated a strong offensive performance, ranking 3rd in points per game. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been pivotal, showcasing his ability to connect with star wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who leads the league in receiving yards. This dynamic duo has been crucial in driving the Dolphins' high-scoring offense.. On the other side, the Jets have faced challenges this season, particularly on the offensive side of the ball, where they rank 29th in points per game. Despite a solid defense, which ranks 5th in the league for points allowed, the Jets have struggled to find consistency in moving the ball downfield. Quarterback Zach Wilson will need to step up if the Jets hope to keep pace with the Dolphins' explosive offense.. From a betting perspective, the spread reflects the Dolphins' offensive prowess, with Miami favored to win. Bettors should consider the potential for a high-scoring affair, given the Dolphins' ability to put points on the board and the Jets' need to respond offensively. The total points line will likely attract attention, as many will weigh the Dolphins' scoring against the Jets' defensive capabilities.. As the game approaches, fans and bettors alike will be keen to see if Miami can maintain its offensive momentum or if New York can pull off an upset with a strong defensive showing.

The Dolphins enter this game looking to build on their recent momentum. They have demonstrated a strong offensive performance, ranking 3rd in points per game. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been pivotal, showcasing his ability to connect with star wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who leads the league in receiving yards. This dynamic duo has been crucial in driving the Dolphins' high-scoring offense.. On the other side, the Jets have faced challenges this season, particularly on the offensive side of the ball, where they rank 29th in points per game. Despite a solid defense, which ranks 5th in the league for points allowed, the Jets have struggled to find consistency in moving the ball downfield. Quarterback Zach Wilson will need to step up if the Jets hope to keep pace with the Dolphins' explosive offense.. From a betting perspective, the spread reflects the Dolphins' offensive prowess, with Miami favored to win. Bettors should consider the potential for a high-scoring affair, given the Dolphins' ability to put points on the board and the Jets' need to respond offensively. The total points line will likely attract attention, as many will weigh the Dolphins' scoring against the Jets' defensive capabilities.. As the game approaches, fans and bettors alike will be keen to see if Miami can maintain its offensive momentum or if New York can pull off an upset with a strong defensive showing.

Right now, the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league in the red zone (58.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Buccaneers.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.4 plays per game.. The Tampa Bay offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.. Baker Mayfield has been among the top TD passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 2.42 per game while ranking in the 98th percentile.. The Jets defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

The Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Tyrod Taylor.. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are heavy underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the anemic Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been torched for a massive 72.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-highest rate in the league.

The Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Tyrod Taylor.. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are heavy underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the feeble Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 80.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 3rd-worst rate in the league.

Right now, the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league in the red zone (58.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Buccaneers.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.4 plays per game.. The Tampa Bay offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.. The Jets defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

The Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Tyrod Taylor.. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are heavy underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.. While Garrett Wilson has accounted for 25.8% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of New York's passing offense near the end zone in this game at 31.4%.. Garrett Wilson has posted a massive 88.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 90th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Right now, the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league in the red zone (58.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Buccaneers.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.4 plays per game.. With an elite 24.3% Red Zone Target Rate (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Mike Evans rates as one of the WRs with the most usage near the goal line in football.. Mike Evans has accumulated a colossal 104.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile among wide receivers.. Mike Evans's 70.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 98th percentile for wideouts.

The Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Tyrod Taylor.. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are heavy underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.. Breece Hall has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 9.8% since the start of last season, which places him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.. Breece Hall has accrued a massive 3.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 95th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).

Right now, the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league in the red zone (58.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Buccaneers.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.4 plays per game.. When it comes to air yards, Cade Otton ranks in the towering 85th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, totaling a massive 33.0 per game.. Cade Otton has been in the 87th percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) with an impressive 37.1 mark since the start of last season.. The Tampa Bay offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

The leading projections forecast the Jets offensive strategy to skew 13.0% more towards the ground game than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 52.4% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 121.6 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.. The New York Jets have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.3 plays per game.. With a feeble 77.9% Adjusted Catch Rate (19th percentile) since the start of last season, Breece Hall rates among the most unreliable receivers in the league among RBs.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.1% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 59.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.. The predictive model expects Cade Otton to be a much smaller piece of his team's passing attack in this week's contest (12.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (17.8% in games he has played).

The Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Tyrod Taylor.. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are heavy underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the feeble Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 80.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 3rd-worst rate in the league.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.1% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 59.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.. Mike Evans's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 68.5% to 54.0%.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.1% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 59.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

The Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Tyrod Taylor.. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are heavy underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.. In this week's contest, Garrett Wilson is predicted by the model to land in the 98th percentile among WRs with 10.1 targets.. Garrett Wilson is positioned as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 5.9 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.

Right now, the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league in the red zone (58.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Buccaneers.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.4 plays per game.. The Tampa Bay offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.. Baker Mayfield has been among the top TD passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 2.42 per game while ranking in the 98th percentile.. The Jets linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season with their pass rush.

The Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Tyrod Taylor.. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are heavy underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the anemic Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been torched for a massive 72.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-highest rate in the league.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.1% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 59.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.. Baker Mayfield's 60.9% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a meaningful reduction in his throwing precision over last season's 71.1% mark.

The Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Tyrod Taylor.. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are heavy underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the anemic Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been torched for a massive 72.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-highest rate in the league.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.1% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 59.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. In this week's contest, Baker Mayfield is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 30.6. . Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

The Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Tyrod Taylor.. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are heavy underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.1% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 59.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. In this week's contest, Baker Mayfield is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 30.7. . Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

The leading projections forecast the Jets offensive strategy to skew 13.0% more towards the ground game than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 52.4% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 121.6 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.. The New York Jets have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.3 plays per game.. The model projects Tyrod Taylor to attempt 30.0 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 2nd-fewest among all QBs.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.1% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 59.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. In this week's contest, Baker Mayfield is forecasted by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 30.6. . Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

The Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Tyrod Taylor.. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are heavy underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.. Tampa Bay's defense grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season when it comes to making interceptions, notching just 0.38 per game.

The Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Tyrod Taylor.. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are heavy underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the deficient Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been gouged for a massive 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 5th-most in the NFL.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.1% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 59.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.. The predictive model expects Cade Otton to be a much smaller piece of his team's passing attack in this week's contest (12.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (17.8% in games he has played).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.4 plays per game.. The Tampa Bay offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.. The Jets linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season with their pass rush.

The leading projections forecast the Jets offensive strategy to skew 13.0% more towards the ground game than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 52.4% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 121.6 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.. The New York Jets have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.3 plays per game.. With a feeble 77.9% Adjusted Catch Rate (19th percentile) since the start of last season, Breece Hall rates among the most unreliable receivers in the league among RBs.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.1% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 59.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.. Mike Evans's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 68.5% to 54.0%.

The Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Tyrod Taylor.. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are heavy underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.. In this week's contest, Garrett Wilson is predicted by the model to land in the 98th percentile among WRs with 10.1 targets.. The leading projections forecast Garrett Wilson to be a more important option in his offense's passing offense in this week's contest (35.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (28.2% in games he has played).

The Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Tyrod Taylor.. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are heavy underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 121.6 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.. The New York Jets have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.3 plays per game.. Since the start of last season, the strong Buccaneers run defense has given up a meager 98.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast the Jets offensive strategy to skew 13.0% more towards the ground game than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New York Jets to run on 47.6% of their chances: the 6th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects Breece Hall to notch 17.3 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Breece Hall has grinded out 52.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league when it comes to running backs (78th percentile).

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 59.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. The Jets defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 59.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.. Since the start of last season, the porous New York Jets run defense has given up a monstrous 4.45 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing rushing attacks: the 23rd-worst rate in the league.. The Jets defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.9% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.4 plays per game.. Baker Mayfield's running efficiency has improved this season, notching 8.63 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 6.54 rate last season.. With a terrific rate of 3.60 yards-after-contact (89th percentile), Baker Mayfield rates among the best running QBs in the NFL this year.

The leading projections forecast the Jets offensive strategy to skew 13.0% more towards the ground game than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New York Jets to run on 47.6% of their chances: the 6th-greatest clip on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects Breece Hall to notch 17.3 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The Jets may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Tyrod Taylor.. At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are heavy underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 121.6 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.. The New York Jets have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.3 plays per game.. The Buccaneers linebackers rank as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.9% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.4 plays per game.