HOU 1.5 o39.5
LAC -1.5 u39.5
BAL 3.0 o38.5
GB -3.0 u38.5
TB -5.5 o44.5
MIA 5.5 u44.5
NE -13.5 o43.0
NYJ 13.5 u43.0
PIT -3.0 o34.0
CLE 3.0 u34.0
ARI 7.0 o53.0
CIN -7.0 u53.0
NO -2.5 o39.5
TEN 2.5 u39.5
JAC -5.5 o48.5
IND 5.5 u48.5
SEA -7.0 o43.0
CAR 7.0 u43.0
NYG -2.5 o41.5
LV 2.5 u41.5
PHI 1.5 o44.0
BUF -1.5 u44.0
CHI 3.0 o52.5
SF -3.0 u52.5
LA -8.0 o50.0
ATL 8.0 u50.0
Final Dec 25
DAL 30 -8.5 o50.5
WAS 23 8.5 u50.5
Final Dec 25
DET 10 -7.5 o45.0
MIN 23 7.5 u45.0
Final Dec 25
DEN 20 -13.5 o37.5
KC 13 13.5 u37.5
Seahawks 1st NFC West12-3
Panthers 1st NFC South8-7

Seahawks @ Panthers Picks & Props

SEA vs CAR Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
Seattle Seahawks logo SEA -7.5 (-102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Shawn Krest image
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

The Carolina Panthers are getting healthier and while the Seattle Seahawks played last Thursday night, giving the Seahawks a few extra days to heal up as well, both teams should be at relatively full strength considering it’s a late-season matchup. Seattle should be able to keep the train rolling against a team that has had a successful season thanks in large part to luck, clutch play and mirrors.

 

Score a Touchdown
Tetairoa McMillan logo Tetairoa McMillan Score a Touchdown (Yes: +195)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Seattle’s defense looked very beatable in Week 16, and if Carolina is forced into a pass-heavy script, the ball is going to Tetairoa McMillan at a massive rate. He’s seen roughly every third target when the Panthers drop back, yet this is the longest his touchdown price has been in four games despite scoring in four of his last five. There’s really only one reliable option to back in the Panthers’ passing game, and it’s McMillan. Given his role, usage, and consistency in the red zone, he’s a player I’m comfortable backing weekly at +170 or better.

Passing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o193.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 203.41 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.
Passing Yards
Sam Darnold logo
Sam Darnold o225.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 232.76 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With a terrific 67.6% Adjusted Completion% (81st percentile) this year, Sam Darnold stands as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL.. With an outstanding 8.44 adjusted yards-per-target (97th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold places among the most efficient passers in football.
Interceptions Thrown
Sam Darnold logo
Sam Darnold u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+122)
Projection 0.43 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Seahawks are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.. The projections expect the Seahawks as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see just 126.8 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.. The Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.4 plays per game.. Carolina's defense profiles as the 8th-best in football this year as it relates to forcing interceptions, totaling 0.88 per game.
Interceptions Thrown
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+116)
Projection 0.48 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The model projects the Panthers to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 57.9% pass rate.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see only 126.8 total plays run: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.. The Seattle Seahawks have intercepted 0.93 throws per game this year, ranking as the 6th-best defense in the league by this standard.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Seattle's unit has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 7th-best in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
AJ Barner logo
AJ Barner o30.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 40.85 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Panthers pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.6%) to tight ends this year (79.6%).. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus TEs this year, yielding 8.86 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.
Receiving Yards
Ja'Tavion Sanders logo
Ja'Tavion Sanders o14.5 Receiving Yards (-108)
Projection 20.24 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.. This year, the anemic Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered a colossal 64.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 8th-worst in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Tetairoa McMillan o54.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 62.19 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.
Receiving Yards
Kenneth Walker III logo
Kenneth Walker III o11.5 Receiving Yards (-107)
Projection 13.51 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With a stellar 89.6% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Kenneth Walker III stands as one of the best possession receivers in the league when it comes to running backs.. Kenneth Walker III's 8.3 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a material growth in his receiving skills over last season's 6.1 mark.
Rushing Yards
Rico Dowdle logo
Rico Dowdle o47.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
Projection 57.62 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the present time, the 7th-most run-focused offense in the league (42.1% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Panthers.. In this week's game, Rico Dowdle is anticipated by our trusted projection set to finish in the 77th percentile among RBs with 14.4 carries.. Out of all running backs, Rico Dowdle grades out in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 55.2% of the workload in his offense's run game.. With an impressive record of 58.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (86th percentile), Rico Dowdle places among the best pure rushers in the league this year.
Rushing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o14.5 Rushing Yards (-118)
Projection 20.93 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the present time, the 7th-most run-focused offense in the league (42.1% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Panthers.. Bryce Young's ground effectiveness (6.37 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (79th percentile among QBs).
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SEA vs CAR Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

61% picking Seattle vs Carolina to go Over

61%
39%

Total PicksSEA 234, CAR 148

Total
Over
Under

SEA vs CAR Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ja'Tavion Sanders Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Ja'Tavion Sanders
J. Sanders
tight end TE • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.17
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.17
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year. The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.53 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

Ja'Tavion Sanders logo

Ja'Tavion Sanders

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.17
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.17

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year. The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.53 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

AJ Barner Score a Touchdown Props • Seattle

AJ Barner
A. Barner
tight end TE • Seattle
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.36
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.36
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Panthers pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.6%) to tight ends this year (79.6%).

AJ Barner logo

AJ Barner

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.36
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.36

The Panthers pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.6%) to tight ends this year (79.6%).

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Score a Touchdown Props • Seattle

Jaxon Smith-Njigba
J. Smith-Njigba
wide receiver WR • Seattle
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.58
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.58
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack near the goal line in this week's contest (33.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (27.1% in games he has played). After accumulating 73.0 air yards per game last year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has posted big gains this year, currently pacing 110.0 per game. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 87.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 57.6. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is positioned as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in a remarkable 75.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 90th percentile among wide receivers. Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks in the 95th percentile among WRs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.59 per game.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba logo

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.58
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.58

The predictive model expects Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack near the goal line in this week's contest (33.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (27.1% in games he has played). After accumulating 73.0 air yards per game last year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has posted big gains this year, currently pacing 110.0 per game. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 87.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 57.6. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is positioned as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in a remarkable 75.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 90th percentile among wide receivers. Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks in the 95th percentile among WRs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.59 per game.

Rico Dowdle Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Rico Dowdle
R. Dowdle
running back RB • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.34
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.34
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. Rico Dowdle's 14.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in football: 81st percentile for RBs. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year. Rico Dowdle's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 80.0% to 83.7%.

Rico Dowdle logo

Rico Dowdle

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.34
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.34

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. Rico Dowdle's 14.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in football: 81st percentile for RBs. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year. Rico Dowdle's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 80.0% to 83.7%.

Tetairoa McMillan Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Tetairoa McMillan
T. McMillan
wide receiver WR • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.29
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.29
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year. The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.53 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

Tetairoa McMillan logo

Tetairoa McMillan

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.29
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.29

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year. The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.53 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

Kenneth Walker III Score a Touchdown Props • Seattle

Kenneth Walker III
K. Walker III
running back RB • Seattle
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.45
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.45
Best Odds
Projection Rating

With a stellar 89.6% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Kenneth Walker III stands as one of the best possession receivers in the league when it comes to running backs.

Kenneth Walker III logo

Kenneth Walker III

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.45
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.45

With a stellar 89.6% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Kenneth Walker III stands as one of the best possession receivers in the league when it comes to running backs.

Bryce Young Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Bryce Young
B. Young
quarterback QB • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.04
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.04
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. Bryce Young is not much of a runner and has accounted for a lowly 1.8% of his offense's rush attempts near the goal line this year, putting him in the 24th percentile among quarterbacks. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year. The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.53 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

Bryce Young logo

Bryce Young

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.04
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.04

The Panthers are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. Bryce Young is not much of a runner and has accounted for a lowly 1.8% of his offense's rush attempts near the goal line this year, putting him in the 24th percentile among quarterbacks. In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year. The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.53 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

Sam Darnold Score a Touchdown Props • Seattle

Sam Darnold
S. Darnold
quarterback QB • Seattle
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.02
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.02
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Sam Darnold is not a mobile quarterback and has accounted for just 0.0% of his team's rush attempts near the end zone this year, putting him in the 2nd percentile among QBs. With a terrific 67.6% Adjusted Completion% (81st percentile) this year, Sam Darnold stands as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL. With a lousy ratio of only 0.00 touchdowns on the ground per game (3rd percentile), Sam Darnold has been among the bottom rushing quarterbacks in football this year.

Sam Darnold logo

Sam Darnold

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.02
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.02

Sam Darnold is not a mobile quarterback and has accounted for just 0.0% of his team's rush attempts near the end zone this year, putting him in the 2nd percentile among QBs. With a terrific 67.6% Adjusted Completion% (81st percentile) this year, Sam Darnold stands as one of the most accurate QBs in the NFL. With a lousy ratio of only 0.00 touchdowns on the ground per game (3rd percentile), Sam Darnold has been among the bottom rushing quarterbacks in football this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

SEA vs CAR Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Total

'Unstoppable Force' picks Seattle vs Carolina to go Under (42.5)

Unstoppable Force is #10 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'Unstoppable Force' is picking Carolina to cover (+7.0)

Unstoppable Force is #10 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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'FBI007' picks Seattle vs Carolina to go Under (42.5)

FBI007 is #2 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +5900 units on the season.

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Under
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'liveactiondockery' is picking Carolina to cover (+7.5)

liveactiondockery is #3 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (6-4-1) and +6200 units on the season.

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'dirtyharry57' picks Seattle vs Carolina to go Over (42.5)

dirtyharry57 is #3 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'dirtyharry57' is picking Carolina to cover (+7.0)

dirtyharry57 is #3 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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CAR
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'jessestars' is picking Seattle to cover (-7.5)

jessestars is #5 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-5-0) and +6100 units on the season.

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CAR
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'jessestars' picks Seattle vs Carolina to go Over (42.0)

jessestars is #5 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-5-0) and +6100 units on the season.

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Under
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'teslaxyz' is picking Carolina to cover (+7.5)

teslaxyz is #7 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-6-0) and +5050 units on the season.

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'teslaxyz' picks Seattle vs Carolina to go Under (42.5)

teslaxyz is #7 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-6-0) and +5050 units on the season.

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'samua' is picking Seattle to cover (-7.5)

samua is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-5-0) and +5050 units on the season.

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CAR
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'cryhavoc' is picking Carolina to cover (+7.0)

cryhavoc is #8 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'cryhavoc' picks Seattle vs Carolina to go Under (42.5)

cryhavoc is #8 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'samua' picks Seattle vs Carolina to go Over (42.5)

samua is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-5-0) and +5050 units on the season.

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Under
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'LMS387' is picking Seattle to cover (-7.0)

LMS387 is #9 on picking games that Seattle is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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CAR

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