HOU 1.5 o39.5
LAC -1.5 u39.5
BAL 3.5 o38.5
GB -3.5 u38.5
TB -5.5 o44.5
MIA 5.5 u44.5
NE -13.5 o43.0
NYJ 13.5 u43.0
PIT -3.0 o34.5
CLE 3.0 u34.5
ARI 7.5 o53.0
CIN -7.5 u53.0
NO -2.5 o39.5
TEN 2.5 u39.5
JAC -5.5 o48.5
IND 5.5 u48.5
SEA -7.0 o42.5
CAR 7.0 u42.5
NYG -1.5 o41.5
LV 1.5 u41.5
PHI 1.5 o44.0
BUF -1.5 u44.0
CHI 3.0 o52.5
SF -3.0 u52.5
LA -8.0 o50.0
ATL 8.0 u50.0
Final Dec 25
DAL 30 -8.5 o50.5
WAS 23 8.5 u50.5
Final Dec 25
DET 10 -7.5 o45.0
MIN 23 7.5 u45.0
Final Dec 25
DEN 20 -13.5 o37.5
KC 13 13.5 u37.5
Saints 4th NFC South5-10
Titans 4th AFC South3-12

Saints @ Titans Picks & Props

Picks |Consensus |Props |Trends |Top User Picks

NO vs TEN Picks

NFL Picks
Passing Yards
Tyler Shough logo Tyler Shough o220.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Best Odds
o220.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
o222.5  -111
o220.5  -110
o221.5  -114
o220.5  -115
o221.5  -118

Expect an Offensive Rookie of the Year push from Saints QB Tyler Shough. Shough didn't start until Week 8 but has come on strong down the stretch. He's thrown for more than 235 yards in five of his previous six game and is coming off a career-high 308-yard performance. He has a great matchup on Sunday against Tennessee who ranks 27th in defensive pass DVOA. The Titans benefitted from facing a third-string QB last week but had surrendered 275.4 passing yards per game in their previous seven contests.

Spread
New Orleans Saints logo NO -2.5 (-114)
Best Odds
-2.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
-2.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
-2.5  -115
-2.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
-2.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
-2.5  -114
These are quick bet odds

Every single victory in the Saints' three-game unbeaten run has been by at least three points, which means the Saints have covered in each contest. Their last road game was in Tampa, where they walked away with a 24-20 win. This is obviously a small spread, and if New Orleans is going to win like I expect them to, it will be by a minimum of a field goal.

Score a Touchdown
Chris Olave logo Chris Olave Score a Touchdown (Yes: +190)
Best Odds
 +190 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +130
 +190
 +135
 +150
 +140

Tyler Shough and the Saints’ offense are leaning heavily on the passing game. New Orleans dropped back 56 times last week, and the unit is starting to play with confidence. Chris Olave was at the center of it all, seeing 16 targets and turning them into 10 catches, 140-plus yards, and two touchdowns. Any clear WR1 facing Tennessee should be priced closer to +140 to score, so seeing Olave available nearer to +200 feels like a number that won’t last. Even at +150, there’s still value. The Saints simply can’t run the ball right now, which keeps the offense flowing through the air and makes Olave the focal point again this week.

Score a Touchdown
Chris Olave logo
Chris Olave Score a Touchdown (Yes: +190)
Projection 0.49 (Yes)
Best Odds
 +190 bet365
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
 +130
 +190
 +135
 +150
 +140
The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.7 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 60.1 per game on average).. Chris Olave has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 28.2% this year, which ranks in the 96th percentile among wideouts.. After averaging 57.0 air yards per game last year, Chris Olave has gotten better this year, currently pacing 119.0 per game.. Chris Olave's 72.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 45.5.
+190 at bet365
Score a Touchdown
Chimere Dike logo
Chimere Dike Score a Touchdown (Yes: +320)
Projection 0.31 (Yes)
Best Odds
 +320 bet365
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
 +240
 +320
 +250
 +260
 +255
At the moment, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (59.9% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Tennessee Titans.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.7 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The New Orleans Saints safeties rank as the 4th-best group of safeties in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
+320 at bet365
Receptions Made
Juwan Johnson logo
Juwan Johnson u4.5 Receptions Made (+115)
Projection 3.97 (Under)
Best Odds
u4.5 +115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u4.5  -110
 -
u4.5  +115
These are quick bet odds
 -
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
+115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receptions Made
Chig Okonkwo logo
Chig Okonkwo o2.5 Receptions Made (+105)
Projection 3.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 +105 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o2.5  -134
o2.5  +100
 -
o2.5  +105
These are quick bet odds
o2.5  -129
These are quick bet odds
The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.7 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. In this week's contest, Chig Okonkwo is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.2 targets.. With an elite 14.5% Target% (79th percentile) this year, Chig Okonkwo places among the tight ends with the highest volume in the league.. Chig Okonkwo profiles as one of the best pass-game TEs this year, averaging a stellar 2.9 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.. The New Orleans Saints linebackers grade out as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.
+105 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receptions Made
Audric Estime logo
Audric Estime u2.5 Receptions Made (-135)
Projection 1.72 (Under)
Best Odds
u2.5 -130 bet365
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u2.5  -130
 -
u2.5  -135
These are quick bet odds
 -
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
-130 at bet365
Passing Completions
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough u20.5 Passing Completions (+103)
Projection 18.42 (Under)
Best Odds
u21.5 -120 bet365
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
u20.5  +103
u21.5  -120
u21.5  -130
u20.5  -105
u20.5  -105
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
-120 at bet365
Passing Attempts
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough u32.5 Passing Attempts (-115)
Projection 29.72 (Under)
Best Odds
u32.5 -115 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u32.5  -119
u32.5  -115
u32.5  -128
u32.5  -115
u32.5  -118
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
-115 at bet365
Passing Yards
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough u220.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 192.14 (Under)
Best Odds
u222.5 -113 DraftKings
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u222.5  -113
u220.5  -110
u221.5  -114
u220.5  -115
u221.5  -113
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
-113 at DraftKings
Passing Yards
Cam Ward logo
Cam Ward o185.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 195.61 (Over)
Best Odds
o185.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o185.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
o185.5  -110
o188.5  -114
o185.5  -115
o199.5  +110
The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.7 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Chig Okonkwo logo
Chig Okonkwo o21.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Projection 33.71 (Over)
Best Odds
o21.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o25.5  -114
o21.5  -110
 -
o21.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
o24.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.7 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. In this week's contest, Chig Okonkwo is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.2 targets.. With an elite 14.5% Target% (79th percentile) this year, Chig Okonkwo places among the tight ends with the highest volume in the league.. Chig Okonkwo ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to tight ends this year with a remarkable 8.8% of his team's air yards accumulated.. The New Orleans Saints linebackers grade out as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.
-110 at bet365

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NO vs TEN Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

NO vs TEN Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating
Tyler Shough
T. Shough
quarterback QB • New Orleans
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Yes
+380
betmgm
betmgm
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.7 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 60.1 per game on average). When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Saints grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in football against the Titans defense this year (74.3% Adjusted Completion%). The Titans cornerbacks project as the worst group of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Tyler Shough logo

Tyler Shough

QB • NO @ TEN
Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.2
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.2

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.7 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 60.1 per game on average). When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Saints grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in football against the Titans defense this year (74.3% Adjusted Completion%). The Titans cornerbacks project as the worst group of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
Alvin Kamara
A. Kamara
running back RB • New Orleans
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.09
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Yes
+140
bet365
bet365
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.09
Best Odds

Moliki Matavao
M. Matavao
tight end TE • New Orleans
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Yes
+1400
bet365
bet365
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

Zaire Mitchell-Paden
Z. Mitchell-Paden
tight end TE • New Orleans
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Yes
+2000
bet365
bet365
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

NO vs TEN Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'interfly' is picking Tennessee to cover (+2.0)

interfly is #1 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +7700 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-2.0 -137
+2.5 +100
Spread

'TwoDrunk2Bunt' is picking Tennessee to cover (+2.5)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-2-1) and +7200 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-2.0 -137
+2.5 +100
Total

'TwoDrunk2Bunt' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Under (39.5)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-2-1) and +7200 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -105
Spread

'LaQuora28' is picking New Orleans to cover (-2.0)

LaQuora28 is #10 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (13-2-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-2.0 -137
+2.5 +100
Total

'LaQuora28' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Over (39.5)

LaQuora28 is #10 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (13-2-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -105
Spread

'cashbb1030' is picking Tennessee to cover (+2.5)

cashbb1030 is #2 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +7650 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-2.0 -137
+2.5 +100
Total

'cashbb1030' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Over (39.5)

cashbb1030 is #2 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +7650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -105
Spread

'rquiroz' is picking New Orleans to cover (-2.5)

rquiroz is #2 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (5-3-0) and +6250 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-2.0 -137
+2.5 +100
Spread

'dirtyharry57' is picking New Orleans to cover (-2.5)

dirtyharry57 is #3 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-2.0 -137
+2.5 +100
Total

'dirtyharry57' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Over (39.5)

dirtyharry57 is #3 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -105
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'griz55' is picking New Orleans to cover (-2.0)

griz55 is #4 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +6600 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-2.0 -137
+2.5 +100
Total

'griz55' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Over (39.5)

griz55 is #4 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +6600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -105
Spread

'Sabster611' is picking Tennessee to cover (+2.0)

Sabster611 is #4 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-2.0 -137
+2.5 +100
Total

'Sabster611' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Over (39.5)

Sabster611 is #4 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -105
Spread

'jerrygora' is picking New Orleans to cover (-2.5)

jerrygora is #9 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (9-1-1) and +5150 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-2.0 -137
+2.5 +100

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