With a single win potentially enough to reach the knockout phase, the stakes are huge as Haiti and Scotland face off in Group C on Day 3 of the 2026 World Cup.
I expect a high-scoring affair between well-matched sides. Read on for my Haiti vs. Scotland predictions and key World Cup picks for Saturday, June 13.
Who will win Haiti vs Scotland: Draw (+330)
The gap in quality between the teams is narrower than the market suggests. Outsiders Haiti’s starting lineup includes two English Premier League players (midfielder Jean-Jacques Bellegarde and striker Wilson Isidor) plus plenty of performers that have done well in France’s top two divisions down the years (Johnny Placide, Carlens Arcus, Jean-Kevin Duverne, Josue Casimir).
As favorites, Scotland are under pressure to start with three points before theoretically tougher upcoming fixtures against Morocco and Brazil. They head into the game in good form (6-1-3 in 10 2025/26 fixtures) and will enjoy good support at Boston Stadium.
Still, the expectations will weigh heavily on Scotland manager Steve Clarke and his players during the match as Haiti — way down the World Cup odds listings — refuse to simply stand aside.
Haiti +1.5 (-186) on the spread would be one way to support the dogs. If, like me, you would prefer a higher price, back things to stay level at +330.
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TOp pick
Haiti vs Scotland Over/Under Pick: Over 2.5 (-109)
For both teams, attacks are better than defenses. The stats bear this out: six of Scotland’s last eight fixtures have had 3+ goals, for a high average of 3.63 goals per game.
Over 2.5 has landed in eight of Haiti’s 15 fixtures since June last year. The 4-4-2 formation they're expected to use encourages fast, vertical, attacking play, and can leave their defense exposed at the other end of the field.
All four pre-tournament friendlies involving Haiti and Scotland had 3+ goals (an average of 4.0 goals per game). Anybody watching those fixtures would have noted defensive flaws across both line-ups, with little time to correct them before this tournament opener.
This is the most winnable group game for both teams, so an open encounter - where the focus will be on winning, rather than merely avoiding defeat - is likely. With a pick ‘em 2.5 line, Overs is the strong selection.
Haiti vs Scotland projected lineup
Haiti (4-4-2): Placide; Arcus, Duverne, Ade, Experience; Casimir, Jean-Jacques, Bellegarde, Providence; Pierrot, Isidor
Scotland (4-2-3-1): Gunn; Hickey, Hanley, McKenna, Robertson; Christie, Ferguson; McGinn, McTominay, Doak; Adams
Haiti vs Scotland injuries
Haiti: No key injuries to report.
Scotland: No key injuries to report.
Haiti vs Scotland weather
Warm rather than hot at kick-off time. Cloudy, dry conditions throughout the game are expected.
Haiti vs Scotland odds
 Haiti |
 Scotland |
|
|---|---|---|
| +525 | Moneyline | -170 |
| +375 | Draw | +375 |
| Over 2.5 (-104) | Total | Under 2.5 (+100) |
Odds courtesy of Kalshi.
How to watch Haiti vs Scotland
Check out FIFA's official 2026 World Cup website for more information.
| Location | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ |
| Date | Saturday, June 13, 2026 |
| Time | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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