Steelers @ Browns Picks & Props

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At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (81.9%) to tight ends this year (81.9%).. The Steelers defense has given up the 2nd-most receiving touchdowns in football to TEs: 0.67 per game this year.

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. With an elite 22.5% Red Zone Target Share (99th percentile) this year, Kenneth Gainwell rates among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume near the goal line in football.. Kenneth Gainwell's 23.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 7.4.. The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.. Kenneth Gainwell's 92.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a meaningful gain in his receiving ability over last season's 74.4% mark.

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. After averaging 7.0 air yards per game last season, Darnell Washington has shown good development this season, now sitting at 15.0 per game.. Darnell Washington's 20.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 10.0.. The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's unit has been excellent this year, profiling as the best in football.

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. While Marquez Valdes-Scantling has accounted for 2.3% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Pittsburgh's passing offense near the end zone this week at 11.9%.. The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.. Marquez Valdes-Scantling's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 44.0% to 47.9%.. The Browns defense has allowed the 7th-most receiving touchdowns in football to WRs: 1.00 per game this year.

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. Jerry Jeudy places in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 55.0 figure this year.. This year, the deficient Steelers defense has given up a whopping 72.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 7th-largest rate in football.

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. Aaron Rodgers is more comfortable in the pocket and has accounted for just 0.0% of his team's rushing play calls near the end zone this year, putting him in the 2nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.. The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.. Aaron Rodgers's 67.2% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a significant boost in his throwing precision over last season's 63.8% rate.. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's unit has been excellent this year, profiling as the best in football.

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. The Steelers defense has surrendered the 6th-most passing TDs in the NFL: 1.73 per game this year.. Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.67 per game) against the Steelers defense this year.

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The model projects Marquez Valdes-Scantling to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack in this week's contest (13.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.6% in games he has played).. The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.. Marquez Valdes-Scantling's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 44.0% to 47.9%.

The Steelers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.. The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.3 plays per game.. Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and higher run volume.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.0 per game) this year.. The Browns linebackers profile as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (81.9%) to tight ends this year (81.9%).. As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's unit has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 9th-worst in the league.

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 91.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The leading projections forecast Darnell Washington to total 4.4 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. Darnell Washington's 20.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 10.0.. The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. The Steelers pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (85.8%) vs. RBs this year (85.8%).. As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's unit has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 9th-worst in the league.

The Steelers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.. The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.3 plays per game.. Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and higher run volume.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.0 per game) this year.. The Browns linebackers profile as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. This year, the deficient Steelers defense has given up a whopping 72.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 7th-largest rate in football.. The Steelers defense has surrendered the 6th-most passing TDs in the NFL: 1.73 per game this year.

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the worst in football this year.. When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's group of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.. Aaron Rodgers's 67.2% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a significant boost in his throwing precision over last season's 63.8% rate.

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the worst in football this year.. When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's group of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the worst in football this year.. When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's group of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

The Steelers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.. The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.3 plays per game.. Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and higher run volume.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.0 per game) this year.. The Browns linebackers profile as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The model projects Marquez Valdes-Scantling to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack in this week's contest (13.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.6% in games he has played).. The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.. Marquez Valdes-Scantling's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 44.0% to 47.9%.. With an exceptional 5.72 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (96th percentile) since the start of last season, Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL in the league in the open field.

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The leading projections forecast Darnell Washington to total 4.4 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. After averaging 7.0 air yards per game last season, Darnell Washington has shown good development this season, now sitting at 15.0 per game.. Darnell Washington's 20.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 10.0.. The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. This year, the poor Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered a monstrous 70.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the 2nd-worst in football.. The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (81.9%) to tight ends this year (81.9%).

At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. The Steelers pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (85.8%) vs. RBs this year (85.8%).. As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's unit has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 9th-worst in the league.

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.. The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. Jerry Jeudy has run a route on 91.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.. The Steelers defense has surrendered the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (161.0) versus wideouts this year.

The Steelers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.. The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.3 plays per game.. Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and higher run volume.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.0 per game) this year.. Kenneth Gainwell's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a remarkable decrease in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 6.8% mark.

The Steelers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and higher run volume.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

The Steelers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and higher run volume.. Kenneth Gainwell has been much more involved in his offense's ground game this year (29.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (11.4%).. Kenneth Gainwell has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (30.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).

The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Pittsburgh's group of DEs has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.3 plays per game.. The projections expect Aaron Rodgers to garner 1.8 carries in this game, on average: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.. Aaron Rodgers is not much of a runner and has accounted for a measly 3.6% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 11th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's unit has been excellent this year, profiling as the best in football.

The Steelers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and higher run volume.. Kenneth Gainwell has been much more involved in his offense's ground game this year (29.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (11.4%).