Texans @ Chargers Picks & Props

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Houston Texans safeties project as the 7th-best unit in football this year with their run defense.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 58.7% of their plays: the 10th-highest rate among all teams this week.. With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.32 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Texans as the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.. With a top-tier 25.7% Red Zone Target Rate (94th percentile) this year, Nico Collins stands as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football.. Nico Collins has totaled quite a few more air yards this year (107.0 per game) than he did last year (102.0 per game).

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. This year, the daunting Texans run defense has conceded a measly 0.73 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 7th-smallest rate in the league.. The Houston Texans safeties project as the 7th-best unit in football this year with their run defense.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 58.7% of their plays: the 10th-highest rate among all teams this week.. With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.32 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Texans as the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 58.7% of their plays: the 10th-highest rate among all teams this week.. With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.32 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Texans as the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.. Dalton Schultz has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 14.7% this year, which places him in the 76th percentile when it comes to TEs.. Dalton Schultz has accrued a monstrous 42.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among TEs.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 58.7% of their plays: the 10th-highest rate among all teams this week.. With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.32 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Texans as the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.. C.J. Stroud's 64.0% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a noteworthy growth in his passing accuracy over last year's 61.0% rate.. The running touchdown line reads "0" on C.J. Stroud's player page this year.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. With an exceptional ratio of 1.56 per game (86th percentile), Justin Herbert stands among the best touchdown passers in football this year.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.0% pass rate.. The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this contest, Keenan Allen is projected by the projections to place in the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.7 targets.. Keenan Allen profiles as one of the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 4.5 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.. Keenan Allen's 70.6% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a meaningful progression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 61.0% figure.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Los Angeles Chargers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.. This year, the fierce Chargers defense has conceded a measly 75.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.. The Los Angeles Chargers safeties project as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 58.7% of their plays: the 10th-highest rate among all teams this week.. With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.32 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Texans as the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.. In this game, Dalton Schultz is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 91st percentile among tight ends with 6.6 targets.. Dalton Schultz's pass-catching performance gotten better this year, totaling 4.4 adjusted catches vs a mere 3.0 last year.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 58.7% of their plays: the 10th-highest rate among all teams this week.. With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.32 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Texans as the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.. In this week's game, Nico Collins is forecasted by the projections to position himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.6 targets.. Nico Collins's 64.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the league: 90th percentile for wideouts.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Los Angeles Chargers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest rate in football versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year (65.4% Adjusted Completion%).. This year, the daunting Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed a puny 0.93 passing touchdowns per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.. The Los Angeles Chargers safeties project as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Right now, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Chargers.. When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Chargers profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.. This year, the daunting Texans defense has conceded a puny 63.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.. This year, the formidable Houston Texans defense has conceded a paltry 1.13 TDs through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-best rate in football.. As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Houston's CB corps has been excellent this year, projecting as the best in football.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Justin Herbert has attempted 31.2 throws per game this year, grading out in the 78th percentile among QBs.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 58.7% of their plays: the 10th-highest rate among all teams this week.. With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.32 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Texans as the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.. C.J. Stroud's 64.0% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a noteworthy growth in his passing accuracy over last year's 61.0% rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Justin Herbert has attempted 31.2 throws per game this year, grading out in the 78th percentile among QBs.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 58.7% of their plays: the 10th-highest rate among all teams this week.. With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.32 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Texans as the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Justin Herbert has attempted 31.2 throws per game this year, grading out in the 78th percentile among QBs.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Los Angeles Chargers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.. C.J. Stroud has thrown for many fewer adjusted yards per game (180.0) this year than he did last year (205.0).. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest rate in football versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year (65.4% Adjusted Completion%).. The Chargers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, surrendering 6.91 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.. The Los Angeles Chargers safeties project as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.1% pass rate.. The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Justin Herbert has attempted 31.2 throws per game this year, grading out in the 78th percentile among QBs.. In logging a staggering 0.83 interceptions per game this year, Justin Herbert stands among the weakest QBs in football (14th percentile).

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 58.7% of their plays: the 10th-highest rate among all teams this week.. With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.32 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Texans as the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.0% pass rate.. The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this contest, Keenan Allen is projected by the projections to place in the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.7 targets.. Keenan Allen checks in as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a stellar 47.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.. Keenan Allen's 70.6% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a meaningful progression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 61.0% figure.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 58.7% of their plays: the 10th-highest rate among all teams this week.. With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.32 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Texans as the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 58.7% of their plays: the 10th-highest rate among all teams this week.. With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.32 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Texans as the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.. In this week's game, Nico Collins is forecasted by the projections to position himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.6 targets.. Nico Collins has totaled quite a few more air yards this year (107.0 per game) than he did last year (102.0 per game).

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 58.7% of their plays: the 10th-highest rate among all teams this week.. With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.32 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Texans as the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.. In this game, Dalton Schultz is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 91st percentile among tight ends with 6.6 targets.. Dalton Schultz has accrued a monstrous 42.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among TEs.

With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.32 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Texans as the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.

In this contest, Justin Herbert is forecasted by our trusted projection set to accumulate the 7th-most rush attempts out of all QBs with 5.2. . Justin Herbert has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this season (16.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (11.4%).. Justin Herbert has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).. Justin Herbert's running efficiency (6.77 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (89th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks).. With an excellent total of 2.18 yards-after-contact (78th percentile), Justin Herbert places as one of the best running QBs in the league this year.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to run on 41.3% of their downs: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.. Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.. The Los Angeles Chargers defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best group of DTs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.32 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Texans as the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 10th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 42.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Chargers.. The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Houston Texans safeties project as the 7th-best unit in football this year with their run defense.

In this contest, Justin Herbert is forecasted by our trusted projection set to accumulate the 7th-most rush attempts out of all QBs with 5.2. . Justin Herbert has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this season (16.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (11.4%).

With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.32 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Texans as the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.