Broncos @ Raiders Picks & Props
DEN vs LV Picks
NFL Picks
Rookie running back Ashton Jeanty hasn’t been able to get much going on the ground. He has just one game with more than 75 rushing yards, and only two with more than 67 yards on the ground.
Jeanty wasn’t used much in the passing game earlier in the season, but he’s seen plenty of targets in recent weeks.
The rookie has at least five catches in four of his last five games, including 6, 8, and 6 on eight targets in each of his last three games.
The Broncos can’t run the ball without J.K. Dobbins, and RJ Harvey has managed just 65 rushing yards on 24 carries over his last two games. Meanwhile, Evan Engram led all pass-catchers on SNF with six receptions on nine targets for 79 yards. He’s averaging 5.8 targets per game since Week 4, putting him inside the top 10 among tight ends. Denver could push toward 30 points indoors against this Raiders defense, and getting one of their most heavily targeted pass-catchers at this price makes Engram a strong TD play this week.
I bet Harvey Over 47.5 rush yards on Monday. That closed like 10 yards higher at 56.5 but while he ran 13 times, he only amassed 35 yards rushing to go along with two touchdowns in an OT win at Washington. This week, I’m back on it. He’s the RB1 in Denver with Dobbins done and game script says the Broncos get up big and run it out in Vegas – more than the 23 attempts last week. Projections all above this total with most at 51 yards or more, some flirting with 60 yards.
The Raiders have been outscored by double-digits in three consecutive games and have also lost six straight to drop to 2-10 on the season. Even worse, Las Vegas quarterback Geno Smith has been among the worst in the league during the stretch with a miniscule 6.2 yards per attempt and -0.147 EPA per play. Denver continues to send out a stingy defense allowing the fewest yards per play and fourth-fewest points per game. Of course, the Broncos have rolled off nine consecutive wins, too.