Jacksonville @ Arizona Picks & Props

The Cardinals will be forced to use backup QB Jacoby Brissett this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -3-point underdogs. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cardinals to pass on 63.4% of their downs: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.5% red zone pass rate. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. The most plays in the league have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.5 per game on average). The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. The Arizona Cardinals defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.8 per game) this year. Jakobi Meyers's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 68.4% to 71.9%.

The Cardinals will be forced to use backup QB Jacoby Brissett this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -3-point underdogs. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cardinals to pass on 63.4% of their downs: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.5% red zone pass rate. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. The most plays in the league have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.5 per game on average). The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. The Arizona Cardinals defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.8 per game) this year. Travis Etienne has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 11.9% this year, which ranks him in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The Cardinals will be forced to use backup QB Jacoby Brissett this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -3-point underdogs. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cardinals to pass on 63.4% of their downs: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.5% red zone pass rate. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. The most plays in the league have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.5 per game on average). The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. The Arizona Cardinals defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.8 per game) this year. The model projects Brenton Strange to be a more important option in his team's passing attack near the goal line in this week's game (10.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. The most plays in the league have been run by the Jaguars this year (a colossal 61.5 per game on average). The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline. The projections expect Trevor Lawrence to throw 36.6 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks. The Arizona Cardinals defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.8 per game) this year.