MIN 6.5 o41.0
GB -6.5 u41.0
IND 3.5 o49.0
KC -3.5 u49.0
NE -7.0 o51.0
CIN 7.0 u51.0
PIT 2.5 o45.5
CHI -2.5 u45.5
NYJ 14.0 o44.5
BAL -14.0 u44.5
NYG 13.0 o50.0
DET -13.0 u50.0
SEA -13.5 o40.5
TEN 13.5 u40.5
JAC -3.0 o47.5
ARI 3.0 u47.5
CLE 4.0 o36.0
LV -4.0 u36.0
PHI -3.0 o47.0
DAL 3.0 u47.0
ATL 2.5 o40.0
NO -2.5 u40.0
TB 7.5 o49.0
LA -7.5 u49.0
CAR 7.0 o49.5
SF -7.0 u49.5
Final Nov 20
BUF 19
HOU 23
New England 1st AFC East9-2
Cincinnati 3rd AFC North3-7

New England @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Picks |Consensus |Props |Trends |Top User Picks

NE vs CIN Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
New England Patriots logo NE -5.5 (-114)
Best Odds
-7.0 -105 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
-6.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
-6.5  -120
-6.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
-7.0  -105
These are quick bet odds
-6.5  -115
These are quick bet odds

New England has won eight straight, and they're a perfect 5-0 on the road. The Pats have also covered this exact spread in two of their previous three away games. 

Read Full Analysis
Score a Touchdown
Hunter Henry logo Hunter Henry Score a Touchdown (Yes: +150)
Best Odds
 +180 DraftKings
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
 +180
 +145
 +175
 -
 +174

Hunter Henry is always a live touchdown option in this Patriots offense. The tight end has four scores on the year but it’s been four weeks since Henry has found the end zone, puffing up his ATTD price to +150. He’s drawn the seventh most red zone targets among all TEs and faces a Cincinnati defense that has allowed a league-high 12 touchdowns to the position. 

Score a Touchdown
Noah Fant logo Noah Fant Score a Touchdown (Yes: +350)
Best Odds
 +350 DraftKings
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +350
 +320
 +320
 -
 +340

I’m always interested in high-priced tight end touchdown shots. Noah Fant ran the most routes and played the most snaps among Bengals TEs in Week 11, and he caught more passes (five) than any of their receivers. Since Mike Gesicki went down, Fant has posted two touchdowns and 14 catches over four games. The wrinkle is Gesicki’s return, as his practice window opened this week. Bringing him back now would be a bit rushed, and even if he’s activated, Fant has established a clear role with Joe Flacco — a quarterback Gesicki has played only two snaps with. Gesicki has just eight catches in six games, which makes an early position on Fant easier to justify. You can also wait for clarity, as Fant has closed around this price for a touchdown in four straight weeks. The Patriots are a Top-10 matchup for opposing TEs. 

Score a Touchdown
Chase Brown logo
Chase Brown Score a Touchdown (Yes: -110)
Projection 0.72 (Yes)
Best Odds
 -110 bet365
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -145
 -110
 -140
 -
 -134
The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% red zone pass rate.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.8 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
-110 at bet365
Passing Attempts
Joe Flacco logo
Joe Flacco o38.5 Passing Attempts (+103)
Projection 42.47 (Over)
Best Odds
o37.5 -120 FanDuel
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o38.5  -106
These are quick bet odds
 -
o37.5  -120
o37.5  -125
These are quick bet odds
o38.5  +103
The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.8 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. In this game, Joe Flacco is expected by the projection model to total the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 41.8.
-120 at FanDuel
Passing Yards
Joe Flacco logo
Joe Flacco o232.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 264.53 (Over)
Best Odds
o232.5 -114 FanDuel
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
o235.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
o232.5  -114
o237.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o235.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -8.5-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.8% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.5 total plays run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the league against the Patriots defense this year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).
-114 at FanDuel
Receiving Yards
Chase Brown logo
Chase Brown o27.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 39.09 (Over)
Best Odds
o27.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o30.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
 -
o30.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o27.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o30.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.8 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. This year, the poor Patriots pass defense has allowed a massive 87.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 5th-biggest rate in the league.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Tee Higgins logo
Tee Higgins o69.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 88.37 (Over)
Best Odds
o68.5 -114 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o68.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
o69.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o69.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o69.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7-point underdogs.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.8 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. This year, the feeble New England Patriots defense has allowed the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a massive 8.77 yards.
-114 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Hunter Henry logo
Hunter Henry o39.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 43.49 (Over)
Best Odds
o39.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o40.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
 -
o39.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o39.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o40.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The model projects Hunter Henry to garner 5.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among TEs.. Hunter Henry has notched a staggering 38.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among TEs.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.. The Bengals defense has given up the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (83.0) to tight ends this year.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Stefon Diggs logo
Stefon Diggs o59.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 62.71 (Over)
Best Odds
o54.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o57.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
 -
o54.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o59.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o56.5  -127
These are quick bet odds
Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. In this game, Stefon Diggs is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 87th percentile among WRs with 7.9 targets.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.. Stefon Diggs has been one of the top pass-catching WRs this year, averaging an impressive 59.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.. This year, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-worst rate in the league.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Drake Maye logo
Drake Maye o24.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 31.87 (Over)
Best Odds
o24.5 -114 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o24.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
o25.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o24.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o25.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
The Patriots are a heavy 7-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots as the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 46.8% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. This year, the deficient Bengals run defense has been gouged for a massive 166.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the most in the NFL.. The Bengals linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
-114 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Chase Brown logo
Chase Brown o54.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 65.04 (Over)
Best Odds
o53.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o54.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
o53.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o58.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o55.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.8 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The projections expect Chase Brown to earn 16.4 carries this week, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Chase Brown has garnered 70.5% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among running backs.. Chase Brown grades out as one of the best running backs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging an outstanding 3.29 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 80th percentile.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds

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NE vs CIN Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

NE vs CIN Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating
Chase Brown
C. Brown
running back RB • Cincinnati
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.72
Best Odds
Yes
-110
bet365
bet365
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.72
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% red zone pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.8 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.

Chase Brown logo

Chase Brown

RB • CIN vs. NE
Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.72
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.72

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% red zone pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.8 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
Tee Higgins
T. Higgins
wide receiver WR • Cincinnati
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.54
Best Odds
Yes
+125
bet365
bet365
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.54
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% red zone pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.8 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.

Tee Higgins logo

Tee Higgins

WR • CIN vs. NE
Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.54
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.54

The Cincinnati Bengals will be starting backup quarterback Joe Flacco in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. This week's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are huge -7-point underdogs. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 68.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% red zone pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.8 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

NE vs CIN Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'ChOmP' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+8.0)

ChOmP is #1 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-0-0) and +5350 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-5.5 -141
+6.5 +102
Total

'ChOmP' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Over (50.0)

ChOmP is #1 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-0-0) and +5350 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -128
51.5 -115
Total

'Ohyarain' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Over (50.0)

Ohyarain is #10 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -128
51.5 -115
Spread

'Ohyarain' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

Ohyarain is #10 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-5.5 -141
+6.5 +102
Total

'Jhusagic' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Under (49.5)

Jhusagic is #4 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -128
51.5 -115
Total

'fttrdoyle' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Under (49.5)

fttrdoyle is #4 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -128
51.5 -115
Spread

'fttrdoyle' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

fttrdoyle is #4 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-5.5 -141
+6.5 +102
Spread

'Jhusagic' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

Jhusagic is #4 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-5.5 -141
+6.5 +102
Spread

'Alexmaldonado' is picking New England to cover (-5.5)

Alexmaldonado is #5 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-5.5 -141
+6.5 +102
Total

'Alexmaldonado' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Over (50.5)

Alexmaldonado is #5 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -128
51.5 -115
Spread

'dixdixpa33' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+5.5)

dixdixpa33 is #6 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-5.5 -141
+6.5 +102
Total

'dixdixpa33' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Under (51.0)

dixdixpa33 is #6 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -128
51.5 -115
Total

'Scotty885' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Under (51.5)

Scotty885 is #6 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -128
51.5 -115
Spread

'Scotty885' is picking New England to cover (-6.0)

Scotty885 is #6 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-5.5 -141
+6.5 +102
Spread

'dahnguyen' is picking New England to cover (-5.5)

dahnguyen is #7 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (6-4-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-5.5 -141
+6.5 +102
Total

'dahnguyen' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Under (51.0)

dahnguyen is #7 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (6-4-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -128
51.5 -115
Total

'Technique' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Over (50.0)

Technique is #7 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -128
51.5 -115
Spread

'Technique' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

Technique is #7 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-5.5 -141
+6.5 +102
Spread

'roxwawy20' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+5.5)

roxwawy20 is #8 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-5.5 -141
+6.5 +102
Total

'roxwawy20' picks New England vs Cincinnati to go Over (51.0)

roxwawy20 is #8 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
49.5 -128
51.5 -115
Spread

'Kilimonster' is picking New England to cover (-8.0)

Kilimonster is #8 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +4450 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-5.5 -141
+6.5 +102
Spread

'CJONES1068' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+5.5)

CJONES1068 is #9 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
NE
CIN
Spread
-5.5 -141
+6.5 +102

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