Vanderbilt vs Georgia Picks & Props
VAN vs UGA Picks
NCAAF PicksI'm playing this to 55% as my top pick.
Georgia has allowed just one first-half touchdown this season, with opponents running just 15 plays with the score still tied.
The Dawgs have also jumped out to big leads quickly, allowing 80.1% of their yards after leading by 15 or more.
Vandy's first-half struggles will carry over as Georgia leads big at the break.
Playable to 53%, don't be surprised to see Georgia run over, through, and around the Commodores
Vandy's run defense ranks 85th in EPA/rush, and allows 6.57 yards per carry on third down and three or less. That means consistent drives and plenty of points for the home team.
Add in garbage time points from the Dores and we have a perfect script for an Over.
Playable to 54%, I'm backing Vanderbilt to pull a backdoor cover on this spread.
Georgia has been torn up by opponents in garbage time and Vanderbilt has been a much better second-half team. With Alabama on the horizon, the Dawgs will get their lead, get their starters out, and still win by a ton—but not enough to cover this big of a number.
The script for this game presents a strong combo opportunity due to the non-correlation between the first half and full game results. Georgia should come out strong and put Vanderbilt to the sword early and often, especially if the Commodores fail to cash in on drives as they did against Auburn. Kirby Smart's desire to rest players and hold back looks for the Alabama game opens the door for Vandy to make the score more respectable late, bringing home the total and the spread.
VAN vs UGA Consensus Picks
41% picking Vanderbilt
Total Picks VAN 199, UGA 287
VAN vs UGA Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
UGA
G. Stockton
(QB)
o239.5 Passing Yards
256.88 OVER
PROJECTION
+17.4
DIFFERENCE
24.06%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
VAN
S. Alexander
(RB)
o27.5 Rushing Yards
30.51 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.0
DIFFERENCE
22.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
UGA
G. Stockton
(QB)
o25.5 Rushing Yards
27.54 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.0
DIFFERENCE
18.58%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UGA
T. Taylor
(WR)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
52.32 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.8
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UGA
C. Dandridge
(WR)
o24.5 Receiving Yards
33.98 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.5
DIFFERENCE
26.46%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
VAN
J. Sherrill
(WR)
o54.5 Receiving Yards
67.29 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.8
DIFFERENCE
25.05%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
VAN
S. Alexander
(RB)
o8.5 Receiving Yards
12.86 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.4
DIFFERENCE
24.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
VAN
J. Sherrill
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
5.10 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
19.26%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
VAN
S. Alexander
(RB)
o8.5 Carries
8.68 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-8.34%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Over is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 games overall.
Over is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 games as a favorite.
Over is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a ATS win.
Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 home games.
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games as a home favorite.
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
ROI Trends
VAN vs UGA Top User Picks
'Haloman' is picking Georgia to cover (-25.5)
Haloman is #1 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.
'kingjames5' is picking Vanderbilt to cover (+25.5)
kingjames5 is #1 on picking games that Vanderbilt is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
'StevenB606' is picking Georgia to cover (-25.5)
StevenB606 is #2 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.
'gap824' is picking Vanderbilt to cover (+25.5)
gap824 is #2 on picking games that Vanderbilt is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
'rollonotes' is picking Georgia to cover (-24.5)
rollonotes is #4 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.
'whooped' is picking Vanderbilt to cover (+25.5)
whooped is #4 on picking games that Vanderbilt is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'nbahoops' is picking Vanderbilt to cover (+24.5)
nbahoops is #5 on picking games that Vanderbilt is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'Falcon4242' is picking Georgia to cover (-25.5)
Falcon4242 is #7 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.
'bigsmoke21169' is picking Georgia to cover (-25.5)
bigsmoke21169 is #8 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.