Indiana vs Rutgers Picks & Props
IU vs RUTG Picks
NCAAF PicksThe Rutgers Scarlet Knights defense has looked far from amazing this year, but the Indiana Hoosiers have already struggled to put up points against other mediocre FBS defensive units. Western Kentucky ranks 132nd of 138 teams nationally in defensive EPA (0.33 per play), and the Hoosiers still only put up 38 points against them. I like the Under on Indiana's total down to 38.5 points.
While the Indiana Hoosiers have put up big numbers in their first two games, the offensive production has come down significantly over the past two weeks. It's now been three straight weeks in which the Hoosiers have played to totals of 55 or less. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights won't score much against an Indiana squad allowing 9.8 ppg, so I'm backing the Under at totals of 54.5 or higher.
The Indiana Hoosiers have yet to cover in its first four games this season, while the Rutgers Scarlet Knights - despite a 1-3 record - have yet to lose by more than 16 points. Despite solid efficiency numbers, Indiana isn't pointing up the points I'd expect, and Rutgers is putting up enough points (33.8 ppg) to think they'll keep this one reasonably close at home. I'm backing Rutgers to cover at +21.5 or more.
Combining a Rutgers Scarlet Knights cover with the Under makes sense; the fewer total points there are, the less chance the Indiana Hoosiers have of turning this game into a blowout. But for my third leg, I'm going to take Indiana to cover the first quarter spread (-6.5), as one early touchdown would be enough to give us a good shot at a high-priced combo.
IU vs RUTG Consensus Picks
49% picking Indiana
Total Picks IU 192, RUTG 196
IU vs RUTG Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
RUTG
D. Lonergan
(QB)
o179.5 Passing Yards
212.78 OVER
PROJECTION
+33.3
DIFFERENCE
26.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
J. Hoover
(QB)
u252.5 Passing Yards
234.51 UNDER
PROJECTION
-18.0
DIFFERENCE
24.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
RUTG
A. Raymond
(RB)
o59.5 Rushing Yards
68.29 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.8
DIFFERENCE
23.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
J. Hoover
(QB)
o6.5 Rushing Yards
6.91 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
RUTG
J. Houston
(WR)
o24.5 Receiving Yards
45.47 OVER
PROJECTION
+21.0
DIFFERENCE
26.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
RUTG
K. Duff
(WR)
o79.5 Receiving Yards
94.29 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.8
DIFFERENCE
25.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
IU
S. Preston
(WR)
o28.5 Receiving Yards
39.98 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.5
DIFFERENCE
25.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
IU
C. Becker
(WR)
o89.5 Receiving Yards
100.55 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.1
DIFFERENCE
24.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
RUTG
K. Duff
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
6.03 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
21.59%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Over is 4-0-1 in Scarlet Knights last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 6-0 in Scarlet Knights last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Scarlet Knights last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Over is 4-0 in Scarlet Knights last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Scarlet Knights last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 8-1 in Scarlet Knights last 9 games as a home favorite.
Over is 9-1-1 in Scarlet Knights last 11 games as a home underdog.
Scarlet Knights are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
ROI Trends
IU vs RUTG Top User Picks
'CC95531' is picking Rutgers to cover (+24.5)
CC95531 is #10 on picking games that Indiana is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'BillyJack' is picking Indiana to cover (-24.5)
BillyJack is #4 on picking games that Rutgers are in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'Gunner28' is picking Rutgers to cover (+24.5)
Gunner28 is #5 on picking games that Indiana is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'aerison12' is picking Rutgers to cover (+24.5)
aerison12 is #5 on picking games that Rutgers are in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'fat italian' is picking Rutgers to cover (+24.5)
fat italian is #6 on picking games that Rutgers are in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'livelywee55' is picking Rutgers to cover (+24.5)
livelywee55 is #6 on picking games that Indiana is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'whooped' is picking Rutgers to cover (+24.5)
whooped is #7 on picking games that Indiana is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'roxwawy20' is picking Indiana to cover (-24.5)
roxwawy20 is #7 on picking games that Rutgers are in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'snuggles' is picking Rutgers to cover (+24.5)
snuggles is #8 on picking games that Indiana is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'dawgs91' is picking Indiana to cover (-24.5)
dawgs91 is #8 on picking games that Rutgers are in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.
'luckyme1' is picking Rutgers to cover (+24.5)
luckyme1 is #9 on picking games that Rutgers are in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2700 units on the season.