BYU vs TCU Picks & Props
BYU vs TCU Picks
NCAAF PicksPlayable to 58%.
TCU's defense has played at a high level early in 2026. North Carolina managed only 15 points against TCU in their season opener, but scored 55 points across their subsequent two games. UCF scored 44 points and had 390 yards of total offense the week before TCU held them to 21 points and 266 yards.
BYU's offense could struggle in Week 5.
Playable to 52%.
BYU's offensive metrics look dominant early in 2026, but they scored 63 points against Utah Tech and 41 points against Colorado State. Utah Tech is an FCS program that doesn't have the size or speed to be competitive on the road against a ranked FBS opponent. Colorado State has allowed 100 points combined in their last two games.
Playable to 54%.
The public perception of TCU isn't great after a pair of early-season losses to North Carolina and UCF, but much of the Horned Frogs struggles early in 2026 have been due to self-inflicted wounds.
Playable to 19%.
TCU's offense has struggled mightily this fall, often getting in their own way with penalties and turnovers stalling drives. The Horned Frogs rank 113th in the country in penalties per game (8.3). If they are going to stay competitive this weekend against BYU, they will likely need their defense to keep this a low-scoring game.
BYU vs TCU Consensus Picks
BYU vs TCU Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
TCU
J. Craig
(QB)
o220.5 Passing Yards
225.84 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.3
DIFFERENCE
20.27%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
BYU
L. Martin
(RB)
o101.5 Rushing Yards
114.53 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.0
DIFFERENCE
24.27%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
BYU
B. Bachmeier
(QB)
u33.5 Rushing Yards
31.96 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.5
DIFFERENCE
-27.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TCU
J. Scott
(WR)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
43.67 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.2
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TCU
K. Ashley
(TE)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
48.18 OVER
PROJECTION
+18.7
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TCU
E. Small
(WR)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
59.84 OVER
PROJECTION
+20.3
DIFFERENCE
26.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TCU
J. Payne
(RB)
o8.5 Receiving Yards
23.88 OVER
PROJECTION
+15.4
DIFFERENCE
26.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BYU
L. Glasker
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
60.47 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.0
DIFFERENCE
25.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BYU
L. Martin
(RB)
o19.5 Receiving Yards
24.64 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.1
DIFFERENCE
23.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BYU
J. Phillips
(WR)
u25.5 Receiving Yards
23.54 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.0
DIFFERENCE
21.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BYU
W. Lyons
(TE)
o22.5 Receiving Yards
27.93 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.4
DIFFERENCE
21.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BYU
K. Kasper
(WR)
o44.5 Receiving Yards
50.40 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.9
DIFFERENCE
18.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TCU
J. Dwyer
(WR)
o48.5 Receiving Yards
52.42 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.9
DIFFERENCE
14.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
BYU
L. Glasker
(WR)
o3.5 Receptions
3.63 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
2.98%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
BYU
L. Martin
(RB)
o2.5 Receptions
2.83 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-8.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
BYU
B. Bachmeier
(QB)
o8.5 Carries
9.92 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.4
DIFFERENCE
19.73%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
BYU
L. Martin
(RB)
o21.5 Carries
22.09 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-0.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
BYU
B. Bachmeier
(QB)
u16.5 Completions
14.87 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
18.22%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Horned Frogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
Cougars are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cougars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games as an underdog.