Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech Picks & Props
PITT vs VT Picks
NCAAF PicksGive me VT -2.5 in the first half, but I'd pass at -3.5. Pitt is playing its first road game in a hostile Lane Stadium environment, while the Hokies have a +14.6 first-half scoring margin. Virginia Tech's weak rushing attack makes the early-game angle especially appealing.
Under 54.5 is playable down to 52.5. Both defenses consistently force long third downs, while neither offense generates many explosive plays. I'm also seeing Over action despite downward total movement, so the market signal matches my football handicap.
Virginia Tech -3.5 is tradable up to -5.5. I trust James Franklin with a veteran Hokies roster that ranked fourth nationally in returning production, especially at Lane Stadium against Mason Heintschel in Pitt's first road game.
I'm combining Virginia Tech's moneyline, Under 54.5, and Hokies -2.5 first half. Lane Stadium should help VT start fast, while both defenses limit explosives. I'm using the moneyline instead of the full-game spread to increase the combo's win probability.
PITT vs VT Consensus Picks
PITT vs VT Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
VT
E. Grunkemeyer
(QB)
u255.5 Passing Yards
239.04 UNDER
PROJECTION
-16.5
DIFFERENCE
23.52%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
PITT
M. Heintschel
(QB)
o244.5 Passing Yards
254.17 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.7
DIFFERENCE
18.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
PITT
M. Heintschel
(QB)
u13.5 Rushing Yards
10.31 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.2
DIFFERENCE
22.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
VT
J. Overton Jr.
(RB)
u85.5 Rushing Yards
80.09 UNDER
PROJECTION
-5.4
DIFFERENCE
21.99%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
VT
M. Hawkins Jr.
(RB)
o44.5 Rushing Yards
49.52 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.0
DIFFERENCE
19.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
VT
Q. Brown
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
62.89 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.4
DIFFERENCE
26.39%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PITT
C. Kent
(TE)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
37.37 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.9
DIFFERENCE
24.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PITT
B. Yates
(WR)
o34.5 Receiving Yards
40.78 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.3
DIFFERENCE
23.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PITT
C. Lee
(WR)
o35.5 Receiving Yards
38.36 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.9
DIFFERENCE
16.06%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
VT
A. Greene
(WR)
o37.5 Receiving Yards
39.37 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
12.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
PITT
C. Lee
(WR)
u3.5 Receptions
2.80 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
14.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
VT
J. Overton Jr.
(RB)
u18.5 Carries
16.74 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.8
DIFFERENCE
16.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
VT
M. Hawkins Jr.
(RB)
u11.5 Carries
10.83 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
5.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
PITT
M. Heintschel
(QB)
o21.5 Completions
21.97 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
7.14%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Under is 5-0 in Panthers last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 4-0 in Hokies last 4 games as a home favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games following a ATS win.
Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Under is 8-1 in Hokies last 9 games as an underdog.
Over is 5-1 in Hokies last 6 home games.
Under is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games overall.