Oregon @ Texas Tech Picks & Props
ORE vs TTU Picks
NCAAF Picks
Texas Tech has not lost with starting quarterback Behren Morton in the lineup. The Red Raiders have not lost against the spread against Power Four competition with Morton in the lineup. They have not even come within 10 points of losing ATS against Power Four competition with Morton in the lineup. Texas Tech remains underappreciated, and as a short underdog, that provides us outright value on a plus-moneyline bet.
The Red Raiders limit opponents to 10.9 ppg and just 254.4 total yards on a measly 4.0 yards per play. Oregon checks in at seventh in EPA per play allowed, but public sentiment is experiencing recency bias due to garbage-time production by JMU in the first round.
Oregon is 38-4 across its last 42 games, and the only losses have come to a National Championship runner-up (Washington, twice in 2023), a National Champ (Ohio State last year), and the current No. 1 team in the country (undefeated Indiana this season). Texas Tech, meanwhile, lost to Arizona State this year.