Kansas City Royals

5th in American League Central (66 - 82)

Next Game

Sat, Sep 12 16:10 ET

KC @ BOS Picks

MLB Picks
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak in today's game.
Strikeouts Thrown
Randy Dobnak logo
Randy Dobnak u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-111)
Projection 2.69
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Randy Dobnak in the 1st percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.. Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Randy Dobnak is projected to throw 82 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least on the slate.. The #5 stadium in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. With 6 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected offense, Randy Dobnak will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Randy Dobnak in today's matchup.
Strikeouts Thrown
Ranger Suarez logo
Ranger Suarez o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+110)
Projection 6.11
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Kansas City Royals have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luke Maile, Matthew Lugo, Jac Caglianone, Carter Jensen).. Jim Wolf projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in today's game.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Adley Rutschman (the Red Sox's expected catcher in today's game) projects as a good pitch framer.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak in today's game.
Total RBIs
Mickey Gasper logo
Mickey Gasper o0.5 Total RBIs (+197)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mickey Gasper ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mickey Gasper is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Mickey Gasper will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Randy Dobnak in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Salvador Perez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suárez today.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Jarren Duran logo
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Dobnak throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Jarren Duran has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Adley Rutschman logo
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Adley Rutschman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Trevor Story logo
Trevor Story o0.5 Total RBIs (+161)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Trevor Story is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-154)
Projection 2.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak in today's game.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

64% picking Boston

36%
64%

Total PicksKC 29, BOS 52

Moneyline
KC
BOS
Moneyline
Total

45% picking Kansas City vs Boston to go Under

55%
45%

Total PicksKC 55, BOS 45

Total
Over
Under

KC @ BOS · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
TOTAL
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
Over 8.5 Total
9.36 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
8.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
Over 8.5 Total

PROJECTION

9.36 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
8.96% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o8.0 -125
bet365 logo
SPREAD
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
BOS -1.5 spread
-1.80 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
BOS -1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-1.80 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.61% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-1.5 +115
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HITS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Randy Dobnak will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Story in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

u0.5 +185
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Salvador Perez logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
S. Perez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Salvador Perez logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
S. Perez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

u0.5 +160
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total Hits
1.05 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.05 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.43% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will bat from his bad side (0) today against Randy Dobnak. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

u0.5 +196
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 21st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

u0.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.36% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.. Mickey Gasper has been lucky this year, putting up a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .050 deviation.

u0.5 +180
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Jarren Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

u0.5 +160
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Isaac Collins is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

u0.5 +130
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Carter Jensen logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
C. Jensen (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carter Jensen logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
C. Jensen (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.21% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Ranger Suárez will hold the platoon advantage over Carter Jensen today.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

u0.5 +143
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.69% EV

ANALYSIS

Nick Sogard is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Nick Sogard will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Randy Dobnak in this game.

u0.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-10.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-10.67% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his BABIP ability, Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Randy Dobnak throws from, Roman Anthony will have the upper hand today.. Roman Anthony hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

o0.5 -260
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
B. Witt Jr. (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-11.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
B. Witt Jr. (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-11.1% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suárez throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an advantage today.. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 -260
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Nick Loftin logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
N. Loftin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-12.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Nick Loftin logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
N. Loftin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-12.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Nick Loftin is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suárez throws from, Nick Loftin will have the upper hand today.. Nick Loftin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Nick Loftin's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 15.9% to 22.4%.

o0.5 -160
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HITS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-13.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-13.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In terms of plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.68 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 81st percentile.

o0.5 -180
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Matthew Lugo logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
M. Lugo (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-17.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matthew Lugo logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
M. Lugo (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-17.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. Matthew Lugo will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suárez in today's matchup.. Ranking in the 94th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.37 ft/sec since the start of last season, Matthew Lugo is remarkably toolsy.

o0.5 -115
FanDuel logo
TOTAL BASES
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
2.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

2.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.17% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak in today's game.

o1.5 +128
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Dobnak throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Jarren Duran has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +148
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
B. Witt Jr. (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
B. Witt Jr. (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.71% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suárez throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an advantage today.. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 +104
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Isaac Collins is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

u1.5 -270
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.66% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his BABIP ability, Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Randy Dobnak throws from, Roman Anthony will have the upper hand today.. Roman Anthony hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 +125
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.93 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
3.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.93 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
3.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Sogard in the 19th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Nick Sogard is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.

u1.5 -235
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Carter Jensen logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
C. Jensen (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carter Jensen logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
C. Jensen (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carter Jensen in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Carter Jensen is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Based on Statcast data, Carter Jensen ranks in the 100th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .463.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-0% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Trevor Story is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +148
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.05% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mickey Gasper ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mickey Gasper is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Mickey Gasper will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Randy Dobnak in today's matchup.

o1.5 +145
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Salvador Perez logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
S. Perez (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-0.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Salvador Perez logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
S. Perez (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-0.1% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Salvador Perez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suárez today.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.86% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Adley Rutschman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +138
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.56% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Caleb Durbin is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.. In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.

u1.5 -205
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-15.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-15.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Isiah Kiner-Falefa hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's game.. There has been a significant improvement in Isiah Kiner-Falefa's launch angle from last season's 4° to 9.6° this year.. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has exhibited good plate discipline this year, placing in the 96th percentile with a 1.23 K/BB rate.

o1.5 +210
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Salvador Perez logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
S. Perez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Salvador Perez logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
S. Perez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.13% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Salvador Perez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suárez today.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +650
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nick Loftin logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
N. Loftin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nick Loftin logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
N. Loftin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.16% EV

ANALYSIS

In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Loftin in today's matchup.

u0.5 -2222
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
B. Witt Jr. (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
B. Witt Jr. (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.47% EV

ANALYSIS

In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today's game.

u0.5 -750
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Sogard in the 19th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Nick Sogard is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.

u0.5 -3000
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.86% EV

ANALYSIS

In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will bat from his bad side (0) today against Randy Dobnak

u0.5 -1099
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.86% EV

ANALYSIS

In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Randy Dobnak will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Story in today's matchup.. Trevor Story has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 9.9% rate last year has dropped off to 4.3% this season.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Ranger Suárez.. Isaac Collins's launch angle this season (16.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.6° figure last season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Isaac Collins's true offensive ability to be a .312, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .015 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .297 wOBA.

o0.5 +1200
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Carter Jensen logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
C. Jensen (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carter Jensen logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
C. Jensen (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.09% EV

ANALYSIS

In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Ranger Suárez will hold the platoon advantage over Carter Jensen today.. Carter Jensen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

u0.5 -1099
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Jarren Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

u0.5 -1100
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-8.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-8.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak in today's game.. Bats such as Wilyer Abreu with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Randy Dobnak who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

o0.5 +475
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-22.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-22.13% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Roman Anthony ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Randy Dobnak throws from, Roman Anthony will have the upper hand today.. Roman Anthony hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Roman Anthony will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +550
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-22.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-22.96% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mickey Gasper ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mickey Gasper is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Mickey Gasper will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Randy Dobnak in today's matchup.. Mickey Gasper will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +700
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In terms of plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.68 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 81st percentile.

o0.5 +1200
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Isiah Kiner-Falefa hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's game.. There has been a significant improvement in Isiah Kiner-Falefa's launch angle from last season's 4° to 9.6° this year.. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has exhibited good plate discipline this year, placing in the 96th percentile with a 1.23 K/BB rate.

o0.5 +2500
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Randy Dobnak logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
R. Dobnak (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown
2.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
17.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Randy Dobnak logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
R. Dobnak (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

2.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
17.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Randy Dobnak in the 1st percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.. Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Randy Dobnak is projected to throw 82 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least on the slate.. The #5 stadium in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. With 6 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected offense, Randy Dobnak will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Randy Dobnak in today's matchup.

u5.5 -900
Hard Rock Bet logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Ranger Suarez logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Suarez (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
6.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ranger Suarez logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Suarez (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

6.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The Kansas City Royals have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luke Maile, Matthew Lugo, Jac Caglianone, Carter Jensen).. Jim Wolf projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in today's game.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Adley Rutschman (the Red Sox's expected catcher in today's game) projects as a good pitch framer.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.

o5.5 +118
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
14.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
14.99% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak in today's game.

o0.5 +134
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.15% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mickey Gasper ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mickey Gasper is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Mickey Gasper will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Randy Dobnak in today's matchup.

o0.5 +197
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Salvador Perez logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
S. Perez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Salvador Perez logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
S. Perez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.03% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Salvador Perez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suárez today.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +200
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Dobnak throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Jarren Duran has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.31% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Adley Rutschman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +164
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.09% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Trevor Story is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +161
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
B. Witt Jr. (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
B. Witt Jr. (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.41% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suárez throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an advantage today.. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.73% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nick Sogard pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Nick Sogard has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last season's 83.7-mph average.. Nick Sogard is in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (49.6% rate this year).

o0.5 +229
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.11% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In terms of plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.68 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 81st percentile.

o0.5 +217
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.26% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Ranger Suárez.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Isaac Collins's true offensive ability to be a .312, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .015 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .297 wOBA.

o0.5 +275
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nick Loftin logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
N. Loftin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nick Loftin logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
N. Loftin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.96% EV

ANALYSIS

Nick Loftin is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suárez throws from, Nick Loftin will have the upper hand today.. Nick Loftin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Nick Loftin's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 15.9% to 22.4%.

o0.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.

u0.5 -290
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.78 PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
12.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.78 PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
12.8% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak in today's game.

o1.5 -144
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.26 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.26 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.89% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mickey Gasper ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mickey Gasper is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Mickey Gasper will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Randy Dobnak in today's matchup.

o1.5 -120
Hard Rock Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.14 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.14 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Trevor Story is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 -115
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.55 PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
6.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.55 PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
6.3% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his BABIP ability, Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Randy Dobnak throws from, Roman Anthony will have the upper hand today.. Roman Anthony hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 -162
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.39 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
6.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.39 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
6.03% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Adley Rutschman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

o1.5 -139
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.92% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nick Sogard pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Nick Sogard has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last season's 83.7-mph average.. Nick Sogard is in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (49.6% rate this year).

o1.5 +101
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.33% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In terms of plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.68 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 81st percentile.

o1.5 +100
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-5.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-5.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Ranger Suárez.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Isaac Collins's true offensive ability to be a .312, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .015 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .297 wOBA.

o1.5 +135
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-13.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-13.03% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Isiah Kiner-Falefa hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's game.. There has been a significant improvement in Isiah Kiner-Falefa's launch angle from last season's 4° to 9.6° this year.. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has exhibited good plate discipline this year, placing in the 96th percentile with a 1.23 K/BB rate.

o1.5 +110
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Matthew Lugo logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
M. Lugo (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-18.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matthew Lugo logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
M. Lugo (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-18.04% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. Matthew Lugo will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suárez in today's matchup.

o1.5 +175
FanDuel logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
TOTAL
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
Over 8.5 Total
9.36 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
8.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
Over 8.5 Total

PROJECTION

9.36 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
8.96% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o8.0 -125
bet365 logo
SPREAD
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
BOS -1.5 spread
-1.80 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
BOS -1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-1.80 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.61% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-1.5 +115
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HITS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Randy Dobnak will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Story in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

u0.5 +185
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Salvador Perez logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
S. Perez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Salvador Perez logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
S. Perez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

u0.5 +160
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total Hits
1.05 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.05 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.43% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will bat from his bad side (0) today against Randy Dobnak. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

u0.5 +196
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 21st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

u0.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.36% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.. Mickey Gasper has been lucky this year, putting up a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .050 deviation.

u0.5 +180
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Jarren Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

u0.5 +160
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Isaac Collins is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

u0.5 +130
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Carter Jensen logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
C. Jensen (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carter Jensen logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
C. Jensen (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.21% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Ranger Suárez will hold the platoon advantage over Carter Jensen today.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

u0.5 +143
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.69% EV

ANALYSIS

Nick Sogard is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Nick Sogard will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Randy Dobnak in this game.

u0.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-10.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-10.67% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his BABIP ability, Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Randy Dobnak throws from, Roman Anthony will have the upper hand today.. Roman Anthony hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

o0.5 -260
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
B. Witt Jr. (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-11.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
B. Witt Jr. (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-11.1% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suárez throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an advantage today.. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 -260
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Nick Loftin logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
N. Loftin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-12.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Nick Loftin logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
N. Loftin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-12.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Nick Loftin is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suárez throws from, Nick Loftin will have the upper hand today.. Nick Loftin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Nick Loftin's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 15.9% to 22.4%.

o0.5 -160
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HITS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-13.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-13.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In terms of plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.68 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 81st percentile.

o0.5 -180
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Matthew Lugo logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
M. Lugo (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-17.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matthew Lugo logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
M. Lugo (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-17.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. Matthew Lugo will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suárez in today's matchup.. Ranking in the 94th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.37 ft/sec since the start of last season, Matthew Lugo is remarkably toolsy.

o0.5 -115
FanDuel logo
TOTAL BASES
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
2.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

2.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.17% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak in today's game.

o1.5 +128
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Dobnak throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Jarren Duran has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +148
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
B. Witt Jr. (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
B. Witt Jr. (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.71% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suárez throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an advantage today.. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 +104
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Isaac Collins is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

u1.5 -270
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.66% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his BABIP ability, Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Randy Dobnak throws from, Roman Anthony will have the upper hand today.. Roman Anthony hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 +125
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.93 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
3.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.93 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
3.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Sogard in the 19th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Nick Sogard is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.

u1.5 -235
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Carter Jensen logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
C. Jensen (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carter Jensen logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
C. Jensen (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carter Jensen in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Carter Jensen is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Based on Statcast data, Carter Jensen ranks in the 100th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .463.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-0% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Trevor Story is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +148
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.05% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mickey Gasper ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mickey Gasper is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Mickey Gasper will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Randy Dobnak in today's matchup.

o1.5 +145
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Salvador Perez logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
S. Perez (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-0.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Salvador Perez logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
S. Perez (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-0.1% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Salvador Perez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suárez today.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.86% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Adley Rutschman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +138
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.56% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Caleb Durbin is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.. In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.

u1.5 -205
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-15.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-15.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Isiah Kiner-Falefa hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's game.. There has been a significant improvement in Isiah Kiner-Falefa's launch angle from last season's 4° to 9.6° this year.. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has exhibited good plate discipline this year, placing in the 96th percentile with a 1.23 K/BB rate.

o1.5 +210
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Salvador Perez logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
S. Perez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Salvador Perez logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
S. Perez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.13% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Salvador Perez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suárez today.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +650
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nick Loftin logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
N. Loftin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nick Loftin logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
N. Loftin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.16% EV

ANALYSIS

In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Loftin in today's matchup.

u0.5 -2222
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
B. Witt Jr. (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
B. Witt Jr. (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.47% EV

ANALYSIS

In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today's game.

u0.5 -750
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Sogard in the 19th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Nick Sogard is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.

u0.5 -3000
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.86% EV

ANALYSIS

In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will bat from his bad side (0) today against Randy Dobnak

u0.5 -1099
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.86% EV

ANALYSIS

In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Randy Dobnak will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Story in today's matchup.. Trevor Story has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 9.9% rate last year has dropped off to 4.3% this season.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Ranger Suárez.. Isaac Collins's launch angle this season (16.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.6° figure last season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Isaac Collins's true offensive ability to be a .312, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .015 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .297 wOBA.

o0.5 +1200
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Carter Jensen logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
C. Jensen (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carter Jensen logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
C. Jensen (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.09% EV

ANALYSIS

In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. Ranger Suárez will hold the platoon advantage over Carter Jensen today.. Carter Jensen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

u0.5 -1099
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Jarren Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

u0.5 -1100
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-8.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-8.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak in today's game.. Bats such as Wilyer Abreu with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Randy Dobnak who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

o0.5 +475
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-22.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-22.13% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Roman Anthony ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Randy Dobnak throws from, Roman Anthony will have the upper hand today.. Roman Anthony hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Roman Anthony will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +550
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-22.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-22.96% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mickey Gasper ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mickey Gasper is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Mickey Gasper will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Randy Dobnak in today's matchup.. Mickey Gasper will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +700
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In terms of plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.68 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 81st percentile.

o0.5 +1200
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Isiah Kiner-Falefa hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's game.. There has been a significant improvement in Isiah Kiner-Falefa's launch angle from last season's 4° to 9.6° this year.. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has exhibited good plate discipline this year, placing in the 96th percentile with a 1.23 K/BB rate.

o0.5 +2500
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Randy Dobnak logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
R. Dobnak (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown
2.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
17.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Randy Dobnak logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
R. Dobnak (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

2.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
17.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Randy Dobnak in the 1st percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.. Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Randy Dobnak is projected to throw 82 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least on the slate.. The #5 stadium in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. With 6 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected offense, Randy Dobnak will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Randy Dobnak in today's matchup.

u5.5 -900
Hard Rock Bet logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Ranger Suarez logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Suarez (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
6.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ranger Suarez logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Suarez (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

6.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The Kansas City Royals have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luke Maile, Matthew Lugo, Jac Caglianone, Carter Jensen).. Jim Wolf projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in today's game.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Adley Rutschman (the Red Sox's expected catcher in today's game) projects as a good pitch framer.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.

o5.5 +118
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
14.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
14.99% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak in today's game.

o0.5 +134
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.15% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mickey Gasper ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mickey Gasper is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Mickey Gasper will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Randy Dobnak in today's matchup.

o0.5 +197
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Salvador Perez logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
S. Perez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Salvador Perez logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
S. Perez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.03% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Salvador Perez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suárez today.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +200
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jarren Duran logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
J. Duran (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Dobnak throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Jarren Duran has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.31% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Adley Rutschman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +164
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.09% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Trevor Story is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +161
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
B. Witt Jr. (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
B. Witt Jr. (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.41% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suárez throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an advantage today.. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.73% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nick Sogard pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Nick Sogard has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last season's 83.7-mph average.. Nick Sogard is in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (49.6% rate this year).

o0.5 +229
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.11% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In terms of plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.68 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 81st percentile.

o0.5 +217
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.26% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Ranger Suárez.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Isaac Collins's true offensive ability to be a .312, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .015 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .297 wOBA.

o0.5 +275
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nick Loftin logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
N. Loftin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nick Loftin logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
N. Loftin (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.96% EV

ANALYSIS

Nick Loftin is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suárez throws from, Nick Loftin will have the upper hand today.. Nick Loftin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Nick Loftin's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 15.9% to 22.4%.

o0.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. In MLB, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the schedule today.

u0.5 -290
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.78 PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
12.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Wilyer Abreu logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
W. Abreu (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.78 PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
12.8% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Dobnak in today's game.

o1.5 -144
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.26 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Mickey Gasper logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
M. Gasper (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.26 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.89% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mickey Gasper ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mickey Gasper is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Mickey Gasper will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Randy Dobnak in today's matchup.

o1.5 -120
Hard Rock Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.14 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Trevor Story logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
T. Story (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.14 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Trevor Story is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 -115
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.55 PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
6.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Roman Anthony logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
R. Anthony (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.55 PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
6.3% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his BABIP ability, Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Randy Dobnak throws from, Roman Anthony will have the upper hand today.. Roman Anthony hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 -162
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.39 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
6.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Adley Rutschman logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
A. Rutschman (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.39 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
6.03% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Adley Rutschman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

o1.5 -139
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Nick Sogard logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
N. Sogard (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.92% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nick Sogard pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Nick Sogard has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last season's 83.7-mph average.. Nick Sogard is in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (49.6% rate this year).

o1.5 +101
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Caleb Durbin logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
C. Durbin (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.33% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In terms of plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.68 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 81st percentile.

o1.5 +100
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-5.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Isaac Collins logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
I. Collins (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-5.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Ranger Suárez.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Isaac Collins's true offensive ability to be a .312, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .015 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .297 wOBA.

o1.5 +135
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-13.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail
I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-13.03% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Isiah Kiner-Falefa hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's game.. There has been a significant improvement in Isiah Kiner-Falefa's launch angle from last season's 4° to 9.6° this year.. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has exhibited good plate discipline this year, placing in the 96th percentile with a 1.23 K/BB rate.

o1.5 +110
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Matthew Lugo logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
M. Lugo (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-18.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matthew Lugo logo
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail
M. Lugo (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-18.04% EV

ANALYSIS

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. Matthew Lugo will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suárez in today's matchup.

o1.5 +175
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'bjs129' picks Boston at (-192)

bjs129 is #3 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (71-43-3) and +14075 units on the season.

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'bjs129' picks Kansas City vs Boston to go Under (8.5)

bjs129 is #3 on picking games that Kansas City is in with a record of (71-43-3) and +14075 units on the season.

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'robert78lodz' picks Boston at (-192)

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