Kansas City Royals

5th in American League Central (11 - 17)

Next Game

Tue, Apr 28 21:40 ET

KC @ ATH Picks

MLB Picks
Moneyline
Kansas City Royals logo KC (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Civale owns a 4.38 SIERA, 4.51 xFIP, and 13.4% soft contact rate, indicating his 3.86 ERA is a little generous for how he has pitched. The Royals rank fifth in walk rate, eighth in hard hit rate, and ninth in batting average against righties this month. 

Total
Kansas City Royals logo Athletics Athletics logo o9.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Kansas City’s offense has a favorable matchup and the run environment only adds to it. Sutter Health Park is hitter-friendly and warm weather is expected, with the temperature in the 70s. While the Athletics are much better against right-handed pitching, Kris Bubic owns a low soft contact rate and gives up a lot of flyballs. That’s a recipe for danger against an Athletics team sitting 11th in SLG. Even if Bubic holds up early, Kansas City’s bullpen sits 27th in xFIP this month. That gives the Athletics a real path to run-generation.

Total Hits
Michael Massey logo
Michael Massey u0.5 Total Hits (+132)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Michael Massey is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the least humid conditions on the slate today at 19%.. Extreme groundball batters like Michael Massey tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Aaron Civale.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Massey in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Max Muncy logo
Max Muncy u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Max Muncy is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.. Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the least humid conditions on the slate today at 19%.. Max Muncy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.
Total Hits
Colby Thomas logo
Colby Thomas u0.5 Total Hits (+145)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Colby Thomas has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the least humid conditions on the slate today at 19%.. Colby Thomas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 11th-deepest CF fences today.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.06
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 4th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.
Total Bases
Michael Massey logo
Michael Massey u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Michael Massey is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the least humid conditions on the slate today at 19%.. Extreme groundball batters like Michael Massey tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Aaron Civale.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Massey in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Brent Rooker logo
Brent Rooker o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 40 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Brent Rooker projects as the 17th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brent Rooker is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Brent Rooker will hold the platoon advantage against Kris Bubic today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Brent Rooker will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Shea Langeliers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kris Bubic in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Shea Langeliers will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Jac Caglianone logo
Jac Caglianone u1.5 Total Bases (-171)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jac Caglianone is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today's game.. Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the least humid conditions on the slate today at 19%.. In today's game, Jac Caglianone is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.4% rate (96th percentile).. Jac Caglianone will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the least humid conditions on the slate today at 19%.. Hitting from the same side that Kris Bubic throws from, Nick Kurtz will have a disadvantage in today's matchup.. Nick Kurtz has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will be challenged by MLB's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.

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Rank Leader L10 Units
1 sweeton60 6-4-0 +7685
2 frogs 6-4-0 +7260
3 OMREBEL02 8-2-0 +6950
4 KRU 7-3-0 +6820
5 unique11 7-3-0 +6300
6 corazones15 9-1-0 +6200
7 mlevine 8-2-0 +5585
8 CygXanadu 7-3-0 +5575
9 kermitfrog 6-4-0 +5535
10 riley3rd 6-4-0 +5350
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