Atlanta @ New York Picks & Props

ATL vs NYM Picks

MLB Picks
Spread
New York Mets logo NYM -1.5 (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Ed Scimia image
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

Tonight presents a golden opportunity for the Mets as they face off against Braves SP Carlos Carrasco. The former Met struggled with the Yankees earlier this season, and hasn’t gotten the job done in his two starts for Atlanta, either. Between his two stops in 2025, he’s put up a 6.18 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP, allowing nine homers in 43 2/3 innings. I like the Mets to win by multiple runs.

 

Total Home Runs
Juan Soto logo Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+270)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

August has been kind to Juan Soto so far. He’s hitting .282 with three home runs already, taking his season total to 28. After a slow start, the $765-million  man has come alive for the  Mets. Braves right-hander Carlos Carrasco is far from the same pitcher he used to be. While Soto is just 2-for-10 against him, he has taken Carrasco deep, and the righty has allowed nine bombs in just 10 appearances this season. 

Total RBIs
Marcell Ozuna logo
Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have an edge today.
Total RBIs
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Michael Harris II has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.
Total RBIs
Sean Murphy logo
Sean Murphy o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Sean Murphy is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Sean Murphy will have an advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Matt Olson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against David Peterson today.. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Francisco Alvarez logo
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Starling Marte logo
Starling Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Starling Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Ronny Mauricio logo
Ronny Mauricio o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (75%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Carlos Carrasco.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ronny Mauricio will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Francisco Lindor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+100)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as MLB's 11th-best home run batter.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.
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ATL vs NYM Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

75% picking NY Mets

25%
75%

Total PicksATL 195, NYM 574

Moneyline
ATL
NYM
Moneyline

ATL vs NYM Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ronny Mauricio Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Ronny Mauricio
R. Mauricio
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Carlos Carrasco. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ronny Mauricio will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ronny Mauricio logo

Ronny Mauricio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Carlos Carrasco. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ronny Mauricio will hold that advantage in today's game.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Michael Harris II has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Michael Harris II logo

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Michael Harris II has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Matt Olson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Matt Olson logo

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Matt Olson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Sean Murphy
S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Sean Murphy is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Sean Murphy will have an advantage in today's game.

Sean Murphy logo

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Sean Murphy is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Sean Murphy will have an advantage in today's game.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brett Baty
B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today's matchup. Brett Baty has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game.

Brett Baty logo

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today's matchup. Brett Baty has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against David Peterson today. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Ozzie Albies logo

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against David Peterson today. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Jurickson Profar
J. Profar
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against David Peterson. Jurickson Profar pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jurickson Profar logo

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against David Peterson. Jurickson Profar pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Nacho Alvarez Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Nacho Alvarez Jr.
N. Alvarez Jr.
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nacho Alvarez Jr. in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Nacho Alvarez Jr. will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. Nacho Alvarez Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Nacho Alvarez Jr. logo

Nacho Alvarez Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nacho Alvarez Jr. in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Nacho Alvarez Jr. will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. Nacho Alvarez Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have an edge today.

Marcell Ozuna logo

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have an edge today.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Francisco Lindor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.

Francisco Lindor logo

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Francisco Lindor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Cedric Mullins
C. Mullins
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Cedric Mullins will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today's game.

Cedric Mullins logo

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Cedric Mullins will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today's game.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's matchup.

Brandon Nimmo logo

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's matchup.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Starling Marte
S. Marte
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Starling Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage today.

Starling Marte logo

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Starling Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage today.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the game. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today's game.

Juan Soto logo

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the game. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today's game.

Nick Allen Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Nick Allen
N. Allen
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Nick Allen will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Nick Allen logo

Nick Allen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Nick Allen will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Alvarez
F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Francisco Alvarez logo

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the league. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.

Pete Alonso logo

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the league. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today's game.

Jeff McNeil logo

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Atlanta Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dotlife162 3-7-0 +19420
2 nobrainer 9-1-0 +15395
3 FAMCOLLECTOR 5-5-0 +12920
4 CigarSt22 6-4-0 +11461
5 parking 7-2-1 +11165
6 Enelra18 5-5-0 +10845
7 tenandsix 5-5-0 +10186
8 Ace_Of_Spades 4-6-0 +9730
9 Whiteyr 6-4-0 +9475
10 vlkvlk2012 3-7-0 +9235
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NY Mets Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 jessestars 5-4-1 +19870
2 F-Orrell 4-5-1 +17629
3 tjansen70 7-2-1 +17280
4 FRANKYFUGAZI1 6-4-0 +15550
5 billdo 3-5-2 +15170
6 BundiniBrown 5-5-0 +14785
7 CigarSt22 4-6-0 +14368
8 salgundy 5-4-1 +14235
9 dashow69 3-7-0 +13880
10 braustin1 5-5-0 +13475
All Mets Money Leaders
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