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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 27, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.92 |
+115 
|
o9.5 +100 
|
+1.5 -190 
|
|
4.83 |
-120
|
u9.5 -110
|
-1.5 +165 
|
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 games following a win.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 during game 4 of a series.
Washington
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 7-2-1 in Nationals last 10 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Irvins last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Zac Veen o0.5 Total Home Runs (+950)
o0.5+950
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.27 |
-115
|
o7.0 -186 
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.29 |
+110 
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -155
|
Baltimore
- Orioles are 5-0 in Rogers' last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games.
- Over is 13-3 in Orioles last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
St. Louis
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 overall.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
o0.5+181
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.70 |
+147
|
o8.0 -113
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
5.04 |
-155
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +135
|
Houston
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 on grass.
NY Yankees
- Under is 7-0 in Coles last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-0 in Coles last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
o1.5+115
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
-108
|
o8.5 +105
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.34 |
+106
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -160
|
Kansas City
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 road games.
- Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Blue Jays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Spencer Arrighetti o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-165)
o2.5-526
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.83 |
-210
|
o7.0 -114
|
-1.5 -115
|
|
3.80 |
+200
|
u7.5 -125
|
+1.5 +105
|
Milwaukee
- Under is 6-0 in Misiorowskis last 6 starts as a road favorite.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Misiorowskis last 6 road starts.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a favorite.
NY Mets
- Over is 7-0 in Manaeas last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 11-0 in Manaeas last 11 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+316)
o0.5+316
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.00 |
+104
|
o6.5 -115
|
+1.5 -244 
|
|
4.16 |
-110
|
u7.0 -130
|
-1.5 +180
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Sales last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.24 |
-105
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.00 |
+101
|
u8.0 -112
|
+1.5 -170
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 overall.
- Over is 6-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 on grass.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-2 in Roupps last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 8-0-1 in Roupps last 9 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Roupps last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-3 in Roupps last 10 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+203)
o0.5+203
COL
@
WAS
Thu, Aug 27 • 1:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Abimelec Ortiz o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Abimelec Ortiz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.6-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Abimelec Ortiz will have the handedness advantage over Gabriel Hughes in today's matchup.. Abimelec Ortiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+149)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an edge in today's matchup.
BAL
@
STL
Thu, Aug 27 • 2:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+122)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jordan Walker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's game.. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Ivan Herrera will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup.. Ivan Herrera hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
HOU
@
NYY
Thu, Aug 27 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.34
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an advantage today.. Yordan Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 46.1% on the season to 56.5% in the last two weeks.
Total Bases
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate.. Christian Walker has averaged 26.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. In notching a .319 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Christian Walker finds himself in the 84th percentile.
KC
@
TOR
Thu, Aug 27 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Carter Jensen u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The weather report calls for the 6th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Among all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.. Carter Jensen will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Carter Jensen has notched a .301 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 24th percentile.. In notching a .214 batting average this year, Carter Jensen has performed in the 10th percentile.
Strikeouts Thrown
Spencer Arrighetti o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
Projection 5.29
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-most strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Kansas City Royals with a 21.8% underlying K%.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Alejandro Kirk (the Blue Jays's expected catcher in today's matchup) profiles as a good pitch framer.. The weather report calls for the 6th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Spencer Arrighetti will hold that advantage in today's game.
MIL
@
NYM
Thu, Aug 27 • 7:10 PM ET
Spread
MIL -1.5 (-116)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Milwaukee has the clearer separation path with Jacob Misiorowski in dominant form and Sean Manaea struggling badly with home runs. Misiorowski has limited hard contact and already handled New York once, while Manaea’s recent 8.59 xERA meets a Brewers lineup carrying a 117 wRC+.
Total
o7.5 (+114)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Over 7.5 is mostly a Manaea-driven play. Misiorowski and both bullpens provide some Under resistance, but Manaea’s recent home run issues give Milwaukee a clear early scoring path. With both offenses showing enough life, this number is low enough to attack.
LAD
@
ATL
Thu, Aug 27 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
LAD (-103)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
This is about as close to appointment television as you can get, with Yoshinobu Yamamoto facing Chris Sale in a matchup between two of the National League's best teams. The Braves are going for the sweep on Thursday, and I've been on the wrong side of their wins in this series, but I'm going back to the Dodgers on the moneyline. The Dodgers are trading at 50 cents on Polymarket, but I price them closer to a 53-cent favorite, which gives us enough of an edge to get back on the Dodgers bandwagon. Sale is one of the best pitchers in baseball, but I think the swing paths of several Dodgers hitters give them a better chance to generate offense than the market is pricing in. Sale's sweeping slider can be a nightmare for hitters, but with Mookie Betts' compact hands and Freddie Freeman's short, inside-out swing, I think this lineup can muster enough offense to get the job done.
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Because of Chris Sale's large platoon split, Teoscar Hernandez will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the 11th-best out of every team in action today.
AZ
@
SF
Thu, Aug 27 • 9:45 PM ET
Total Hits
Grant McCray u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 11th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Grant McCray is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.. This year, Grant McCray has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 7th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest among every team playing today.
Total Hits
TH
Turner Hill u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 7th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest among every team playing today.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
