MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 30, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Tue, Jun 30 • 6:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as baseball's 15th-best home run hitter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #8 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Colson Montgomery will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trey Gibson in today's game.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Colton Cowser logo
Colton Cowser o1.5 Total Bases (+202)
Projection 1.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. The #8 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage today.. Colton Cowser has big-time power (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (31.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Erick Fedde struggles to strike batters out (8th percentile K%) — great news for Cowser.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage today.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Tue, Jun 30 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°.
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Tue, Jun 30 • 6:40 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Esmerlyn Valdez logo
Esmerlyn Valdez u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Esmerlyn Valdez is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst venue in the game for RHB base hits.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is forecasted to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Esmerlyn Valdez today.
Total Bases
Gabriel Rincones Jr. logo
Gabriel Rincones Jr. u1.5 Total Bases (-310)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Rincones in the 16th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Gabriel Rincones is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #22 ballpark in the majors for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output.. This matchup is forecasted to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Jun 30 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Kerry Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cam Schlitter today.. Kerry Carpenter pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs
James Outman logo
James Outman o0.5 Total RBIs (+400)
Projection 0.33
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Batting from the opposite that Cam Schlitter throws from, James Outman will have an edge in today's game.. James Outman pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Tue, Jun 30 • 7:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Rogers Centre grades out as the #5 ballpark in baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.8-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Brett Baty logo
Brett Baty o0.5 Total RBIs (+311)
Projection 0.41
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.8-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand in today's game.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Tue, Jun 30 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 2nd-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability.. James Wood is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.8-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. James Wood has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+142)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. In the league, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.8-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Tue, Jun 30 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 10th-best field in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 91°.. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Nelson Velazquez logo
Nelson Velazquez o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nelson Velazquez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Nelson Velazquez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #10 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 91°.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Tue, Jun 30 • 7:40 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jonathan Aranda logo
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #5 venue in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 91°.
Total Bases
Jac Caglianone logo
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Jac Caglianone ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jac Caglianone is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.6-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Jax throws from, Jac Caglianone will have the upper hand in today's game.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Tue, Jun 30 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
Projection 0.16
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brice Turang ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brice Turang is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 9th-best stadium in the game for LHB home runs.. Among all parks, American Family Field has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to more offense.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 9th-best stadium in the game for LHB home runs.. Among all parks, American Family Field has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to more offense.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Tue, Jun 30 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Cronenworth logo
Jake Cronenworth u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.. Wrigley Field ranks as the #22 venue in Major League Baseball for overall left-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest average fence height among all stadiums.. Matthew Boyd will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Cronenworth in today's game.. Among every team today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Among all stadiums, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Considering JP Sears's large platoon split, Dansby Swanson will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Houston Astros logo HOU Tue, Jun 30 • 8:10 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest LF fences in the majors.. Out of every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Christian Walker will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+135)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (47.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, Jun 30 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Cole Carrigg logo
Cole Carrigg o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cole Carrigg is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day.. Cole Carrigg will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (-130)
Projection 2.38
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Tue, Jun 30 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
J.P. Crawford logo
J.P. Crawford o0.5 Total RBIs (+310)
Projection 0.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, T-Mobile Park has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.4-mph in this match-up, the 7th-strongest of the day for hitters.. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Soriano in today's matchup.
Strikeouts Thrown
Bryan Woo logo
Bryan Woo o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-165)
Projection 7.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bryan Woo in the 84th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.. The Los Angeles Angels have 5 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Josh Lowe, Jorge Soler, Logan O'Hoppe, Oswald Peraza, Zach Neto).. It is expected that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Nestor Ceja) behind the plate in this game.. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to less offense.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Tue, Jun 30 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.27
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. Sutter Health Park has the shortest fences among all stadiums.. Teoscar Hernandez will have the handedness advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup.
Total Home Runs
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+440)
Projection 0.27
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 4th-best stadium in the league for right-handed home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the shortest fences among all stadiums.. Teoscar Hernandez will have the handedness advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 8 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 18 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 11 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.