MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 5, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Apr 5 • 1:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (-102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Parker Messick shut out the Dodgers in his opening start and gets a Cubs offense that has scored fewer than three runs in three of their last five contests.

The Guardians’ sticks should get the best of Edward Cabrera and his history of command issues.

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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, Apr 5 • 1:35 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Andy Pages logo
Andy Pages u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Tucker projects as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather forecast expects the 4th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.8-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for hitters.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sun, Apr 5 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Austin Slater logo
Austin Slater u0.5 Total Hits (+122)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The 5th-deepest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Yankee Stadium.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. u1.5 Total Bases (-159)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 5th-worst stadium in baseball for run-scoring.. The 5th-deepest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Yankee Stadium.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 5th-best out of every team today.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, Apr 5 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
San Diego Padres logo SD (+122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Walker Buehler is a proven veteran arm and is coming off a tough start, but Ranger Suarez is a gas can that the Padres' lineup can hammer for a solid road win.

Expect a bounce-back outing for Buehler and a Padres plus-money victory. 

Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Fenway Park ranks as the #3 stadium in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Fenway Park.. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions of all games today (78%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Sun, Apr 5 • 2:10 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #7 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Apr 5 • 2:10 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-200)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 5th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.8-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for batters.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Matt Wallner logo
Matt Wallner o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-230)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as baseball's 14th-best home run batter.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 5th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.8-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for batters.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams playing today.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sun, Apr 5 • 2:35 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Outs Recorded
Jack Leiter logo
Jack Leiter u17.5 Outs Recorded (+125)
Projection 15.9
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Jack Leiter has exhibited poor control since the start of last season, compiling a 9th percentile BB% of 10.4%.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sun, Apr 5 • 3:10 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Outs Recorded
Tomoyuki Sugano logo
Tomoyuki Sugano u14.5 Outs Recorded (+117)
Projection 14.04
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tomoyuki Sugano in the 10th percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in the game for batting average.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to more offense.. Given the 0.86 discrepancy between Tomoyuki Sugano's 4.56 ERA and his 5.42 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors since the start of last season and figures to see worse results in future games.. Tomoyuki Sugano has recorded a 5.42 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that deals with the things most within a pitcher's control) since the start of last season, checking in at the 5th percentile.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, Apr 5 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nick Kurtz projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Sutter Health Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 3rd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today.
Total Bases
Brent Rooker logo
Brent Rooker o0.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brent Rooker ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sutter Health Park ranks as the #4 ballpark in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 3rd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, Apr 5 • 4:05 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Strikeouts Thrown
Kodai Senga logo
Kodai Senga u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+112)
Projection 5.4
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Oracle Park profiles as the #24 park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Apr 5 • 4:40 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Cleveland Guardians logo o7.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Guardians starter Slade Cecconi pitched to a 4.99 xERA in 2025 while posting the second-worst barrel rate and hard-hit rate among pitchers with at least 100 innings. He got rocked in his season debut and now he faces a Cubs lineup that leads the majors in hard-hit rate and is due for positive regression. The Cubs are sending Shota Imanaga to the hill. He had a 3.73 ERA last year but his FIP was significantly worse at 4.86. He also has a tendency to get hit hard and struggled in his season debut. 

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Guardians are sending Slade Cecconi to the mound after he surrendered six runs in 4 1/3 innings in his season debut. He had a 4.99 xERA in 2025 while posting the second-worst barrel rate and hard-hit rate among pitchers with at least 100 innings. The Cubs respond with southpaw Shota Imanaga who pitched to a 3.73 ERA with a 0.99 WHIP last year. Both teams are struggling at the dish but the Cubs were significantly more productive last year. They also lead the majors in hard-hit rate while the Guardians are 27th. Expect the Cubs big bats to break out against Cecconi.

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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, Apr 5 • 7:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Colt Keith logo
Colt Keith o0.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Comerica Park grades out as the #10 park in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 14.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the coldest weather of all games today at 43°.
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