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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 25, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
-139 
|
o7.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +120 
|
|
3.57 |
+145 
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -125
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Top Projection
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.35 |
-125
|
o7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +140 
|
|
4.12 |
+119
|
u7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -150
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 road games.
- Rays are 5-1 in Seymours last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Detroit
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Jobes last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Tigers last 9 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5+270
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.58 |
+140 
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.35 |
-145
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 4-0 in Freelands last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Washington
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 on grass.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Top Projection
Daylen Lile o0.5 Total RBIs (+186)
o0.5+186
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
+131
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.02 |
-138 
|
u8.5 +105
|
-1.5 +145
|
Houston
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games following a loss.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games as an underdog.
NY Yankees
- Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 12-0 in Yankees last 12 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 11-0 in Yankees last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
o1.5-105
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.87 |
+116
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.64 |
-120
|
u8.5 +105
|
-1.5 +165
|
Kansas City
- Royals are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a win.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+800)
o0.5+800
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.57 |
-156
|
o7.5 +105
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
3.99 |
+151
|
u7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -125 
|
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
NY Mets
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+293)
o0.5+293
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.88 |
-148
|
o8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
4.84 |
+143
|
u8.5 +105
|
+1.5 -120
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.72 |
-105
|
o7.5 +110
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.01 |
+102
|
u7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -170
|
Texas
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts vs. American League West.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.25 |
+116
|
o6.5 -278
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.65 |
-124
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +170
|
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 on grass.
Top Projection
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+171)
o0.5+171
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.82 |
-135
|
o7.0 -110
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
3.31 |
+131
|
u7.5 -130
|
+1.5 -135
|
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 road games.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
LA Angels
- Under is 7-1-1 in Angels last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 11-1 in Angels last 12 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+246
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.01 |
-105
|
o8.0 -114
|
+2.5 -500
|
|
4.38 |
+101
|
u8.5 -115
|
-2.5 +285
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Cubs last 9 road games.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Cubs last 9 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
+111
|
o7.0 -122
|
+1.5 -208
|
|
3.73 |
-118
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +180
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League West.
- Pirates are 6-2 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 8-3 in their last 11 games as a road favorite.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+248)
o0.5+248
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.78 |
-144
|
o9.5 -115
|
-1.5 +110
|
|
4.72 |
+140
|
u13.5 -481
|
+1.5 -120
|
Minnesota
- Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 road games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 overall.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 vs. American League West.
Athletics
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 home games.
Top Projection
Max Muncy o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
o0.5+250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.76 |
+100
|
o7.5 -115
|
+2.5 -500
|
|
4.60 |
-105
|
u8.0 -112
|
-2.5 +290
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-1 in Phillies last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5+202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.41 |
+100
|
o8.0 -105
|
+1.5 -220
|
|
4.36 |
-104
|
u8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +180
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 overall.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+149)
o0.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.28 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.26 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Rays are 9-2 in their last 11 road games.
Detroit
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.77 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.46 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 road games.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.01 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.14 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.85 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League West.
- Guardians are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 24-5 in Angels last 29 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Angels last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.34 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.23 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
- Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-1 in Phillies last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.46 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.39 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League West.
- Pirates are 6-2 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.45 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.79 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. American League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.40 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.77 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-2 in Rockies last 8 overall.
- Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-2 in Rockies last 8 road games.
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.01 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.73 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 on grass.
NY Yankees
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.46 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.48 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League East.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. National League East.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0-1 in Stocks last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Stocks last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Stocks last 4 starts as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Under is 8-0 in Rangers last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 6-0 in Burkes last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- White Sox are 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 11-1 in Orioles last 12 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
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Minnesota
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 10-1 in Twins last 11 games as a road favorite.
Athletics
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 home games.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 games a home underdog.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
BOS
@
MIA
Tue, Aug 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Willson Contreras ranks as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Willson Contreras has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 14.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days.. Willson Contreras's launch angle this year (18.1°) is significantly higher than his 12.8° mark last season.. Willson Contreras has notched a .371 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 94th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+237)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage today.. Kyle Stowers's launch angle this year (18.7°) is quite a bit better than his 14.2° figure last year.. Sporting a .380 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Kyle Stowers is ranked in the 97th percentile for hitting ability.
TB
@
DET
Tue, Aug 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Jackson Jobe u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-132)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Tampa Bay Rays have been one of the hardest teams in baseball to strike out, owning the lowest strikeout rate on the season and the second lowest over their last 21 games. They also lead baseball in contact rate during that stretch at 81.8%. That sets up poorly for Detroit Tigers right hander Jackson Jobe, who has struggled since returning from injury and owns a 5.49 xERA, 1.36 WHIP and 18% strikeout rate on the season. With eight Rays bats under a 20% strikeout rate, including six under 17.9%, Jobe should struggle to reach four strikeouts tonight. Take this down to -135.
Strikeouts Thrown
Jackson Jobe o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+104)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Jackson Jobe is getting a longer leash after three starts, going from 71 to 74 to 86 pitches in that stretch. He could push 90 pitches today, and his 15.5-out market is juiced to the Over, suggesting more than 15 outs is expected at home against the Rays. He isn't a K/inning guy, but getting to four punchouts at plus money isn't a big ask. He projects for 87 pitches and 3.97 strikeouts today, putting the fair price around -135. He's hit this Over in two of his three starts and is backed by a bullpen with little trust and the fifth-worst FIP in August, which only helps his leash. The projections already like the Over, and that's based on a pitch count that still has room to climb today.
COL
@
WAS
Tue, Aug 25 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Connor Norby u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
33% of the time that Connor Norby has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 6th-worst ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output.. Out of every team today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.. Connor Norby will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Total RBIs
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dylan Crews is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest in Major League Baseball.. Dylan Crews will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Dylan Crews has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 94.1-mph in the last week's worth of games.. Dylan Crews's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 13.1% to 21.5%.
HOU
@
NYY
Tue, Aug 25 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+220)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Will Warren has allowed a .297 ISO and 2.28 HR/9 over his last 10 starts. He is really struggling to keep the ball in the park, and playing at Yankee Stadium won’t help the cause.
Yordan Alvarez is the most likely candidate to take advantage. He owns a .313 ISO and 13.8% barrel rate against Warren’s two most-used pitches vs. lefties, the fastball and changeup.
Spread
HOU +1.5 (-155)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Houston Astros are ninth in SLG and second in HR/FB against righties this season. They hit for power, playing into Will Warren's weaknesses.
The New York Yankees rank 24th in wOBA vs. righties in August, and are unlikely to score enough to separate.
Back Houston +1.5 to -165.
KC
@
TOR
Tue, Aug 25 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+540)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Tonight is a perfect night to rip the monkey off his back. Lugo will live in the zone, is not overpowering, and is getting barreled this season. It's time for Vlad to get one; we'll take advantage at this price.
Moneyline
TOR (-130)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
While the Royals have won eight straight, the Jays are catching them with the struggling Seth Lugo on the bump tonight. The former ace has allowed five earned runs in three of his last four starts and is in the middle of the worst season of his career, sporting a career-high 5.18 xERA and .280 xBA. He's simply not missing bats, and the Jays are about to take advantage at home.
MIL
@
NYM
Tue, Aug 25 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Kyle Harrison.. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+280)
Projection 1.33
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Francisco Alvarez will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's game.. Francisco Alvarez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Francisco Alvarez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
LAD
@
ATL
Tue, Aug 25 • 7:15 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Tyler Glasnow u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+124)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
This is a big price for a pitcher who hasn't pitched in the MLB in four months on a roster that is handling its pitching staff very carefully with the postseason in sight. Glasnow is coming off the IL with a back injury that has sidelined him since early May. He has built up to 77 pitches in his rehab outings, but the Dodgers have no reason to push the right-hander today, making the projected 87-pitch workload feel aggressive. The Under is already showing value at this number. Covers projects Glasnow for 5.51 Ks on 87 pitches, which feels high to me. The Dodgers were off yesterday, so the bullpen is fully rested and ready to pick up the slack. The fair price based on those projections is around -115. Glasnow is an elite pitcher, but this is the spot to fade him. I see a shorter leash and fewer outs than the market is pricing in.
Total Home Runs
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total Home Runs (+510)
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor
Bryce Elder has been much worse against righties than he has been against lefties, opening the door for Mookie Betts to take him deep tonight at Truist Park with a better number than what we're getting for Max Muncy or Shohei Ohtani.
TEX
@
CHW
Tue, Aug 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Total Home Runs (+850)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Ezequiel Duran is a value power look despite only one recent homer. His 64.7% hard-hit rate, .300 ISO, and 50% air-contact profile show he is squaring the ball up. Kay’s recent fly-ball rate and the White Sox bullpen’s Monday vulnerability give Duran a path to leave Rate Field tonight.
Total
u7.5 (-107)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 7.5 is built on pitching and bullpen form. deGrom is locked in after arguably his best start of the season, while Kay has been steady enough to avoid a blowup. Both relief corps have strong recent FIP numbers, and Chicago must solve deGrom to threaten this total tonight overall.
BAL
@
STL
Tue, Aug 25 • 7:45 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Coby Mayo o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+111)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Coby Mayo finds himself in a great spot against Matthew Liberatore, who has struggled against right handed hitters. So far this season on the road against them, he is allowing a 67.9% elevation rate and 40.6% hard hit rate, while the last 60 he has faced own a .315 xBA, .497 xSLG and 10.8% barrel rate. Mayo has been on a tear over his last ten games, producing a 55% hard hit rate and 20% barrel rate, with a .591 xSLG and .258 ISO. In his last 60 at-bats against left handed pitching, he has a .764 SLG and .455 ISO.
Total Bases
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (-102)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Alec Burleson has been hitting the cover off the ball over his last 10 games, posting a .605 SLG, .237 ISO, 51.7% hard-hit rate, and 10.3% barrel rate. He has failed to homer in eight of those games, however, making this an intriguing spot to finally leave the yard. Baltimore right-hander Chris Bassitt has struggled recently, sporting a 5.25 xERA, 1.79 WHIP, and 15.6% strikeout rate. The last 30 left-handed hitters he faced own a .328 xBA, .544 xSLG, and .454 xwOBA. Burleson covers almost 100% of Bassitt's arsenal and owns an elite Batters-Box rating.
CLE
@
LAA
Tue, Aug 25 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Zach Neto is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Jo Adell u1.5 Total Bases (-179)
Projection 0.97
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #1 park in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Walbert Urena will hold the platoon advantage against Jo Adell in today's matchup.. Jo Adell will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. Jo Adell has displayed poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 2nd percentile with a 5.98 K/BB rate.
CHC
@
AZ
Tue, Aug 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-103)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Over 8.5 works because both lineups are producing and Arizona’s bullpen is leaking runs. The Cubs own a 140 wRC+ lately, while the Diamondbacks sit at 116. Pfaadt’s homer issues create early scoring upside, and Arizona’s 6.57 bullpen FIP gives Chicago a late path too at Chase Field.
Moneyline
CHC (-112)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Chicago has the cleaner edge with Clay Holmes limiting walks, barrels, and homers since arriving at the deadline. Brandon Pfaadt is also pitching respectably, but his recent homer issues meet a Cubs lineup carrying a .261 ISO and 140 wRC+ over the last week. Chicago owns the stronger power profile tonight.
PIT
@
SD
Tue, Aug 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 12th-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage over Michael King in today's matchup.. Oneil Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases
Gavin Sheets o1.5 Total Bases (+290)
Projection 1.13
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Gavin Sheets will have the upper hand today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today.. Sporting a 1.74 K/BB rate this year, Gavin Sheets has displayed strong plate discipline, ranking in the 79th percentile.
MIN
@
ATH
Tue, Aug 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Sutter Health Park ranks as the #1 stadium in the majors for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 99°.. Batting from the opposite that Gage Jump throws from, Royce Lewis will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Ryan Jeffers o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 1.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Sutter Health Park ranks as the #1 stadium in the majors for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 99°.
PHI
@
SEA
Tue, Aug 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Outs Recorded
Aaron Nola u17.5 Outs Recorded (+100)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Aaron Nola hasn't pitched terribly of late, but this is still a pitcher on the downswing of his career who remains one of the hardest-hit pitchers in baseball. Only nine other MLB starters have a worse BlastContact% than the Philadelphia right-hander. Nola is also coming off a 100-pitch outing, something he hadn't done in 20 straight starts. That extra workload could negatively affect his efficiency today, and it's not like he has been regularly getting to 18 outs. He's 4-11 O/U on this number over his last 15 starts. It's a road start against a Mariners team that finally got Cal Raleigh going, while the Phillies have all three of their left-handed reliever options available today. Fading Nola is a no-doubt look.
Total Home Runs
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total Home Runs (+380)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
George Kirby attacks lefties most prominently with a fastball-sweeper combination, and that’s a recipe for disaster against Bryce Harper.
He has absolutely crushed those two pitches this season, posting ISOs of .536 and .875 against right-handed pitching while hitting 15 homers.
Play to +350.
CIN
@
SF
Tue, Aug 25 • 9:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+112)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Oracle Park has the shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and even better, Singer has a huge platoon split.
Total RBIs
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+179)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.. JJ Bleday will have the handedness advantage over Adrian Houser today.. JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. JJ Bleday has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.8% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the last week.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
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