Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Henry Davis has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks. Henry Davis has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph to 92.9-mph over the last two weeks. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has suffered from bad luck this year. His .258 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .306.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Extreme groundball bats like Isiah Kiner-Falefa tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jacob Misiorowski. Sporting a .272 batting average this year, Isiah Kiner-Falefa finds himself in the 77th percentile.

Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Misiorowski in today's game... and moreover, Misiorowski has a large platoon split. Spencer Horwitz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 17.5% on the season to 23.1% in the past week's worth of games.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Tommy Pham tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jacob Misiorowski. Tommy Pham has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 98-mph over the past 7 days. In the past week's worth of games, Tommy Pham's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.1%.

Adam Frazier has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Considering Jacob Misiorowski's large platoon split, Adam Frazier will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Adam Frazier has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 87.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 84.9-mph average.

Jared Triolo's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jared Triolo has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.4-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 91.3-mph. Jared Triolo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 17.2% to 20.6%. Jared Triolo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .206 figure is deflated compared to his .235 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitters such as Ke'Bryan Hayes with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jacob Misiorowski who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Ke'Bryan Hayes's launch angle this season (9.1°) is significantly better than his 4.7° angle last season. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ke'Bryan Hayes's true offensive ability to be a .297, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .041 gap between that figure and his actual .256 wOBA.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Caleb Durbin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage today. Caleb Durbin has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 92.4-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 89.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Misiorowski today... and moreover, Misiorowski has a large platoon split. Oneil Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Jackson Chourio's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Andrew McCutchen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Andrew McCutchen has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last year's 93-mph average.

Isaac Collins is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Isaac Collins will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Isaac Collins has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.8% seasonal rate to 12% over the last 14 days.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Extreme groundball bats like Rhys Hoskins are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Paul Skenes. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Jacob Misiorowski... and even better, Misiorowski has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's game. Brice Turang is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP. Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge today. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Bauers has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Extreme groundball bats like Jake Bauers are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Paul Skenes. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Eric Haase will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Sal Frelick has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes today.