Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 30, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
CHW
@
BAL
Tue, Jun 30 • 6:35 PM ET
TEX
@
CLE
Tue, Jun 30 • 6:40 PM ET
PIT
@
PHI
Tue, Jun 30 • 6:40 PM ET
DET
@
NYY
Tue, Jun 30 • 7:05 PM ET
The Yankees have dropped eight of their past 10 while striking out at the highest clip in the majors and ranking last in xwOBA. They’ll face back-to-back Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal on Tuesday, and the Detroit Tigers are heating up at the dish with the sixth-ranked wOBA and xwOBA for the month of June. I’m anticipating Skubal to cruise tonight, too. His 2.59 xFIP is below his 2.74 mark across the past two years, and I’m anticipating statistical correction coming to his .287 BABIP and 74.3% strand rate because they’re worse than his .273 and 80.3% marks during his Cy Young campaigns.
YRFI/NRFI (No: -148)
Tarik Skubal faces Cam Schlittler in a true pitcher's duel. Schlittler hasn't allowed a first-inning run in 13 straight outings, boasting a 16-1 NRFI/YRFI record this season. The Yankees offense is ice cold, hitting just .156 with a 34 wRC+ over their last week.
NYM
@
TOR
Tue, Jun 30 • 7:07 PM ET
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total Home Runs (+440)
Toronto has mostly struggled against the sinker this year, with one big exception. Daulton Varsho slugs .500 against it over a healthy 150-pitch sample, and his +2 run value on the sinker is the best mark on the Blue Jays. He can get to Nolan McLean.
Kevin Gausman profiles well against a Mets lineup that sits near the bottom of the league against right-handed pitching on the road. The total is too low, as I don’t have much faith in the Mets bullpen. Daulton Varsho sat Monday, so he’s rested, and the price on him to record a hit is too strong to pass up. Ernie Clement joins him after picking up at least one hit in four of his last five games.
WAS
@
BOS
Tue, Jun 30 • 7:10 PM ET
The Nationals pace the majors in wOBA against lefties, and Red Sox southpaw Connelly Early has surrendered the 10th-highest barrel percentage among pitchers with at least 75 innings. Early is also eyeing statistical correction with his 3.59 ERA well below his 4.72 FIP, in addition to his unsustainably high 85.7% strand rate. The Boston offense doesn’t move the needle with a 27th-ranked xwOBA in June and sixth-lowest barrel percentage for the season, either. Still, I expect Early to pitch well enough to contribute to this total going Under the number, and Nationals righty Cade Cavalli has allowed three runs of fewer in six of his past seven starts with a solid 3.57 xFIP.
STL
@
ATL
Tue, Jun 30 • 7:15 PM ET
YRFI/NRFI (No: +101)
TB
@
KC
Tue, Jun 30 • 7:40 PM ET
CIN
@
MIL
Tue, Jun 30 • 7:40 PM ET
SD
@
CHC
Tue, Jun 30 • 8:05 PM ET
MIN
@
HOU
Tue, Jun 30 • 8:10 PM ET
o8.5 (+101)
Minnesota's offense is well positioned to take advantage of Mike Burrows' recent struggles, while Houston still has enough power to capitalize against a vulnerable Twins bullpen late. Even if Joe Ryan delivers another quality start, both clubs have realistic paths to pushing this game beyond the total.
MIN (-112)
Joe Ryan enters in outstanding form after posting a 2.19 FIP across his last two starts, while Mike Burrows continues to struggle with a 6.65 FIP over his last five outings. Minnesota's hot offense should capitalize early, giving the Twins the edge behind their ace-quality right-hander.
MIA
@
COL
Tue, Jun 30 • 8:40 PM ET
o11.5 (+105)
After combining for 17 runs on Monday, the Marlins and Rockies look set up for another high-scoring game at Coors Field. Both offenses have been rolling, ranking third and fifth in OPS over the past two weeks. Colorado hands the ball to Tanner Gordon, who owns a 6.37 ERA and a 9.92 mark at home, while Miami counters with Eury Perez and his 6.04 ERA in six road starts. Add in a Rockies bullpen that ranks 29th in home ERA and a 10.3 mph wind blowing out, and the conditions are ripe for plenty of offense.
LAA
@
SEA
Tue, Jun 30 • 9:40 PM ET
YRFI/NRFI (No: -126)
LAD
@
ATH
Tue, Jun 30 • 9:40 PM ET
o10.5 (-121)
Wrobleski lacks a bat-missing floor (17.8% Whiff%), while Springs possesses an extreme flyball profile (13th percentile groundball rate). Combined with an Athletics bullpen surrendering a massive 2.55 HR/9 over the last two weeks, routine flyballs turn into cheap home runs. These two clubs light up the scoreboard whenever they meet and are 9-1 to the Over in their past 10 meetings. Hammer the Over to 11 runs and -130.
ATH (+134)
Justin Wrobleski is the ultimate regression candidate; his 2.71 ERA is a mirage masked by a fraudulent 4.32 xERA and a bottom-tier 17.8% whiff rate. Conversely, Jeffrey Springs is dynamically unlucky. His bloated 5.52 ERA hides a much sharper 4.41 xERA and a strong .244 xBA, while his 20.6 % strikeout rate provides a true missing-bat floor. Take the Athletics to +115 tonight.
SF
@
AZ
Tue, Jun 30 • 9:40 PM ET
AZ
@
STL
Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
o2.5 Team Total (-115)
The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.
Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
ATL (-112)
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-110)
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
NYY (-135)
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
o7.5 (-116)
SF (+124)
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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