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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 29, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.03 |
+161 
|
o6.5 -120 
|
+1.5 -139 
|
|
4.63 |
-169
|
u7.0 -120 
|
-1.5 +132 
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 Wild Card Round games.
- Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 7-2 in Phillies last 9 road games.
- Over is 7-2 in Phillies last 9 vs. National League East.
Atlanta
- Over is 6-0-1 in Braves last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Braves last 6 vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+375)
o0.5+375
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.43 |
+110
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.32 |
-120
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 road games.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 games following a win.
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 Wild Card Round games.
- Under is 8-1 in Astros last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+180)
o1.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.93 |
+120
|
o6.0 -115
|
+1.5 -186
|
|
3.74 |
-124
|
u6.5 -120
|
-1.5 +180
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a road underdog.
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 8-0-1 in Yankees last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Schlittlers last 5 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Ben Rice o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
+110
|
o7.0 -134
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.48 |
-124 
|
u7.5 -118
|
-1.5 +175 
|
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 Wild Card Round games.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cubs last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
San Diego
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Kings last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Padres are 4-0 in Kings last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Austin Hays o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5+307
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.61 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 Wild Card Round games.
- Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 7-2 in Phillies last 9 road games.
- Over is 7-2 in Phillies last 9 vs. National League East.
Atlanta
- Over is 6-0-1 in Braves last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.61 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.88 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- White Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 Wild Card Round games.
- Under is 8-1 in Astros last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.05 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a road favorite.
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.06 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 Wild Card Round games.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 during game 2 of a series.
San Diego
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 Wild Card Round home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
PHI
@
ATL
Tue, Sep 29 • 2:00 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+460)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Olson brings an equally impressive .245 ISO against lefties and .255 mark against righties, so he’s in play to go yard to +350in Game 1. I also value him posting a massive .294 ISO and 54.5% hard-hit rate at home in the second half.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Trea Turner u1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-160)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Trea Turner did not fare well against high-end southpaws during the regular season.
He faced nine left-handed starters who ranked in the 70th percentile or better in xwOBA vs. right-handed hitters. Turner cleared 1.5 HRR in just one of those nine games, and averaged an underwhelming 0.7 HRR along the way.
Turner also hit .181 against fastballs and sliders thrown by lefties this year, which he'll see plenty of from Chris Sale.
CHW
@
HOU
Tue, Sep 29 • 5:00 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
AJ Blubaugh u1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+133)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Blubaugh will be in this game for two innings or less, and hasn't registered more than one strikeout in nine consecutive appearances. Striking hitters out at just a 23% clip while owning a 4.27 xERA, I'm expecting some loud contact against him this evening. Chicago's offense comes into Game 1 on a tear, too, scoring 25 runs across its last four games.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
If you're betting this game, it feels like malpractice leaving Yordan Alvarez off your ticket - so we won't. Yes, he'll be going up against a lefty in Hagen Smith, and no, it hasn't seemed to matter for Alvarez, who owned an .825 OPS against southpaws this season. Capping his September slashing .308/.432/.577 while ending the season with a .308 xBA should give you plenty of reason to back the AL MVP in this one. He's an absolute monster.
BOS
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 29 • 8:00 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total Home Runs (+539)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
While Cody Bellinger has yet to get a hit vs. Tolle, the underlying numbers suggest he's due for a breakout against the young lefty. In a small sample size (0-for-3), Bellinger owns a .608 xBA and .679 xSLG — by far the best numbers of any Yankee in the starting lineup. There isn't a big drop-off in his splits here, riding a .755 OPS against southpaws into October. Let's watch him drop one into the short porch in right tonight
Total Home Runs
George Lombard Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+637)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
George Lombard Jr. is in an intriguing spot to go yard against Red Sox left-hander Payton Tolle in Game 1 of the Wild Card round. The Yankees shortstop enters with the highest matchup rating on Batters-Box and has been seeing the ball extremely well over his last 10 games, sporting a .643 SLG, .620 xSLG and a barrel rate above 15%. Against left-handed pitching, Lombard Jr. owns a .292 BA, .982 OPS and .333 ISO across 28 at-bats. Meanwhile, Tolle has allowed right-handed hitters to post a 35.6% hard-hit rate and nearly 70% elevation rate away from home. At his current price, Lombard Jr. is worth a sprinkle to go deep.
CHC
@
SD
Tue, Sep 29 • 10:00 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'd recommend this Over for Crow-Armstrong to +100 because he sports an elite .407 wOBA and .322 ISO against right-handed pitchers. While I do expect San Diego starter Michael King to pitch well, his 2.93 ERA in the second half is miles below his 4.12 xERA and 4.24 xFIP, so a splash of statistical correction is coming in Game 1.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Tatis Jr. has teed off on lefties to the tune of a .421 wOBA, .273 ISO, 50.0% hard-hit rate and 24.3% blast contact rate, and he sports a .500 slugging percentage against Cubs southpaw Matthew Boyd. Of course, Boyd also sports a ho-hum 4.52 xERA and 4.45 xFIP against right-handed hitters, so this Tatis prop is in play to +100 in Game 1.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
