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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 15, 2026.
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CHW
@
DET
Sat, Aug 15 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Andrew Benintendi o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest fences in MLB.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Troy Melton throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team in action today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Andrew Benintendi o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+135)
Projection 1.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest fences in MLB.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Troy Melton throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team in action today.
STL
@
CHC
Sat, Aug 15 • 2:20 PM ET
Spread
CHC -1.5 (+105)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Logan Webb has seen his average whiff rate drop from 24.7% to 20.5% year over year, and the Rockies are hitting .339 against the Giants starter over the course of his career. San Francisco has traded away Luis Arraez and Heliot Ramos, while several key starters remain sidelined with injuries. I'll side with the Rockies in this NL West basement battle.
Total Bases
Michael Conforto o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.37
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 95%.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Michael Conforto will have the upper hand in today's game.. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Conforto can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Michael Conforto will hold that advantage today.
NYY
@
TOR
Sat, Aug 15 • 3:07 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ben Rice o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 6th-best field in the league for lefty home runs.. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Ben Rice will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Andres Gimenez o0.5 Total RBIs (+340)
Projection 0.33
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 6th-best field in the league for lefty home runs.. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cam Schlitter today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
COL
@
SF
Sat, Aug 15 • 4:05 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Michael Lorenzen o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+118)
Projection 3.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The San Francisco Giants have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Willy Adames, Bryce Eldridge, Drew Cavanaugh).. Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Out of all SPs, Michael Lorenzen's fastball spin rate of 2399 rpm is in the 77th percentile this year.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Willi Castro o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+144)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Willi Castro is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Logan Webb.. Willi Castro pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The San Francisco Giants infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
WAS
@
NYM
Sat, Aug 15 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Jared Young u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jared Young is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst field in the majors for lefty batting average.. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output.. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.
Total Hits
Andrew Pinckney u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andrew Pinckney is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst venue in the league for righty batting average.. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output.. Andrew Pinckney will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
MIA
@
CIN
Sat, Aug 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 88°.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Eugenio Suarez projects as the 20th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 88°.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
PHI
@
MIN
Sat, Aug 15 • 7:10 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Royce Lewis o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.06
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Royce Lewis is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Royce Lewis will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.
Total RBIs
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Royce Lewis is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Royce Lewis will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.
SEA
@
HOU
Sat, Aug 15 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hitting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.99
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #7 park in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. In Major League Baseball, the 3rd-highest average fence height are at Minute Maid Park.. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense.. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Hayden Wesneski will have the handedness advantage over Julio Rodriguez in today's game.
BOS
@
PIT
Sat, Aug 15 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Total Bases (+202)
Projection 1.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Esmerlyn Valdez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Esmerlyn Valdez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Esmerlyn Valdez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for LHB base hits.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.
AZ
@
ATL
Sat, Aug 15 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.99
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Truist Park profiles as the #5 stadium in MLB for overall righty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°.
Total Bases
Geraldo Perdomo o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #10 field in the league for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 91°.
MIL
@
LAD
Sat, Aug 15 • 7:15 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Jacob Misiorowski u8.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Projection 7.33
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jacob Misiorowski in today's game.. Jacob Misiorowski has gone to his four-seam fastball 9.5% more often this year (63.9%) than he did last season (54.4%).. Jacob Misiorowski has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 13.80 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 12.95 — a 0.86 K/9 discrepancy.
TEX
@
ATH
Sat, Aug 15 • 9:40 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Evan Carter o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Sutter Health Park grades out as the #1 stadium in the game for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage against J.T. Ginn in today's game... and even more favorably, Ginn has a large platoon split.. The Athletics outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+104)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Sutter Health Park grades out as the #1 stadium in the game for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
STL
@
CIN
Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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