Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Dustin Saracini -  - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Dustin Saracini • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 14, 2026 , 12:35 PM ET • 4 min read

If Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is trying to get right, seeing Gerrit Cole on the bump might be exactly what the doctor ordered. Not only is Vladdy seeing the ball well right now (he's on a six-game hit streak), but he owns a 1.043 OPS in this matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (27)
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (27).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has absolutely owned Gerrit Cole in his career, so we're rocking with him as the centerpiece of our Blue Jays vs. Yankees predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays enter tonight as +130 underdogs at BET99 and sit just two games back in the Wild Card race. Are they live dogs with the New York Yankees’ ace on the mound?

Let’s dive into my MLB picks for Friday, Aug. 14, and cash a same-game parlay, shall we?

Yankees vs Blue Jays predictions

Yankees vs Blue Jays best bet: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases (+135)

If Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is trying to get right, facing New York Yankees starter Gerrit Cole might be exactly what the doctor ordered.

Not only is Vladdy seeing the ball well right now (he's on a six-game hit streak), but the Toronto Blue Jays superstar owns a 1.043 OPS in this specific matchup and has six extra-base hits against Cole across 35 at-bats.

The historical numbers are there; now it's on Vladdy to execute the way we know he can. I'd price this closer to +120 tonight, so let's take this value and run with it.

Covers COVERS INTEL: While the power numbers aren't there (Vladdy has yet to hit a home run at home), he's still making strong contact this season. Guerrero's .281 xBA is near elite, and his 13.5 K rate is the lowest of his decorated career. 

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Yankees vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

We already know how great Vladdy's numbers are in this matchup, but coming off a shutout, the Blue Jays should be able to keep this close.

Overall, Toronto owns a .277 xBA and .423 xSLG against Cole across 160 plate appearances, a sample size we absolutely love to see.

We're going to see some balls in play here, too, as the Yankees ace is rocking a minuscule 17% K rate against this lineup. Let's cash one.

Yankees vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases
  • Blue Jays +1.5
  • Gerrit Cole Under 5.5 strikeouts

Covers Alberta: Sports betting is now live!

Regulated Alberta sports betting has officially launched, allowing sportsbooks to operate under provincial oversight.

You can sign up and join BET99 — one of the best Alberta betting apps — now to get in on the Blue Jays action!

Yankees vs Blue Jays home run pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+575)

If you've been paying attention, you probably know where this was going.

Vladdy owns an elite .590 xSLG against Cole over the course of his career, and has already taken him deep twice.

It's the perfect storm for Toronto's boy to hit his first homer at the Rogers Centre.

Dustin Saracini's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bets:  2-2, +0.95 units
  • SGPs: 0-4, -0.8 units
  • HR picks: 0-4, -0.8 units

Yankees vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: New York (-150) | Toronto (+130)
  • Run line: New York -1.5 (+115)  | Toronto +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: Over 8 (+100) | Under 8 (-120)

Yankees vs Blue Jays trend

Toronto is 8-0 in its last eight games following a loss. Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Yankees vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Friday, Aug. 14, 2026
First pitch 7:07 p.m. ET
TV YES, Sportsnet
Yankees starting pitcher Gerrit Cole
(6-5, 3.35 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Shane Bieber
(3-2, 5.48 ERA)

Yankees vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Yankees vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Dustin Saracini
Betting Analyst

Dustin Saracini is a betting analyst at Covers with over 14 years of experience in the sports betting industry. Throughout his career, Dustin has hosted multiple betting shows- breaking down NBA, NFL, PGA, and MLB markets alongside top handicappers - and has appeared as a Super Bowl consultant for CNN. A disciplined daily bettor who extensively line-shops across FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars, his sharpest edges lie in MLB and the NFL (followed closely by the NHL and NBA). A self-proclaimed NRFI guru targeting his second straight +10u MLB season, Dustin holds a Broadcast Journalism degree from Western University (2014). For daily picks, market strategies, and insights, follow him on X (Twitter) @DustinSaracini.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo