Toronto @ Atlanta Picks & Props

Gio Urshela is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today's game. In MLB, Truist Park's LF fences are the 3rd-deepest. Yariel Rodriguez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gio Urshela in today's matchup. Gio Urshela's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 89.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 87.1-mph in the last 14 days. In the past 14 days, Gio Urshela's 6.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.4%.

Joey Loperfido's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Joey Loperfido hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Batting from the same side that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Marcell Ozuna has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences today. Over the past 7 days, Marcell Ozuna's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.3% down to 0%. Despite posting a .399 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcell Ozuna has had positive variance on his side given the .052 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .347.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Truist Park profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Truist Park profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ernie Clement has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Truist Park profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Michael Harris II is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Truist Park profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate.

Jarred Kelenic's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Truist Park profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Considering Chris Sale's large platoon split, Luis De Los Santos will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

Truist Park profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Luke Williams will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Truist Park profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate.

Truist Park profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today's game. Orlando Arcia has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 96.4-mph in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Truist Park profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Davis Schneider will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even better, Sale has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Truist Park profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate.

Truist Park profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Brian Serven will have the handedness advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sale has a large platoon split. Brian Serven's quickness has increased this year. His 25.14 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.02 ft/sec now.

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games on the slate.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output.

Spencer Horwitz has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Whit Merrifield has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Addison Barger has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.