MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sat, Jul 25 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Andrew Velazquez logo
Andrew Velazquez o0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen logo
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carter Jensen in the 82nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Carter Jensen is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Carter Jensen will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Mize today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.3°, Carter Jensen has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26.7° angle over the last 14 days.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Casey Schmitt logo
Casey Schmitt o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 86th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Casey Schmitt is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Casey Schmitt will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Casey Schmitt's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 15.5% to 18.7%.
Total Bases
Logan O'Hoppe logo
Logan O'Hoppe o1.5 Total Bases (+174)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Logan O'Hoppe will have an edge in today's matchup.. Logan O'Hoppe has been unlucky this year, notching a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .058 discrepancy.. Logan O'Hoppe has performed at a clip of 28.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 86th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Harry Ford logo
Harry Ford u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Harry Ford is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in the game for RHB batting average.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Putting up a lowly a 73.2-mph average exit velocity in the last week's worth of games, Harry Ford has been in a slump in recent games.
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+101)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. In the majors, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. Fenway Park has the 2nd-highest average fence height in the majors.. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.6-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers.
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Daulton Varsho's BABIP talent is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Daulton Varsho has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.. Fenway Park has the 2nd-highest average fence height in the majors.. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+179)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Kyle Stowers's launch angle this year (17.2°) is significantly better than his 14.2° mark last year.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Kyle Stowers has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 29.5° angle over the past two weeks.
Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. In the last week, Manny Machado's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 22.2%.. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 16.7% on the season to 38.9% over the last week.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sat, Jul 25 • 6:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 82°.
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+128)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 82°.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sat, Jul 25 • 6:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cedric Mullins is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Cedric Mullins will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee today.. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.4% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Cedric Mullins will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Chase DeLauter logo
Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Chase DeLauter is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase DeLauter will have the handedness advantage against Nick Martinez today.. Chase DeLauter has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, Jul 25 • 6:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes has a lofty 5.27 ERA over his last five starts, with the Pirates cashing the Over in each of those games.

Both bullpens are also shaky, with Pittsburgh’s pen owning the 10th-highest ERA in MLB (4.40), slightly worse than Chicago's (4.04).

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (+114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes’ ERA is up to 3.43 compared to his 2.35 career average, while Cubs starter Shota Imanaga is trending up with a stingy 1.62 ERA over his last three outings. 

Imanaga will dominate a Pirates lineup that’s missing three everyday players and ranks 19th in runs scored as well as 20th in SLG since the All-Star break.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.21
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 18th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Pete Alonso has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 4th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums.. Austin Riley has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.3% seasonal rate to 31.3% in the last week.. Austin Riley has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.7-mph EV.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (68.1% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. Isaac Paredes's 23.9° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the game: 99th percentile.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+101)
Projection 2.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #8 stadium in baseball for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls.. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an advantage today.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willi Castro logo
Willi Castro o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Over the last 14 days, Willi Castro has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.4% to 20%.. Willi Castro's launch angle this season (19.9°) is considerably better than his 11.6° angle last year.
Total Bases
Andrew Vaughn logo
Andrew Vaughn o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Andrew Vaughn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Andrew Vaughn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Ryan Jeffers logo
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of the day at 95°.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Athletics.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage today.
Total Home Runs
Tyler Soderstrom logo
Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total Home Runs (+620)
Projection 0.16
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of the day at 94°.. Tyler Soderstrom has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 92.7-mph in the last 14 days.. Tyler Soderstrom's launch angle this season (11.7°) is quite a bit higher than his 8.2° figure last year.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Weston Wilson logo
Weston Wilson o0.5 Total RBIs (+340)
Projection 0.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) may lead us to conclude that Weston Wilson has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .208 actual batting average.. By putting up a .333 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Weston Wilson is ranked in the 80th percentile for offensive ability.. Weston Wilson grades out in the 81st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.1% rate since the start of last season).. Weston Wilson has paced 22.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 82nd percentile for power.
Total Bases
Joc Pederson logo
Joc Pederson o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Joc Pederson will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ New York Mets logo NYM Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's game.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Home Runs
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+880)
Projection 0.15
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Tucker in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Hitting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an advantage in today's game.. Extreme flyball bats like Kyle Tucker tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nolan McLean.. Kyle Tucker has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 5.9% seasonal rate to 11.5% over the past 14 days.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°.. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's game.
Total Home Runs
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+625)
Projection 0.19
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante doesn't generate many whiffs (7th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.