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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 9, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.96 |
+112 
|
o8.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -185 
|
|
5.18 |
-125
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +163 
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Twins last 9 during game 3 of a series.
Detroit
- Tigers are 5-0 in Monteros last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 9-1 in Monteros last 10 starts as a home underdog.
- Tigers are 8-1 in Monteros last 9 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+173)
o0.5+173
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.01 |
-184
|
o9.0 -110
|
-1.5 -110 
|
|
4.41 |
+165
|
u9.5 -130
|
+1.5 -105
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 overall.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.86 |
-124
|
o7.5 -132
|
-1.5 +140 
|
|
3.84 |
+112
|
u8.5 -117
|
+1.5 -148
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. National League West.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.76 |
+165
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -135 
|
|
4.94 |
-167
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +125
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 overall.
San Diego
- Under is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. National League East.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+231
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.83 |
+140
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -160 
|
|
4.26 |
-155
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
o1.5+140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
-105
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.18 |
-104
|
u9.0 -119
|
+1.5 -162
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
+105
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
5.03 |
-120
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +165
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Miami
- Over is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 4-0 in Junks last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.75 |
+138
|
o7.5 -130
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.91 |
-155
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +135
|
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Browns last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
o0.5+219
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+180
|
o9.0 -115
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
5.59 |
-210
|
u9.5 -121
|
-1.5 +104
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts overall.
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in Bennetts last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Bennetts last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5+202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.24 |
+210
|
o8.5 -150
|
+1.5 -105
|
|
6.44 |
-240
|
u9.5 -135
|
-1.5 -108
|
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Rockies are 8-0 in Suganos last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 interleague starts.
NY Yankees
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 5-1 in Warrens last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Top Projection
Aaron Judge o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-130)
o1.5-120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.44 |
+105
|
o8.5 -102
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.79 |
-120
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +172
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Atlanta
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 interleague home games.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+219
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+135
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -162
|
|
4.66 |
-148
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +145
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Pirates last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Martins last 7 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 8-1 in Martins last 9 interleague starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
-110
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.44 |
-104
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -170
|
Arizona
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Kansas City
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Royals last 9 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1-2 in Royals last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Gabriel Moreno o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.43 |
+117
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.48 |
-130
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +160
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts on grass.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 vs. National League Central.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Hendersons last 7 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+242)
o0.5+242
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.66 |
+250
|
o8.5 -115
|
+2.0 -114
|
|
5.71 |
-278
|
u9.0 -125
|
-2.0 -104
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts as an underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+246)
o0.5+246
MIN
@
DET
Wed, Sep 9 • 1:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Kody Clemens ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the 3rd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
Total Bases
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+113)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Luke Keaschall is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the 3rd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
STL
@
SF
Wed, Sep 9 • 3:45 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Andre Pallante o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
Projection 4.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Andre Pallante has averaged 91.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.. The San Francisco Giants have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Drew Cavanaugh, Shay Whitcomb, Jonah Cox, Bryce Eldridge).. Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-least humid conditions of the day at 37%.. Given that flyball hitters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Andre Pallante (56.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 4 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected batting order.
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.. Ivan Herrera has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 93.8-mph over the last 7 days.. Using Statcast metrics, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 92nd percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .367.
WAS
@
SD
Wed, Sep 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 1.96
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 10th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.5-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.
TEX
@
SEA
Wed, Sep 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best batter in the league.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. In the majors, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
Total Bases
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best batter in the league.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. In the majors, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
CLE
@
BAL
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:35 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-104)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
I like the Guardians at this price, starting with Foster Griffin, who owns a 3.26 ERA across his full season and draws an Orioles lineup that has struggled against left-handed pitching. Griffin also has the starting-pitching edge over Shane Baz, who enters 5-15 with a 3.91 ERA. Cleveland has another advantage once the starters leave: since August 4, the Guardians rank fourth in defense and fifth in bullpen ERA. With three different run-prevention edges working in Cleveland's favor, I'll back the Guardians on the moneyline.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Among all stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's centerfield fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.
NYM
@
MIA
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 7th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. In the past week, Bo Bichette's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.7% up to 25%.. Bo Bichette's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 12.4% to 18.4%.. In the last week's worth of games, Bo Bichette's 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.4%.
Total RBIs
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Francisco Alvarez has strong power (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Janson Junk struggles to strike batters out (18th percentile K%) — great news for Alvarez.. Francisco Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Francisco Alvarez has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 16% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last 14 days.. Over the last 14 days, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.3-mph over the course of the season to 101.7-mph of late.
HOU
@
PHI
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Cristopher Sanchez u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-111)
Projection 6.07
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Because of his large platoon split, Cristopher Sanchez will have a tough challenge facing 7 hitters in the projected batting order who bat from the opposite side in this game.. Cristopher Sanchez has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, posting a 10.27 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.86 — a 0.42 K/9 deviation.
Total Bases
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average talent.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #9 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
LAA
@
BOS
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
COL
@
NYY
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Checking in at the 100th percentile for power, Hunter Goodman has averaged 41.5 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total Home Runs
Aaron Judge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+260)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in MLB.. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #9 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Aaron Judge will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
TB
@
ATL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
ATL (-123)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Atlanta Braves are trading as a 55% favorite on Polymarket in their matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays, and I think there's an edge to exploit at that number because I price the Braves closer to a 57% favorite. There are two things I particularly like about this matchup for Atlanta, and both should help neutralize Tampa Bay's speed and running game. First, Reynaldo López isn't afraid to challenge hitters with velocity at the top of the zone, which makes it more difficult for the Rays' slap hitters to put the ball on the ground and beat out plays at first base. Second, Sean Murphy has a quick transfer and an elite pop time, giving him the ability to slow down Tampa Bay's running game once the Rays get runners on base.
Total Bases
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for overall righty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Austin Riley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
PIT
@
CHW
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #6 ballpark in the majors for overall left-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage today.. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+187)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as Major League Baseball's 14th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #6 ballpark in the majors for overall left-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand today.
AZ
@
KC
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #5 field in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Daniel Lynch.
Total Hits
Kyle Isbel u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 6th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Kyle Isbel is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. This year, Kyle Isbel has been pinch hit for in 15% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. The deepest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Kauffman Stadium.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces.
CHC
@
MIL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Alex Bregman o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. American Family Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's CF fences are the 7th-shallowest.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.
Total RBIs
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+171)
Projection 0.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average skill, Jackson Chourio is projected as the 19th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. American Family Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense.
CIN
@
LAD
Wed, Sep 9 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.29
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for LHB home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
Total Bases
Max Muncy o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Max Muncy is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for LHB home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. This contest is forecasted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
