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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 13, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.79 |
-108 
|
o8.0 -110 
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.04 |
+105 
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -155
|
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
Detroit
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.47 |
-119 
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.83 |
+112
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -150
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Pirates are 7-0 in Ashcrafts last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Miami
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillips' last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillips' last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillips' last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5+202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.99 |
+131 
|
o7.5 -109 
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.41 |
-135
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +150
|
Seattle
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Mariners last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Mariners last 7 games following a loss.
NY Yankees
- Under is 8-0 in Yankees last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 8-0 in Yankees last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Frieds last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Frieds last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
o1.5+140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.01 |
+120
|
o8.0 -129
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.75 |
-125
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
Cincinnati
- Reds are 7-0 in Abbotts last 7 starts vs. American League Central.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 8-0 in Martins last 8 interleague starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- White Sox are 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- White Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.34 |
-140 
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +115 
|
|
4.03 |
+140
|
u8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -120
|
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Tolles last 6 starts.
Toronto
- Under is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 during game 4 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-0 in Scherzers last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Scherzers last 5 starts a home underdog.
Top Projection
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Total RBIs (+179)
o0.5+179
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.17 |
-142
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
4.14 |
+136
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -125
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Washington
- Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Nationals are 4-0 in Cavallis last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Jose Tena o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5+300
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.13 |
-104
|
o8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +170
|
|
4.88 |
-104
|
u8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -180
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Nolas last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 games following a loss.
Minnesota
- Under is 6-0 in Bradleys last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Twins are 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.25 |
-148
|
o7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
3.38 |
+143
|
u7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -125
|
Texas
- Under is 6-0 in deGroms last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Rangers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Urenas last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Angels are 4-0 in Urenas last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Joc Pederson u1.5 Total Bases (-165)
u1.5-165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.38 |
+131
|
o8.0 -125 
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.75 |
-138
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +150
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 road games.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 9-0 in Sasakis last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Sasakis last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Sasakis last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+290)
o0.5+290
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Over is 4-0 in Liberatores last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 7-1 in Liberatores last 8 starts vs. National League Central.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 on grass.
- Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-0 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Cincinnati
- Over is 7-0 in Burns' last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Burns' last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague road games.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-2-1 in White Sox last 9 games as a road favorite.
Detroit
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Williams' last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Williams' last 4 starts vs. National League West.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 home games.
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Stocks last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in Orioles last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Orioles are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a favorite.
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as an underdog.
- Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 games on astroturf.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League West.
- Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Mariners last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-2 in Royals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 overall.
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 11-1 in Angels last 12 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2-2 in Rangers last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 games a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 games as a road favorite.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
San Francisco
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 overall.
CLE
@
DET
Thu, Aug 13 • 1:10 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-121)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under leans on limited power and strong recent bullpen indicators. Cleveland’s bullpen has allowed just 0.82 HR/9 lately, while Detroit owns a brutal .097 ISO over the last week. The Tigers’ pen has also been sharp, giving this matchup a lower-scoring path if Montero avoids major damage.
Moneyline
CLE (-126)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Cleveland has a strong case behind Parker Messick, who owns a 2.80 FIP over his last five outings with elite control and limited barrel damage. Keider Montero has struggled lately, allowing hard contact and home runs, while the Guardians enter with a 112 wRC+ over their last 11 games.
PIT
@
MIA
Thu, Aug 13 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Griffin Conine u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Griffin Conine's batting average talent is projected to be in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-worst stadium in baseball for LHB batting average.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Griffin Conine pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 84th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Tyler Phillips in this game.
SEA
@
NYY
Thu, Aug 13 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ben Rice o0.5 Total Home Runs (+310)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Ben Rice is my favorite home-run look today. He’s up to 32 home runs and has been one of the better power bats in baseball, averaging 92 mph off the bat with a 15.6% barrel rate. Gilbert throws his four-seam fastball nearly 40% of the time, and Rice is hitting .290 with a .662 slugging percentage against fastballs this season.
Total
u7.5 (-102)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
I’m playing the Under because I don’t think Tuesday’s 10-5 game changes this matchup. Seattle and New York both rank below 80 wRC+ over the last two weeks. Fried owns the matchup, while Gilbert’s 3.42 ERA and 0.998 WHIP give me enough confidence to keep this Yankees offense relatively quiet.
CIN
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 13 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.
Total Bases
Randal Grichuk u1.5 Total Bases (-165)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
BOS
@
TOR
Thu, Aug 13 • 3:07 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Payton Tolle o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-111)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
I hate backing a pitcher after a monster game, and Payton Tolle is coming off a 14-K outing. However, even with his 90-pitch leash, 48% of his outs since June 26 have come via the strikeout. He has the third-highest K/9 over that stretch and the fourth-best K% behind some heavy hitters in Dylan Cease and Jacob Misiorowski. He has shown he can get to this Over even on abbreviated outings, and the Over is a perfect 6-0 on this total over his last six starts. The Jays aren't a heavy-K team, but their strikeout rate has climbed of late, and this lineup could have five hitters with a K% of 25% or better this month. The juice is moving on this Over despite the projections liking the Under. This could close at -135/-140, and I'd buy it down to -120/-125.
Total Home Runs
Andres Gimenez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1100)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Andres Gimenez has had Payton Tolle's number so far in the pitcher's young career. The shortstop is 3-for-4 with a double and a homer against him, sporting a .458 xBA and 1.070 xSLG. He could be your unsung hero tonight.
CHC
@
WAS
Thu, Aug 13 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 2nd-worst venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Cade Cavalli will hold the platoon advantage over Dansby Swanson in today's game.. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among all the teams in action today.
Total Bases
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Daylen Lile is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the slate today at 92°.. Daylen Lile will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Daylen Lile has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 11th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
PHI
@
MIN
Thu, Aug 13 • 7:30 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-118)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Kyle Schwarber has started heating back up, making him an appealing target against Twins right-hander Taj Bradley. Over his last 10 games, Schwarber owns a .500 SLG, .235 ISO, 47.6% hard-hit rate and 14.3% barrel rate. He also carries the No. 1 matchup rating on Batters-Box while covering more than 90% of Bradley’s pitch mix. Bradley has struggled against left-handed hitters, allowing a 45.2% hard-hit rate and 13.7% barrel rate this season. With Schwarber trending upward and holding an elite matchup, this looks like a strong spot for the Phillies slugger to produce at the plate.
Total Home Runs
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total Home Runs (+450)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
It’s a small slate, but HR bettors get Aaron Nola, who has allowed the most dingers in baseball this year, at a makeshift MLB stadium with short fences and nothing but corn in the outfield. Nola has allowed 10 homers over his last 33 innings across six games, just took a 105-mph laser beam off his knee in his last start, and today’s setting might not help him. The Iowa Cubs and St. Paul Saints played on this field Tuesday and ripped four combined dingers—the only extra-base hits of the game. In the other two Field of Dreams games, played on a different diamond but with a similar layout, there have been seven total homers. Royce Lewis is the hottest stick in the Minny lineup. He has three homers over the last two weeks and leads the team in slugging (.667), ISO (.278), wOBA (.461), and HardHit% (47.4%). His 76.3-mph swing speed over that stretch is also a Top-25 mark in all of baseball.
TEX
@
LAA
Thu, Aug 13 • 10:07 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Jacob deGrom u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+101)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The Rangers are keeping the lid on Jacob deGrom, and getting to seven punchouts is going to be damn hard to do. The right-hander might have a 15-out cap on him right now, as he has not gotten over that number in five straight starts. He was at just 88 pitches last game after five innings and didn't come back out. To me, that sounds like a blueprint for an oft-injured pitcher the Rangers need healthy if they are going to make the playoffs. The throttle started in July, and since then, he has 29 Ks in 23 innings. However, he has gone Over this total just twice in five starts and has thrown 88, 91, 90, 97 and 80 pitches. He's going to have to be mighty efficient to get seven of his 15 outs via the K. At plus money on the Under, the risk is low to see if he has an innings cap. I'm betting this down to -115.
Moneyline
LAA (+124)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Jacob deGrom has had his issues with the Angels in the past, as L.A. hitters boast a collective .967 OPS against the veteran right-hander. With Walbert Urena sporting a 144 ERA+ in his rookie season, I’ll take a flier on the Halos to play spoiler at the Big A.
MIL
@
LAD
Thu, Aug 13 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total Hits (-150)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Dodgers’ Teoscar Hernández has an elite Batters-Box rating in a favorable matchup against Brewers left-hander Shane Drohan. Drohan has struggled against right-handed hitters, posting a 7.43 ERA over his last 60 faced while allowing a 12.5% barrel rate and 70% elevation rate. Hernández has also handled southpaws well, batting .310 with a .552 SLG and .242 ISO over his last 30 plate appearances against lefties. Across 115 elite-rated games over the last three seasons, Hernández has recorded at least one hit nearly 67% of the time. The hit prop is worth paying -150, while his hits, runs and RBI prop offers plus-money value.
Total Home Runs
Andy Pages o0.5 Total Home Runs (+440)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Andy Pages sits in the 95th percentile in xSLG, the 96th in xwOBA, and has a hard hit rate well over 50% against left-handed pitching. That’s a good recipe for power.
Shane Drohan isn’t overly reliant on his fastball (31.1%), and Pages hammers his secondary pitches like the curve, sinker, slider, and cutter.
STL
@
CIN
Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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