MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 29, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Mon, Jun 29 • 6:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as the majors's 15th-best home run batter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Colson Montgomery will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery u1.5 Total Bases (-148)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Braden Montgomery is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Braden Montgomery in today's game.. Braden Montgomery has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, angling balls between 23° and 34° just 7.4% of the time in the past two weeks' worth of games.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Mon, Jun 29 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Total Bases (+119)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Ryan O'Hearn has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Endy Rodriguez logo
Endy Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+237)
Projection 0.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Long-balls are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. The switch-hitting Endy Rodriguez will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Aaron Nola.. Endy Rodriguez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 92.9-mph figure.. As it relates to plate discipline, Endy Rodriguez's skill is quite good, posting a 1.68 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 87th percentile.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ New York Yankees logo NYY Mon, Jun 29 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.31
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the league, Yankee Stadium has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's game.. Austin Wells has been unlucky this year, compiling a .233 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .069 disparity.
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. In the league, Yankee Stadium has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand today.. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Mon, Jun 29 • 7:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Alejandro Kirk logo
Alejandro Kirk o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 5th-best field in baseball for righty home runs.. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. Alejandro Kirk will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.
Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. George Springer is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 5th-best field in baseball for righty home runs.. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. Considering Sean Manaea's large platoon split, George Springer will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Mon, Jun 29 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+207)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 2nd-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. James Wood has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. James Wood has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 16.1% rate last season to 23.2% this season.
Total RBIs
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the majors.. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Mon, Jun 29 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+158)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #2 stadium in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Total Bases
Justin Foscue logo
Justin Foscue o1.5 Total Bases (+211)
Projection 1.29
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Justin Foscue is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #2 stadium in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Justin Foscue will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Parker Messick today.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Mon, Jun 29 • 7:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (-155)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Esten McLaren image
Esten McLaren
Content Manager

The Brewers lead baseball with a 128 team wRC+ since June 1, while the Reds are buried at 28th in the league with a rate of 83 this month. Cincinnati LHP Nick Lodolo is in the 10th percentile in pitching run value this season. This is playable to -180.

Total Bases
Spencer Steer logo
Spencer Steer o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Spencer Steer is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. The #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 3rd-lowest fences in the league.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Mon, Jun 29 • 8:05 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Xander Bogaerts logo
Xander Bogaerts o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Projection 0.23
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 90°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total Hits
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #10 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. In today's matchup, Ian Happ is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.6% rate (80th percentile).. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.. In the past 7 days, Ian Happ's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 93.1 mph to 87.2 mph.. From last year to this one, Ian Happ's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 48.4% to 35.1%.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Houston Astros logo HOU Mon, Jun 29 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-117)
Projection 2.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in MLB.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an edge in today's game.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team today.. Minnesota's 2nd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Yordan Alvarez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Total Bases
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Minute Maid Park.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team today.. Christian Walker will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Mon, Jun 29 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (-105)
Projection 1
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 14th-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.
Strikeouts Thrown
Sandy Alcantara logo
Sandy Alcantara u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-117)
Projection 4.04
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Sandy Alcantara in the 24th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the worst stadium in MLB for strikeouts.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. The Colorado Rockies have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's game.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Mon, Jun 29 • 9:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo Athletics Athletics logo o10.5 (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Esten McLaren image
Esten McLaren
Content Manager

Sutter Health Park, the home of the A's, carries a park factor of 113 this season, five points worse than Nationals Park — the second-most hitter-friendly park in baseball in 2026. The Dodgers and Athletics both rank in the top 10 in wRC+ against left-handed pitching this season, with Eric Lauer and Gage Jump, respectively, getting the start on Monday.

Total Bases
Max Muncy logo
Max Muncy o1.5 Total Bases (+154)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Max Muncy's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for run-scoring.. Sutter Health Park has the lowest fences among all major league parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.5-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Mon, Jun 29 • 9:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Esten McLaren image
Esten McLaren
Content Manager

I'm happy to pick against Diamondbacks LHP Eduardo Rodriguez every time he takes the bump. The 11-year veteran owns a glowing 2.27 ERA to this point in the season, but his xERA sits at 4.80 and is in the 22nd percentile. The D-Backs own the league's worst wRC+ against right-handers this season at 85, and face Giants RHP Tyler Mahle.

Total Bases
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense.. Matt Chapman will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Mon, Jun 29 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Among all stadiums, T-Mobile Park has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters.. Out of every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.
Total Bases
Dominic Canzone logo
Dominic Canzone o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Dominic Canzone is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Among all stadiums, T-Mobile Park has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 7 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 17 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 10 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

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