MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 17, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

TB @

BOS Fri, Jul 17 • 1:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+223)

Projection 0.52

Best Odds

o0.5 +223

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +223

o0.5 +215

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +205

o0.5 +200

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

+223 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.69

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +130

+135 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

LAD @

NYY Fri, Jul 17 • 7:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o9.5 (+105)

Best Odds

o9.0 -120

Pick made: 11 hours ago

o9.0 -120

o9.5 -115

o9.0 -122

o9.0 -120

o13.0 +310

I’m playing the Over because both offenses have a clear matchup path. Sasaki’s fastball and barrel issues give New York a real chance to do damage early, even without Aaron Judge

Gerritt Cole is the better starter, but this is still the Dodgers’ lineup. And he hasn't been Vintage Cole either. LA can punish his elevated-contact profile, with Cole allowing a 9.2% barrel rate and 40.3% hard-hit rate this season. I projected 10.1 and would play this to -115.

Moneyline

NYY (+101)

Best Odds

-104

Pick made: 11 hours ago

-107

-110

-104

-105

-110

If the New York Yankees are going to make a charge in the AL East, there's no better time than now against the best team in baseball, the Los Angeles Dodgers. I’m playing them down to -110.

Roki Sasaki’s biggest flaw runs into New York’s best offensive path. Sasaki has allowed a 12.8% barrel rate and 44.9% hard-hit rate, and his four-seamer has been hit for a .606 SLG. These are all things the Yankees excel at, arriving at this game with the highest barrel rate in baseball, the third-highest hard-hit rate, and several strong hitters against the heater.

View 12 Picks

PIT @

CLE Fri, Jul 17 • 7:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.58

Best Odds

o0.5 +190

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +171

o0.5 +170

When assessing his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Gavin Williams in today's matchup.. Brandon Lowe may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP.. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

+190 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+138)

Projection 1.65

Best Odds

o1.5 +138

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +138

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +124

o1.5 +130

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Chase DeLauter is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Chase DeLauter will have an edge today.. Chase DeLauter has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Chase DeLauter will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

+138 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

$Texas Rangers logo$ TEX @

ATL Fri, Jul 17 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)

Projection 0.65

Best Odds

o0.5 +210

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +181

o0.5 +180

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. This game is expected to have the most humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Austin Riley has a ton of pop (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (27.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill doesn't generate many whiffs (24th percentile K%) — great news for Riley.. Austin Riley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

+210 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+160)

Projection 1.88

Best Odds

o1.5 +165

Pick made: 28 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +157

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +165

+165 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

CHW @

TOR Fri, Jul 17 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+248)

Projection 0.43

Best Odds

o0.5 +248

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +248

o0.5 +215

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +220

o0.5 +230

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Montgomery in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Braden Montgomery is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Braden Montgomery will get to bat from his strong side against Spencer Miles in this game.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

+248 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)

Projection 0.75

Best Odds

o0.5 +169

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +169

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +158

o0.5 +155

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Extreme flyball hitters like Miguel Vargas tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Miles.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

+169 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

MIA @

MIL Fri, Jul 17 • 7:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+155)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +159

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +159

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +155

As it relates to his home run skill, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Heriberto Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

+159 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+134)

Projection 1.99

Best Odds

o1.5 +134

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +134

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +130

When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today's matchup.

+134 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

MIN @

CHC Fri, Jul 17 • 8:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+160)

Projection 1.96

Best Odds

o1.5 +160

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +147

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +160

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.3-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

+160 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Ian Happ o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 2.19

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +120

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.3-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Bailey Ober in this game.

+120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

SD @

KC Fri, Jul 17 • 8:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (-105)

Projection 2.28

Best Odds

o1.5 -105

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -109

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge in today's game.

-105 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.86

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +120

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Jac Caglianone is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Jac Caglianone will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's game.

+120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

BAL @

HOU Fri, Jul 17 • 8:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)

Projection 0.64

Best Odds

o0.5 +210

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +181

o0.5 +180

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Houston Astros.

+210 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.8

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +131

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +122

o1.5 +135

When it comes to his batting average ability, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jeremy Pena pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage today.

+135 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

CIN @

COL Fri, Jul 17 • 8:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

TJ Rumfield o1.5 Total Bases (-102)

Projection 2.02

Best Odds

o1.5 +100

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -103

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -102

o1.5 -105

T.J. Rumfield is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 92°.. T.J. Rumfield will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's matchup... and even better, Singer has a huge platoon split.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team today.. T.J. Rumfield will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

+100 at FanDuel

Total Bases

Troy Johnston o1.5 Total Bases (+141)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +141

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +141

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +135

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 92°.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Troy Johnston will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Troy Johnston will hold that advantage in today's game.

+141 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

DET @

LAA Fri, Jul 17 • 9:38 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Kevin McGonigle u1.5 Total Bases (-184)

Projection 0.92

Best Odds

u1.5 -182

Pick made: 58 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -184

u1.5 -190

u1.5 -185

u1.5 -182

u1.5 -190

The weather forecast projects the 5th-best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Reid Detmers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin McGonigle today.. Kevin McGonigle will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

-182 at Caesars

Total Bases

Dillon Dingler o1.5 Total Bases (+130)

Projection 1.73

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +123

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +119

o1.5 +135

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Dillon Dingler is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Dillon Dingler will have the handedness advantage against Reid Detmers in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.

+135 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

WAS @

ATH Fri, Jul 17 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Andres Chaparro u0.5 Total Hits (+133)

Projection 0.65

Best Odds

u0.5 +133

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +133

u0.5 +105

u0.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Chaparro in the 17th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Andres Chaparro is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. Andres Chaparro pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 78th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Andres Chaparro will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

+133 at DraftKings

Total Hits

Colby Thomas u0.5 Total Hits (+165)

Projection 0.75

Best Odds

u0.5 +165

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +165

Colby Thomas has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Batting from the same side that Cade Cavalli throws from, Colby Thomas will be at a disadvantage today.. Colby Thomas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 11th-deepest CF fences today.. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

+165 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

STL @

AZ Fri, Jul 17 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+109)

Projection 1.93

Best Odds

o1.5 +109

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +105

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +103

o1.5 +105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. JJ Wetherholt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today.

+109 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Nathan Church o1.5 Total Bases (+185)

Projection 1.4

Best Odds

o1.5 +185

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +168

o1.5 +185

o1.5 +165

o1.5 +175

Nathan Church will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's game.

+185 at bet365

View 10 Picks

SF @

SEA Fri, Jul 17 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+160)

Projection 1.98

Best Odds

o1.5 +163

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +163

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +160

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today's game.. Rafael Devers has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

+163 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Drew Gilbert o1.5 Total Bases (+311)

Projection 1.22

Best Odds

o1.5 +311

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +311

o1.5 +300

o1.5 +260

o1.5 +230

o1.5 +250

Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Drew Gilbert will have an edge today.

+311 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

AZ @

STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET

6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Game Prop

o2.5 Team Total (-115)

Best Odds

o2.5 +114

Pick made: 21 days ago

o2.5 +114

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed

Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)

Best Odds

o2.5 -137

Pick made: 21 days ago

o2.5 -137

o2.5 -150

o2.5 -141

o2.5 -155

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

Read Full Analysis

View 16 Picks

TOR @

CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET

4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)

Best Odds

o0.5 +425

Pick made: 25 days ago

o0.5 +370

o0.5 +425

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.

3 LEG PARLAY

Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits

Total Hits

Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Strikeouts Thrown

George Springer o1.5 Total Bases

Total Bases

Bet now

+280

Pick made: 25 days ago

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: one month ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: one month ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: one month ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: one month ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

SF @

ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Pick made: 28 days ago

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: 28 days ago

+110

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

Read Full Analysis

View 2 Picks

Covers Betting Team

Meet our team of experts

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Learn more

Visit all available MLB odds View now MLB odds
MLB Scores + Matchups View now MLB Scores + Matchups

Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more

MLB

07/16/2026 10:16 ET

2026 World Series Odds: Yankees Remain Favored AL Squad

Is the AL's All-Star win an omen?Read more

MLB

07/16/2026 04:26 ET

Mets vs Phillies Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's MLB Game

Mets start second half strong.Read more

MLB

07/16/2026 04:24 ET

Mets vs Phillies Prop Picks and Best Bets for Tonight, July 16

Realmuto will stay hot.Read more

MLB

07/16/2026 10:59 ET

Mets vs Phillies Home Run Predictions & Parlay for Thursday, July 16

Back Brandon Marsh, not Schwarber or Harper.Read more

What are Covers’ MLB Free picks and predictions?

Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.

We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.