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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 2, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.28 |
-140 
|
o9.5 -105 
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
4.64 |
+135 
|
u9.5 -110
|
+1.5 -128 
|
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-2 in Padres last 8 overall.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Sal Stewart o0.5 Total RBIs (+166)
o0.5+166
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.08 |
-153
|
o9.0 -105
|
-1.5 +105 
|
|
4.66 |
+143
|
u9.5 -135
|
+1.5 -115
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Washington
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.69 |
+147
|
o7.5 -110 
|
+1.5 -157
|
|
4.42 |
-152
|
u8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +140
|
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
- are 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
Texas
- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 home games.
- Under is 7-0 in Bradfords last 7 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 8-0 in Bradfords last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+207)
o0.5+207
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.05 |
-153
|
o11.0 -120
|
-1.5 -103
|
|
5.41 |
+143
|
u11.5 -115
|
+1.5 -110
|
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rockies last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+110)
o0.5+115
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.08 |
-110 
|
o9.5 -110
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.79 |
+100
|
u9.5 -110
|
+1.5 -160
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 6-0 in Painters last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 7-0 in Painters last 7 starts on grass.
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+116
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -184
|
|
4.67 |
-134
|
u11.5 -385
|
-1.5 +160
|
Seattle
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 overall.
- Under is 7-2 in Mariners last 9 vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games as a favorite.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Sandovals last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Sandovals last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Sandovals last 4 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total RBIs (+207)
o0.5+207
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.57 |
-127
|
o7.0 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.01 |
+120
|
u7.5 -130 
|
+1.5 -162
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in Ceases last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Ceases last 4 starts overall.
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cantillos last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-0 in Cantillos last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.17 |
+135
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -164
|
|
4.85 |
-145
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +140
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-2 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Roupps last 5 road starts.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Roupps last 4 starts as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
+147
|
o7.5 -124
|
+1.5 -157
|
|
4.43 |
-157
|
u8.5 -127
|
-1.5 +135
|
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0-1 in Scotts last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Scotts last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 vs. National League East.
- Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
o0.5+275
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.82 |
+105
|
o8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.53 |
-110
|
u9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -185
|
Detroit
- Under is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 overall.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 on grass.
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Kremers last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Kremers last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Kremers last 4 starts overall.
Top Projection
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.48 |
-153
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +107
|
|
4.05 |
+143
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -120
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League Central.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 6-0 in Petersons last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-0 in Petersons last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+242)
o0.5+242
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.78 |
-104
|
o8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.78 |
-105
|
u8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -178
|
Miami
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Perezs last 6 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Perezs last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Camerons last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.28 |
+125
|
o8.5 -104
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.54 |
-132
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +160
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 overall.
Houston
- Under is 4-0-1 in Wesneskis last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 overall.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 on grass.
Top Projection
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
o0.5+150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.86 |
-157
|
o6.5 -130
|
-1.5 +112
|
|
3.27 |
+147
|
u7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -128
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 on grass.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts overall.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Detmers' last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+266)
o0.5+266
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.23 |
+205
|
o7.5 -107
|
+1.5 -105
|
|
4.56 |
-240
|
u8.0 -118
|
-1.5 -103
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Yamamotos last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+325)
o0.5+325
SD
@
CIN
Wed, Sep 2 • 12:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Sal Stewart o0.5 Total RBIs (+158)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for right-handed home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 92°.. Sal Stewart has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (-101)
Projection 1.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jackson Merrill's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 92°.. Jackson Merrill has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
ATL
@
WAS
Wed, Sep 2 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Projection 0.15
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dylan Crews is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest in the majors.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 88°.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Keibert Ruiz o0.5 Total RBIs (+239)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 88°.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Grant Holmes.. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
ATH
@
TEX
Wed, Sep 2 • 2:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Justin Foscue o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.36
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Justin Foscue is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Given Jacob Lopez's large platoon split, Justin Foscue will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. The Athletics infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Justin Foscue will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.
BAL
@
COL
Wed, Sep 2 • 3:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o0.5 Total RBIs (+100)
Projection 0.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has big-time power (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano is a pitch-to-contact type (15th percentile K%) — great news for Encarnacion-Strand.
Total RBIs
Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Connor Norby has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Connor Norby will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
SEA
@
BOS
Wed, Sep 2 • 4:10 PM ET
Moneyline
SEA (+114)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
If this game were taking place at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, I would handicap it much differently than I do with the matchup being played at Fenway Park. Left-hander Patrick Sandoval gets the ball for the Red Sox, and he relies heavily on his changeup to generate outs and force hitters to put the ball on the ground. That strategy doesn't profile well against the Mariners' right-handed bats, including Randy Arozarena, Julio Rodríguez, Cal Raleigh, and Taylor Ward, who excel at driving pitches from left-handed pitchers with backspin into the gaps. A lefty who relies heavily on an off-speed pitch to generate outs is playing with fire against this Mariners lineup, especially at Fenway Park. At T-Mobile Park, the marine layer might turn some of those fly balls into outs, but at Fenway Park, they could easily become doubles off the Green Monster. The Mariners are trading at 46% on Polymarket, but I price them closer to a 50% underdog.
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 14th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his batting average ability.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Julio Rodriguez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Sandoval today... and even better, Sandoval has a large platoon split.. Julio Rodriguez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
TOR
@
CLE
Wed, Sep 2 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Alejandro Kirk o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #2 park in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs
Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+212)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for left-handed BABIP.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
SF
@
PIT
Wed, Sep 2 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Brandon Lowe will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
NYM
@
TB
Wed, Sep 2 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the league.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Tropicana Field ranks as the #2 park in the game for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+188)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for LHB home runs.. Jonathan Aranda will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Hagenman in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Hagenman has a large platoon split.. Jonathan Aranda has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
DET
@
MIN
Wed, Sep 2 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Kody Clemens u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total Bases
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Luke Keaschall has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Luke Keaschall will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
MIL
@
CHC
Wed, Sep 2 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 88°.. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 88°.. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage today.
MIA
@
KC
Wed, Sep 2 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jac Caglianone o0.5 Total Home Runs (+690)
Projection 0.17
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Jac Caglianone is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather of the day at 95°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 7th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his batting average talent.. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather of the day at 95°.
CHW
@
HOU
Wed, Sep 2 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Miguel Vargas ranks as the 18th-best batter in the game.. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yordan Alvarez as the best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average skill.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game.
NYY
@
LAA
Wed, Sep 2 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Ben Rice u1.5 Total Bases (-173)
Projection 0.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #3 stadium in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Reid Detmers will have the handedness advantage over Ben Rice in today's matchup.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ben Rice in today's game.
Total RBIs
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Hitting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Heliot Ramos will have the upper hand today.. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.
STL
@
LAD
Wed, Sep 2 • 10:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+360)
Projection 0.34
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height in the league.. Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yoshinobu Yamamoto today.. Hitters such as Nolan Gorman with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Yoshinobu Yamamoto who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for RHB home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height in the league.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
DET
@
CLE
Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
