The New York Yankees continue a series with the Los Angeles Angels tonight at Angel Stadium, with New York favored at 64%.
Gerrit Cole draws a favorable matchup against a strikeout-heavy Angels lineup, while Grayson Rodriguez’s fastball gives New York a clear offensive advantage.
My Yankees vs. Angels predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, Sept. 1 are below.
Who will win Yankees vs Angels today: Yankees moneyline (66%)
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
I’m backing the New York Yankees, and would play them to 67%.
Gerrit Cole has returned from Tommy John surgery with a 3.19 ERA and 3.26 xERA while maintaining a 26.1% strikeout rate against just a 5.2% walk rate. That profile fits particularly well against a Los Angeles Angels offense with MLB’s highest strikeout rate at 25%.
In addition, the Halos have just a .680 OPS against right-handed pitching, and their recent 10-run outburst came after posting a .585 OPS across the previous six games.
Meanwhile, Grayson Rodriguez owns a 5.46 xERA, .461 xSLG, and 45.0% hard-hit rate, ranking near the bottom of MLB in expected results and contact suppression.
His August results improved, but the underlying matchup remains difficult against a Yankees lineup with the third-most home runs in baseball.
COVERS INTEL: Rodriguez throws his four-seamer 54.3% of the time, and opponents have produced a .484 xSLG and 51.5% hard-hit rate against it this season.
Yankees vs Angels Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (51%)
I’m taking the Over and would play it to 52%.
The Yankees have the clearest scoring path. Rodriguez’s primary pitch has been hit hard all season, and New York has 10 home runs and a .453 SLG over its last seven games.
Rodriguez’s 2.93 ERA across five August starts looks encouraging, but it came despite a season-long profile that still sits in the fifth percentile in xERA and sixth percentile in hard-hit suppression. New York should force him to prove that improvement is sustainable.
Cole should control a strikeout-prone Angels lineup, but his 42.3% hard-hit rate leaves enough room for Los Angeles to contribute two or three runs.
Yankees vs Angels home run prediction: Ben Rice (22%)
Rodriguez throws his four-seamer more than half the time and has allowed a 51.5% hard-hit rate and .484 xSLG with the pitch.
Ben Rice has demolished four-seamers, producing a .778 xSLG and 65.8% hard-hit rate against them this season. He also leads New York with 35 home runs and carries a 15% barrel rate. I think he's the most likely of any Yankee to go yard and, luckily enough, fits the best value as well.
- ML/RL bets: 48-45, +4.28 units
- Over/Under bets: 54-39, +17.44 units
Yankees vs Angels weather
Conditions in Anaheim should be favorable with no significant weather concerns expected.
Yankees vs Angels odds
- Moneyline: Yankees 64% | Angels 37%
- Run line: Yankees -1.5 | Angels +1.5
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5
Yankees vs Angels trend
The Yankees have won four of Cole's last six starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Angels.
How to watch Yankees vs Angels and game info
| Location | Angel Stadium, Anaheim, CA |
| Date | Tuesday, Sept. 1, 2026 |
| First pitch | 9:38 p.m. ET |
| TV | YES, ABTV |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Gerrit Cole (7-7, 3.19 ERA) |
| Angels starting pitcher | Grayson Rodriguez (4-5, 6.03 ERA) |
Yankees vs Angels latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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