MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 18, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.00 @ 4.51

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Yankees vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.00

-106

o8.5 -107

-1.5 +150

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.51

+105

u9.0 -125

+1.5 -160

San Francisco @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

3.83 @ 4.76

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Giants vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

3.83

+175

o8.0 -115

+1.5 -120

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.76

-180

u8.5 -125

-1.5 +115

Detroit @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

4.13 @ 5.12

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Tigers vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

4.13

+134

o7.5 -120

+1.5 -155

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

5.12

-140

u8.5 -130

-1.5 +150

Top Projection Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
o0.5+175
Toronto @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.38 @ 3.62

TB
TB logo
TB

Blue Jays vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.38

+121

o7.5 -105

+1.5 -180

TB logo
TB
TB

3.62

-126

u7.5 -105

-1.5 +170

Top Projection George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+209)
o0.5+209
St. Louis @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats
Top Projection Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+203
Miami @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats
Top Projection Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+250
Arizona @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

3.78 @ 4.88

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Diamondbacks vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

3.78

+153

o8.0 -105

+1.5 -135

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.88

-160

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +130

Top Projection Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
o0.5+225
San Diego @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

4.88 @ 4.80

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Padres vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

4.88

-109

o8.5 -110

-1.5 +150

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.80

+104

u8.5 +100

+1.5 -160

Top Projection Luis Robert Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)
o0.5+192
Athletics @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.80 @ 4.99

KC
KC logo
KC

Athletics vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.80

+145

o6.5 -455

+3.5 -500

KC logo
KC
KC

4.99

-150

u9.5 -125

-3.5 +285

Top Projection Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
o0.5+144
Atlanta @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats
Top Projection Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Seattle @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.32 @ 4.47

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Mariners vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.32

+136

o7.5 -110

+1.5 -150

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.47

-142

u8.0 -125

-1.5 +149

Top Projection Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Washington @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.95 @ 4.31

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Nationals vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.95

+143

o8.0 -109

+1.5 -150

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.31

-146

u8.5 -125

-1.5 +140

Top Projection Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+236)
o0.5+236
Chi. White Sox @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.54 @ 5.43

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

White Sox vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.54

+155

o8.5 -125

+2.0 -220

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.43

-160

u9.5 -141

-2.0 +170

Top Projection Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+165
LA Angels @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.42 @ 5.17

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Angels vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.42

+151

o9.0 -114

+1.5 -135

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

5.17

-156

u9.5 -125

-1.5 +130

Top Projection Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
LA Dodgers @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

7.37 @ 5.99

COL
COL logo
COL

Dodgers vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

7.37

-180

o11.5 -110

-1.5 -120

COL logo
COL
COL

5.99

+175

u12.0 -120

+1.5 +110

Top Projection Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
o0.5+174
Detroit @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

3.80 @ 4.72

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Tigers vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

3.80

--

--

--

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.72

--

--

--

San Diego @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

5.55 @ 4.82

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Padres vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

5.55

--

--

--

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.82

--

--

--

Atlanta @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.70 @ 3.84

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

Braves vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.70

--

--

--

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

3.84

--

--

--

Chi. White Sox @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

3.76 @ 4.29

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

White Sox vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

3.76

--

--

--

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.29

--

--

--

Arizona @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.17 @ 5.15

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Diamondbacks vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.17

--

--

--

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

5.15

--

--

--

Miami @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.81 @ 5.47

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Marlins vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.81

--

--

--

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.47

--

--

--

NY Yankees @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.82 @ 3.87

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Yankees vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.82

--

--

--

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

3.87

--

--

--

Toronto @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.64 @ 4.67

TB
TB logo
TB

Blue Jays vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.64

--

--

--

TB logo
TB
TB

4.67

--

--

--

San Francisco @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

3.49 @ 5.01

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Giants vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

3.49

--

--

--

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

5.01

--

--

--

St. Louis @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

4.46 @ 4.85

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Cardinals vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

4.46

--

--

--

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.85

--

--

--

Athletics @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Athletics vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

--

--

--

--

KC logo
KC
KC

--

--

--

--

Seattle @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Mariners vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

--

--

--

--

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

--

--

--

--

Washington @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Nationals vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

--

--

--

--

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

--

--

--

--

LA Angels @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Angels vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

--

--

--

--

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

--

--

--

--

LA Dodgers @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Dodgers vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

--

--

--

--

COL logo
COL
COL

--

--

--

--

New York Yankees logo NYY @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Tue, Aug 18 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Hits
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo u0.5 Total Hits (+115)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Coby Mayo has been pinch hit for 46% of the time.. Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. In the past 14 days, Coby Mayo's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 94.8 mph to 89 mph.. Based on Statcast metrics, Coby Mayo grades out in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .208.. By putting up a 4.65 K/BB rate this year, Coby Mayo has shown weak plate discipline, ranking in the 6th percentile.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best stadium in MLB for righty home runs.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 83°.. Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today.
View 10 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Angel Martinez logo
Angel Martinez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.19
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Angel Martinez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Carson Whisenhunt.. Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Strikeouts Thrown
Foster Griffin logo
Foster Griffin o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-115)
Projection 6.22
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Foster Griffin has averaged 94.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 90th percentile.. The San Francisco Giants have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Bryce Eldridge, Rafael Devers, Jonah Cox, Willy Adames).. Projected catcher Austin Hedges projects as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Foster Griffin will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats in all categories.. Foster Griffin's high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (73.2% this year) should work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
View 6 Picks
Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage against Keider Montero in today's matchup.. Oneil Cruz has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (30.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Keider Montero struggles to strike batters out (8th percentile K%) — great news for Cruz.. Oneil Cruz will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage against Keider Montero in today's matchup.. Oneil Cruz has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (30.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Keider Montero struggles to strike batters out (8th percentile K%) — great news for Cruz.. Oneil Cruz will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
View 10 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR (+120)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

The Blue Jays finally had a day off yesterday after a stretch of 17 straight games. Over that stretch, Toronto posted the best team ERA in baseball and went 11-6 SU against some of the best teams in baseball. THE BAT has the Jays as a -125 favorite, but they’re trading at just +120, making this the best +EV play on the board today, according to the projection. The Jays also have a rested bullpen, while the Rays could be down two arms, including closer Bryan Baker, who threw 21 pitches yesterday and has pitched in two of the last three days. Their best lefty, Cam Booser, is also unavailable. Tampa Bay used Baker to close Monday's 7-6 win over Baltimore. Even with Vlad Guerrero on the shelf, Toronto can still win this game on pitching alone. Nick Martinez is coming off a 101-pitch complete game, his season high, which could affect his efficiency today. Jose Soriano has also looked good since coming over from the Halos

Total Home Runs
Ernie Clement logo Ernie Clement o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1200)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

Ernie Clement has the strongest numbers against Martinez, owning a .689 xSLG against the righty across seven at-bats. Clement came off the bench and played here in Game 2 against the Yankees and is in a prime spot to hit his first homer since Aug. 5 today.

View 14 Picks
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total
St. Louis Cardinals logo Cincinnati Reds logo u8.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Under 8.5 leans on Cincinnati’s struggling offense and both bullpens holding their own. The Reds have managed a 64 wRC+ over their last eight games, while St. Louis should face a strong Cincinnati relief corps once Abbott exits. With Leahy dealing, this matchup has a lower-scoring path tonight.

Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

St. Louis has the cleaner profile behind Kyle Leahy, who owns a 2.55 FIP over his last five starts with excellent control and limited homer damage. Cincinnati enters ice cold with a 64 wRC+ over its last eight games, while Andrew Abbott’s command issues give the Cardinals an offensive path.

View 12 Picks
Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total
Miami Marlins logo Philadelphia Phillies logo o8.5 (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Runs could be on the horizon in this matchup, as both offenses enter the evening swinging hot bats. More than half of the Marlins lineup hits from the left side, which creates a favorable matchup against Zack Wheeler. In his last three outings against left-handed hitters, Wheeler owns a 6.75 ERA, 5.78 xERA, 6.05 xFIP and 15.2% walk rate. Tyler Phillips has also struggled on the road, posting a near 6.00 ERA and 1.51 WHIP. With both offenses rolling, I expect another high-scoring affair after 11 runs crossed the plate last night.

Moneyline
Miami Marlins logo MIA (+197)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Marlins look like an intriguing underdog Tuesday after a narrow 6-5 loss to the Phillies last night. Miami's offense has started to heat up, posting a 119 wRC+, .339 wOBA and .759 OPS over its last six games. That could spell trouble for Zack Wheeler, who has struggled over his last three outings, recording a 5.84 ERA, 1.62 WHIP and 10.34% walk rate. Philadelphia's offense has been excellent, but Miami has more hitters barreling the baseball right now. With Tyler Phillips struggling to hold things down, the Marlins offer an appealing price near two-to-one in this matchup.

View 14 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Tue, Aug 18 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu logo Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

It's tough to find a hotter hitter this month than Boston's Wilyer Abreu. The lefty bat leads the league in slugging and xwOBA this month, and sits second in ISO. The HardHit% over that stretch is at a Dinger-sexy 62.5%, which is only behind three other hitters. The form is there, and the matchup is the deciding factor. Merrill Kelly has been hit hard all season and ranks in the bottom 25 in HR/FB and HR/9 among MLB starters. He is one of a handful of pitchers who ranks in the bottom 25 in all four of my favorite fade categories, which include HR/9, HR/FB, HardHit%, and BlastCont%. It's a great price in an average matchup, but this is elite form vs. a hit-hard pitcher and a number I'd buy to +350.  

Total
Arizona Diamondbacks logo Boston Red Sox logo o8.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Over 8.5 is built around Boston’s offense and Arizona’s shaky bullpen. Kelly has been hittable and wild lately, while the Diamondbacks’ relief corps owns a 5.33 xERA over the last week. Suarez is steadier, but Arizona’s offense is above average enough to contribute if Boston leads scoring.

View 13 Picks
San Diego Padres logo SD @ New York Mets logo NYM Tue, Aug 18 • 7:10 PM ET
Moneyline
San Diego Padres logo SD (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
Shawn Krest image
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

The Mets have been winning with pitching and defense, but rookie Zac Thornton's 15th percentile fastball velocity isn't a good match for a Padres lineup that feasts on the four-seamer. 

Total Bases
Luis Robert Jr. logo
Luis Robert Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Robert Jr. is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Citi Field.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.. Luis Robert Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray today.
View 11 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Tue, Aug 18 • 7:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Jack Perkins logo
Jack Perkins o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+150)
Projection 4.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jackson Perkins in the 83rd percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers.. Out of all SPs, Jackson Perkins's fastball velocity of 94.9 mph is in the 76th percentile this year.. Jackson Perkins's high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (65.8% this year) figures to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.. Jackson Perkins has compiled a 25.5% Strikeout% this year, placing in the 77th percentile.
Total Bases
Max Muncy logo
Max Muncy u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Max Muncy is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Max Muncy will hold the platoon advantage over Daniel Lynch in today's matchup.. In today's game, Max Muncy is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.7% rate (86th percentile).. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the strongest among every team playing today.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Max Muncy today.
View 10 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Tue, Aug 18 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Drake Baldwin logo Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total Home Runs (+350)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Drake Baldwin leads the team in average exit velocity (95.8 MPH) while ranking second in hard hit rate over the past 20 games.

Zebby Matthews has allowed a .202 ISO and 1.71 HR/9 to lefties, making this a great spot for Baldwin to get back in the home run column.

Bet to +325.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Minnesota Twins have hit .228 off righties in August with a pedestrian .140 ISO. They are not doing much damage at the plate, and it’ll be hard to change that with how Tyler Mahle is playing.

Zebby Matthews has allowed at least three earned runs in six of his last seven starts, and will have to contend with an Atlanta Braves lineup sitting eighth in xwOBA vs. righties.

Back Atlanta to -145.

View 13 Picks
Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Tue, Aug 18 • 7:40 PM ET
Total
Seattle Mariners logo Milwaukee Brewers logo o7.5 (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Over 7.5 has a path despite Milwaukee’s recent offensive slump. Seattle owns a 122 wRC+ over the last week, while Bryce Miller’s struggles give the Brewers a chance to contribute at home. The Mariners’ bullpen also owns a 4.55 FIP recently, keeping late scoring in play tonight.

Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (-155)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Milwaukee has the cleaner profile behind Kyle Harrison, who owns a 2.14 FIP at American Family Field compared to 4.87 on the road. Bryce Miller enters in shaky form with a 5.71 monthly FIP, and the Brewers’ 111 home wRC+ gives them a stronger offensive base overall tonight in Milwaukee.

View 12 Picks
Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Tue, Aug 18 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Jake Burger is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 2nd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jake Burger will have the handedness advantage over Jackson Kent in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 2nd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Brandon Nimmo's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 42.6% to 51.8%.
View 10 Picks
Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Tue, Aug 18 • 8:05 PM ET
Total
Chicago White Sox logo Chicago Cubs logo o8.5 (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Chicago Cubs rank third in wOBA and first in ISO during the month of August, and are certainly capable of making life difficult on a taxed bullpen.

While the Chicago White Sox haven’t hit for average, they have power that should play well at Wrigley with winds blowing out.

Bet to -135.

Total Home Runs
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Home Runs (+330)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

I don't mind going chalk when that chalk is MVP betting favorite Pete Crow-Armstrong, who just hit a walk-off extra-inning dinger last night to reach the 30/30 mark and is being priced on the good side of three dollars. PCA should be shorter than +300 in any matchup that isn't against an elite starter. Today is anything but an elite starter, as the White Sox are going with lefty opener Bryan Hutson before handing things over to right-hander Erick Fedde, who just lost his rotation spot and is one of the hardest-hit pitchers in baseball, ranking 37th-worst in HardHit% among MLB starters and 21st-worst in Blast Contact%. The wind is blowing out at Wrigley, and PCA is going to see some very hittable arms to keep padding those MVP numbers. He is a buy to +290 today.

 

View 14 Picks
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Houston Astros logo HOU Tue, Aug 18 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Minute Maid Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 9th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena logo
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 18th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average ability.. Jeremy Pena is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jeremy Pena pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today's game.
View 10 Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, Aug 18 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kyle Tucker logo Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Kyle Tucker has been much more productive on the road, and there’s no better environment to hit than Coors Field.

Tucker has left the park in 19% of his away games vs. starting pitchers who rank in the 30th percentile or worse vs. lefties. Ryan Feltner sits in the 16th percentile.

I’d play Tucker down to +450.

Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo Colorado Rockies logo o11.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Los Angeles Dodgers haven’t been themselves of late and they still rank in the 99th percentile with a .426 xSLG against righties.

They’re set up to score in abundance against Ryan Felter, who owns a seventh percentile ranking in xSLG and will have nowhere to hide at Coors.

Eric Lauer has also struggled with the long ball (2.01 HR/9), and the Colorado Rockies rank third in home OPS.

Play to -122.

View 13 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.