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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 17, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+150 
|
o7.5 -115 
|
+1.5 -155 
|
|
4.49 |
-140
|
u8.0 -125 
|
-1.5 +145
|
Baltimore
- Orioles are 5-0 in Youngs last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Rays are 9-1 in McClanahans last 10 starts on fieldturf.
- Under is 6-1-1 in McClanahans last 8 starts during game 4 of a series.
Top Projection
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
o0.5+155
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.08 |
-115
|
o9.0 -110 
|
-1.5 +135 
|
|
4.61 |
+110 
|
u9.5 -130
|
+1.5 -145
|
St. Louis
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
o1.5+155
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.26 |
+225
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 +105
|
|
5.21 |
-230
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 -115
|
Miami
- Over is 7-0 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Junks last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+148)
o0.5+148
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
-102
|
o8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
3.97 |
-105 
|
u8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -170
|
Detroit
- Over is 8-0-1 in Valdezs last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Valdezs last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Valdezs last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
Top Projection
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.44 |
+121
|
o8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.64 |
-130
|
u9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +155
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Bratts last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Red Sox are 9-1 in their last 10 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Red Sox last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.16 |
+111
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.73 |
-119
|
u8.0 -112 
|
-1.5 +170
|
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in Buehlers last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Padres are 6-0 in Buehlers last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Under is 4-0-1 in McLeans last 5 starts vs. National League West.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5+255
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.35 |
+165
|
o8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
5.00 |
-175
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +115
|
Athletics
- Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. American League Central.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 7-0 in Wachas last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.64 |
-115
|
o9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.87 |
+116
|
u12.5 -455
|
+1.5 -145
|
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Minnesota
- Twins are 5-0 in Obers last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Top Projection
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.28 |
+150
|
o8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
5.08 |
-157
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +130
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8.20 |
-250
|
o10.5 -115
|
-2.5 -115
|
|
4.61 |
+244
|
u11.0 -115
|
+2.5 +105
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Snells last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. National League West.
- Rockies are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 5-0 in Suganos last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 starts vs. National League West.
Top Projection
Adael Amador o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+160)
o1.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.94 |
-105
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
|
4.44 |
-105
|
u9.0 -115
|
+1.5 -165
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 8-1 in Warrens last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Warrens last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.73 |
+165
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.88 |
-175
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +120
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Whisenhunts last 4 starts as an underdog.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.16 |
+125
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
|
4.85 |
-135
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Monteros last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 7-0 in Ashcrafts last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.11 |
+125
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
|
3.61 |
-135
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +168
|
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 on fieldturf.
- Under is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.11 |
-110
|
o9.0 -105
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
|
4.80 |
+100
|
u9.5 -130
|
+1.5 -155
|
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.01 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.40 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 vs. National League East.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.14 |
+150
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
|
4.89 |
-160
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +135
|
Arizona
- Under is 8-0 in Kellys last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 8-0 in Kellys last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 6-0 in Kellys last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts as a favorite.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Red Sox last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.83 |
-112
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
|
4.67 |
-104
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -178
|
San Diego
- Padres are 8-1 in their last 9 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 8-1 in Mets last 9 home games.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.07 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Perkins' last 6 starts on grass.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.40 |
-120
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
|
4.73 |
+110
|
u8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -150
|
Atlanta
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0-1 in Matthews' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Twins last 10 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 8-1 in Matthews' last 9 starts during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
+130
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.54 |
-140
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +152
|
Seattle
- Under is 5-0-1 in Millers last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Millers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Millers last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Harrisons last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Harrisons last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.88 |
+134
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.37 |
-155
|
u8.0 -102
|
-1.5 +138
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 games as a favorite.
Texas
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.96 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.75 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Cubs last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
+134
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
5.09 |
-155
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +134
|
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 9-1 in Angels last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 road games.
- Under is 8-1 in Angels last 9 games following a loss.
Houston
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-2 in Astros last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
7.62 |
-170
|
o11.5 -115
|
-1.5 -110
|
|
|
6.17 |
+144
|
u12.0 -110
|
+1.5 -108
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 7-0 in Lauers last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Lauers last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Lauers last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 5-0 in Lauers last 5 road starts.
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Rockies last 9 games a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Feltners last 7 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 home games.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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Atlanta
- Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Braves are 10-1 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. National League East.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
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Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 7-2-1 in White Sox last 10 interleague games as a favorite.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 on grass.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
BAL
@
TB
Mon, Aug 17 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-112)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Over 7.5 works because both lineups are swinging well and the number is low. Baltimore owns a 120 wRC+ over the last week, while Tampa Bay sits at 134 with real power. Neither starter is untouchable, and the Rays bullpen gives this matchup late scoring upside tonight overall.
Moneyline
BAL (+140)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Baltimore has a live underdog profile with Brandon Young pitching steadily and Shane McClanahan battling command issues. Young owns a 3.76 FIP over his last five appearances, while McClanahan has walked 4.85 BB/9 lately. The Orioles’ 120 wRC+ in the last week gives them enough offensive upside tonight against Tampa Bay here.
STL
@
CIN
Mon, Aug 17 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as baseball's 16th-best home run hitter.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The #5 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Eugenio Suarez has strong power (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (31.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante has a pitch-to-contact profile (7th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #5 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, JJ Bleday will have an advantage in today's game.. JJ Bleday pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like JJ Bleday generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante.
MIA
@
PHI
Mon, Aug 17 • 6:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Cristopher Sanchez o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-125)
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor
Cristopher Sánchez has taken a massive leap forward this season with a pristine 15-4 record with a 2.54 ERA and 181 strikeouts across 25 starts. His combination of a high-70s wipeout changeup and a heavy sinker is generating soft ground-ball contact and elite swinging-strike rates. That has made it that much easier for him to own the divisional-rival Miami Marlins throughout his career (3-0, 1.06 ERA in 7 appearances). Miami’s current lineup continues to struggle with swing-and-miss against left-handed off-speed pitches, making this a prime spot for Sánchez to work deep while racking up whiffs.
Total Hits
Alec Bohm u0.5 Total Hits (+210)
Projection 0.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Alec Bohm is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Batting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Alec Bohm faces a tough challenge in today's matchup.. The Miami Marlins outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of every team on the slate today.
DET
@
PIT
Mon, Aug 17 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Dillon Dingler o0.5 Total Home Runs (+510)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Dillon Dingler's power against right-handed pitching and excellent four-seam fastball numbers give him a strong matchup against Carmen Mlodzinski, making his home run prop worth a quarter-unit at +450 or longer.
Total
o8.5 (+105)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
AZ
@
BOS
Mon, Aug 17 • 7:10 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (+109)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 8.5 leans on Bratt’s recent form and both bullpen profiles. Arizona’s offense is rolling, but Boston has cooled off, and the Red Sox are weaker at home. The Diamondbacks’ bullpen owns a 2.92 FIP with minimal homer damage, giving this matchup a lower-scoring path tonight at Fenway Park.
Moneyline
AZ (+129)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Arizona has value behind Mitch Bratt, who owns a 2.01 xERA over his last two outings. Boston has cooled off offensively and is weaker at Fenway, while the Red Sox are using a bullpen game. The Diamondbacks’ 133 wRC+ recent form gives them the edge tonight.
SD
@
NYM
Mon, Aug 17 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Carson Benge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+820)
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst
Carson Benge has shown solid power for the Mets in his rookie season, hitting 14 homers in 492 plate appearances. That includes three homers in August, with one coming over the weekend against the Nationals. After an awful start through April, Benge has shown massive improvement — slugging .560 in August — by far his best month yet.
While these teams have reputations as light-hitting teams, both have improved a bit as the season has worn on. While both rank below average in run scoring, they've gotten well out of the basement: the San Diego Padres are 21st (4.28 runs per game) and the New York Mets 22nd (4.18) in MLB. I'm betting the Over at -125 or better.
ATH
@
KC
Mon, Aug 17 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-119)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Bobby Witt Jr. draws one of my favorite spots on Monday, as the Royals shortstop owns the second-highest hitter rating of the day over at Batters-Box. Witt covers nearly 80% of Mason Barnett's pitch mix, and in nearly 30 elite ratings at home, he has cleared this prop more than 55% of the time, including seven of his last 10. Witt is also swinging a hot bat against right-handed pitching, posting a .333 BA, .519 SLG and .919 OPS across his last 30 plate appearances. Meanwhile, Barnett has been crushed by righties, making this -119 price worth paying.
Total Hits
Kyle Isbel u0.5 Total Hits (+144)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 8th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Kyle Isbel is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium has the deepest right field fences among all major league stadiums.
ATL
@
MIN
Mon, Aug 17 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+291)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Matt Olson enters Monday in an excellent spot against Twins right-hander Bailey Ober. Ober has struggled against left-handed hitters recently, allowing a 43.3% hard-hit rate, 13.3% barrel rate and 70% elevation rate over his last 30 lefties faced. Those hitters also own a .355 xBA, .680 xSLG and .363 xwOBA. Olson has been crushing the ball lately, producing a near 50% hard-hit rate and 32% barrel rate over his last 10 games, along with a .684 SLG and .447 ISO. After homering Sunday, Olson has another favorable matchup and is worth backing at near three-to-one odds tonight. Take this down to +275.
Moneyline
ATL (-120)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
The Atlanta Braves come into tonight as winners of 13 of their last 20 games, and are starting one of the hottest pitchers in baseball post-All-Star break. Martin Perez is not only rocking one of the lowest barrel rates of his career, but since the break he owns a 1.00 WHIP, 1.08 ERA, and is holding teams to a .479 OPS. Not bad.
CHW
@
CHC
Mon, Aug 17 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total Home Runs (+344)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Miguel Vargas finds himself in an excellent spot against Shota Imanaga tonight. Vargas has been swinging a hot bat, posting a .634 SLG, .366 ISO and 12.5% barrel rate over his last 10 games. He has also produced a .520 SLG and .320 ISO against left-handed pitching over his last 30 at-bats, with a 50% hard-hit rate and 11.1% barrel rate. While Vargas only covers 52.4% of Imanaga's pitch mix, his expected numbers against those offerings help offset that concern. Meanwhile, right-handed hitters have posted a .341 xBA, .530 xSLG and 14.3% barrel rate against Imanaga over his last 30 batters faced. Vargas should feast at +300.
Earned Runs Allowed
Shota Imanaga o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+125)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The White Sox enter Monday in a strong offensive spot against Cubs left-hander Shota Imanaga. Chicago ranks as the third-highest-rated offense on the slate, according to Batters-Box, with four elite-rated hitters in the lineup. The White Sox have also started to heat up, posting a 148 wRC+, .385 wOBA and .888 OPS over their last six games. Meanwhile, Imanaga has shown some exploitable underlying numbers across his last three starts, allowing a nearly 15% barrel rate and 81.6% elevation rate, with opponents producing a .527 xSLG. This looks like another opportunity for the White Sox to keep rolling offensively against the Cubs.
LAD
@
COL
Mon, Aug 17 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+197)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
After failing to deliver on Sunday, Shohei Ohtani gets another fantastic opportunity to go deep on Monday against Rockies starter Tomoyuki Sugano at Coors Field. Ohtani owns the No. 1 rating on Batters-Box and covers 100% of Sugano's pitch mix, while he has homered in 26% of 150 elite road ratings over the last three seasons. Sugano has also struggled against left-handed hitters, allowing 2.30 HR/9 and a 14% barrel rate over his last 60 faced. Those hitters have posted a .310 xBA and .638 xSLG. At +197, Ohtani is playable, but I would look for a boost.
Strikeouts Thrown
Tomoyuki Sugano u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-173)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Tomoyuki Sugano draws an excellent matchup to stay under his strikeouts against a Los Angeles Dodgers lineup that owns one of baseball's lowest strikeout rates away from home. However, Sugano has struggled to generate strikeouts at Coors Field, where he owns just a 13.33% strikeout rate. He also enters with the lowest matchup strikeout rate on Batters-Box and has stayed under this prop 63% of the time in 19 poorly rated matchup strikeouts. The Dodgers have been struggling offensively and need to get back on track, making Sugano a favorable punching bag.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
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If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
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Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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