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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
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Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 11, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.19 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.38 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 games as an underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a favorite.
- Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.65 |
+160 
|
o8.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -137 
|
|
4.76 |
-185 
|
u8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +125
|
Colorado
- Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 8-1 in Rockies last 9 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 vs. National League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 interleague home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 interleague games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.90 |
+132 
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.33 |
-148
|
u8.5 -120 
|
-1.5 +143
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 interleague games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.82 |
+120
|
o7.5 -119 
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.96 |
-135
|
u8.0 -106
|
-1.5 +165
|
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0-2 in McLeans last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mets are 5-0 in McLeans last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.80 |
+108
|
o8.5 -104
|
+1.5 -190 
|
|
4.62 |
-120
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +170
|
Baltimore
- Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 on astroturf.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as a road favorite.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
+146
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -149
|
|
4.79 |
-159
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +133
|
Houston
- Over is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
3.27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a win.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games.
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.31 |
+170
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -124
|
|
4.93 |
-195
|
u8.5 -106
|
-1.5 +112
|
Kansas City
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games following a win.
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 8-1 in Red Sox last 9 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.07 |
+164
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -132
|
|
4.88 |
-170
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +125
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Phillies are 10-1 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0-1 in Sales last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Sales last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Sales last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Sales last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.12 |
+158
|
o7.5 -122
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.50 |
-180
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +125
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 7-1 in Reds last 8 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Milwaukee
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 8-1 in Harrisons last 9 home starts.
- Over is 5-1 in Harrisons last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Brewers are 8-2 in Harrisons last 10 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
-120
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.02 |
+105
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -165
|
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 7-1 in Messicks last 8 starts as an underdog.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
-110
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.62 |
-105
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-2-1 in White Sox last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 39-12 in White Sox last 51 during game 1 of a series.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.99 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.76 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Rangers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
Arizona
- Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.73 |
-160
|
o9.5 -125
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
5.11 |
+150
|
u10.5 -118
|
+1.5 -105
|
Seattle
- Over is 7-2 in Mariners last 9 overall.
- Over is 10-3 in Mariners last 13 vs. American League West.
- Mariners are 0-7 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 16-5 in Mariners last 21 on grass.
Athletics
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 vs. American League West.
- are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.93 |
-140
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
3.65 |
+125
|
u8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -135
|
San Diego
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
San Francisco
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
HOU
@
TB
Fri, Sep 11 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (+258)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (45.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Christian Walker o1.5 Total RBIs (+750)
Projection 0.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
KC
@
BOS
Fri, Sep 11 • 7:10 PM ET
Spread
BOS -1.5 (+112)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Sonny Gray gives Boston a sizable starting-pitching advantage over Seth Lugo, whose 5.04 ERA makes him difficult to trust against this lineup at Fenway. Gray owns a 2.69 ERA with 17 wins, and Boston has the superior late-inning path. With the moneyline too expensive, I’ll lay the 1.5 runs instead.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.07
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.
PHI
@
ATL
Fri, Sep 11 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°.. Trea Turner will have the handedness advantage against Chris Sale today... and moreover, Sale has a huge platoon split.. Trea Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Trea Turner o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°.. Trea Turner will have the handedness advantage against Chris Sale today... and moreover, Sale has a huge platoon split.. Trea Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
CLE
@
MIN
Fri, Sep 11 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Jo Adell ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today.
Total RBIs
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Jo Adell ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today.
CHW
@
STL
Fri, Sep 11 • 8:15 PM ET
Total Bases
JB
Joshua Baez o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Joshua Baez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Joshua Baez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Considering Anthony Kay's large platoon split, Joshua Baez will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Joshua Baez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.24
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an advantage today.
SEA
@
ATH
Fri, Sep 11 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Max Muncy o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 79th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams playing today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Taylor Ward will have an edge in today's game.. Among every team playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Athletics.
SD
@
SF
Fri, Sep 11 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.9-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. The San Francisco Giants infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
