MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 24, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Fri, Jul 24 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Brice Turang is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. American Family Field profiles as the #10 stadium in baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
Total Bases
Andrew Vaughn logo
Andrew Vaughn o1.5 Total Bases (+139)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. The #10 venue in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. This contest is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Fri, Jul 24 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+148)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. This contest is predicted to have the 14th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Seiya Suzuki has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.6% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past week.. Seiya Suzuki has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 92.9-mph in the past week's worth of games.
Total Hits
Esmerlyn Valdez logo
Esmerlyn Valdez u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
25% of the time that Esmerlyn Valdez has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. Homers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest among all major league parks.. Among all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.. Despite posting a .452 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Esmerlyn Valdez has experienced some positive variance given the .118 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Fri, Jul 24 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Salvador Perez will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Nick Loftin logo
Nick Loftin o1.5 Total Bases (+268)
Projection 1.15
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Nick Loftin will have an edge today.. Nick Loftin's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 15.9% to 22.4%.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Fri, Jul 24 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the game.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #8 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°.. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Will Warren in today's matchup... and even better, Warren has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 15th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The #8 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Fri, Jul 24 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Curtis Mead is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest in MLB.. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Curtis Mead will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Curtis Mead will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+109)
Projection 2.05
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums.. James Wood has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.. James Wood will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Fri, Jul 24 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Austin Riley will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Rogers in today's matchup.. Austin Riley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.1
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the league.. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage over Grant Holmes in today's matchup.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Fri, Jul 24 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+138)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the game.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 ballpark in the game for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Junior Caminero will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Cantillo in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Jose Ramirez logo
Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jose Ramirez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 ballpark in the game for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.1% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the worst among every team today.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Fri, Jul 24 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Griffin Conine logo
Griffin Conine u0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Griffin Conine in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Griffin Conine is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.. 30% of the time that Griffin Conine has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game -5° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage today.. Over the last 14 days, Heriberto Hernandez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.8% to 21.7%.. Heriberto Hernandez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.4-mph figure.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ New York Mets logo NYM Fri, Jul 24 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+102)
Projection 2.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Shohei Ohtani's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 42.4% to 48.3%.. Shohei Ohtani has notched a .403 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Luis Robert Jr. logo
Luis Robert Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Luis Robert Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In terms of his batting average, Luis Robert Jr. has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .220 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .238.. Grading out in the 93rd percentile, the hardest ball Luis Robert Jr. has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.8 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Fri, Jul 24 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Ceddanne Rafaela o1.5 Total Bases (+138)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.
Total Bases
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+128)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Willson Contreras ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Willson Contreras pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Fri, Jul 24 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Based on Statcast metrics, Colson Montgomery is in the 25th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .233.. As it relates to plate discipline, Colson Montgomery's skill is quite weak, posting a 3.71 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 16th percentile.. Checking in at the 22nd percentile, Colson Montgomery has posted a .224 batting average this year.
Total Bases
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery u1.5 Total Bases (-196)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Braden Montgomery is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Braden Montgomery's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 94.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 92-mph over the past week.. Braden Montgomery has been cold of late, posting a 3.2% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) in the past two weeks' worth of games.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Fri, Jul 24 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Jake Burger is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 5th-shortest average fence height in MLB.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+139)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 5th-shortest average fence height in MLB.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Fri, Jul 24 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Royce Lewis is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 82°.. Given Jacob Lopez's large platoon split, Royce Lewis will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. The Athletics outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.
Total Bases
Luke Keaschall logo
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 82°.. Luke Keaschall will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Lopez in today's matchup... and moreover, Lopez has a large platoon split.. The Athletics outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Luke Keaschall will hold that advantage today.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Fri, Jul 24 • 8:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Spencer Steer logo
Spencer Steer o0.5 Total RBIs (+204)
Projection 0.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Spencer Steer has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 7.8% rate last season to 12.8% this year.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Fri, Jul 24 • 10:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best hitter in MLB.. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.. Bats such as Mike Trout with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Webb who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Mike Trout ranks in the 88th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .358.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+119)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. In the majors, Oracle Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage today.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.