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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 8, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.93 |
+158 
|
o9.5 +105 
|
+1.5 -126
|
|
5.80 |
-163 
|
u9.5 -110
|
-1.5 +120 
|
Toronto
- Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nolas last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
o0.5 +135
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
+112
|
o9.0 -108
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
5.86 |
-119
|
u9.5 -121
|
-1.5 +165
|
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
o0.5 +178
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
-130
|
o8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +124
|
|
4.20 |
+125 
|
u8.5 +101
|
+1.5 -137
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 road games.
- Reds are 8-0 in Burns' last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Burns' last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Washington
- Under is 5-0 in Alvarezs last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Alvarezs last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
+131
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.89 |
-136
|
u8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +146
|
Minnesota
- Under is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Twins are 7-0 in Bradleys last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in Gassers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Gassers last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Gassers last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+191)
o0.5 +195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.85 |
-148
|
o9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
4.67 |
+146
|
u9.5 -120
|
+1.5 -115 
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win.
Kansas City
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Royals are 4-0 in Lugos last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 home games.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+154)
o0.5 +155
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.46 |
-125
|
o7.0 -118
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
4.21 |
+119
|
u7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -152
|
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a favorite.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 on grass.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+214)
o0.5 +214
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
+107
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -199
|
|
4.68 |
-115
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +165
|
Houston
- Astros are 7-0 in Lamberts last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 5-0 in Lamberts last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Astros are 6-0 in Lamberts last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 vs. American League West.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
o0.5 +175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.56 |
-112
|
o7.5 -126
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
4.35 |
+106
|
u8.0 -105
|
+1.5 -161
|
Detroit
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Tigers are 5-0 in Jobes last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-2 in Roupps last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Roupps last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Roupps last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Roupps last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5 +202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
+138
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -148
|
|
4.97 |
-148
|
u8.5 +101
|
-1.5 +142
|
Colorado
- Rockies are 4-0 in Freelands last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
St. Louis
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Liberatores last 4 starts a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 11-1 in Cardinals last 12 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+147)
o0.5 +147
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.77 |
+136
|
o7.5 +105
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.27 |
-140
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +155
|
Baltimore
- Under is 5-0-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Orioles last 6 on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Bradishs last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Texas
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-0 in deGroms last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in deGroms last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in deGroms last 5 home starts.
Top Projection
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+202)
o1.5 +202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.75 |
-186
|
o8.5 -103
|
-1.5 -112
|
|
4.13 |
+179
|
u8.5 -107
|
+1.5 +105
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in Yamamotos last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 7-0 in Pfaadts last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Pfaadts last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Pfaadts last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Top Projection
Tim Tawa o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5 +300
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.16 |
+106
|
o6.5 -131
|
+1.5 -230
|
|
4.30 |
-112
|
u7.0 -112
|
-1.5 +188
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Kirbys last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Kirbys last 5 home starts.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Kirbys last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5 +260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.26 |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.13 |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Washington
- Nationals are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.87 |
+134
|
o8.5 -102
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
5.90 |
-131
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 vs. National League East.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.15 |
+197
|
-- |
-- |
|
5.33 |
-240
|
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Boston
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League West.
- Red Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
- Under is 25-4-1 in Red Sox last 30 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.99 |
+155
|
o9.0 -105
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
|
5.70 |
-183
|
u9.5 -3333
|
-1.5 +105
|
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.67 |
+122
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
|
5.02 |
-137
|
u8.5 -126
|
-1.5 +163
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.39 |
+134
|
o8.5 -103
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.76 |
-142
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +146
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games as a road underdog.
Miami
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Marlins are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.92 |
-161
|
o10.0 -109
|
-1.5 -102
|
|
|
4.51 |
+140
|
u10.5 -126
|
+1.5 -110
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games as a road favorite.
Kansas City
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 games a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.68 |
+206
|
o7.5 +102
|
+1.5 -105
|
|
|
4.54 |
-235
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 -104
|
Minnesota
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 10-1 in Twins last 11 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Milwaukee
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.80 |
-103
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +153
|
|
|
4.39 |
-110
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -183
|
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a favorite.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 on grass.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.65 |
+140
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
|
5.30 |
-148
|
u9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +134
|
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as a road underdog.
St. Louis
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a favorite.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+119
|
o8.5 -106
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
|
-- |
-124
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
Baltimore
- Under is 5-0-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Orioles last 6 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 road games.
Texas
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League East.
- Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Rangers are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 games a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-115
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +149
|
|
|
-- |
+102
|
u7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -170
|
Detroit
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+100
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -928
|
|
|
-- |
-103
|
u8.5 -3333
|
-1.5 -112
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Mariners last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-137
|
o8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +118
|
|
|
-- |
+124
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -135
|
LA Dodgers
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
San Diego
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 vs. American League West.
TOR
@
PHI
Sat, Aug 8 • 6:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+390)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Total Bases
Alejandro Kirk o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
NYM
@
PIT
Sat, Aug 8 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryan Reynolds's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Robert Stock) in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.35
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Francisco Alvarez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 16.9% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the last two weeks.. Francisco Alvarez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.2-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90.2-mph average.. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 16.3% on the season to 60% in the last week's worth of games.. Checking in at the 75th percentile for power, Francisco Alvarez has averaged 25.1 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
CIN
@
WAS
Sat, Aug 8 • 6:45 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Connor Burns u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-160)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Chase Burns enters in excellent form, posting a 2.84 FIP over his last three starts while allowing just 0.56 HR/9. Washington has cooled off with a 72 wRC+ over its previous seven games, and Burns already held the Nationals scoreless across six frames earlier this season, strengthening this angle.
Total RBIs
Daylen Lile o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Daylen Lile is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF fences in MLB.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 87°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
MIN
@
MIL
Sat, Aug 8 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. William Contreras is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. American Family Field ranks as the #7 venue in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in the league.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense.
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.04
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. American Family Field ranks as the #7 venue in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in the league.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense.
CHC
@
KC
Sat, Aug 8 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (-139)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Pete Crow-Armstrong is scorching hot, batting .400 with a .360 ISO and .760 slugging mark over his last seven games. His 58.8% hard-hit rate and 17.6% barrel rate are elite, while Seth Lugo’s recent hard-contact issues and Kansas City’s struggling bullpen give PCA multiple paths to clear total bases.
Total
u9.5 (-116)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Newly acquired right hander Clay Holmes is likely to make his Cubs debut tonight, and I think he is in a strong spot to help keep the Royals’ struggling offense quiet. Kansas City’s bats have been ice cold, and while Seth Lugo has struggled this season, I am not expecting the Cubs to completely explode offensively. Chicago is certainly capable of putting up eight or more runs on any given night, but I expect a more controlled offensive performance here. After last night’s higher scoring affair, I’m looking for both sides to settle in and produce a lower scoring game.
CLE
@
CHW
Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (-126)
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
Gavin Williams has been dominant since the break, while the White Sox are striking out and struggling to post runs. Anthony Kay has also been far better at home this season, posting an HR/9 of just 0.62 and an ERA of just 3.24 when pitching in friendly surroundings.
Neither lineup has been hitting for high power numbers since the break, and this should continue against two pitchers who are performing well at the moment.
Moneyline
CLE (-137)
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
Gavin Williams has posted a 1.26 xFIP since the break, the best in the majors. He also has struck out 48.4% of the batters he's faced—nearly nine percentage points higher than the next qualified pitcher.
The White Sox rank dead-last the past week with a 31.8% strikeout rate, and they'll once against struggle against a right-handed pitcher as they lose their fifth straight.
HOU
@
SD
Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. Manny Machado will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Taylor Trammell o1.5 Total Bases (+275)
Projection 1.17
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In Major League Baseball, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. Taylor Trammell will hold the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game.. Taylor Trammell has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 12.4% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Taylor Trammell has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.6-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 93.1-mph.
DET
@
SF
Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (+105)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
I am expecting plenty of offense tonight in San Francisco, with both the Giants and Tigers entering the matchup swinging hot bats. The Giants draw Jackson Jobe in his season debut, and several of their hitters have started to heat up against right handed pitching. Rafael Devers and Jung Hoo Lee have been especially important pieces of the offense as of late. On the other side, Detroit has been scorching over its last 12 games, posting a 150 wRC+, .383 wOBA and .879 OPS. While the weather could create some challenges, I believe the momentum from both offenses will outweigh the conditions.
Moneyline
SF (-103)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
I am backing the San Francisco Giants as a slight home underdog against the Detroit Tigers. Detroit sends right hander Jackson Jobe to the mound for his season debut after he posted a 4.22 ERA and 1.49 WHIP across 10 starts in 2025. Jobe also carries a poor matchup rating on Batters-Box, along with poor matchup marks in ISO and strikeout rate. On the other side, Landen Roupp has been significantly better at home, posting a 2.97 xERA and 1.17 WHIP while allowing just 22% hard contact and a 3% barrel rate. Despite their sub-100 wRC+, San Francisco's bats have been heating up against right handed pitching.
COL
@
STL
Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+276)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
St. Louis Cardinals young star Jordan Walker finds himself in an excellent spot to go deep against Colorado Rockies southpaw Kyle Freeland. The veteran left hander has struggled against right handed bats on the road, allowing a .315 BA, .550 SLG and .390 wOBA. Over his last 60 right handed batters faced, they are producing a 52% hard-hit rate, 13% barrel rate and 63% elevation rate. Walker has also feasted on left handed pitching, posting a .300 BA, .837 OPS, .378 wOBA and 58% hard-hit rate over his last 60 at-bats. At +250, Walker is worth a look.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (-116)
Projection 2.11
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Busch Stadium has the 5th-lowest fences among all major league stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 89°.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Jordan Walker will have an edge today.
BAL
@
TEX
Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (-115)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Jacob deGrom has done a much better job of limiting damage at home. He owns a 3.04 ERA and 0.80 HR/9 in Texas compared to a 4.87 ERA and 1.73 HR/9 on the road.
Kyle Bradish’s strong hard hit rate (31.8%) should help him limit power, as he has done effectively all year (0.97 HR/9).
I make fair value -132.
Moneyline
TEX (-150)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Jacob deGrom is not in great form but he has been very good on the year, pitching to a 3.26 xFIP.
He is in a nice spot to rebound against a Baltimore Orioles team that pulled the plug at the trade deadline, selling multiple everyday bats for futures.
He won't need much run support to position the Texas Rangers to win.
Bet to -160.
LAD
@
AZ
Sat, Aug 8 • 8:10 PM ET
Moneyline
LAD (-175)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Los Angeles Dodgers rank first in OPS and wOBA vs. righties despite their recent struggles.
They are a breakout waiting to happen, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed two runs or fewer in seven of nine road starts with better underlyings to boot.
Back LA to end its losing streak up to -185.
Total
u8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed a modest 1.01 homers per nine innings and ranks in the 90th percentile with a 5.7% walk rate.
His ability to keep the ball in the park, and limit free baserunners, makes it very difficult on opponents to put together big innings.
Brandon Pfaadt has been even better at limiting the longball (0.92 HR/9), and has conceded just one bomb over his last 40.1 innings of work.
Bet to -120.
TB
@
SEA
Sat, Aug 8 • 9:50 PM ET
Total
u6.5 (+119)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
Tampa has been Under two straight and seven of 10. The Rays have the sixth-worst Over record in MLB, while the Mariners have scored 0 or 1 in three of the last four games. The Rays have the sixth-worst Over record in MLB, and the Mariners have scored 0 or 1 in three of the last four.
Moneyline
TB (+101)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
Seattle is 8-12, .400, since the All-Star Break, and this is just their fifth game since then against a winning team—they've won once.
So why are the M's favored? Not because of the pitching matchup. Tampa's Griffin Jax has a slightly better ERA (3.63) and WHIP (1.21) than Seattle's George Kirby and better metrics (strikeout rate, chase rate, whiff rate, and run value).
CLE
@
CHW
Sun, Aug 9 • 2:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (+101)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
With both divisional rivals struggling to score, this pick 'em matchup comes down to baseline execution. Joey Cantillo gets the start for Cleveland, giving the Guardians enough run-prevention stability to pull out a narrow victory against a White Sox team that is currently lacking offensive firepower.
DET
@
SF
Sun, Aug 9 • 4:05 PM ET
Moneyline
DET (-115)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Detroit is absolutely raking right now, leading all of Major League Baseball with a blistering 147 wRC+ over the last 14 days. Troy Melton leads the charge against Logan Webb, benefiting from elite offensive support at nearly even odds to secure a big road victory in San Francisco.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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