MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 24, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Fri, Jul 24 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. American Family Field profiles as the #10 stadium in baseball for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. This contest is forecasted to have the 10th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 14th-best home run batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #10 venue in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. Among all major league stadiums, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Fri, Jul 24 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Esmerlyn Valdez profile picture
Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Nico Hoerner profile picture
Nico Hoerner o0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Chicago Cubs logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo
o8.0
Total
Bet now
Pick made: an hour ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Esmerlyn Valdez is the king of hard contact right now, and Matthew Boyd is in the Bottom 10th percentile in that area. The righty/lefty split just solifidies this parlay leg. Nico Hoerner has swung a hot bat since the All-Star break, hitting .407. I don't see either Boyd or Jared Jones lasting very long in this game, prolonging exposure to two bullpens ranked in the bottom half of xFIP this season. Play to +300.

Total Home Runs
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o0.5 Total Home Runs (+650)
Projection 0.18
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. This contest is predicted to have the 7th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage over Jared Jones in today's matchup.. Michael Busch has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 92.4-mph.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Fri, Jul 24 • 6:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Kansas City Royals logo Detroit Tigers logo o7.5 (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

This total sits at 7.5, and the bullpens create enough scoring paths. Kansas City owns a 107 wRC+ over the last week, while Detroit has shown some pop with a .185 ISO. With both relief corps carrying shaky recent xERA marks, late offense could push this matchup Over tonight.

Spread
Detroit Tigers logo DET -1.5 (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Tarik Skubal enters in solid form, posting a 3.04 FIP over his last five appearances while allowing only a 17.5% hard-hit rate. Kansas City’s opener setup should expose a struggling bullpen, giving Detroit a clear path to create separation if Skubal keeps the Royals quiet early tonight at Comerica Park.

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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Fri, Jul 24 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.22
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the game.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #8 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Will Warren in today's matchup... and even better, Warren has a large platoon split.. Bryce Harper has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Amed Rosario logo
Amed Rosario o0.5 Total RBIs (+375)
Projection 0.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Amed Rosario's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Amed Rosario is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #8 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers.. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Amed Rosario will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Fri, Jul 24 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Andres Chaparro logo
Andres Chaparro u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andres Chaparro's BABIP talent is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. When starting against a southpaw this year, Andres Chaparro has been pinch hit for 70% of the time.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst stadium in the majors for RHB batting average.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which often leads to worse offense.. Among every team today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Total Bases
Max Kepler logo
Max Kepler o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Max Kepler is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the slate.. Carson Palmquist will hold the platoon advantage against Max Kepler today... and it's a particular mismatch considering Palmquist's huge platoon split.. Max Kepler pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Fri, Jul 24 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Drake Baldwin logo
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of the day.. The Baltimore Orioles have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Drake Baldwin stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Total Bases
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o1.5 Total Bases (+107)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of the day.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his better side against Trevor Rogers in this game.. Ozzie Albies has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 17.4° angle is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (90th percentile).
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Fri, Jul 24 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the game.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 ballpark in the game for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Junior Caminero will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Cantillo in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Rhys Hoskins logo
Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 ballpark in the game for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Rhys Hoskins will hold the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup.. Rhys Hoskins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the worst among every team today.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Fri, Jul 24 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
German Marquez logo
German Marquez o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+126)
Projection 3.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 9th-best park in the league for strikeouts.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 18th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. In the last 7 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 21.1%.. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 96.3-mph over the past two weeks.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ New York Mets logo NYM Fri, Jul 24 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Teoscar Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today... and moreover, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Teoscar Hernandez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Teoscar Hernandez's launch angle in recent games (21.2° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 14.6° seasonal figure.
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.25
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Shohei Ohtani's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 42.4% to 48.3%.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Fri, Jul 24 • 7:15 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Toronto Blue Jays logo
TOR
Moneyline
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. profile picture
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Trey Yesavage profile picture
Trey Yesavage o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
Bet now
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
Ethan Diamandas image
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst

For my same-game parlay, I'm backing Vladimir Guerrero Jr. over 1.5 total bases, Trey Yesavage over 5.5 strikeouts, and the Blue Jays moneyline, riding Toronto's renewed momentum and a favorable matchup at Fenway.

Total Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+525)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
Ethan Diamandas image
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has torched Fenway Park throughout his career and draws another favorable matchup against left-hander Patrick Sandoval, making him an enticing quarter-unit home run play at +500 or longer.

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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Fri, Jul 24 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Based on Statcast metrics, Colson Montgomery is in the 25th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .233.. As it relates to plate discipline, Colson Montgomery's skill is quite weak, posting a 3.71 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 16th percentile.. Checking in at the 22nd percentile, Colson Montgomery has posted a .224 batting average this year.
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Over the past week, Munetaka Murakami's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 19.3% down to 9.1%.. Munetaka Murakami has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93.7-mph dropping to 90.6-mph in the last two weeks.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Munetaka Murakami's true offensive talent to be a .344, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .036 difference between that figure and his actual .380 wOBA.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Fri, Jul 24 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Total RBIs (+186)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 5th-shortest average fence height in MLB.. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
Total RBIs
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the league's 9th-best home run hitter.. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 5th-shortest average fence height in MLB.. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.6°, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 44.5° mark in the last 7 days.. Despite posting a .259 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cal Raleigh has experienced some negative variance given the .085 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .344.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Fri, Jul 24 • 8:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Byron Buxton profile picture
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Jacob Wilson profile picture
Jacob Wilson o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Tyler Soderstrom profile picture
Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Byron Buxton returned late from the All-Star break, but picked up four hits in the recently-concluded series with the Guardians. He boasts an elite matchup rating on Batters-Box vs. Jacob Lopez, who's been throwing batting practice all year long (6.64 ERA). Lopez's opposite number is Zebby Matthews, who hasn't pitched much better. That's why I'm hitching my wagon to two of the hottest A's bats since the break; Jacob Wilson (1.097 OPS) and Tyler Soderstrom (.968 OPS). Both bullpens are in the bottom third in xFIP over the last two weeks, increasing the opportunities for all three hitters. Play to +450.

Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.33
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shea Langeliers projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the best hitting conditions on the slate today.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams in action today.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Fri, Jul 24 • 8:15 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Elly De La Cruz profile picture
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Alec Burleson profile picture
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Cincinnati Reds logo St. Louis Cardinals logo
o8.5
Total
Bet now
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Elly De La Cruz is on a roll since the second half started (1.060 OPS), and he brings a 93rd percentile hard-hit rate into a matchup with Dustin May's eighth percentile one. Alec Burleson is batting .414 since the break, and Rhett Lowder has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball all season (5.64 xERA). Two bullpens ranked in the bottom third in xFIP over the last two weeks will only help contribute to the Over tonight. Play to +400.

Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Sporting a .388 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Sal Stewart is positioned in the 99th percentile for offensive skills.. Using Statcast data, Sal Stewart is in the 99th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 41.800.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Fri, Jul 24 • 10:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Eldridge is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the majors, Oracle Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.. Bryce Eldridge will hold the platoon advantage over Grayson Rodriguez in today's game.
Total RBIs
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Eldridge is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the majors, Oracle Park's RF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.. Bryce Eldridge will hold the platoon advantage over Grayson Rodriguez in today's game.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 3 Picks

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Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.