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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 5, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.99 |
+162 
|
o7.5 -120 
|
+1.5 -140 
|
|
5.18 |
-177
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +120 
|
San Francisco
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1-2 in Giants last 7 overall.
NY Mets
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Thorntons last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.79 |
-130 
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.35 |
+120
|
u8.5 -118 
|
+1.5 -148
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 on grass.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 vs. National League East.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 4-0 in Gustos last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Marlins are 4-0 in Gustos last 4 home starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.63 |
+143
|
o7.5 -128 
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.25 |
-153
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +140
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Perezs last 4 starts on grass.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
o1.5+140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.78 |
+143
|
o7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
3.89 |
-150 
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +145
|
Detroit
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Valdezs last 5 road starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Valdezs last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 7-1 in Messicks last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+257)
o0.5+257
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.71 |
-157
|
o9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +102
|
|
4.95 |
+147
|
u9.5 -120
|
+1.5 -115
|
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+223)
o0.5+223
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.84 |
+157
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
4.67 |
-170
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +125
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 7-0-1 in Angels last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Kikuchis last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Angels last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Pirates last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.27 |
-134
|
o7.5 -121
|
-1.5 +123
|
|
4.36 |
+130
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -135
|
Boston
- Over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 overall.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Over is 8-0 in Bassitts last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Bassitts last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Orioles last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5+300
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.79 |
-105
|
o6.5 -135
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
4.02 |
-105
|
u7.5 -134
|
+1.5 -190
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 road games.
- Rays are 6-0 in Rasmussens last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 on grass.
- Rays are 6-0 in Rasmussens last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
Texas
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+254)
o0.5+254
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.55 |
-104
|
o9.5 -114
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
5.67 |
-105
|
u9.5 -104
|
+1.5 -162
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 overall.
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.70 |
+106
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -192
|
|
4.52 |
-115
|
u8.5 -117
|
-1.5 +165
|
Minnesota
- Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a home favorite.
- White Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games.
Top Projection
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.24 |
+101
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
4.26 |
-111
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. American League East.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.83 |
-105
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
4.50 |
-105
|
u8.5 -106
|
+1.5 -170
|
Arizona
- Over is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Houston
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 1-0-3 in Astros last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 interleague games.
- Astros are 9-1 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.62 |
-117
|
o10.5 -125
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
5.45 |
+110
|
u11.0 -115
|
+1.5 -145
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League West.
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 home games.
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.85 |
+205
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -114
|
|
5.04 |
-216
|
u8.0 -114
|
-1.5 +100
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Max Muncy u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
u0.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.53 |
+220
|
o7.5 -122
|
+1.5 +105
|
|
4.61 |
-245
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 -110
|
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-0-1 in last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Seattle
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 vs. American League West.
- Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Top Projection
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total Home Runs (+800)
o0.5+800
SF
@
NYM
Sat, Sep 5 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Hits
JC
Jonah Cox u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 3rd-worst stadium in the majors for RHB batting average.. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.6-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hurlers.. Jonah Cox will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
Total Bases
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.94
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. This contest is projected to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Anthony Molina today.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today.
ATL
@
PHI
Sat, Sep 5 • 6:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 7th-best batter in the game.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #9 park in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Bryce Harper has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Mike Yastrzemski o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.31
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #9 park in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Mike Yastrzemski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and moreover, Wheeler has a large platoon split.
DET
@
CLE
Sat, Sep 5 • 6:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Chase DeLauter o0.5 Total RBIs (+232)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Chase DeLauter is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #2 field in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. Chase DeLauter has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Hits
David Fry u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry's BABIP talent is projected in the 15th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. David Fry is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. This game is projected to have the 5th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. There has been a decrease in David Fry's average exit velocity this year, from 87.8 mph last year to 85.6 mph now
MIL
@
CIN
Sat, Sep 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Jake Bauers o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Jake Bauers is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #4 park in MLB for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB.. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
LAA
@
PIT
Sat, Sep 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Total RBIs (+500)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Esmerlyn Valdez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Esmerlyn Valdez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The #4 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate at 77%.. Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Esmerlyn Valdez will have an advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Zach Neto o1.5 Total RBIs (+800)
Projection 0.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Zach Neto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate at 77%.
BOS
@
BAL
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mickey Gasper o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Mickey Gasper ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mickey Gasper is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest.. The switch-hitting Mickey Gasper will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Chris Bassitt... and even better, Bassitt has a large platoon split.. Mickey Gasper's 10.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 75th percentile this year.
Total RBIs
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Coby Mayo will hold that advantage today.. Coby Mayo has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last season's 87.5-mph mark.. This year, Coby Mayo's 12.9% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 88th percentile among his peers.
TB
@
TEX
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:05 PM ET
Moneyline
TEX (-103)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Texas is swinging the bats at an elite level, ranking second in MLB with a 124 wRC+ over the last fortnight. Jacob deGrom at home as a plus-money underdog against a flat Tampa Bay offense (84 wRC+) is the clearest form-versus-price discrepancy on the entire Saturday slate.
Total RBIs
Liam Hicks o0.5 Total RBIs (+259)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Liam Hicks is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Liam Hicks will have an advantage in today's game.. Sporting a .287 batting average this year, Liam Hicks has performed in the 94th percentile.
TOR
@
KC
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total RBIs (+420)
Projection 0.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jac Caglianone ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jac Caglianone is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast predicts the most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average talent.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast predicts the most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
MIN
@
CHW
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ryan Jeffers o1.5 Total RBIs (+575)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.
Total RBIs
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Royce Lewis is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties.. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Considering Anthony Kay's large platoon split, Royce Lewis will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
NYY
@
SD
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
NYY (-105)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Carlos Rodón and Robbie Ray should duel, but New York holds the offensive edge. The Yankees boast a 112 wRC+ over the last 14 days, compared to San Diego’s sluggish 91 wRC+. With pricing set essentially at pick'em, back the lineup producing extra-base hits at a higher rate.
Total Hits
Cody Bellinger u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #4 stadium in the game for suppressing BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Robbie Ray will hold the platoon advantage against Cody Bellinger in today's matchup.. In today's game, Cody Bellinger is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.7% rate (85th percentile).. Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray.
AZ
@
HOU
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
HOU (-105)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
At near pick'em odds, Houston has the decisive bullpen advantage. Houston relievers have dominated with a 3.02 FIP and 3.55 SIERA over the last two weeks. Arizona’s offense is sputtering down at an 84 wRC+, making Ethan Pecko and the Astros' superior bullpen the correct side tonight.
Total RBIs
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total RBIs (+450)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the game.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for long-balls.. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup.. Yordan Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
STL
@
COL
Sat, Sep 5 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.. Batting from the opposite that Mason Adams throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand today.. Nolan Gorman has strong power (96th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (33.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Mason Adams is a pitch-to-contact type (3rd percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+110)
Projection 0.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the game's 12th-best home run batter.. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.
WAS
@
LAD
Sat, Sep 5 • 9:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total RBIs (+500)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Mookie Betts ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #3 park in the majors for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dylan Crews is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #3 park in the majors for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Dylan Crews hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences today.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team in action today.
ATH
@
SEA
Sat, Sep 5 • 9:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
George Kirby o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+116)
Projection 6.05
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
George Kirby has averaged 92.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year, grading out in the 81st percentile.. The Athletics have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Max Muncy, Zack Gelof, Henry Bolte).. Projected catcher Cal Raleigh projects as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-best park in MLB for strikeouts.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.
Total RBIs
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Taylor Ward will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's game.. Taylor Ward has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
