MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 6, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

PHI @

KC Mon, Jul 6 • 2:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 2.13

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +110

o1.5 -115

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +103

o1.5 +120

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 10th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 85°.

+120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total RBIs

Derek Hill o0.5 Total RBIs (+246)

Projection 0.43

Best Odds

o0.5 +246

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +246

o0.5 +240

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +205

o0.5 +200

Derek Hill's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 10th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 85°.. Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Derek Hill will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

+246 at DraftKings

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NYY @

TB Mon, Jul 6 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+160)

Projection 1.68

Best Odds

o1.5 +162

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +162

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +160

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 park in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Cody Bellinger will hold the platoon advantage against Griffin Jax today.. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

+162 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.82

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 park in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Jax throws from, Ben Rice will have an advantage today.. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

+120 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

HOU @

WAS Mon, Jul 6 • 6:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Curtis Mead o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.83

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +119

o1.5 +120

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Curtis Mead ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Curtis Mead is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Nationals Park has the shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team playing today.

+125 at bet365

Total Bases

Isaac Paredes o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.74

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +125

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Nationals Park has the shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.

+125 at bet365

View 10 Picks

NYM @

ATL Mon, Jul 6 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.89

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +111

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +115

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most suitable for hitting of the day.

+120 at BetMGM

Total Bases

Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.85

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: 26 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +120

As it relates to his home run ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. The 4th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.

+125 at bet365

View 10 Picks

MIL @

STL Mon, Jul 6 • 7:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Jake Bauers o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.62

Best Odds

o0.5 +200

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +158

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +150

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +158

o0.5 +150

When it comes to his home run talent, Jake Bauers ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Bauers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°.. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage against Dustin May today... and even better, May has a large platoon split.. Jake Bauers will probably have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.

+200 at BetMGM

Total RBIs

Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)

Projection 0.69

Best Odds

o0.5 +160

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +128

o0.5 +130

o0.5 +145

o0.5 +160

o0.5 +134

o0.5 +135

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°.. Batting from the opposite that Shane Drohan throws from, Jordan Walker will have an edge in today's matchup.

+160 at BetMGM

View 10 Picks

AZ @

SD Mon, Jul 6 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+143)

Projection 1.72

Best Odds

o1.5 +145

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +143

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +136

o1.5 +145

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt today.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

+145 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+130)

Projection 1.73

Best Odds

o1.5 +137

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +137

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +130

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.

+137 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

TOR @

SF Mon, Jul 6 • 9:45 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

SF (-116)

Best Odds

-102

Pick made: 18 hours ago

-123

-110

-106

-102

-105

Kevin Gausman has allowed 14 earned runs across his last three starts, and he won't have an easier time against a Giants lineup that is slashing .393/.413/.719 against the right-hander. Meanwhile, Landen Roupp boasts both a Barrel % and hard-hit rate that rank in the 93rd and 95th percentile at Baseball Savant. Take the Giants to prevail at home.

Total RBIs

Sean Keys o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)

Projection 0.43

Best Odds

o0.5 +265

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +235

o0.5 +265

o0.5 +220

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +220

o0.5 +210

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Sean Keys will have an edge today.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

+265 at bet365

View 11 Picks

COL @

LAD Mon, Jul 6 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (-114)

Projection 2.14

Best Odds

o1.5 -114

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -114

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -145

o1.5 -121

o1.5 -115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Andy Pages is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the game for RHB home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.

-114 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+103)

Projection 1.9

Best Odds

o1.5 +103

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +103

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +100

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Mookie Betts is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the game for RHB home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

+103 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

MIL @

STL Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.52

Best Odds

o0.5 +190

Pick made: 2 months ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +179

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge today.. Brice Turang has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last season's 94-mph average.

+190 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)

Projection 0.56

Best Odds

o0.5 +174

Pick made: 2 months ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +174

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +160

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge today.. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

+174 at DraftKings

View 2 Picks

AZ @

STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET

6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Game Prop

o2.5 Team Total (-115)

Best Odds

o2.5 +114

Pick made: 10 days ago

o2.5 +114

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed

Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)

Best Odds

o2.5 -137

Pick made: 10 days ago

o2.5 -137

o2.5 -150

o2.5 -141

o2.5 -155

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

Read Full Analysis

View 16 Picks

TOR @

CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET

4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)

Best Odds

o0.5 +425

Pick made: 14 days ago

o0.5 +370

o0.5 +425

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.

3 LEG PARLAY

Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits

Total Hits

Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Strikeouts Thrown

George Springer o1.5 Total Bases

Total Bases

Bet now

+280

Pick made: 14 days ago

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: 24 days ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 24 days ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: 29 days ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: 29 days ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

SF @

ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Pick made: 17 days ago

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: 17 days ago

+110

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

Read Full Analysis

View 2 Picks

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