Padres vs Dodgers Prop Picks for Sunday Night Baseball

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 5, 2026 , 12:05 PM ET • 4 min read

Freddie Freeman headlines three bats worth backing at Chavez Ravine.

Los Angeles Dodgers first baseman Freddie Freeman (5).
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Dodgers first baseman Freddie Freeman (5).

Freddie Freeman has driven in nine runs over his last eight games against a left-handed starting pitcher.

Freeman draws a struggling southpaw tonight in JP Sears, which is why he headlines my Padres vs. Dodgers props and MLB picks for Sunday Night Baseball.

Make sure to also check out our full Padres vs. Dodgers predictions before first pitch at 7:20 p.m. ET!

Padres vs Dodgers props for July 5

Pick Odds
Dodgers Andy Pages Over 0.5 runs -145
Dodgers Freddie Freeman Over 0.5 RBIs +145
sd logo Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 singles -115
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Padres vs Dodgers player prop picks

Andy Pages Over 0.5 runs (-145)

Andy Pages has hit .264 off lefties with a rock-solid .350 OBP. He is consistently getting on base, allowing him to score regularly as part of a loaded Los Angeles Dodgers attack.

Meanwhile, righties have hit .314 against JP Sears with a whopping .399 xwOBA to boot.

Isolating matchups with left-handed pitchers ranking in the 30th percentile or worse in xwOBA vs. righties, Pages has scored in eight of 11 games — and six of seven victories.

I’d back Pages to score up to -155.

Freddie Freeman Over 0.5 RBIs (+145)

Freddie Freeman has been an RBI machine against left-handed pitchers. Thanks to a .409 average with runners in scoring position, he has knocked in at least one run in 13 of 23 starts vs. lefties.

Freeman has done so in seven of the last eight wins when facing a left-handed starter, which is certainly notable with the Dodgers listed as -200 favorites on the moneyline. 

A +145 price tag implies a 40.8% probability, which feels low given Freeman has knocked in a run 56.5% of his starts vs. lefties – and 62.5% of victories.

Bet to +117.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 singles (-115)

Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit righties much better of late, posting a .317 average since June 1. He leads the San Diego Padres by a margin of 14 hits during that span.

Nearly 63% of Tatis' hits against right-handed pitchers were singles, and Dodgers right-hander Emmet Sheehan ranks in the 48th percentile in batting average vs. righties. 

Sheehan is not untouchable, and Tatis Jr. is the most likely Padres player to cause problems. 

Bet to -125.

How to watch Padres vs Dodgers and game info

Location Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date Sunday, July 5, 2026
First pitch 7:20 p.m. ET
TV NBC/Peacock

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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