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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 7, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
+197 
|
o7.5 -116
|
+1.5 -112
|
|
4.94 |
-210 
|
u8.0 -110 
|
-1.5 +100 
|
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games.
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.76 |
+125
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.81 |
-131
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +152
|
NY Mets
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games.
- Under is 8-2 in Mets last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Under is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
Top Projection
Carson Benge o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
o0.5 +206
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.63 |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
5.16 |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Washington
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.19 |
+143
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -155 
|
|
4.89 |
-148
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +140
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 vs. National League East.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
o1.5 +140
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.85 |
+230
|
o8.5 -121
|
+2.0 -121 
|
|
5.13 |
-252
|
u9.0 -110
|
-2.0 -108
|
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 21-4-2 in last 27 vs. American League East.
Boston
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 7-1 in Red Sox last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Red Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+213)
o0.5 +213
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.39 |
+150
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.75 |
-160
|
u9.5 -131
|
-1.5 +126
|
LA Angels
- Under is 8-0-1 in Angels last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague games.
Miami
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.77 |
+158
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -148
|
|
5.32 |
-160
|
u8.0 -116 
|
-1.5 +145
|
Minnesota
- Under is 5-1-1 in Twins last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 10-1 in Twins last 11 games as a road favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
-135
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.28 |
+125
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -137
|
Cleveland
- Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Messicks last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 8-1 in White Sox last 9 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.69 |
-157
|
o9.5 -115
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
4.65 |
+152
|
u10.0 -120
|
+1.5 -118
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Kansas City
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.69 |
+135
|
o7.5 -116
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.31 |
-142
|
u8.5 -128
|
-1.5 +155
|
Baltimore
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 vs. American League West.
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
Texas
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League East.
- Over is 11-2 in Rangers last 13 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 games a home underdog.
- Over is 15-3 in Rangers last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
+147
|
o8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -142
|
|
4.99 |
-157
|
u9.0 -125
|
-1.5 +136
|
Colorado
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
St. Louis
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 12-2 in Cardinals last 14 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.77 |
-166
|
o9.0 -120
|
-1.5 -103
|
|
4.88 |
+165
|
u9.5 -126
|
+1.5 -110
|
LA Dodgers
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.84 |
+110
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -191
|
|
4.67 |
-120
|
u8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +173
|
Houston
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Astros last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.88 |
+105
|
o6.5 -126
|
+1.5 -210
|
|
4.45 |
-112
|
u7.0 -108
|
-1.5 +171
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Seattle
- Over is 7-0-1 in Mariners last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.02 |
-120
|
o8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.33 |
+114
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -170
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Tigers last 9 overall.
- Tigers are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-131
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
NY Yankees
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 10-2 in Angels last 12 overall.
Miami
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+180
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-229
|
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-161
|
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-209
|
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Under is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 8-2 in Mets last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as a road underdog.
Washington
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-183
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Milwaukee
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 overall.
- Under is 8-0 in Royals last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 on grass.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Royals last 5 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 road games.
- Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Over is 7-1 in Astros last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 road games.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
San Diego
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 13-2-1 in Tigers last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-209
|
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
St. Louis
- Under is 8-1-1 in Cardinals last 10 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 10-1 in Cardinals last 11 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League West.
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 vs. American League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 vs. National League West.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games as a road underdog.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Under is 8-2 in Rays last 10 games as a road favorite.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mariners last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
TOR
@
PHI
Fri, Aug 7 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+114)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the league's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Jose Soriano today.. Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Schwarber tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Soriano.
Total RBIs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+237)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls many of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
NYM
@
PIT
Fri, Aug 7 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Carson Benge o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Carson Benge is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 82%.. Carson Benge will hold the platoon advantage against Carmen Mlodzinski in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 82%.. Bryan Reynolds will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
ATL
@
NYY
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Spencer Jones u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 14.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. Spencer Jones has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's game.
ATH
@
BOS
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jonah Heim o0.5 Total RBIs (+234)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jonah Heim is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 88°.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Jonah Heim will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Tolle in today's game.. Jonah Heim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Caleb Durbin o0.5 Total RBIs (+179)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Caleb Durbin is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 88°.. Caleb Durbin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Athletics infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams playing today.. Caleb Durbin will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
LAA
@
MIA
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Josh Lowe will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total Hits
Kyle Stowers u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Today, Kyle Stowers is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.2% rate (83rd percentile).
MIN
@
MIL
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+525)
Projection 0.22
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Drohan throws from, Ryan Jeffers will have an edge today.
Total Bases
Christian Yelich o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Batting from the same side that Connor Prielipp throws from, Christian Yelich will have a tough challenge today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Christian Yelich will hold that advantage in today's game.
CLE
@
CHW
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Miguel Vargas will hold the platoon advantage over Parker Messick in today's game.. Miguel Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as Major League Baseball's 15th-best home run batter.. Colson Montgomery is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Colson Montgomery will hold that advantage today.
CHC
@
KC
Fri, Aug 7 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.04
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the best for hitting on the slate.. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Total Home Runs
Michael Busch o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Projection 0.16
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Michael Busch is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the best for hitting on the slate.. Michael Busch may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Kansas City Royals only has 1 same-handed RP.
BAL
@
TEX
Fri, Aug 7 • 8:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Dylan Beavers o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Beavers in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Dylan Beavers is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Dylan Beavers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's game.. Extreme groundball batters like Dylan Beavers usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.
Total RBIs
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+172)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best batter in the game.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Corey Seager will have an edge in today's game.. Corey Seager will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
COL
@
STL
Fri, Aug 7 • 8:15 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-115)
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor
I don't have any faith in these respective pitching staffs on Friday night. Kyle Leahy carries a 5.19 xERA into this one, well above his actual ERA of 3.44. The Rockies are 11th in OPS since the All-Star break. Ryan Feltner owns a 5.75 ERA and has struggled just to stay in the majors over his brief career. The bullpens are both Bottom 5 by ERA over the last 30 days. I'd play this at -125, or to +100 if the line rises to 9.
Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Leahy in today's matchup.
LAD
@
AZ
Fri, Aug 7 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Roki Sasaki throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage in today's game.
HOU
@
SD
Fri, Aug 7 • 9:40 PM ET
FirstInning Total
FirstInning o0.5 (+105)
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor
There's a good chance that both Ronel Blanco and Robbie Ray get sent to the showers early on Friday night, so I'm loving the plus odds on the YRFI line. Blanco has allowed 3+ runs in each of his first three starts since recovering from Tommy John surgery. Ray's xERA (4.47) is over a full point higher than his actual one (3.08), with tons of blue ink on his Baseball Savant page. With both offenses in the Top 6 in OPS since the break, YRFI is playable to -115.
Total RBIs
Jeremy Pena o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average ability, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 15th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Jeremy Pena will have an edge in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Jeremy Pena usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray.
TB
@
SEA
Fri, Aug 7 • 9:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Dominic Canzone o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Dominic Canzone has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Dominic Canzone will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage over Logan Gilbert today.. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (39.6% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Among every team today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.
DET
@
SF
Fri, Aug 7 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Willy Adames has big-time power (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Keider Montero struggles to strike batters out (25th percentile K%) — great news for Adames.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Willy Adames has big-time power (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Keider Montero struggles to strike batters out (25th percentile K%) — great news for Adames.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today's game.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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