Toronto @ Cleveland Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johnathan Rodriguez in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #9 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in the league. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Johnathan Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, compiling a .437 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .126 disparity.

Carlos Carrasco will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Davis Schneider in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Davis Schneider in today's game.

Carlos Carrasco will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Turner today. Out of every team in action today, the best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Justin Turner today. Justin Turner's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 89.5-mph mark last year has dropped to 87.1-mph.

Jose Ramirez has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 8.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days. From last year to this one, Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 44.3% to 33.6%. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, going from 33.6% on the season to 20.7% in the past 14 days. Jose Ramirez has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .358 figure is considerably higher than his .328 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the same side that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a tough challenge today. Today, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.7% rate (89th percentile). Out of every team in action today, the best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today. There has been a significant decline in Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle from last season's 10.2° to 5.6° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Tyler Freeman is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The #9 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Tyler Freeman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Progressive Field grades out as the #9 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 75%. Bo Naylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Fry in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. David Fry is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The #9 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 75%.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Progressive Field grades out as the #9 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Progressive Field grades out as the #9 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 75%.

Andres Gimenez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Progressive Field grades out as the #9 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an edge in today's game.

The #9 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in the league. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #9 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences in the league. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. George Springer has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .263 mark is deflated compared to his .337 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 75%. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Isiah Kiner-Falefa's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 12.9% to 17.9%.

Progressive Field grades out as the #9 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage today. Brayan Rocchio has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 3.5% seasonal rate to 9.5% in the last two weeks. Brayan Rocchio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 20.5% on the season to 31.8% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Progressive Field grades out as the #9 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Will Brennan will have the upper hand in today's game. Will Brennan will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Danny Jansen is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #9 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Danny Jansen pulls many of his flyballs (43.2% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Danny Jansen's launch angle this year (23.4°) is considerably higher than his 19.5° mark last year.

The #9 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Austin Hedges pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Austin Hedges will hold that advantage in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Hedges's launch angle from last season's 15.7° to 22° this year.

Progressive Field grades out as the #9 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Addison Barger will have the upper hand today. In the last 7 days, Addison Barger's maximum exit velocity (a good proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 109.5-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in MLB.

Progressive Field grades out as the #9 stadium in baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the most humidity of all games on the slate at 75%. Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage over Yariel Rodriguez in today's matchup. Daniel Schneemann will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ernie Clement has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.