Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
ATL
@
SD
Wed, Jun 24 • 8:40 PM ET
u8.0 (-110)
The San Diego Padres own a league-worst .285 on base percentage against left-handed pitching.
Martin Perez has conceded two runs or fewer in 11 of 14 starts and this is a great spot for him to do so again.
While the Atlanta Braves possess a lot of power vs. lefties, they sit 19th in OBP.
Play to -120.
ATL (-135)
JP Sears posted a 5.04 ERA last season while allowing 1.99 homers per nine innings.
That's a recipe for disaster against the Atlanta Braves, who rank third in home runs, eighth in SLG, and ninth in ISO when facing left-handed pitching.
It'll be difficult for a putrid San Diego Padres offense to keep up.
Back Atlanta to -150.
ATH
@
SF
Wed, Jun 24 • 9:45 PM ET
Nick Kurtz and Shea Langeliers both profile as strong hitting options against Tyler Mahle, thanks to outstanding arsenal coverage and elite Batters-Box ratings. Kurtz owns 100% arsenal coverage in the matchup, while Langeliers checks in at 82%, with both players recording hits in roughly 70% of their elite-rated opportunities. Mahle's heavy fastball usage plays into the strengths of this Athletics lineup, and nearly half of his pitch mix grades below league average. With four elite-rated hitters in the order and Mahle carrying poorly rated wOBA, ISO, and hard contact metrics, Oakland is well positioned to generate offense throughout the game.
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-123)
Nick Kurtz draws a strong matchup against Tyler Mahle and enters in peak form. Kurtz carries elite Batters-Box ratings with full arsenal coverage in this spot and has historically cleared this prop at a near 71% rate in similar road profiles, including a 25% home run clip. Mahle relies heavily on his fastball and has struggled with hard contact, particularly against left-handed hitters who have produced elevated launch rates and a .505 expected slugging over his recent sample. Kurtz’s current form is strong, posting elite contact metrics and impact production over his last stretch versus right-handed pitching.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
ATL (-112)
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-110)
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
NYY (-135)
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
o7.5 (-116)
SF (+124)
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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