MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 8, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.44 @ 3.93

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Braves vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.44

-134

o7.0 -135

-1.5 +129

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

3.93

+126

u7.5 -116

+1.5 -142

LA Angels @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.51 @ 4.53

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Angels vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.51

+146

o7.5 -103

+1.5 -153

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.53

-154

u7.5 -105

-1.5 +140

Top Projection Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+228)
o0.5 +228
Athletics @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.21 @ 5.22

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Athletics vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.21

+240

o9.0 -113

+2.5 -150

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

5.22

-252

u9.5 -131

-2.5 +110

Top Projection Jonah Heim o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5 +230
Toronto @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.95 @ 5.99

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Blue Jays vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.95

+149

o9.5 -103

+1.5 -137

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.99

-156

u9.5 -107

-1.5 +126

Top Projection Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
o1.5 +110
NY Mets @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.83 @ 5.84

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Mets vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.83

+120

o8.5 -131

+1.5 -175

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

5.84

-122

u9.0 -110

-1.5 +162

Top Projection Esmerlyn Valdez o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5 +185
Cincinnati @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.66 @ 4.21

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Reds vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.66

-136

o8.5 -112

-1.5 +120

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.21

+130

u8.5 +101

+1.5 -136

Top Projection Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
o0.5 +219
Minnesota @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.87 @ 4.67

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Twins vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.87

+138

o8.0 -110

+1.5 -160

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.67

-144

u8.5 -116

-1.5 +146

Top Projection Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+221)
o0.5 +221
Chi. Cubs @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.83 @ 4.52

KC
KC logo
KC

Cubs vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.83

-158

o9.5 +105

-1.5 -103

KC logo
KC
KC

4.52

+151

u9.5 -116

+1.5 -109

Top Projection Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5 +185
Cleveland @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.59 @ 4.15

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Guardians vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.59

-124

o7.5 +105

-1.5 +140

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.15

+116

u7.5 -116

+1.5 -155

Top Projection Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
o1.5 +140
Houston @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.50 @ 4.57

SD
SD logo
SD

Astros vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.50

+108

o7.5 -112

+1.5 -200

SD logo
SD
SD

4.57

-116

u8.0 -115

-1.5 +173

Top Projection Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
o1.5 +110
Detroit @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

4.52 @ 4.33

SF
SF logo
SF

Tigers vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

4.52

-110

o8.0 -110

-1.5 +146

SF logo
SF
SF

4.33

+105

u8.5 -116

+1.5 -161

Top Projection Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5 +195
Colorado @ St. Louis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

4.63 @ 5.05

STL
STL logo
STL

Rockies vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

4.63

+140

o8.5 -112

+1.5 -155

STL logo
STL
STL

5.05

-148

u8.5 +101

-1.5 +140

Top Projection Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+163)
o0.5 +163
Baltimore @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

3.66 @ 4.28

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Orioles vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

3.66

+138

o7.5 +105

+1.5 -168

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.28

-142

u7.5 -115

-1.5 +155

Top Projection Christian Encarnacion-Strand u1.5 Total Bases (-175)
u1.5 -175
LA Dodgers @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.68 @ 4.23

AZ
AZ logo
AZ

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.68

-171

o8.0 -125

-1.5 -104

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.23

+159

u8.5 -107

+1.5 -107

Top Projection Nolan Arenado o0.5 Total RBIs (+282)
o0.5 +282
Tampa Bay @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

4.19 @ 4.34

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Rays vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

4.19

+104

o7.0 -105

+1.5 -210

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.34

-112

u7.5 -131

-1.5 +188

Top Projection Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
o0.5 +260
Cincinnati @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

5.24 @ 5.12

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Reds vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

5.24

-126

--

--

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

5.12

+109

--

--

Atlanta @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.85 @ 5.91

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Braves vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.85

+119

--

--

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.91

-137

--

--

Athletics @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.02 @ 5.17

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Athletics vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.02

+188

--

--

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

5.17

-240

--

--

Toronto @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.94 @ 5.63

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Blue Jays vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.94

+146

--

--

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.63

-209

--

--

NY Mets @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.60 @ 4.94

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Mets vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.60

+119

--

--

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.94

-137

--

--

LA Angels @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.45 @ 4.59

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Angels vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.45

+119

--

--

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.59

-142

--

--

Chi. Cubs @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

6.83 @ 4.50

KC
KC logo
KC

Cubs vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

6.83

-155

--

--

KC logo
KC
KC

4.50

+134

--

--

Minnesota @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

3.71 @ 4.57

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Twins vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

3.71

+206

--

--

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.57

-265

--

--

Cleveland @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.79 @ 4.38

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Guardians vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.79

-103

--

--

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.38

-121

--

--

Colorado @ St. Louis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

4.66 @ 5.32

STL
STL logo
STL

Rockies vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

4.66

+134

--

--

STL logo
STL
STL

5.32

-155

--

--

Baltimore @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Orioles vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

--

+114

--

--

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

--

-142

--

--

Detroit @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Tigers vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

--

-116

--

--

SF logo
SF
SF

--

-103

--

--

Tampa Bay @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Rays vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

--

-116

--

--

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

--

+101

--

--

LA Dodgers @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

--

-131

--

--

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

--

+114

--

--

Houston @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Astros vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

--

+105

--

--

SD logo
SD
SD

--

-126

--

--

Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 8 • 3:05 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo New York Yankees logo u7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I'd play the Under to 7. 

Both starters can control the shape of this game. Sale gives Atlanta strikeout upside against a Yankees lineup that has been flat-out bad, while Cole is still more than capable of limiting traffic even if his barrel profile creates some concern.

If Sale handles the Yankees’ cold stretches and Cole avoids the multi-run homer, this profiles more like a lower-scoring road favorite script than a full offensive eruption. In fact, it could look a lot like last night.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-137)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I'm on the Atlanta Braves in this spot for two units down to -155. The New York Yankees were lucky to get a win last night. The offense has remained dreadful for a few weeks now (just look at a wOBA near the bottom of the league over the last 30 days) and this is a strength-on-weakness matchup against Gerrit Cole. 

Cole has allowed a 9.5% barrel rate, 42.6% hard-hit rate, and 67% air-ball rate this season, which is not ideal against an Atlanta lineup that ranks fourth in baseball in barrel rate. 

We could debate about who's the better pitcher longterm but there's no doubt Chris Sale has had a better season than Cole on the other side. His strikeout-heavy profile matches up well against a lineup that is whiffing more than ever lately at a 26% strikeout rate over the last seven days. 

 

 

View 12 Picks
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, Aug 8 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Javier Sanoja logo
Javier Sanoja u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Javier Sanoja is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.. The #1 field in baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. Walbert Urena will have the handedness advantage over Javier Sanoja in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+228)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the game.. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park.. Over the last week, Mike Trout's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.9%.. Mike Trout has posted a .358 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 88th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, Aug 8 • 4:10 PM ET
Total
Athletics Athletics logo Boston Red Sox logo u9.5 (-131)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Under 9.5 works because Oakland is doing little offensively and Boston’s bullpen has been dominant. The Red Sox relief corps owns a 1.93 xERA over its last 26.1 innings with minimal homer damage. If Oakland’s bullpen limits Boston after Jump exits, this stays under ten runs at Fenway today overall.

Spread
Boston Red Sox logo BOS -1.5 (-131)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Boston has a strong path to create separation against Oakland with its offense rolling and Gage Jump battling command issues. The Red Sox own a 158 wRC+ over the last week, while Jake Bennett has limited hard contact. Oakland’s cold offense gives Boston a cleaner full-game profile at Fenway today.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sat, Aug 8 • 6:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jesus Sanchez logo
Jesus Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup.. Jesus Sanchez has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 19°, Kazuma Okamoto has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26.2° angle in the last two weeks' worth of games.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, Aug 8 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Esmerlyn Valdez logo
Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Esmerlyn Valdez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Esmerlyn Valdez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Esmerlyn Valdez will hold that advantage today.. Checking in at the 97th percentile, Esmerlyn Valdez has put up a .398 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.. Esmerlyn Valdez has recorded a .497 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 99th percentile.
Total Bases
Spencer Horwitz logo
Spencer Horwitz o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Because of Robert Stock's large platoon split, Spencer Horwitz will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage today.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sat, Aug 8 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest in MLB.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°.. Eugenio Suarez will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Alvarez today.
Total Hits
Noelvi Marte logo
Noelvi Marte u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Noelvi Marte is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.. Nationals Park ranks as the #24 stadium in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense.. Extreme groundball hitters like Noelvi Marte usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Alvarez.. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among all the teams today.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, Aug 8 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang as the 19th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP skill.. Brice Turang is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #7 field in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in the league.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense.
Total Bases
Garrett Mitchell logo
Garrett Mitchell u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The weather report forecasts the 5th-best pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Compared to his seasonal angle of 2.4°, Garrett Mitchell has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-11.5°) over the past 14 days.. Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Garrett Mitchell has been lucky given the .021 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.. Garrett Mitchell has paced 12.1 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 24th percentile for power.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Sat, Aug 8 • 7:10 PM ET
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Kansas City Royals logo u9.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Newly acquired right hander Clay Holmes is likely to make his Cubs debut tonight, and I think he is in a strong spot to help keep the Royals’ struggling offense quiet. Kansas City’s bats have been ice cold, and while Seth Lugo has struggled this season, I am not expecting the Cubs to completely explode offensively. Chicago is certainly capable of putting up eight or more runs on any given night, but I expect a more controlled offensive performance here. After last night’s higher scoring affair, I’m looking for both sides to settle in and produce a lower scoring game.

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-168)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Kansas City Royals have struggled badly at the plate over the last month, posting a 91 wRC+, .685 OPS, 38% hard-hit rate, and 5.8% barrel rate. Meanwhile, the Chicago Cubs have been one of the better offenses during that same stretch, carrying a 119 wRC+, .345 wOBA, and .779 OPS. Tonight's matchup also favors Chicago, with Royals starter Seth Lugo drawing three elite-rated hitters and four others with strong ratings on Batters-Box. Lugo owns the second-worst pitcher rating on the slate, while Chicago has the second-highest average hitter matchup rating. Despite the juice, the Cubs are worth backing, especially on the runline.

View 12 Picks
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (-122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Gavin Williams faces Anthony Kay in an evenly priced pick 'em spot. In their past 14 days, Cleveland holds a decisive edge in overall run prevention, boasting a 3.78 bullpen SIERA and a 25.8% strikeout rate compared to Chicago's 4.33 SIERA. With identical moneyline odds, trust the stronger pitching staff to pull it out.

Strikeouts Thrown
Gavin Williams logo
Gavin Williams u7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Projection 6.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andy Fletcher projects as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #27 field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chicago White Sox have 7 bats in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Williams in this game.. Gavin Williams will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. Gavin Williams has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling an 11.53 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.97 — a 0.56 K/9 disparity.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o1.5 Total Bases (+184)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage today.. Using Statcast metrics, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 79th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .332.. Daulton Varsho has paced 40.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+154)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today's game.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total
Detroit Tigers logo San Francisco Giants logo o8.5 (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

I am expecting plenty of offense tonight in San Francisco, with both the Giants and Tigers entering the matchup swinging hot bats. The Giants draw Jackson Jobe in his season debut, and several of their hitters have started to heat up against right handed pitching. Rafael Devers and Jung Hoo Lee have been especially important pieces of the offense as of late. On the other side, Detroit has been scorching over its last 12 games, posting a 150 wRC+, .383 wOBA and .879 OPS. While the weather could create some challenges, I believe the momentum from both offenses will outweigh the conditions.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

I am backing the San Francisco Giants as a slight home underdog against the Detroit Tigers. Detroit sends right hander Jackson Jobe to the mound for his season debut after he posted a 4.22 ERA and 1.49 WHIP across 10 starts in 2025. Jobe also carries a poor matchup rating on Batters-Box, along with poor matchup marks in ISO and strikeout rate. On the other side, Landen Roupp has been significantly better at home, posting a 2.97 xERA and 1.17 WHIP while allowing just 22% hard contact and a 3% barrel rate. Despite their sub-100 wRC+, San Francisco's bats have been heating up against right handed pitching.

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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jordan Beck logo
Jordan Beck o0.5 Total RBIs (+285)
Projection 0.41
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Busch Stadium has the 5th-lowest fences among all major league stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 89°.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Jordan Beck will have the upper hand in today's game.. Despite posting a .245 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Beck has suffered from bad luck given the .050 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.11
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Busch Stadium has the 5th-lowest fences among all major league stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 89°.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Jordan Walker will have an edge today.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total
Baltimore Orioles logo Texas Rangers logo u7.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Jacob deGrom has done a much better job of limiting damage at home. He owns a 3.04 ERA and 0.80 HR/9 in Texas compared to a 4.87 ERA and 1.73 HR/9 on the road.

Kyle Bradish’s strong hard hit rate (31.8%) should help him limit power, as he has done effectively all year (0.97 HR/9).

I make fair value -132.

Moneyline
Texas Rangers logo TEX (-150)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Jacob deGrom is not in great form but he has been very good on the year, pitching to a 3.26 xFIP.

He is in a nice spot to rebound against a Baltimore Orioles team that pulled the plug at the trade deadline, selling multiple everyday bats for futures.

He won't need much run support to position the Texas Rangers to win.

Bet to -160.

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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sat, Aug 8 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Gabriel Moreno logo
Gabriel Moreno o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Gabriel Moreno will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+142)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an edge in today's matchup.. Kyle Tucker has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.1-mph figure.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sat, Aug 8 • 9:50 PM ET
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

George Kirby takes the hill for Seattle, anchoring a pitching staff that paces MLB with a 2.56 SIERA and a 31.3% strikeout rate. Griffin Jax gets the nod for Tampa, but Seattle’s elite run prevention at home gives them the upper hand at a very manageable price tag.

Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the game.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. T-Mobile Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height among all major league parks.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Junior Caminero has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.8% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past week's worth of games.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.