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MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 17, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.99 @ 4.46

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Brewers vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.99

-135

o8.5 -132

-1.5 +120

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.46

+123

u9.0 -114

+1.5 -134

LA Dodgers @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

6.79 @ 5.90

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Dodgers vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

6.79

-165

o9.5 -112

-1.5 -102

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

5.90

+145

u10.0 -116

+1.5 -109

Top Projection Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
o0.5+190
Athletics @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.77 @ 4.83

TB
TB logo
TB

Athletics vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.77

+235

o7.5 -114

+1.5 +102

TB logo
TB
TB

4.83

-275

u8.0 -120

-1.5 -114

Top Projection Shea Langeliers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+120)
o1.5+120
San Diego @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

7.22 @ 5.65

COL
COL logo
COL

Padres vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

7.22

-162

o10.5 -120

-1.5 -106

COL logo
COL
COL

5.65

+144

u11.0 -114

+1.5 -108

Kansas City @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

4.86 @ 5.00

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Royals vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

4.86

+130

o8.5 -128

+1.5 -162

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

5.00

-145

u9.0 -115

-1.5 +145

Top Projection Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5+205
Philadelphia @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.06 @ 5.12

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Phillies vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.06

+118

o8.0 -110

+1.5 -170

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

5.12

-132

u8.5 -125

-1.5 +158

Top Projection Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+193)
o0.5+193
Detroit @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

5.15 @ 3.99

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Tigers vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

5.15

+105

o8.5 -105

+1.5 -200

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

3.99

-116

u8.5 -113

-1.5 +170

Top Projection Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+194)
o0.5+210
Boston @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.55 @ 4.12

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Red Sox vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.55

-134

o8.0 -110

-1.5 +126

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.12

+122

u8.5 -120

+1.5 -143

Minnesota @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.21 @ 3.95

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Twins vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.21

-120

o7.5 -105

-1.5 +146

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.95

+110

u7.5 -110

+1.5 -159

Top Projection Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5+205
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail MIL @ Pittsburgh Pirates image thumbnail PIT Thu, Sep 17 • 12:35 PM ET
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as MLB's 17th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Extreme groundball bats like Oneil Cruz tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Harrison.. Oneil Cruz will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Home Runs
Henry Davis logo
Henry Davis o0.5 Total Home Runs (+800)
Projection 0.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Henry Davis ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Henry Davis will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Harrison today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers image thumbnail LAD @ Cincinnati Reds image thumbnail CIN Thu, Sep 17 • 12:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Max Muncy logo Max Muncy o0.5 Total Home Runs (+275)
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
Todd Cordell logo
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Brady Singer bleeds power to left-handed bats, in particular. He has given up an ISO of nearly .210 to go with 2.11 HR/9.

Max Muncy is a prime candidate to capitalize. He has smashed righties to the tune of a .241 ISO. He has generated barrels at a 16.7% clip while hitting the ball hard 55.6% of the time against Singer's two most-used pitches.

Total Home Runs
Sal Stewart logo Sal Stewart o0.5 Total Home Runs (+416)
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

There are a lot of home runs projecting +EV in this game, and a lot of those props are on the home side. Sal Stewart is closer to 23.3% probable (4.3x) to go yard today, per THE BAT, and he gets a righty-vs.-lefty matchup in a great setting. Justin Wrobleski has bounced between the rotation and bullpen and has posted a 7.09 ERA in the second half, with 13 homers allowed in just 33 innings. I do like this Under, as it's a great getaway spot for the Dodgers, but the Reds could surprise this afternoon with a great HR pitcher to target and a tired LAD bullpen.

View 15 Picks
Athletics Athletics image thumbnail ATH @ Tampa Bay Rays image thumbnail TB Thu, Sep 17 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero logo Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+314)
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

The No. 2 AL MVP candidate should be priced around 29.4% today to go yard against Jeffrey Springs this afternoon. All you're getting for this +EV price is one of the hottest hitters in baseball, who leads the AL in homers with 41. The Rays also have a lot of intel on the A's starter after Springs spent four seasons in Tampa Bay. He's a great HR target, as only two other pitchers in baseball have allowed more homers this year than Springs. The lefty has the 11th-worst HR/9 among MLB starters this year and the 25th-worst HR/FB. Caminero is on a tear right now and is slugging 80 points better at home this year than on the road. What a price!

Total Bases
Jorge Mateo logo
Jorge Mateo u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Mateo in the 17th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Jorge Mateo is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. This year, Jorge Mateo has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 53% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jorge Mateo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's game.
View 11 Picks
San Diego Padres image thumbnail SD @ Colorado Rockies image thumbnail COL Thu, Sep 17 • 3:10 PM ET
Spread
San Diego Padres image thumbnail SD -1.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Padres -1.5 run line is in play to 54% because the Rockies are mired in a 6-22 slide with a 28th-ranked xERA and xFIP. San Diego is also turning it on offensively down the stretch with a seventh-ranked wOBA and fifth-ranked xwOBA, and starter Michael King has been one of the most reliable righties in the league with his 3.07 ERA ranking 10th among all qualified starters the past three years. It’s a completely different story for Rockies righty Tanner Gordon. He’s served up a massive .419 wOBA and .980 OPS across his past six starts at hitter-friendly Coors Field, and the Rockies are last in the majors in wRC+, which adjusts for park factor and accounts for their favorable home hitting environment.

Total Bases
Jake Cronenworth logo
Jake Cronenworth o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 field in MLB for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Gordon today.. Despite posting a .268 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Cronenworth has had some very poor luck given the .039 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.
View 11 Picks
Kansas City Royals image thumbnail KC @ Houston Astros image thumbnail HOU Thu, Sep 17 • 7:15 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Miguel Ullola logo
Miguel Ullola o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+185)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Miguel Ullola will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats across the board.
Total Bases
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Christian Walker is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 6th-worst field in the majors for run-scoring.. Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-tallest average fence height among all major league parks.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Christian Walker will have a disadvantage today.
View 10 Picks
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail PHI @ New York Mets image thumbnail NYM Thu, Sep 17 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
J.T. Realmuto logo
J.T. Realmuto o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.35
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. J.T. Realmuto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. J.T. Realmuto has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 5.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 14 days.. J.T. Realmuto has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 92.5-mph.
Total Bases
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan McLean in today's game.. Bryson Stott hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today.
View 10 Picks
Detroit Tigers image thumbnail DET @ Chicago White Sox image thumbnail CHW Thu, Sep 17 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Chase Meidroth logo
Chase Meidroth u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 7th-most suitable for pitching of the day.. Typically, batters like Chase Meidroth who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Framber Valdez.. Chase Meidroth has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph dropping to 83.1-mph in the last two weeks.. Chase Meidroth has been lucky this year, compiling a .327 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .024 disparity.. Chase Meidroth has compiled a .284 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 13th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Hits
Tommy Pham logo
Tommy Pham u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most suitable for pitching of the day.. Typically, batters like Tommy Pham who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Framber Valdez.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Tommy Pham ranks in just the 6th percentile with a 7.2° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the game.. The standard deviation of Tommy Pham's launch angle since the start of last season (29.2°) is in the 25th percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower rate of hits on balls in play.
View 10 Picks
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail BOS @ Texas Rangers image thumbnail TEX Thu, Sep 17 • 8:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail Texas Rangers image thumbnail u8.5 (-123)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen logo
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Play up to 55%. Neither lineup has generated much power lately, with Boston carrying just a .119 ISO over the last week and Texas sitting at .106. The Red Sox bullpen has also been excellent, posting a 2.92 FIP without surrendering a homer recently. That gives the Under several ways to cash.

Moneyline
Boston Red Sox image thumbnail BOS (-139)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen logo
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Play up to 60%. Sonny Gray gives Boston the steadier starting point after posting a 2.40 FIP without allowing a homer across his last two outings. Texas has shown very little recent power, and its bullpen has been vulnerable. Even with Boston’s offense running somewhat cold, the pitching edge favors the visitors.

View 15 Picks
Minnesota Twins image thumbnail MIN @ Los Angeles Angels image thumbnail LAA Thu, Sep 17 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 14th-weakest among every team playing today.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 14th-weakest among every team playing today.
View 10 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays image thumbnail TB @ New York Yankees image thumbnail NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Aaron Judge projects as the best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitters such as Aaron Judge with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
View 8 Picks

What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.