Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 3, 2026.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.56 |
+150 
|
o8.5 -124 
|
+1.5 -140 
|
|
5.59 |
-155 
|
u9.0 -112 
|
-1.5 +130 
|
San Francisco
Pittsburgh
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.57 |
+101
|
o7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
3.92 |
-105 
|
u8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -180
|
Toronto
Cleveland
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.84 |
+143
|
o8.5 -102 
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.57 |
-153
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +135
|
Chi. White Sox
Houston
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.78 |
-105
|
o8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
4.70 |
+105
|
u8.5 -114
|
+1.5 -170
|
Milwaukee
Chi. Cubs
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.86 |
-120
|
o8.0 -125
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
4.49 |
+115
|
u8.5 -106
|
+1.5 -148
|
Boston
Baltimore
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.22 |
+105
|
o9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
5.31 |
-109
|
u9.5 -135 
|
+1.5 -177
|
Miami
Kansas City
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.20 |
-123
|
o7.0 -180
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.90 |
+115
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -157
|
Tampa Bay
Texas
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.01 |
+190
|
o7.0 -115
|
+3.5 -334
|
|
4.49 |
-203
|
u7.5 -130
|
-3.5 +255
|
Athletics
Seattle
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.13 |
+255
|
o7.0 -182
|
+4.5 -334
|
|
4.85 |
-285
|
u8.0 -115
|
-4.5 +260
|
St. Louis
LA Dodgers
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
-110
|
o8.5 +155
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
|
4.13 |
-110
|
-- |
+1.5 -190
|
Detroit
Cleveland
SF
@
PIT
Thu, Sep 3 • 12:35 PM ET
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+307)
Rafael Devers is more of a form-based homer play than a matchup slam dunk. He has three bombs over his last seven games with a .370 ISO, 52.7% hard-hit rate, and 14.3% barrel rate, making his current power tough to ignore.
u8.5 (+114)
The Under 8.5 fits because both bullpens are in good shape and neither lineup is showing much power. San Francisco has produced a strong wRC+ lately, but its ISO remains light, while Pittsburgh’s bullpen stability limits late-game scoring paths at PNC Park.
TOR
@
CLE
Thu, Sep 3 • 1:10 PM ET
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+540)
If there is a player to ride momentum with, it's Vladdy. His swing finally looked like the 2025 version of himself, specifically in the postseason, so we're going to ride with him one more time against a pitcher he's historically had success against. At this price, it's an easy play for me.
TOR (-110)
If the Blue Jays want to build momentum after their 11-0 win last night, Jose Soriano is the right man to do it. Across 46 plate appearances, the Guardians have just a .213 xBA and .332 xSLG against the righty, which includes limiting Steven Kwan to a .159 xBA. Soriano's elite ground-ball rate is perfect for a contact-first team like Cleveland, and should allow him to work deep into the game. On the other side, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. might've finally woken up last night after going 3-for-4 with 5 RBI and a homer. He won't slow down today, either, owning a .744 xSLG against Tanner Bibee. All the numbers point toward the Jays in a must-win game here. I'd play this up to -120.
CHW
@
HOU
Thu, Sep 3 • 2:10 PM ET
HOU (-161)
Houston has one of the clearest matchup edges on the slate, with Luis Castillo getting crushed lately. His recent 11.05 FIP, 5.40 HR/9, and 51.6% hard-hit rate give the Astros a huge opening, while Hunter Brown’s current form gives them a much steadier pitching profile.
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Walks (-117)
Yordan Alvarez has hammered Luis Castillo over the years, going 12-24 with five home runs and just two strikeouts.
The Houston Astros are not hitting well as a whole, making pitching to Alvarez an even more unnecessary risk than usual.
I’d play this up to -130.
MIL
@
CHC
Thu, Sep 3 • 7:15 PM ET
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total Hits (-156)
Jake Bauers has hit .268 against right-handed pitching this season, and that number has climbed to .290 over the past 30 games.
Kevin Gausman ranks in the 27th percentile in batting average allowed to left-handed hitters, making this an appealing spot for Bauers to pick up a knock.
I’d back Bauers to -180.
Alex Hoppe o0.5 Total Home Runs (+583)
Wrigley Field is one of three parks this year averaging three or more dingers per game. This series has seen more home runs than I can count on two hands, and despite some great numbers, Logan Henderson is not a bad name to fade on a small Thursday slate. Since the All-Star break, 32% of Henderson's hits allowed have gone yard, and he has allowed nine homers across 48 innings. He's been a very lucky pitcher with a .178 BABIP in the second half while stranding 100% of his runners, per FanGraphs. His lefty-righty splits are pretty even, which puts Alex Bregman and his hot bat on the card at 18.2% or better. Bregman is on a mission, and that mission took Jacob Misiorowski deep in his last outing. He has four homers in this series alone and has launched eight home runs over his last four series (12 games). Many of the Cubs hitters are projecting as +EV through the projections at Covers.
BOS
@
BAL
Thu, Sep 3 • 7:15 PM ET
Mickey Gasper o0.5 Total Home Runs (+510)
Brandon Young has been one of the luckier pitchers in the second half of the MLB season. His HR/FB rate is the 30th-worst among all MLB starters and the worst on today's slate. His xERA is more than a point higher than his actual ERA, and the warmer temperatures and winds blowing out to right aren't going to help him. Mickey Gasper is a switch-hitter who has been crushing right-handed pitching this year. It's been a small sample, but nobody has been a better slugging hitter than Gasper over the last two weeks, with a .964 SLG. I bet on him yesterday to no avail, but I'll happily go back to him in a better matchup that I'd play to 4.5x.
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (+351)
Abreu has six extra-base hits across his past seven games for a .321 ISO, and he also sports a .214 mark against righties for the season. He also lands in a sneaky matchup because Baltimore righty Brandon Young has spun a 5.15 xERA and 4.77 xFIP while allowing a healthy .366 wOBA and .205 ISO across his past six starts. Abreu took Young deep earlier this season, too.
MIA
@
KC
Thu, Sep 3 • 7:40 PM ET
TB
@
TEX
Thu, Sep 3 • 8:05 PM ET
Shane McClanahan u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
This market is falling for good reason, as Shane McClanahan's leash, recent output, and projections are all pointing toward the Under. The Tampa starter is being handled with baby gloves, as he has gone 80, 74, 57, 49, 71, and 87 pitches since the break while going 1-5 O/U on this strikeout total. The Rays are being careful with the oft-injured lefty and need him healthy for a playoff run. McClanahan missed all of 2024 and 2025 due to Tommy John surgery and a nerve injury. He last threw 115 innings in 2023 and is already up to 113 innings this year, so it's easy to see why the organization is being cautious with him, especially with the Rays owning the best record in the AL. THE BAT is projecting 79 pitches and 4.55 Ks today, making this a fair price around -120/-115.
ATH
@
SEA
Thu, Sep 3 • 9:40 PM ET
SEA (-200)
Seattle’s profile is very clean here. The Mariners are swinging it with authority, carrying a 109 wRC+ and 10% barrel rate over the last week, while Jack Perkins brings command and homer issues. Kade Anderson’s 2.29 xERA also gives Seattle enough stability on the mound.
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total Singles (+133)
Lawrence Butler is sporting a .294 average over the last 30 games, and has reached safely in 16 of his past 17.
Butler owns a .292 average facing LH fastballs, and .263 against the slider. Anderson throws one of the two pitches more than 87% of the time vs. lefties, setting up well for Butler.
Play to +110.
STL
@
LAD
Thu, Sep 3 • 10:10 PM ET
o7.5 (-116)
St. Louis is on an 11-2 Over tear, and this matchup sets up for more scoring. The Cardinals rank fourth in OPS against lefties over the past month and should challenge Tarik Skubal, who hasn’t been quite as dominant with Los Angeles. On the other side, rookie Quinn Mathews owns a 5.03 ERA and 1.58 WHIP. He's backed by a bullpen that's posted a brutal 6.47 ERA over the past two weeks. Expect an aggressive Dodgers lineup vs the inexperienced starter and struggling bullpen as they look to break out of a 2-6 slide.
DET
@
CLE
Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
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This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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