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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 2, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.10 |
+110 
|
o8.5 -112 
|
+1.5 -190 
|
|
5.36 |
-116
|
u9.0 -112 
|
-1.5 +165
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cavallis last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 during game 4 of a series.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 during game 4 of a series.
Top Projection
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5 +270
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.06 |
-132
|
o7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +129
|
|
4.47 |
+124
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -142
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-0 in Wheelers last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Phillies are 6-0 in Wheelers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road favorite.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Dylan Beavers o0.5 Total RBIs (+337)
o0.5 +337
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.29 |
+101
|
o9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +158
|
|
4.77 |
-108
|
u9.5 -131
|
+1.5 -176
|
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games.
- Under is 8-0 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in McGreevys last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Scherzers last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Scherzers last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5 +200
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.08 |
-116
|
o8.5 -115 
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
5.02 |
+108
|
u8.5 +109
|
+1.5 -155
|
Miami
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 home games.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 8-0 in Mets last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Joe Mack o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+132)
o1.5 +132
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
+138
|
o8.0 -125 
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.77 |
-148
|
u8.5 -107
|
-1.5 +140
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Pirates are 4-0 in Kellers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 8-0 in Burns' last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.98 |
+136
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.14 |
-146
|
u8.0 -120 
|
-1.5 +146
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 7-0 in Rays last 7 home games.
- Under is 7-0 in Rays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Rays last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Rays are 5-0 in Jaxs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Top Projection
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
o0.5 +155
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
+134
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.76 |
-144
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +150
|
Arizona
- Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Kellys last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Guardians last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in Williams' last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5 +180
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.70 |
+116
|
o8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.78 |
-125
|
u9.0 -122
|
-1.5 +162
|
Texas
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Rockers last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5 +180
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
-122
|
o6.5 -110
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
3.93 |
+119
|
u6.5 -103
|
+1.5 -161
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Coles last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-2 in Reas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Cubs are 6-0 in Reas last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+253)
o0.5 +253
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.94 |
+104
|
o12.0 -115
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
7.08 |
-112
|
u12.5 -115
|
+1.5 -161
|
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-1 in Lugos last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Royals are 6-0 in Lugos last 6 interleague starts.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Lugos last 5 interleague starts.
Colorado
- Over is 6-0 in Freelands last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+106)
o0.5 +106
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.82 |
-215
|
o7.5 -112
|
-1.5 -128
|
|
3.57 |
+206
|
u8.0 -125
|
+1.5 +119
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 8-0 in Misiorowskis last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 7-0-1 in Angels last 8 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-0-1 in Angels last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
o0.5 +275
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.06 |
-106
|
o11.0 -105
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
6.29 |
+101
|
u11.5 -126
|
+1.5 -148
|
Detroit
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts vs. American League West.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Athletics
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5 +185
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.73 |
+128
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
3.86 |
-131
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +158
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts on grass.
- Twins are 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts overall.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0-2 in Kirbys last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kirbys last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5 +240
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.42 |
+132
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.21 |
-142
|
u8.5 -121
|
-1.5 +146
|
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0-2 in Roupps last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 on grass.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
o1.5 +135
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.14 |
+148
|
o8.5 -131
|
+1.5 -137
|
|
5.29 |
-155
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +128
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
o1.5 +140
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 7-2 in Phillies last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+140
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-183
|
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 interleague games.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+140
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
Texas
- Over is 9-1 in Rangers last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 11-1 in Rangers last 12 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 14-2 in Rangers last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1-2 in Blue Jays last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 overall.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. American League East.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 7-0 in Rays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games.
- Under is 8-2 in Rays last 10 games as a road favorite.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 9-1 in Rockies last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 overall.
- Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
WAS
@
ATL
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 9th-best ballpark in MLB for run-scoring.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Austin Riley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 9th-best ballpark in MLB for run-scoring.. Among all parks, Truist Park's centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
PHI
@
BAL
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #10 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Taylor Ward has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryson Stott's batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #10 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish in today's game.. Bryson Stott hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Bryson Stott has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last year's 89.5-mph mark.
STL
@
TOR
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:37 PM ET
Total Hits
Kazuma Okamoto u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Rogers Centre projects as the #25 stadium in the game for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. In the last two weeks, Kazuma Okamoto's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.7% down to 6.3%.. Kazuma Okamoto has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph dropping to 84.8-mph in the last two weeks.
Total Bases
Davis Schneider u1.5 Total Bases (-340)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Davis Schneider is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.. Rogers Centre projects as the #25 stadium in the game for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Rogers Centre has the 8th-tallest fence height (on average) in MLB.. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Davis Schneider's average exit velocity has declined this season; his 90.7-mph average last season has dropped off to 87.9-mph.
MIA
@
NYM
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:40 PM ET
Moneyline
MIA (+114)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Although Miami’s relief corps has been shaky, former Cy Young winner Sandy Alcantara serves as the ultimate equalizer. Alcantara consistently pitches deep into games, protecting his bullpen from heavy exposure. Getting a proven ace against an unannounced Mets starting option makes the Marlins an irresistible value play.
Total Bases
Jared Young o1.5 Total Bases (+179)
Projection 1.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jared Young is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.9-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Jared Young will hold the platoon advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jared Young will hold that advantage in today's game.
PIT
@
CIN
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Matt McLain ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. This game is forecasted to have the 4th-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Matt McLain has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Matt McLain will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. This game is forecasted to have the 4th-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Chase Burns in today's matchup.
CHW
@
TB
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Munetaka Murakami hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 9th-deepest CF fences today.. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.. Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Munetaka Murakami's true offensive skill to be a .348, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .041 gap between that figure and his actual .389 wOBA.
Total Home Runs
Taylor Walls o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1800)
Projection 0.07
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 4th-best venue in the league for right-handed home runs.. Taylor Walls has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage today.. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (18.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.9° angle last season.
AZ
@
CLE
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Progressive Field profiles as the #2 venue in the game for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity on the slate today at 85%.. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs
Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Total RBIs (+191)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Progressive Field profiles as the #2 venue in the game for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity on the slate today at 85%.. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have the upper hand in today's game.
TEX
@
HOU
Sun, Aug 2 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Joc Pederson u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This year, Joc Pederson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 38% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Minute Maid Park profiles as the #28 field in baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, the 3rd-highest average fence height are at Minute Maid Park.. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching.
Total Bases
Taylor Trammell u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Trammell in the 8th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Taylor Trammell is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.. 23% of the time that Taylor Trammell has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. Minute Maid Park profiles as the #28 field in baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, the 3rd-highest average fence height are at Minute Maid Park.
NYY
@
CHC
Sun, Aug 2 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the last 14 days, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 94.6-mph of late.
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+278)
Projection 1.23
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. In the past 14 days, Dansby Swanson's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.7%.. Despite posting a .304 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has suffered from bad luck given the .033 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337.
KC
@
COL
Sun, Aug 2 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (-159)
Projection 2.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Salvador Perez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 venue in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 99°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Salvador Perez will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (-147)
Projection 2.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Mickey Moniak is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 venue in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 99°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
MIL
@
LAA
Sun, Aug 2 • 3:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+172)
Projection 1.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the 2nd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 87°.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.01
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the 2nd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 87°.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.
DET
@
ATH
Sun, Aug 2 • 4:05 PM ET
Moneyline
DET (-108)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Both bullpens have surrendered plenty of traffic over the last two weeks, shifting the edge directly to the starting rotation and offensive consistency. Detroit holds a firm advantage in contact metrics and run-creation stats, giving Tigers starter Keider Montero enough early padding to edge out the A's on the road.
Total Bases
Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.31
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest fences in MLB.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 107°.
MIN
@
SEA
Sun, Aug 2 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Royce Lewis is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. On average, the fence height at T-Mobile Park is the 10th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Royce Lewis pulls many of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams playing today.
Total RBIs
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at T-Mobile Park is the 10th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for home runs.. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
SF
@
SD
Sun, Aug 2 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+173)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 5th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Christian Koss o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
Projection 1.18
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Petco Park has the 5th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Christian Koss has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .282 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .303.. Utilizing Statcast data, Christian Koss ranks in the 80th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .265.
BOS
@
LAD
Sun, Aug 2 • 7:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Jarren Duran u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jarren Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.. Over the past 7 days, Jarren Duran's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.3% down to 0%.. Checking in at the 2nd percentile, Jarren Duran sports a .258 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Total Bases
Tommy Edman o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tommy Edman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Dodger Stadium profiles as the #1 park in the majors for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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