MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 18, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sat, Jul 18 • 1:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 1 Computer Pick
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Brandon Lowe logo Brandon Lowe o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
Pick made: 19 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Brandon Lowe's over 1.5 hits, runs, RBI at plus money stands out as one of the best values on Friday's slate. Despite entering the second half on a cold streak, Lowe owns an 81% arsenal coverage against Gavin Williams and has consistently thrived in elite rated road matchups. Across the last three seasons, he's recorded a hit in over 90% of those spots while frequently clearing this prop. Williams has also been vulnerable to left handed hitters, allowing a .314 xBA and .437 xSLG over his last 60 faced. With extra rest from the break, Lowe is primed to bounce back.

Total RBIs
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Total RBIs (+217)
Projection 0.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage in today's game.. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O'Hearn stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Ryan O'Hearn has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sat, Jul 18 • 2:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+133)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 58 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. This matchup is projected to have the 14th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among all the teams in action today.
Total Hits
Ryan Kreidler logo
Ryan Kreidler u0.5 Total Hits (+115)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ryan Kreidler's batting average talent is projected to be in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan Kreidler is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the strongest out of every team on the slate today.. Ryan Kreidler will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Ryan Kreidler has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last week.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sat, Jul 18 • 3:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.98
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as baseball's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Munetaka Murakami is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #5 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Munetaka Murakami will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber in today's game.. Munetaka Murakami hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Kyle Teel logo
Kyle Teel o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. The #5 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums.. Kyle Teel will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Bieber in today's matchup.. Sporting a .344 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Kyle Teel is ranked in the 87th percentile for offensive ability.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sat, Jul 18 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Spencer Steer logo
Spencer Steer o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.27
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Spencer Steer has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Coors Field grades out as the #1 ballpark in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (-145)
Projection 2.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. Coors Field grades out as the #1 ballpark in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sat, Jul 18 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 58 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 6th-best field in baseball for run-scoring.. The weather report expects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 18.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 58 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 6th-best field in baseball for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. The weather report expects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sat, Jul 18 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The #5 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°.
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.11
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #5 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sat, Jul 18 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jose Altuve logo
Jose Altuve o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Jose Altuve is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. Jose Altuve will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Rogers in today's game.. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+139)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in the league are found in Minute Maid Park.. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Christian Walker will have an advantage today.. Christian Walker will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Sat, Jul 18 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average skill.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Salvador Perez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. Over the past 7 days, Salvador Perez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 16.7%.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sat, Jul 18 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 58 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best venue in the game for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Jordan Walker has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14.6% seasonal rate to 25% over the past 14 days.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 58 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best venue in the game for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Jordan Walker has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14.6% seasonal rate to 25% over the past 14 days.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, Jul 18 • 4:10 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo Boston Red Sox logo u9.5 (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

The Red Sox and Rays are two of the stingiest teams in the MLB, ranking fourth (3.55) and ninth (3.88) in team ERA, respectively.

Boston’s bullpen owns the third-best ERA in baseball (3.13), so this projects as another quiet game for Tampa Bay at the plate.

Moneyline
Boston Red Sox logo BOS (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

The Red Sox rank in the top four among all clubs in team average and slugging percentage vs. lefties, and they match up well vs. Ian Seymour's changeup-heavy arsenal.

The hosts will make it 12 straight wins this afternoon.

View 13 Picks
Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, Jul 18 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 2.08
Best Odds
Pick made: 58 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 7th-best field in baseball for righty home runs.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
Total Bases
William Contreras logo
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+149)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 58 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
William Contreras's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 7th-best field in baseball for righty home runs.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
View 10 Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Jul 18 • 8:08 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

The Yankees' offense has cratered to a bottom-five 89 wRC+ with a bloated 29.2% strikeout rate over the last 14 days. Backing the far more disciplined Dodgers lineup over the last two weeks at near even-money is the logical play.

Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 58 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate at 85%.. Hitting from the opposite that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Ben Rice will have an edge in today's matchup.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sat, Jul 18 • 8:08 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+171)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cal Raleigh projects as the 7th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. In the majors, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will get to bat from his strong side against Logan Webb in today's matchup.. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+214)
Projection 1.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. In the majors, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Willy Adames pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.. Over the past week, Willy Adames's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 103.1-mph of late.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sat, Jul 18 • 10:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Tyler Soderstrom logo
Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases (+106)
Projection 2.34
Best Odds
Pick made: 58 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In MLB, Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Daylen Lile logo
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+118)
Projection 2.06
Best Odds
Pick made: 58 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. The #2 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In MLB, Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Daylen Lile will have the handedness advantage over J.T. Ginn in today's game... and even more favorably, Ginn has a large platoon split.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sat, Jul 18 • 10:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Zach Neto ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Angel Stadium has the shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Zach Neto will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.. Zach Neto will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Jo Adell ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Angel Stadium has the shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Jo Adell will have the handedness advantage over Tarik Skubal today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 26 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 29 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

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Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.