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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 30, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.06 |
+124 
|
o7.5 -107
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
3.72 |
-137
|
u8.0 -118 
|
-1.5 +162 
|
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 on fieldturf.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 4-1-1 in Rays last 6 home games.
- Under is 9-2-1 in Rays last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.03 |
+124
|
o9.5 -107
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.96 |
-136
|
u9.5 -103
|
-1.5 +146
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 road games.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 on grass.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0-1 in Obers last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Obers last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 5-0 in Obers last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Obers last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.71 |
-103
|
o7.5 -127 
|
-1.5 +168
|
|
4.14 |
-112
|
u8.5 -126
|
+1.5 -182
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Yankees are 8-1 in their last 9 road games.
- Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+102
|
o8.5 -103
|
+1.5 -200 
|
|
4.93 |
-112
|
u8.5 -110 
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. National League Central.
St. Louis
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 11-2 in Cardinals last 13 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.17 |
+115
|
o7.0 -114
|
+1.5 -191
|
|
4.47 |
-126
|
u7.5 -131
|
-1.5 +173
|
Miami
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Mets are 4-0 in McLeans last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in McLeans last 4 home starts.
- Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.63 |
-112
|
o9.5 -107
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.26 |
+105
|
u9.5 -106
|
+1.5 -155
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 road games.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Reds are 6-0 in Greenes last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Reds last 7 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.45 |
+130 
|
o9.5 -110
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.68 |
-142
|
u10.0 -125 
|
-1.5 +140
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.69 |
-158
|
o10.5 -107
|
-1.5 -102
|
|
5.65 |
+146
|
u10.5 -108
|
+1.5 -115
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Grays last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Grays last 7 road starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 road games.
Athletics
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 5-2-1 in last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.17 |
+114
|
o8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
5.01 |
-124
|
u8.5 -107
|
-1.5 +165
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 vs. National League West.
San Diego
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.83 |
+136
|
o8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.58 |
-154
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +140
|
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 on grass.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mariners last 4 vs. National League West.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Yankees last 9 interleague road games.
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 9-1-1 in Cubs last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cincinnati
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 7-2 in Reds last 9 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
- Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 8-2-2 in Phillies last 12 interleague games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 overall.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-161
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 8-2 in White Sox last 10 on fieldturf.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 home games.
- Over is 7-2-1 in Rays last 10 overall.
- Under is 8-2 in Rays last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
- Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Guardians are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-131
|
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-2 in Marlins last 8 overall.
NY Mets
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 7-1 in Braves last 8 home games.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-154
|
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 8-0 in Rangers last 8 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 7-0 in Rangers last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-183
|
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
+158
|
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 road games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 games as a road favorite.
LA Angels
- Under is 8-0 in Angels last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 home games.
- Under is 8-0 in Angels last 8 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-2-1 in last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1-3 in Giants last 10 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 on grass.
San Diego
- Under is 6-1 in Padres last 7 vs. National League West.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+146
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-191
|
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Red Sox are 9-0 in their last 9 games as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 overall.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+158
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-192
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Twins last 6 vs. American League West.
- Twins are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-3 in Mariners last 9 overall.
TEX
@
TB
Thu, Jul 30 • 12:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 15th-best batter in the majors.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
CHC
@
STL
Thu, Jul 30 • 2:15 PM ET
Moneyline
CHC (-121)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Shota Imanaga is coming off two straight quality starts, tossing 13 consecutive scoreless innings. Meanwhile, Cardinals starter Andre Pallante has struggled against the Cubs throughout his career, with Chicago slashing .343/.413/.552 against the right-hander. Back the Cubs on Thursday afternoon.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Alex Bregman o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-103)
Projection 2.01
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Alex Bregman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
PIT
@
CIN
Thu, Jul 30 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jacob Gonzalez o0.5 Total RBIs (+221)
Projection 0.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°.. Jacob Gonzalez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's game.. Jacob Gonzalez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+129)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Yohan Ramirez.. Elly De La Cruz has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
SF
@
SD
Thu, Jul 30 • 9:40 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Xander Bogaerts o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.06
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Xander Bogaerts's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Xander Bogaerts will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray in today's matchup.. Bats such as Xander Bogaerts with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Robbie Ray who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Heliot Ramos o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-130)
Projection 2.32
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Heliot Ramos's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Given JP Sears's large platoon split, Heliot Ramos will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.. Heliot Ramos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
