MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sat, Jul 25 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Dillon Dingler logo
Dillon Dingler o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Among every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand today.. Among every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Zach Neto will have an edge today.. Zach Neto's launch angle this season (22.5°) is quite a bit better than his 17.7° figure last year.
Total Bases
Casey Schmitt logo
Casey Schmitt o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 86th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Casey Schmitt is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Casey Schmitt will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Casey Schmitt's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 15.5% to 18.7%.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in the game for RHB batting average.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Dylan Crews's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, falling from 37.2% on the season to 16.7% in the last 14 days.. Dylan Crews has recorded a .282 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 14th percentile.
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (-108)
Projection 2.21
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Nationals Park has the 10th-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Ketel Marte will get to bat from his strong side against Foster Griffin in today's matchup.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Dylan Cease logo
Dylan Cease u7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-108)
Projection 6.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Dylan Cease in today's matchup.. Dylan Cease's slider rate has fallen by 11.1% from last season to this one (44.4% to 33.3%) .. Dylan Cease has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 13.37 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 11.90 — a 1.47 K/9 gap.
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (42.7% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.3-mph figure.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Eury Perez logo
Eury Perez u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
Projection 5.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Eury Perez (41.6% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 GB hitters in San Diego's projected offense.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Fernando Tatis Jr. as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (48.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Fernando Tatis Jr. tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.. In the last week, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 19%.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sat, Jul 25 • 6:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Chase DeLauter logo
Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Chase DeLauter is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase DeLauter will have the handedness advantage against Nick Martinez today.. Chase DeLauter has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jose Ramirez logo
Jose Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (63.2% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, Jul 25 • 6:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes has a lofty 5.27 ERA over his last five starts, with the Pirates cashing the Over in each of those games.

Both bullpens are also shaky, with Pittsburgh’s pen owning the 10th-highest ERA in MLB (4.40), slightly worse than Chicago's (4.04).

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (+114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes’ ERA is up to 3.43 compared to his 2.35 career average, while Cubs starter Shota Imanaga is trending up with a stingy 1.62 ERA over his last three outings. 

Imanaga will dominate a Pirates lineup that’s missing three everyday players and ranks 19th in runs scored as well as 20th in SLG since the All-Star break.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 4th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums.. Austin Riley has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.3% seasonal rate to 31.3% in the last week.. Austin Riley has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.7-mph EV.
Total Bases
Dylan Beavers logo
Dylan Beavers o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Beavers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Dylan Beavers will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Dylan Beavers will hold that advantage today.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena logo
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average skill, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Christian Walker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Using Statcast data, Christian Walker ranks in the 78th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.400.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
William Contreras logo
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+118)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Christian Yelich logo
Christian Yelich o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Christian Yelich is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of the day at 95°.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Athletics.. Royce Lewis is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Sacramento (#2-worst on the slate).. Royce Lewis will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of the day at 95°.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Athletics.. Royce Lewis is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Sacramento (#2-worst on the slate).. Royce Lewis will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ezequiel Duran logo
Ezequiel Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+202)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Ezequiel Duran has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.. Ezequiel Duran will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Evan Carter logo
Evan Carter o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Evan Carter is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Evan Carter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Woo has a large platoon split.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Evan Carter will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ New York Mets logo NYM Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's game.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Tucker in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Hitting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an advantage in today's game.. Extreme flyball bats like Kyle Tucker tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nolan McLean.. Kyle Tucker has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 5.9% seasonal rate to 11.5% over the past 14 days.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+186)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante doesn't generate many whiffs (7th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.
Total RBIs
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°.. JJ Bleday will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's game.. JJ Bleday is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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