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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 6, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.02 |
+176 
|
o9.5 -107 
|
+1.5 -112
|
|
5.64 |
-183 
|
u10.0 -125 
|
-1.5 +106
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games following a loss.
- Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5 +180
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
+147 
|
o9.5 +101
|
+1.5 -137
|
|
5.57 |
-157
|
u9.5 -106
|
-1.5 +125
|
Athletics
- Over is 2-0-2 in last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Barnetts last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Barnetts last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Cincinnati
- Over is 4-0-1 in Greenes last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Reds last 4 vs. American League West.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
+105
|
o7.5 -103
|
+1.5 -220 
|
|
3.99 |
-108
|
u7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +165
|
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in McLeans last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a road underdog.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
o0.5 +230
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.29 |
+120
|
o7.5 -103
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.04 |
-127
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +168
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
- Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 9-0 in Ashcrafts last 9 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 on grass.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
o0.5 +265
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.48 |
-114
|
o7.5 -103
|
-1.5 +145 
|
|
4.32 |
+106
|
u8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -155
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 4-0-1 in Imanagas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Petersons last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+237)
o0.5 +237
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.41 |
+116
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -191
|
|
4.04 |
-122
|
u8.0 -125
|
-1.5 +172
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Valdezs last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 games following a loss.
Seattle
- Over is 3-0-1 in Millers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Millers last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Millers last 4 starts overall.
Top Projection
Colt Keith o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1160)
o0.5 +1160
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.19 |
+303
|
o8.5 -121
|
+2.5 -118
|
|
6.01 |
-326
|
u9.0 -115
|
-2.5 +109
|
Washington
- Over is 6-0 in Mikolas' last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 7-0 in Mikolas' last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Mikolas' last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 7-0 in Sanchezs last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
o1.5 -105
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.42 |
+173
|
o8.5 -121
|
+1.5 -121
|
|
5.33 |
-184
|
u9.0 -112
|
-1.5 +112
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 on grass.
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Suarezs last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Suarezs last 4 starts.
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5 +220
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.03 |
+130
|
o9.0 -105
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.15 |
-134
|
u9.5 -126
|
-1.5 +142
|
Miami
- Under is 8-0 in Marlins last 8 road games.
- Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 vs. National League East.
- Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Atlanta
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Joe Mack o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
o0.5 +265
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.96 |
+114
|
o8.5 -121
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
5.26 |
-116
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +165
|
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Twins are 6-0 in Obers last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 5-0 in Obers last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Kansas City
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Wachas last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games following a win.
Top Projection
Kyle Isbel o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1200)
o0.5 +1200
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.13 |
-103
|
o8.5 -121
|
-1.5 +164
|
|
5.09 |
-105
|
u9.0 -114
|
+1.5 -175
|
San Diego
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
o0.5 +145
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+146
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-219
|
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games.
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games.
- Under is 8-2 in Mets last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Under is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Washington
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-131
|
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 vs. National League East.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+216
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-279
|
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 21-4-2 in last 27 vs. American League East.
Boston
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 7-1 in Red Sox last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Red Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 8-0-1 in Angels last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague games.
Miami
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-191
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Under is 5-1-1 in Twins last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 10-1 in Twins last 11 games as a road favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Messicks last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 8-1 in White Sox last 9 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Kansas City
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 vs. American League West.
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
Texas
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League East.
- Over is 11-2 in Rangers last 13 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 games a home underdog.
- Over is 15-3 in Rangers last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-183
|
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
St. Louis
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 12-2 in Cardinals last 14 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-191
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+158
|
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-131
|
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Astros last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Seattle
- Over is 7-0-1 in Mariners last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-131
|
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Tigers last 9 overall.
- Tigers are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
LAA
@
BAL
Thu, Aug 6 • 12:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 2.07
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Strikeouts Thrown
Brandon Young u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-145)
Projection 4.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Derek Thomas profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone today.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. In his last GS, Brandon Young didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.. Brandon Young's higher utilization percentage of his fastball this season (52.9 compared to 43.8% last season) is not ideal since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
ATH
@
CIN
Thu, Aug 6 • 12:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.01
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 85°.. Sal Stewart has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases
Jeff McNeil o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jeff McNeil has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 85°.. Jeff McNeil pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Over the last 7 days, Jeff McNeil's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.7%.
NYM
@
CLE
Thu, Aug 6 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Luis Robert Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 81st percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. The #3 venue in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest LF dimensions in MLB.. Batting from the opposite that Foster Griffin throws from, Luis Robert Jr. will have the upper hand in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Robert Jr.'s true offensive ability to be a .323, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .056 gap between that figure and his actual .267 wOBA.
Total RBIs
Chase DeLauter o0.5 Total RBIs (+163)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Chase DeLauter's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Chase DeLauter is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for lefty BABIP.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Chase DeLauter will have the handedness advantage over Nolan McLean today.
PIT
@
MIL
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+216)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 7th-best stadium in the league for LHB home runs.. In the league, American Family Field's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the shortest average fence height in MLB.
Total Bases
Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Total Bases (+202)
Projection 1.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Esmerlyn Valdez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Esmerlyn Valdez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 7th-best field in the league for righty home runs.. American Family Field has the shortest average fence height in MLB.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Swanson has been one of the worst hitters in baseball this season with a .177 batting average, while ranking in the second percentile in xBA. Additionally, his hitting profile does not match up well at all against Cease, who has elite swing-and-miss stuff.
DET
@
SEA
Thu, Aug 6 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Colt Keith o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1160)
Projection 0.13
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Colt Keith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The #8 venue in the league for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.
Total RBIs
Colt Keith o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Colt Keith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. T-Mobile Park has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. Colt Keith will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's matchup.
WAS
@
PHI
Thu, Aug 6 • 6:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+119)
Projection 0.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today.
Total RBIs
Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+267)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Brady House is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
CHW
@
BOS
Thu, Aug 6 • 7:10 PM ET
Moneyline
BOS (-167)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Luis Castillo's White Sox debut could be a rough one, as Red Sox hitters own a .338/.397/.584 slash line against the veteran right-hander. Meanwhile, Ranger Suarez enters this matchup with an average exit velocity that ranks in the 91st percentile at Baseball Savant, so take Boston to stay hot at Fenway. Playable to -180.
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 15th-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
MIA
@
ATL
Thu, Aug 6 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Truist Park profiles as the #5 park in the league for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Heriberto Hernandez will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 6th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Truist Park profiles as the #5 park in the league for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
MIN
@
KC
Thu, Aug 6 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Luke Keaschall's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #7 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. In the last 7 days, Luke Keaschall's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.4% up to 14.3%.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Carter Jensen ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carter Jensen is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #7 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
SD
@
AZ
Thu, Aug 6 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.97
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Chase Field ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Kohl Drake throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage in today's game.. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 40.8% on the season to 57.1% over the past two weeks.
Total Home Runs
Manny Machado o0.5 Total Home Runs (+450)
Projection 0.23
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Kohl Drake throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage in today's game.. In the last two weeks, Manny Machado's maximum exit velocity (a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 110-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Manny Machado's true offensive ability to be a .343, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .034 gap between that figure and his actual .309 wOBA.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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