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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 31, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
+135 
|
o9.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -155 
|
|
4.89 |
-148 
|
u9.5 -121
|
-1.5 +140
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Warrens last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 4-0-1 in Imanagas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Imanagas last 5 interleague starts.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5 +170
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.31 |
-131
|
o7.5 -116
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.20 |
+119
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -148
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 6-0 in Skenes' last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Skenes' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Skenes' last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Skenes' last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in Greenes last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 overall.
Top Projection
Henry Davis o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5 +260
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.37 |
+108
|
o8.5 -126
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
5.31 |
-116
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +159 
|
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
- Under is 8-1 in Phillies last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-2-2 in Phillies last 12 interleague games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 6-0 in Youngs last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 6-0 in Youngs last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Top Projection
Bryan De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+227)
o1.5 +227
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.03 |
+152
|
o7.5 +101
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
4.58 |
-168
|
u7.5 -106
|
-1.5 +134
|
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0 in Leahys last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-0 in Leahys last 7 starts overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Leahys last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Blue Jays last 9 home games.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5 +200
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+130
|
o8.0 -120
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.83 |
-142
|
u8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +158
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in Feddes last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- White Sox are 6-0 in Feddes last 6 starts.
- White Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games.
- Under is 7-0 in Martinezs last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.72 |
+119
|
o8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.33 |
-131
|
u8.5 +101
|
-1.5 +158
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.83 |
+114
|
o8.5 +101
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.75 |
-125
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +166 
|
Miami
- Under is 8-1 in Marlins last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Junks last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0 in Peraltas last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+203)
o0.5 +203
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.45 |
+108
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -190 
|
|
5.50 |
-116
|
u9.5 -131
|
-1.5 +166
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in Griffins last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Nationals are 7-0 in Griffins last 7 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Elders last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
o0.5 +198
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.10 |
+110
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.00 |
-121
|
u8.0 -108
|
-1.5 +168
|
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Eovaldis last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
Houston
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.96 |
-107
|
o11.0 -113
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
6.33 |
-103
|
u11.5 -121
|
+1.5 -160
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Wachas last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Rockies are 7-0 in Suganos last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5 +150
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.22 |
-162
|
o9.0 -110
|
-1.5 -103
|
|
4.67 |
+152
|
u9.5 -131
|
+1.5 -107
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Drohans last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5 +202
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.68 |
-148
|
o10.5 -112
|
-1.5 -103
|
|
5.31 |
+136
|
u11.0 -120
|
+1.5 -112
|
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 overall.
Athletics
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
+130
|
o8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.88 |
-142
|
u8.5 -103
|
-1.5 +146
|
San Francisco
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Whisenhunts last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Whisenhunts last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.75 |
+105
|
o8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -214
|
|
4.57 |
-112
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +152
|
Boston
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 road games.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 12-3 in their last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5 +190
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.09 |
+158
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
5.24 |
-175
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +119
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Matthews' last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Matthews' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Matthews' last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
o0.5 +275
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 during game 2 of a series.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Gausmans last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Gausmans last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Gausmans last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-167
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in Schultzs last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Schultzs last 4 starts overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Schultzs last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rasmussens last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-132
|
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillips' last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-154
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Prielipps last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Prielipps last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Seattle
- Over is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts overall.
- Mariners are 9-1 in Gilberts last 10 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-120
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 8-0 in Ashcrafts last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts as a favorite.
Cincinnati
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 overall.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-0 in Sanchezs last 8 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-131
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 5-0 in Blancos last 5 home starts.
- Astros are 4-0 in Blancos last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in Messicks last 6 interleague starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-1 in Frieds last 6 starts as a favorite.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+152
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-208
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Mikolas' last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Mikolas' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Atlanta
- Over is 5-0 in Lopezs last 5 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 7-0 in Lopezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 9-0 in Royals last 9 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 games as a road underdog.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-143
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 vs. National League West.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 7-1 in Buehlers last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 road games.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Gassers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 6-1 in Gassers last 7 starts on grass.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Angels are 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-143
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 road games.
Athletics
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
NYY
@
CHC
Fri, Jul 31 • 2:20 PM ET
Total
o9.5 (+109)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
I’m playing the Over because both sides have a scoring path tied to the starters. New York’s case is obvious.
The Cubs can contribute against Will Warren, too. He owns a 4.59 xERA with a 41.0% hard-hit rate. The Cubs aren't a crazy explosive group, but a .340 OBP along with a solid walk rate can create the traffic Warren has struggled to navigate. I'd play this to -105.
Moneyline
NYY (+124)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
For a second straight start, I find myself in the position of backing New York Yankees arm Will Warren. And, for the second straight start, it's not because of him but his opponent. This is a decent misprice, and I'd play the Yankees down to +100 for two units.
Shota Imanaga’s barrel profile is a real concern against this lineup. He has allowed a 9.4% barrel rate, which sits in the bottom quarter of MLB, while the Bombers own a 9.6% team barrel rate, the best mark in baseball. That’s the biggest advantage for either team in this matchup.
PIT
@
CIN
Fri, Jul 31 • 6:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+149)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #3 venue in MLB for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Paul Skenes today.
Strikeouts Thrown
Paul Skenes u8.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-152)
Projection 7.22
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Dan Bellino) in charge of the strike zone today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°.. Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Paul Skenes in today's matchup.. Paul Skenes's fastball velocity has dropped 1.3 mph this year (96.2 mph) below where it was last season (97.5 mph).. Among all starting pitchers, Paul Skenes's fastball spin rate of 2181 rpm ranks in the 17th percentile this year.
PHI
@
BAL
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 85°.. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Young in today's matchup.. Bryson Stott hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+109)
Projection 1.97
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 17th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 85°.. Trea Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
STL
@
TOR
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Hits
Ernie Clement u0.5 Total Hits (+202)
Projection 0.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ernie Clement has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Ernie Clement faces a tough challenge in today's game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Ernie Clement's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 88.2 mph to 85.8 mph.
Total Bases
Andres Gimenez o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.27
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors.. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Leahy in today's game.. Andres Gimenez is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.. Andres Gimenez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Andres Gimenez has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 4% seasonal rate to 9.1% in the last 14 days.
CHW
@
TB
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.02
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Miguel Vargas has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.7-mph average.
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as Major League Baseball's 2nd-best home run batter.. Munetaka Murakami is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Munetaka Murakami will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's matchup.. Munetaka Murakami has a ton of pop (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (35.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Nick Martinez is a pitch-to-contact type (1st percentile K%) — great news for Murakami.. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.
AZ
@
CLE
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Gabriel Moreno o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Progressive Field profiles as the #6 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Gabriel Moreno has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Progressive Field profiles as the #6 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today's game.
MIA
@
NYM
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability.. Bo Bichette is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Bo Bichette will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bo Bichette's true offensive talent to be a .330, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .038 difference between that figure and his actual .292 wOBA.
Total Bases
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today's game.. Brett Baty has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game.. Brett Baty's launch angle this year (11.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 5.7° mark last year.. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.3°, Brett Baty has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.8° mark in the past two weeks' worth of games.
WAS
@
ATL
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The #9 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense.
Total Bases
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+117)
Projection 1.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Daylen Lile's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Daylen Lile is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #9 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 89°.
TEX
@
HOU
Fri, Jul 31 • 8:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jake Burger o0.5 Total RBIs (+214)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jake Burger pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Jake Burger grades out in the 79th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.900.. Ranking in the 82nd percentile for power, Jake Burger has averaged 28.4 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total RBIs
Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+189)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in the majors.. Christian Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. Christian Walker's launch angle recently (23° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 15.2° seasonal figure.
KC
@
COL
Fri, Jul 31 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Willi Castro o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Willi Castro is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Michael Wacha.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (-123)
Projection 2.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carter Jensen in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Carter Jensen is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
MIL
@
LAA
Fri, Jul 31 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
David Hamilton o1.5 Total Bases (+290)
Projection 1.13
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the league, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. David Hamilton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Johnson today... and the cherry on top, Johnson has a large platoon split.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.. In the last week's worth of games, David Hamilton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.5-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph in recent games.
Total Bases
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. Batting from the opposite that Shane Drohan throws from, Zach Neto will have an advantage today.
DET
@
ATH
Fri, Jul 31 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Javier Baez o1.5 Total Bases (+133)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #2 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In MLB, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 105°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.9-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Javier Baez will have an edge in today's game.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+109)
Projection 2.24
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The #2 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In MLB, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 105°.
SF
@
SD
Fri, Jul 31 • 9:45 PM ET
Total Bases
DC
Drew Cavanaugh o1.5 Total Bases (+280)
Projection 1.17
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Drew Cavanaugh's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Drew Cavanaugh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against German Marquez today.
Total RBIs
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+197)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Bryce Eldridge has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (55% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Bryce Eldridge will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against German Marquez in today's matchup.
BOS
@
LAD
Fri, Jul 31 • 10:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+194)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Freddie Freeman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+224)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Kyle Tucker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. In the past week, Kyle Tucker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.7% up to 27.3%.. In the last 7 days, Kyle Tucker's 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%.
MIN
@
SEA
Fri, Jul 31 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Kody Clemens ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest fences among all stadiums.. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all parks.. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Kody Clemens will have an advantage today.
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 11th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest fences among all stadiums.. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
