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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 30, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.25 |
-110 
|
o8.5 -124
|
-1.5 +150 
|
|
4.34 |
+105 
|
u9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -160
|
Miami
- Under is 2-0-2 in Marlins last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Junks last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Junks last 4 starts overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Washington
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Esteury Ruiz u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
u0.5+120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 |
+206 
|
o8.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -108
|
|
5.30 |
-210
|
u8.5 -104
|
-1.5 +100
|
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.62 |
-110
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
4.16 |
+108
|
u8.0 -108 
|
+1.5 -165
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Suarezs last 7 starts on grass.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Red Sox last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
NY Yankees
- Under is 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Warrens last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Trent Grisham o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+145)
o1.5+145
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.29 |
-127
|
o7.5 -135
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
4.11 |
+125
|
u8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -140
|
Seattle
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
Toronto
- Under is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Blue Jays last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.36 |
-154
|
o7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +110
|
|
4.20 |
+157
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -120
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Detroit
- Under is 9-0 in Tigers last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.92 |
+155
|
o7.0 -112
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.36 |
-156
|
u7.5 -122
|
-1.5 +140
|
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-2 in Padres last 9 interleague games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 5-0 in Rasmussens last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Rays are 5-0 in Rasmussens last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+148)
o0.5+148
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.70 |
+180
|
o7.5 -104
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
4.83 |
-175
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +120
|
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 overall.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Lugos last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Guardians are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.71 |
+151
|
o8.0 -118
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
5.14 |
-154
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +140
|
Texas
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rockers last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockers last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 home games.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.15 |
+108
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -205
|
|
4.59 |
-114
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 overall.
Minnesota
- Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 home games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Twins are 5-0 in Matthews' last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
-113
|
o7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.07 |
+106
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games.
- Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Pirates last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Pirates are 8-0 in Ashcrafts last 8 starts as a favorite.
St. Louis
- Under is 8-1-1 in Cardinals last 10 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.03 |
+110
|
o8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -194
|
|
5.22 |
-115
|
u9.0 -106
|
-1.5 +165
|
Houston
- Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 road games.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Thorntons last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
o1.5+115
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.95 |
-145
|
o10.0 -112
|
-1.5 +110
|
|
5.34 |
+140
|
u10.5 -110
|
+1.5 -118 
|
Baltimore
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 8-0 in Bassitts last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-140)
o1.5-140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
-175
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
3.47 |
+170
|
u8.0 -106
|
+1.5 -105
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-2 in Wheelers last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Wheelers last 6 starts on grass.
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Wheelers last 6 starts overall.
LA Angels
- Over is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Kikuchis last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Kikuchis last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.62 |
+125
|
o8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.81 |
-135
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +160
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Under is 7-0 in Burns' last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
o1.5+120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.44 |
+110 
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.03 |
-143
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -235
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-2 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Roupps last 5 road starts.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 overall.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 home games.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
MIA
@
WAS
Sun, Aug 30 • 12:15 PM ET
Moneyline
WAS (+100)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
I’m grabbing the Nationals at plus-money behind Andrew Alvarez. Washington holds the offensive edge over Miami (98 wRC+, .178 ISO vs. 87 wRC+, .106 ISO). Miami’s bullpen is laboring with a 4.72 SIERA and a weak 5.9% K-BB%, giving the Nats the late-game hammer at home.
Total Hits
Esteury Ruiz u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Esteury Ruiz is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 4th-worst ballpark in the majors for RHB BABIP.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to worse offense.. Esteury Ruiz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.. Esteury Ruiz has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 14 days.
COL
@
ATL
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:35 PM ET
Total RBIs
Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Willi Castro is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Truist Park profiles as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for overall lefty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs
Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. The #4 field in MLB for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Over the past 7 days, Connor Norby's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.5% up to 18.2%.
BOS
@
NYY
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Willson Contreras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Willson Contreras has done damage vs. right-handed pitching this season with 19 dingers and a .513 SLG – placing him in the top 25 in both categories across the majors.
Nine of Contreras’ 23 home runs have come against the sinker, which Will Warren throws about 27% of the time.
Total
u8.5 (-126)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
SEA
@
TOR
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:37 PM ET
Total Bases
Josh Naylor o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Naylor's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #6 venue in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Josh Naylor will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as Major League Baseball's 4th-best home run batter.. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Max Scherzer.
LAD
@
DET
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.24
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the 2nd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Spencer Torkelson's launch angle lately (53.5° in the last 7 days) is considerably better than his 19.9° seasonal figure.
Total RBIs
Dillon Dingler o0.5 Total RBIs (+228)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dillon Dingler's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the 2nd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Dillon Dingler will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Dillon Dingler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 16% to 20.4%.
SD
@
TB
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 11th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty home runs.. Fernando Tatis Jr. has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.6% seasonal rate to 21.1% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph to 97.9-mph in the past 14 days.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Junior Caminero o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 19th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Junior Caminero will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
KC
@
CLE
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Chase DeLauter is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 2nd-best venue in the majors for lefty BABIP.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense.. Chase DeLauter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today.
Total Bases
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Jo Adell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Progressive Field projects as the #2 stadium in the game for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Progressive Field's left field dimensions are the shallowest.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
TEX
@
MIL
Sun, Aug 30 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.96
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP.. American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.
Total RBIs
Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks.. American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.
CHW
@
MIN
Sun, Aug 30 • 2:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CHW (+101)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
I’m taking Chicago at plus-money. The Pale Hose offense is surging at the top of the league over the past week (141 wRC+, .372 wOBA, 13.3% BB%). Zebby Matthews faces a tough assignment, especially with Minnesota’s bullpen in shambles (4.56 SIERA, 2.16 WHIP, 10.26 ERA). There is value on the road dog today.
Total Hits
Ryan Jeffers u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF fences in MLB.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 81°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Because of Jordan Hicks's large platoon split, Ryan Jeffers will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.
PIT
@
STL
Sun, Aug 30 • 2:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 12th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 91°.. Oneil Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Nick Yorke o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+155)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nick Yorke's BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 91°.. Nick Yorke will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today.. As it relates to his batting average, Nick Yorke has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .218 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .267.
HOU
@
NYM
Sun, Aug 30 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average ability, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. Jeremy Pena will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Thornton in today's game.. Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last week, Jeremy Pena's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.9% up to 22.2%.
Total RBIs
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the game.. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Ethan Pecko throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's game.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.
BAL
@
ATH
Sun, Aug 30 • 4:05 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Zack Gelof o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-140)
Projection 2.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 84th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Zack Gelof has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the best venue in the majors for righty home runs.. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 3rd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-150)
Projection 2.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #1 venue in the league for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 3rd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 18.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.
PHI
@
LAA
Sun, Aug 30 • 4:07 PM ET
Total RBIs
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.8-mph in this match-up, the 6th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Trea Turner will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.8-mph in this match-up, the 6th-strongest of the day for hitters.
CIN
@
CHC
Sun, Aug 30 • 7:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 79th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Matt McLain will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
DET
@
CLE
Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
