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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 7, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.35 |
+197 
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -107
|
|
4.91 |
-210 
|
u8.0 -114
|
-1.5 +100
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Under is 3-0-1 in Wheelers last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Phillies are 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.
Top Projection
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+245)
o0.5 +245
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.76 |
+123 
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.85 |
-131
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +158
|
NY Mets
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 8-2 in Mets last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0 in Mlodzinskis last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Pirates are 6-0 in Mlodzinskis last 6 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.59 |
+108
|
o8.5 -131
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
5.09 |
-116
|
u9.0 -105
|
-1.5 +160
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Reds last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Washington
- Over is 9-0-1 in Cavallis last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Cavallis last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cavallis last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
o1.5 +105
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.31 |
+134
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.94 |
-148
|
u8.5 -124
|
-1.5 +140
|
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a win.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-0 in Frieds last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 vs. National League East.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
o1.5 +140
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.02 |
+230
|
o8.5 -116
|
+2.0 -119 
|
|
5.13 |
-252
|
u9.0 -114
|
-2.0 -109
|
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts on grass.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Jonah Heim o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5 +236
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.51 |
+146
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -142
|
|
4.78 |
-161
|
u9.5 -126
|
-1.5 +128
|
LA Angels
- Under is 8-0-1 in Angels last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague games.
Miami
- Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 9-1 in Marlins last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Marlins last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Top Projection
Jose Siri o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5 +300
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.77 |
+158
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -142
|
|
4.73 |
-172
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +135 
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0-1 in Matthews' last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Twins last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Matthews' last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
Milwaukee
- Under is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 overall.
- Under is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+222)
o0.5 +222
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.78 |
-142
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.21 |
+129
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -131
|
Cleveland
- Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Messicks last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 7-0 in White Sox last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Schultzs last 5 home starts.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.42 |
-161
|
o9.5 -112
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
4.58 |
+146
|
u9.5 -102
|
+1.5 -115
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
Kansas City
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Lynch IVs last 5 interleague starts.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Lynch IVs last 4 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
o0.5 +155
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.78 |
+129
|
o7.5 -116
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.37 |
-142
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +146
|
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Orioles last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 road games.
Texas
- Over is 5-0 in Eovaldis last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Eovaldis last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Eovaldis last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
+146
|
o8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -142
|
|
5.10 |
-161
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +132
|
Colorado
- Over is 5-0 in Feltners last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Feltners last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts as an underdog.
St. Louis
- Under is 7-0 in Leahys last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Leahys last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 8-0 in Leahys last 8 starts overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Leahys last 5 home starts.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
o0.5 +181
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.61 |
-170
|
o9.0 -120
|
-1.5 -107
|
|
4.89 |
+165
|
u9.5 -126
|
+1.5 -107
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Sasakis last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Sasakis last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 vs. National League West.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Sasakis last 5 starts.
Arizona
- Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Kellys last 4 starts vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.77 |
+109
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -191
|
|
4.74 |
-120
|
u8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +173
|
Houston
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Astros last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 vs. American League West.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.07 |
+101
|
o6.5 -126
|
+1.5 -210
|
|
4.47 |
-112
|
u7.0 -110
|
-1.5 +170
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Seattle
- Over is 7-0-1 in Mariners last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Gilberts last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.01 |
-120
|
o8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.43 |
+114
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Tigers are 4-0 in Monteros last 4 starts vs. National League West.
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Top Projection
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5 +200
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Braves are 10-1 in their last 11 games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 vs. National League East.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+140
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-161
|
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Miami
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+180
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-229
|
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 21-4-2 in last 27 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 games as an underdog.
Boston
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. American League West.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Red Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-161
|
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Scherzers last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Under is 10-1 in Phillies last 11 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 8-2 in Mets last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Mets last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 games as a favorite.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Reds are 8-0 in Burns' last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Burns' last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Washington
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 20-7-1 in Nationals last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Under is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 overall.
- Under is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-161
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Cubs are 11-1 in their last 12 during game 2 of a series.
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
Kansas City
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
- Under is 10-1 in Royals last 11 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Williams' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-2 in White Sox last 8 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Astros last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Tigers last 10 overall.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Tigers last 10 on grass.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as a road underdog.
St. Louis
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 11-1 in Cardinals last 12 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 12-2 in Cardinals last 14 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Orioles last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
Texas
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League East.
- Over is 11-2 in Rangers last 13 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 games a home underdog.
- Over is 15-3 in Rangers last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 vs. National League West.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Seattle
- Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Mariners last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
TOR
@
PHI
Fri, Aug 7 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°.
NYM
@
PIT
Fri, Aug 7 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 82%.. Bryan Reynolds will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Carson Benge o1.5 Total Bases (+146)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Carson Benge is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 82%.. Carson Benge will hold the platoon advantage against Carmen Mlodzinski in today's matchup.
CIN
@
WAS
Fri, Aug 7 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.32
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 75th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.4-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats.. Matt McLain has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.04
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.4-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Chase Petty throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand today.. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.
ATL
@
NYY
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Drake Baldwin is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. In the majors, Yankee Stadium has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team today.
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run ability.. In the majors, Yankee Stadium has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.
ATH
@
BOS
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 stadium in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 88°.. Tyler Soderstrom has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jonah Heim o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jonah Heim is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 stadium in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 88°.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Jonah Heim will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Tolle in today's game.. Jonah Heim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
LAA
@
MIA
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best batter in the majors.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums.
Total Hits
Kyle Stowers u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-worst park in the league for lefty batting average.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Today, Kyle Stowers is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.3% rate (83rd percentile).
MIN
@
MIL
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ryan Jeffers o1.5 Total Bases (+154)
Projection 1.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. American Family Field projects as the #7 venue in baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. In MLB, American Family Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.
Total Bases
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+153)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Royce Lewis is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. American Family Field projects as the #7 venue in baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. In MLB, American Family Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.
CLE
@
CHW
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+109)
Projection 1.96
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jo Adell is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls.. Jo Adell will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Schultz today.
Total RBIs
Brenton Doyle o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.37
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for long-balls.. Brenton Doyle will hold the platoon advantage over Parker Messick in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage in today's game.
CHC
@
KC
Fri, Aug 7 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Carson Kelly u0.5 Total Hits (+202)
Projection 0.96
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Carson Kelly's BABIP skill is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carson Kelly is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.. The deepest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Kauffman Stadium.. Given Mason Black's large platoon split, Carson Kelly will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's matchup.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the best for hitting on the slate.. Salvador Perez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
BAL
@
TEX
Fri, Aug 7 • 8:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #2 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -12° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. Jackson Holliday hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. The Texas Rangers outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best out of every team today.. Jackson Holliday will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
COL
@
STL
Fri, Aug 7 • 8:15 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-115)
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor
I don't have any faith in these respective pitching staffs on Friday night. Kyle Leahy carries a 5.19 xERA into this one, well above his actual ERA of 3.44. The Rockies are 11th in OPS since the All-Star break. Ryan Feltner owns a 5.75 ERA and has struggled just to stay in the majors over his brief career. The bullpens are both Bottom 5 by ERA over the last 30 days. I'd play this at -125, or to +100 if the line rises to 9.
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+158)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 5th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
LAD
@
AZ
Fri, Aug 7 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. The #4 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Total Bases
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Mookie Betts is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
HOU
@
SD
Fri, Aug 7 • 9:40 PM ET
FirstInning Total
FirstInning o0.5 (+105)
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor
There's a good chance that both Ronel Blanco and Robbie Ray get sent to the showers early on Friday night, so I'm loving the plus odds on the YRFI line. Blanco has allowed 3+ runs in each of his first three starts since recovering from Tommy John surgery. Ray's xERA (4.47) is over a full point higher than his actual one (3.08), with tons of blue ink on his Baseball Savant page. With both offenses in the Top 6 in OPS since the break, YRFI is playable to -115.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average talent, Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
TB
@
SEA
Fri, Aug 7 • 9:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.04
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 14th-best batter in the majors.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. T-Mobile Park has the 6th-lowest fences among all stadiums.. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today.
Total Bases
Brendan Donovan o1.5 Total Bases (+202)
Projection 1.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. T-Mobile Park has the 6th-lowest fences among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Brendan Donovan will have the upper hand in today's game.. Brendan Donovan has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today.
DET
@
SF
Fri, Aug 7 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's game.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Keider Montero today.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
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