MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 14, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Fri, Aug 14 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (88%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Pete Crow-Armstrong has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks.. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (88%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. In the last week's worth of games, Jordan Walker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.3% up to 21.4%.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Fri, Aug 14 • 6:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Matt McLain ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°.. Matt McLain has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Owen Caissie logo
Owen Caissie u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Owen Caissie is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Owen Caissie has been pulled from the game early 40% of the time.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Owen Caissie will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Owen Caissie's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.9% down to 0%.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Fri, Aug 14 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Esmerlyn Valdez logo
Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Esmerlyn Valdez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Esmerlyn Valdez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Bennett throws from, Esmerlyn Valdez will have the upper hand today.
Total Home Runs
Esmerlyn Valdez logo
Esmerlyn Valdez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+900)
Projection 0.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Esmerlyn Valdez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Esmerlyn Valdez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Bennett throws from, Esmerlyn Valdez will have the upper hand today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Esmerlyn Valdez will hold that advantage today.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Fri, Aug 14 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Dillon Dingler logo
Dillon Dingler u0.5 Total Hits (+210)
Projection 0.99
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield fences in MLB.. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dillon Dingler's true offensive skill to be a .320, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .044 difference between that figure and his actual .364 wOBA.
Total Bases
Javier Baez logo
Javier Baez u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 15th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Javier Baez is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield fences in MLB.. Javier Baez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.2-mph figure last year has dropped off to 84.4-mph.. In the last 14 days, Javier Baez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 84.4 mph to 78.8 mph.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Fri, Aug 14 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.45
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Progressive Field grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense.. Fernando Tatis Jr. has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.4% seasonal rate to 26.3% in the last week's worth of games.
Total RBIs
Ty France logo
Ty France o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Ty France is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Progressive Field grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense.. Ty France has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ New York Mets logo NYM Fri, Aug 14 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Daylen Lile logo
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Daylen Lile's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Daylen Lile is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.. Daylen Lile will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robert Stock today... and the cherry on top, Stock has a large platoon split.. Daylen Lile has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
A.J. Ewing logo
A.J. Ewing o1.5 Total Bases (+142)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability.. A.J. Ewing is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.. A.J. Ewing has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Fri, Aug 14 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Pete Alonso has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 17th-best batter in the majors.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of every team today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Fri, Aug 14 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rogers Centre ranks as the #6 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Bieber today.. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #6 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge today.. Trent Grisham has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays has just 1 same-handed RP.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Fri, Aug 14 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Houston Astros logo HOU Fri, Aug 14 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 2nd-worst park in baseball for lefty batting average.. Minute Maid Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense.. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-deepest RF fences today.
Total Bases
Taylor Trammell logo
Taylor Trammell u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Taylor Trammell's batting average skill is projected to be in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Taylor Trammell is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game.. This year, Taylor Trammell has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 22% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. The #7 park in the league for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. In Major League Baseball, the 3rd-tallest average fence height are at Minute Maid Park.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Fri, Aug 14 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the majors.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the last week, Mike Trout's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.2% up to 22.2%.
Total Bases
Jose Siri logo
Jose Siri o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.38
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Jose Siri ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage today.. Jose Siri has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.4% seasonal rate to 30% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Jose Siri has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 101.6-mph in the last two weeks.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Fri, Aug 14 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+116)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Sutter Health Park ranks as the #1 stadium in the league for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 85°.
Total Bases
Tyler Soderstrom logo
Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases (+107)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Sutter Health Park grades out as the #1 stadium in the majors for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 85°.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Fri, Aug 14 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD (-175)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

This is just an all-around tough matchup for Brewers starting pitcher Robert Gasser, who struggles to work deep into games and will most likely force Pat Murphy to dip into his middle-relief arms. Gasser is a deceptive but low-velocity lefty who relies heavily on his slider when pitching to right-handed hitters. If he isn't locating that pitch, he's going to be leaving sliders over the heart of the plate to a lineup that features a ton of pull power from the right side against left-handed pitching. The Dodgers' patience and ability to work counts give them an advantage, especially with Gasser's tendency to exit games early and Yoshinobu Yamamoto on the mound. The Dodgers are trading as a 64-cent favorite on Polymarket, and I have them priced as a 67-cent favorite, which means there's an edge we can exploit.

Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for RHB home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Considering Robert Gasser's large platoon split, Teoscar Hernandez will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Fri, Aug 14 • 10:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Oracle Park's right field fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Rafael Devers will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total Hits
Jake McCarthy logo
Jake McCarthy u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.95
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
16% of the time that Jake McCarthy has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching on the slate.. Extreme groundball bats like Jake McCarthy tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Landen Roupp.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake McCarthy in today's matchup.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.