MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 30, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Tue, Jun 30 • 6:35 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.51
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as baseball's 15th-best home run hitter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Colson Montgomery will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trey Gibson in today's game.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+143)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as baseball's 15th-best home run hitter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Colson Montgomery will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trey Gibson in today's game.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Tue, Jun 30 • 6:40 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best hitter in the league.. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's game.. Bryce Harper has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Hits
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u0.5 Total Hits (+176)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This matchup is forecasted to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Jun 30 • 7:05 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Kerry Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cam Schlitter today.. Kerry Carpenter pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+140)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Tue, Jun 30 • 7:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Francisco Alvarez logo
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+575)
Projection 0.18
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.8-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.8-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Tue, Jun 30 • 7:10 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total RBIs
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Curtis Mead ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Curtis Mead is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.8-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Connelly Early throws from, Curtis Mead will have an advantage today.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Tue, Jun 30 • 7:15 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 91°.. JJ Wetherholt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 91°.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Austin Riley will have an edge today.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team today.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Tue, Jun 30 • 7:40 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Ryan Vilade logo
Ryan Vilade u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ryan Vilade hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams playing today.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Vilade today.
Total Bases
Jac Caglianone logo
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Jac Caglianone ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jac Caglianone is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.6-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Jax throws from, Jac Caglianone will have the upper hand in today's game.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Tue, Jun 30 • 7:40 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Christian Yelich logo
Christian Yelich o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP ability, Christian Yelich is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 93°.. Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Christian Yelich will have an advantage today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 93°.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his good side against Brandon Sproat in today's game.. Elly De La Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Tue, Jun 30 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Considering JP Sears's large platoon split, Dansby Swanson will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.. Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+107)
Projection 2.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average ability, Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 13th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge today.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, Jun 30 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Otto Lopez logo
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (-150)
Projection 2.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 9th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average talent.. Otto Lopez is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day.. Otto Lopez will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Freeland today.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.13
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the league's 14th-best home run hitter.. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of the day.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage today.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Tue, Jun 30 • 9:40 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
J.P. Crawford logo
J.P. Crawford o0.5 Total RBIs (+310)
Projection 0.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.4-mph in this match-up, the 7th-strongest of the day for hitters.. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Soriano in today's matchup.. J.P. Crawford has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
J.P. Crawford logo
J.P. Crawford o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+120)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.4-mph in this match-up, the 7th-strongest of the day for hitters.. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Soriano in today's matchup.. J.P. Crawford has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Tue, Jun 30 • 9:40 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.23
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the game.. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Athletics.
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (-128)
Projection 2.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Shea Langeliers will have the handedness advantage over Justin Wrobleski today.. Shea Langeliers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
View 5 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

View 16 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 8 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 18 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 11 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

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