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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 25, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.31 |
+125 
|
o6.5 -114 
|
+1.5 -190 
|
|
4.01 |
-134
|
u6.5 +100
|
-1.5 +180 
|
Baltimore
NY Yankees
Top Projection
Carlos Narvaez o0.5 Total RBIs (+429)
o0.5+475
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.72 |
-115
|
o6.5 -102 
|
-1.5 +164
|
|
4.33 |
+102
|
u6.5 -108
|
+1.5 -182
|
Chi. Cubs
Boston
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.99 |
+145
|
o6.5 -115
|
+1.5 -148
|
|
4.64 |
-162
|
u6.5 +100 
|
-1.5 +145 
|
Tampa Bay
Philadelphia
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.32 |
-108
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.25 |
-106
|
u8.0 -118
|
-1.5 +150
|
Pittsburgh
Detroit
Top Projection
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.34 |
-134
|
o7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.76 |
+115
|
u8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -137
|
NY Mets
Washington
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+275
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.59 |
+116
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -162
|
|
4.26 |
-130
|
u8.0 -122
|
-1.5 +165
|
Cincinnati
Toronto
Top Projection
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.35 |
-122
|
o7.5 -141
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.22 |
+106
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -162
|
Atlanta
Miami
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+223
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.19 |
-129
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.07 |
+120
|
u8.0 -124
|
+1.5 -148
|
Cleveland
Kansas City
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+223)
o0.5+223
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.79 |
+194
|
o7.5 -129
|
+1.5 -106
|
|
5.05 |
-200
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +100
|
Colorado
Chi. White Sox
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.89 |
+155
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -134
|
|
4.49 |
-175
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +126
|
St. Louis
Milwaukee
Top Projection
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
-108
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
3.59 |
-105
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -182
|
Texas
Minnesota
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.63 |
-170
|
o8.5 -109
|
-1.5 +102
|
|
4.91 |
+148
|
u8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -115
|
Houston
Athletics
Top Projection
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
o1.5+155
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.36 |
+116
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.18 |
-134
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +168
|
Arizona
San Diego
Top Projection
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
o1.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.63 |
+115
|
o6.5 -115
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.77 |
-130
|
u7.0 -124
|
-1.5 +184
|
LA Angels
Seattle
Top Projection
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+330)
o0.5+330
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.90 |
-360
|
o7.0 -125
|
-2.5 -105
|
|
2.47 |
+305
|
u7.5 -120
|
+2.5 +105
|
LA Dodgers
San Francisco
Top Projection
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+152)
o0.5+152
CHC
@
BOS
Fri, Sep 25 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Alec Gamboa throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an edge in today's game.. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Roman Anthony o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 98th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Roman Anthony is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Roman Anthony will have the handedness advantage against Clay Holmes in today's game.. Roman Anthony hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
BAL
@
NYY
Fri, Sep 25 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+225)
Projection 1.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Coby Mayo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Coby Mayo has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 13.5% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the last 7 days.. Coby Mayo has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.1-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 95.3-mph.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Pete Alonso has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.. Pete Alonso has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14.7% seasonal rate to 36.4% in the last week.
TB
@
PHI
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
J.T. Realmuto o1.5 Total Bases (+236)
Projection 1.3
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers.. J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. J.T. Realmuto has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 94.8-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 92.3-mph.
Strikeouts Thrown
Freddy Peralta o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115)
Projection 4.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Freddy Peralta in the 77th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.. Freddy Peralta has averaged 93.9 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 87th percentile.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 12.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.
PIT
@
DET
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Riley Greene ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Bubba Chandler today.. Among every team playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as Major League Baseball's 18th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Jackson Jobe throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge in today's matchup.
NYM
@
WAS
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Given Jonathan Pintaro's large platoon split, CJ Abrams will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team in action today.
Total Bases
Keibert Ruiz o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.32
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jonathan Pintaro... and even better, Pintaro has a large platoon split.. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (42.3% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team in action today.. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle in recent games (25.3° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 16.8° seasonal angle.
BAL
@
NYY
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Dylan Beavers o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Beavers is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Brendan Beck throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an edge today.. Dylan Beavers has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 13% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Dylan Beavers has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.6-mph EV.
Total RBIs
Leody Taveras o0.5 Total RBIs (+360)
Projection 0.34
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Brendan Beck.. Leody Taveras has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.8-mph figure.
CIN
@
TOR
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:07 PM ET
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 4th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. George Springer will have the handedness advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's matchup.. George Springer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
ATL
@
MIA
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Eury Perez o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-165)
Projection 5.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Eury Perez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.. Eury Perez has averaged 92.3 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 78th percentile.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. Given that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Eury Perez (40.7% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 3 GB hitters in the opposition's projected batting order.. Eury Perez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats in all categories.
Total Bases
Austin Riley u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Austin Riley is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. Eury Perez will have the handedness advantage against Austin Riley today.. Typically, batters like Austin Riley who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Eury Perez.
CLE
@
KC
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-137)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
I’m backing Cleveland behind Gavin Williams, who enters with a 3.63 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 244 strikeouts in 181 innings. Kansas City counters with Noah Cameron, but the bigger edge comes once the starters leave. The Royals’ bullpen has been a problem all season, while Cleveland owns a 3.75 team ERA. With the Guardians still fighting for the AL Central, I’ll trust the better pitching staff in a meaningful game.
Total Bases
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. The #6 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Williams today.
COL
@
CHW
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the majors's 14th-best home run batter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #6 park in baseball for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hunter Goodman pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Grading out in the 100th percentile for power, Hunter Goodman has paced 41.8 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
Projection 1.21
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #6 park in baseball for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for long-balls.. Ezequiel Tovar has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.9% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 43.5% on the season to 64.7% over the past two weeks.. Despite posting a .262 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ezequiel Tovar has experienced some negative variance given the .029 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .291.
STL
@
MIL
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Joey Ortiz u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 24th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Joey Ortiz is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.. The weather report predicts the most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Michael McGreevy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Ortiz in today's game.. Joey Ortiz has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-deepest RF fences today.
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+253)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Ivan Herrera will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robert Gasser in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Gasser has a large platoon split.
TEX
@
MIN
Fri, Sep 25 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Royce Lewis u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Royce Lewis's BABIP ability is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Royce Lewis is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest.. Target Field has the 5th-tallest average fence height in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Jacob deGrom throws from, Royce Lewis will have a tough matchup today.
Total Bases
Ryan Jeffers u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ryan Jeffers has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (98% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest.. Target Field has the 5th-tallest average fence height in the league.. Hitting from the same side that Jacob deGrom throws from, Ryan Jeffers will not have the upper hand in today's game.. Over the last two weeks, Ryan Jeffers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.6% down to 0%.
HOU
@
ATH
Fri, Sep 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Let's rip the best expected ROI Over on the slate today after an easy cash last night with the Reds and Braves. The days are running out at Sutter Health Park, which has been a great Over diamond all year, with the Over hitting there at 64.3% — the highest home rate in all of baseball. Hunter Brown is pitching for a division contender, but he gets a huge Sacramento downgrade, while the A's are running Jacob Lopez, who just gave up 10 runs in his last outing and has allowed 19 runs over his last three starts. The wind is blowing out to center, and it's the best hitting weather on the slate. The fair price is -222 with 11.4 runs expected.
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 2.28
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The #1 park in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°.
AZ
@
SD
Fri, Sep 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
AZ (+116)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Arizona Diamondbacks are trading at 46% on Polymarket, and I'm hitting the button at that price, as I make them closer to 50% against the San Diego Padres. You can't have your back against the wall much more than the Diamondbacks do this weekend, as they basically need a sweep to have any hope of making the postseason. That should lead to their roster being managed like they're playing an elimination game, but I also really like the matchup for Brandon Pfaadt. The heart of the Padres' lineup is loaded with right-handed bats, and that's not a problem for Pfaadt, who has held right-handed hitters to a .599 OPS this season. His hard, sweeping slider runs away from the barrels of right-handed hitters, giving him a pitch that can neutralize the strength of San Diego's lineup. That's why the Diamondbacks have my attention at this price.
Total Hits
Jesus Sanchez u0.5 Total Hits (-125)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jesus Sanchez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.. This year, Jesus Sanchez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 42% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jesus Sanchez in today's game.
LAA
@
SEA
Fri, Sep 25 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park ranks as the #29 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage against Mike Trout in today's game.. Mike Trout will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. Mike Trout's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 96.8-mph EV last season has lowered to 93.9-mph.
Total Bases
Randy Arozarena o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. T-Mobile Park has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for HRs.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
LAD
@
SF
Fri, Sep 25 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.14
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Oracle Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Yunior Marte throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage against Yunior Marte today.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
