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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 1, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.36 |
-130 
|
o9.5 -105 
|
-1.5 +122 
|
|
5.16 |
+125 
|
u9.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -130
|
San Diego
- Over is 6-0 in Vasquezs last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Vasquezs last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Vasquezs last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 overall.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Reds last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.95 |
+147
|
o7.5 +105
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.77 |
-150
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-2 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Webbs last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Skenes' last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.14 |
+162
|
o7.5 -115 
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.91 |
-170
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +125
|
Toronto
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Blue Jays last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 on grass.
Cleveland
- Over is 6-0 in Williams' last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-0 in Williams' last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+115
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -195
|
|
4.64 |
-124
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +170
|
NY Mets
- Over is 7-0-1 in Mets last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
o1.5+105
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.57 |
-160
|
o9.5 -115
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
4.35 |
+157
|
u10.0 -110
|
+1.5 -108
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Washington
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Irvins last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Sean Murphy u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
u0.5+150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.48 |
+110
|
o7.0 -124 
|
+1.5 -195
|
|
4.60 |
-115
|
u7.5 -114
|
-1.5 +180
|
Seattle
- Under is 5-0 in Woos last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Woos last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts as a favorite.
Boston
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+225
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.62 |
+105
|
o9.5 -114
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
5.22 |
-115
|
u10.0 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Miami
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 14-3 in Marlins last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Royals are 9-0 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.49 |
-110
|
o8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.77 |
+105
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -160
|
Detroit
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts overall.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0-2 in Prielipps last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0 in Prielipps last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Prielipps last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Prielipps last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
o0.5+167
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.67 |
+115
|
o10.0 -118
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.96 |
-120
|
u10.5 -115
|
-1.5 +160 
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 7-0 in Gassers last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as a road underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 6-1 in Boyds last 7 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in Boyds last 8 home starts.
Top Projection
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.29 |
+170
|
o7.5 +105
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
4.28 |
-180
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +120
|
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
Texas
- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Rangers are 5-0 in Gores last 5 starts vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.76 |
-112
|
o8.5 -104
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.28 |
+105
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -176
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 6-0 in Burkes last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Burkes last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
Houston
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 overall.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 on grass.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)
o1.5-110
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.45 |
-135
|
o11.0 -114
|
-1.5 +110 
|
|
5.48 |
+130
|
u11.5 -120
|
+1.5 -120
|
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
o0.5+130
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
-175
|
o7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
3.73 |
+165
|
u8.0 -119
|
+1.5 -110
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 8-0 in Coles last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 on grass.
- Under is 7-0 in Coles last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 8-0 in Coles last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+229)
o0.5+229
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.80 |
-130
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.05 |
+125
|
u7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -140
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-0 in Luzardos last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.43 |
+162
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.95 |
-170
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +125
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games.
- Over is 7-0-1 in McGreevys last 8 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games following a loss.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 8-0 in Lauers last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Lauers last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Top Projection
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
SD
@
CIN
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Projection 0.23
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 ballpark in baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 93°.. Eugenio Suarez has strong power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (30.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vásquez is a pitch-to-contact type (6th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 ballpark in baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 93°.. Tyler Stephenson has big-time HR ability (82nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vásquez struggles to strike batters out (18th percentile K%) — great news for Stephenson.
SF
@
PIT
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Logan Webb today.
Total Bases
Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
TOR
@
CLE
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jose Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for LHB base hits.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (43% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s true offensive ability to be a .358, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .058 deviation between that mark and his actual .300 wOBA.
NYM
@
TB
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the best venue in baseball for lefty home runs.. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta today.. Juan Soto's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 14.2% to 18%.
Total Bases
Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the best field in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Bo Bichette has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bo Bichette's true offensive ability to be a .326, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .024 deviation between that mark and his actual .302 wOBA.
ATL
@
WAS
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Daylen Lile is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 8th-shallowest.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Batting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Daylen Lile will have an advantage in today's game.
Total Hits
Sean Murphy u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Sean Murphy's batting average ability is projected to be in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Sean Murphy is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.. Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Murphy in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sean Murphy in today's game.
SEA
@
BOS
Tue, Sep 1 • 6:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest.. Posting a .375 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Randy Arozarena is ranked in the 96th percentile.
Total RBIs
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team playing today.
MIA
@
KC
Tue, Sep 1 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
KC (-118)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Kansas City has won eight of its last 10, and I’ll back that momentum behind Randy Dobnak. The right-hander owns a 1.92 ERA through 51 2/3 innings and has been one of baseball’s most effective starters since early July. At essentially a pick’em price at home, KC gets my money.
DET
@
MIN
Tue, Sep 1 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.. Kevin McGonigle is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Minnesota (#2-worst of all teams on the slate today).. Kevin McGonigle has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.4% seasonal rate to 16.2% over the last 14 days.
Total RBIs
Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+194)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Josh Bell is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Troy Melton.. Josh Bell will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
MIL
@
CHC
Tue, Sep 1 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Carson Kelly o1.5 Total RBIs (+600)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Wrigley Field has the 7th-shallowest left field dimensions in the league.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Considering Robert Gasser's large platoon split, Carson Kelly will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game.. In the last week, Carson Kelly's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.5% up to 12.5%.
Total RBIs
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
William Contreras's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, William Contreras will have an edge in today's game.
CHW
@
HOU
Tue, Sep 1 • 8:10 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Projection 1.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Batting from the opposite that Mike Burrows throws from, Colson Montgomery will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The Houston Astros infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.33
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Miguel Vargas projects as the 18th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Miguel Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Houston Astros infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.. Miguel Vargas is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Houston (#3-worst on the slate).
BAL
@
COL
Tue, Sep 1 • 8:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Coby Mayo has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 12.9% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.04
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the game's 13th-best home run hitter.. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today's game.
NYY
@
LAA
Tue, Sep 1 • 9:38 PM ET
Total RBIs
Vaughn Grissom o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Vaughn Grissom is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences among all major league parks.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Vaughn Grissom will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+229)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences among all major league parks.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.. Mike Trout will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
PHI
@
AZ
Tue, Sep 1 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
AZ (+119)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
Jesús Luzardo is one of the toughest starting pitchers in the National League, and he features a nasty sweeper that carries a +20 run value and a 47.9% whiff rate this season. That being said, Luzardo's sweeper is an absolute weapon against left-handed hitters, but it loses some of its effectiveness against right-handed bats. The Arizona Diamondbacks are likely to feature a lineup with Corbin Carroll as their only left-handed hitter, limiting the impact of Luzardo's best weapon. On the other side, the Phillies' two most dangerous hitters, Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, don't have an advantageous matchup either. They'll face lefty Eduardo Rodriguez, who can fade his changeup away from the barrels of their bats. The Diamondbacks are trading at 45% on Polymarket, but I make them closer to a 49% underdog, which is why I'm hitting the button.
Total RBIs
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corbin Carroll projects as the 19th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Corbin Carroll will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
STL
@
LAD
Tue, Sep 1 • 10:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Eric Lauer throws from, Jordan Walker will have an edge in today's game.
Total RBIs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+218)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #3 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team playing today.. Teoscar Hernandez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
DET
@
CLE
Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
