MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 9, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Thu, Jul 9 • 12:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o1.5 Total Bases (-111)
Projection 2.38
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Michael Harris II's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Michael Harris II is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 field in the league for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Keller today.
Total Bases
Drake Baldwin logo
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.08
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Drake Baldwin is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. The #4 field in the league for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Thu, Jul 9 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Tropicana Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's game.. Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+340)
Projection 0.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Tropicana Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Tropicana Field's RF fences are the 5th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge today.. Extreme flyball bats like Austin Wells tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams on the slate today.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ New York Mets logo NYM Thu, Jul 9 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-122)
Projection 2.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Because of Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Bobby Witt Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Lane Thomas logo
Lane Thomas o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 40 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lane Thomas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Because of Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Lane Thomas will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. Lane Thomas pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Lane Thomas has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 91.1-mph.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Thu, Jul 9 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The #10 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today.
Total Home Runs
Samuel Basallo logo
Samuel Basallo o0.5 Total Home Runs (+564)
Projection 0.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Basallo in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions among all parks.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Samuel Basallo will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Samuel Basallo has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.2% seasonal rate to 19% over the last two weeks.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Thu, Jul 9 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Gavin Williams.. Josh Bell will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Over the past 7 days, Josh Bell's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11% up to 30%.
Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+166)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Royce Lewis is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Jul 9 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Randal Grichuk logo
Randal Grichuk u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This year, Randal Grichuk has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 67% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.. Out of every team playing today, the best infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.. Randal Grichuk has been lucky this year, putting up a .359 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .029 gap.. With a 4.22 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Randal Grichuk has displayed poor plate discipline, ranking in the 13th percentile.. Ranking in the 11th percentile, Randal Grichuk has put up a .258 BABIP since the start of last season.
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #7 field in the league for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers.. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Thu, Jul 9 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Otto Lopez logo
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Otto Lopez is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Otto Lopez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.5% seasonal rate to 13% in the last 7 days.
Total RBIs
Otto Lopez logo
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+257)
Projection 0.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Otto Lopez is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Otto Lopez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.5% seasonal rate to 13% in the last 7 days.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Thu, Jul 9 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Dillon Dingler logo
Dillon Dingler o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Dillon Dingler is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 10th-best venue in the majors for RHB batting average.. Comerica Park has the shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Dillon Dingler will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Zach McKinstry logo
Zach McKinstry u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach McKinstry in the 13th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Zach McKinstry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.. The 2nd-deepest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Comerica Park.. In the past 7 days, Zach McKinstry's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 87.7 mph to 85.6 mph.. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 49.6% to 42.6%.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Thu, Jul 9 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (-117)
Projection 2.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the game's 3rd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best park in the majors for left-handed home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Kyle Schwarber will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.
Total Bases
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.07
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Bryson Stott has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best park in the majors for left-handed home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Bryson Stott will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 9 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°.. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+197)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°.. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Thu, Jul 9 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Jorge Soler logo
Jorge Soler o0.5 Total RBIs (+246)
Projection 0.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Jorge Soler has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph mark.. Over the last week, Jorge Soler's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.7%.
Total RBIs
Josh Lowe logo
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+312)
Projection 0.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Josh Lowe has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (98% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Josh Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi today.. Josh Lowe has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 93.9-mph.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ San Diego Padres logo SD Thu, Jul 9 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Petco Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Gavin Sheets logo
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Total RBIs (+186)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. Petco Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today's game.. Gavin Sheets will probably have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.. Gavin Sheets will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 17 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 27 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 20 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

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