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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 24, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.49 |
-122 
|
o7.5 +100 
|
-1.5 +140 
|
|
3.56 |
+119 
|
u7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -150
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 starts on grass.
Miami
- Under is 9-0 in Alcantaras last 9 starts on grass.
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
o0.5+174
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.62 |
-128
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
3.91 |
+125
|
u8.0 -127 
|
+1.5 -139
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in Rasmussens last 6 starts.
- Over is 5-0 in Rays last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Rays are 4-0 in Rasmussens last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Detroit
- Over is 5-0-1 in Valdezs last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Valdezs last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Hao-Yu Lee o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
o1.5+250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.87 |
+170
|
o8.0 -112 
|
+1.5 -122
|
|
4.43 |
-177
|
u8.5 -117
|
-1.5 +120
|
Colorado
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
Washington
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 on grass.
- Nationals are 6-0 in Cavallis last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+335)
o0.5+335
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
+120
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.60 |
-125
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +170
|
Texas
- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Rockers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 8-1 in Rockers last 9 starts on grass.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
Top Projection
Joc Pederson u1.5 Total Bases (-167)
u1.5-167
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.42 |
-155
|
o7.5 -109
|
-1.5 +110
|
|
3.60 |
+147
|
u7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -120
|
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games following a win.
- Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Angels last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Vaughn Grissom o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5+300
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.29 |
-105
|
o7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
3.95 |
-102
|
u7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -175
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 8-0 in Ashcrafts last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League West.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.99 |
-135
|
o8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +120 
|
|
4.37 |
+130 
|
u9.5 -130
|
+1.5 -130
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Arizona
- Over is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kellys last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kellys last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.06 |
-108
|
o6.5 -115
|
-1.5 +170
|
|
3.53 |
+105
|
u7.0 -130
|
+1.5 -180
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Wheelers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 games following a win.
Seattle
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+218)
o0.5+218
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.31 |
-150
|
o10.5 -110
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
5.37 |
+143
|
u10.5 +100
|
+1.5 -115
|
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0-1 in Matthews' last 7 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Matthews' last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in Springs' last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Springs' last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+184)
o0.5+184
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.46 |
-150
|
o7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
3.53 |
+144
|
u7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -130
|
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Burns' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games following a loss.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 11-4 in Giants last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
o0.5+235
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.51 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.46 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.13 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 road games.
- Rays are 5-1 in Seymours last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Detroit
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Jobes last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Tigers last 9 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.77 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.12 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 4-0 in Freelands last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Washington
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 on grass.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.87 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games following a loss.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games as an underdog.
NY Yankees
- Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 12-0 in Yankees last 12 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 11-0 in Yankees last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.56 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.18 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Royals are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a win.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
3.97 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
NY Mets
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.80 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.79 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.42 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts vs. American League West.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.71 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.96 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.41 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 road games.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
LA Angels
- Under is 7-1-1 in Angels last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 11-1 in Angels last 12 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.29 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Cubs last 9 road games.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Cubs last 9 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.08 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.69 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League West.
- Pirates are 6-2 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 8-3 in their last 11 games as a road favorite.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.71 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 road games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 overall.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 vs. American League West.
Athletics
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.64 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.35 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-1 in Phillies last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.46 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.48 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 overall.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games as a home favorite.
BOS
@
MIA
Mon, Aug 24 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
BOS (-131)
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor
The Boston Red Sox hold a distinct pitching edge with starter Ranger Suárez (3.41 ERA), backed by an elite Boston bullpen that ranks among the league’s most reliable with a sub-3.00 ERA. The Miami Marlins continue to struggle against solid left-handed pitching, making this a tough situational spot for the Marlins at home. With Boston's offense consistently creating run-manufacturing opportunities and Miami’s relief core lacking the depth to match late-game high-leverage situations, lay the short price and back the Red Sox to secure the road win.
Total RBIs
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Ceddanne Rafaela has notched a .281 batting average this year, grading out in the 89th percentile.
TB
@
DET
Mon, Aug 24 • 6:40 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-112)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Over 7.5 is built around bullpen vulnerability and late scoring. Detroit’s relief corps has been hammered lately, while Tampa Bay’s pen is also allowing homers. Rasmussen can still pitch well, but Valdez’s command issues and both shaky bullpens create multiple scoring paths tonight at Comerica Park.
Moneyline
TB (-137)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Tampa Bay has the edge behind Drew Rasmussen, whose underlying numbers remain strong despite recent run damage. He owns a 2.41 xERA over the last month with limited hard contact. Detroit’s offense is cold, while Framber Valdez’s recent walks and hard contact give the Rays a clear path.
COL
@
WAS
Mon, Aug 24 • 6:45 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Projection 2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. This game is expected to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Mickey Moniak pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Brett Sullivan o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
Projection 0.37
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This game is expected to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Brett Sullivan will have an advantage in today's game.. Brett Sullivan pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.7% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Brett Sullivan usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Cade Cavalli.
TEX
@
CHW
Mon, Aug 24 • 7:40 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-124)
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor
The Texas Rangers offense has struggled to generate consistent contact on the road against right-handed pitching, while the Chicago White Sox lineup remains one of the league's lowest-scoring units. Texas starting pitching continues to generate elite ground-ball rates and limit hard contact, which should keep Chicago's run production minimal. Combined with a projected cool breeze at Rate Field and two bullpens equipped to lock down the late innings, runs will be at a premium throughout the night.
Total Bases
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Placing in the 86th percentile, the hardest ball Jake Burger has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.
CLE
@
LAA
Mon, Aug 24 • 9:38 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Parker Messick o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-158)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Parker Messick continues to find himself in strong strikeout spots, and tonight is no different against the Los Angeles Angels. The Guardians left-hander has been dominant recently, posting a 32% strikeout rate over his last three starts and 29% over his last five. He is also generating plenty of swings and misses, with 30% of his pitches ending in a swinging strike or called strike. The Angels feature eight hitters with at least a 21.7% strikeout rate and four at 32.8% or higher. Against lefties, they own a 25.5% strikeout rate, making Messick’s strikeout props very intriguing tonight.
Total Bases
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Jo Adell ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense projects as the 13th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.
PIT
@
SD
Mon, Aug 24 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Nick Yorke o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.18
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Yorke in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Nick Yorke will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball hitters like Nick Yorke tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray.
Total Bases
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
CHC
@
AZ
Mon, Aug 24 • 9:40 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-126)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Merrill Kelly and powerful offenses go together like oil and water. Kelly has posted a 7.30 ERA and allowed 2.43 home runs per nine innings over seven starts vs. Top-10 teams in ISO.
Kevin Gausman sits in the 34th percentile in xBA, and the Arizona Diamondbacks are up to 15th in batting average vs. righties this month.
Play the Over to -135.
Total Home Runs
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Home Runs (+280)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Merrill Kelly has allowed a .248 ISO and 1.68 HR/9 to left-handed bats.
Pete Crow-Armstrong has posted ISOs of .312 and .548 against changeups and fastballs the past 30 games. Those happen to be Kelly’s two most prominent pitches when facing lefties.
Bet to +257.
PHI
@
SEA
Mon, Aug 24 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Logan Gilbert combines to throw the fastball and slider more than 60% of the time against left-handed hitters.
Bryce Harper is sporting a ridiculous .552 ISO against right-handed fastballs, and he’s no slouch facing sliders (.382 wOBA, .229 ISO).
Bet to +450.
Total
u6.5 (+100)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Seattle Mariners have faced eight arms who profile similarly to Zack Wheeler. They scored five total runs against the starters fitting the criteria.
Philadelphia has not hit for anywhere close to the same level of power on the road, besting only the Royals in OPS.
Logan Gilbert should be able to limit the home runs in pitcher-friendly conditions, and that will help avoid bulk scoring.
Bet the Under to -113.
MIN
@
ATH
Mon, Aug 24 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Zack Gelof ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zack Gelof is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The #1 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In MLB, Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games today at 97°.
Total Bases
Kaelen Culpepper o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #1 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In MLB, Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of all games today at 97°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Kaelen Culpepper will hold the platoon advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today's matchup.
CIN
@
SF
Mon, Aug 24 • 9:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Sal Stewart o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Sal Stewart ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Sal Stewart will have the upper hand today.. Sal Stewart has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Dane Myers o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dane Myers's BABIP talent is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Dane Myers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Dane Myers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Whisenhunt in today's game.. Dane Myers has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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