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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 23, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+125 
|
o7.5 -110 
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.40 |
-134 
|
u8.0 -135
|
-1.5 +160
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+187
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.30 |
+200
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
5.27 |
-210
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +107
|
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+236
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
-106
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
5.15 |
+100
|
u8.5 +105
|
+1.5 -165
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 road games.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 on grass.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Orioles last 9 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.70 |
+145
|
o8.0 -118
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.30 |
-153
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +140
|
Washington
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 overall.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
Miami
- Over is 5-0 in Junks last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.02 |
+170
|
o9.0 -105 
|
+1.5 -127 
|
|
4.27 |
-180
|
u10.5 -200
|
-1.5 +122 
|
Athletics
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Cristian Javier o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115)
o4.5+118
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
-110
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +160 
|
|
4.20 |
+101
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -165
|
NY Mets
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Mets are 6-0 in McLeans last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in McLeans last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.69 |
-110
|
o8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.68 |
+101
|
u8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -170
|
Detroit
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Valdezs last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games as an underdog.
Kansas City
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.12 |
+143
|
o7.5 -122
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.24 |
-153
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +152
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Texas
- Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Quantrills last 4 starts overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.70 |
-160
|
o11.0 -108
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
5.20 |
+150
|
u11.5 -115
|
+1.5 -105
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Rockies are 6-1 in Suganos last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.08 |
+200
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -110
|
|
5.25 |
-210
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +105
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
Boston
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 vs. National League West.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
Top Projection
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+228
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.61 |
+260
|
o8.5 +105
|
+2.0 -117
|
|
5.37 |
-275
|
u8.5 -110
|
-2.0 +100
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 on grass.
- Under is 7-2 in Pirates last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+285
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 |
-105
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
3.90 |
-105
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -170
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
Seattle
- Over is 4-0-1 in Millers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Millers last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
+125
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.99 |
-135
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +155
|
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 4-0 in Obers last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Twins last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Padres last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
o1.5+121
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.00 |
+115
|
o8.5 -108
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.78 |
-125
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +170
|
Cincinnati
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 overall.
Arizona
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+118
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.14 |
-123
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +170
|
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 9-1 in Braves last 10 games as a road favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League East.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5+275
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. American League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Detroit
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Tigers last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Washington
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 on grass.
- Under is 9-1 in Nationals last 10 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Guardians are 7-1 in Messicks last 8 starts as an underdog.
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Angels last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Padres last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Cubs last 7 road games.
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Arizona
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Seattle
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 overall.
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 10-1 in Twins last 11 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-2 in last 9 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Burns' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 8-1 in Burns' last 9 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 overall.
- Over is 11-4 in Giants last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
TOR
@
NYY
Sun, Aug 23 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Alejandro Kirk o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.9-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.. Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup.. Alejandro Kirk has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.9-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.. George Springer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.
STL
@
PHI
Sun, Aug 23 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Leahy today.. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Trea Turner will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
TB
@
BAL
Sun, Aug 23 • 1:35 PM ET
Moneyline
TB (-108)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Tampa Bay enters with a red-hot offense, posting a 113 wRC+ over the last 14 days, pairing high contact with disciplined plate approaches. Baltimore's bullpen has been prone to high-damage contact despite strikeout flashes. Back the Rays' superior operational baseline at a coin-flip price.
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+118)
Projection 1.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°.. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today.
WAS
@
MIA
Sun, Aug 23 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Heriberto Hernandez u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 90th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals.
Total Hits
Nasim Nunez u0.5 Total Hits (+162)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 13th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Nasim Nunez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Nasim Nunez will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Janson Junk in today's game.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nasim Nunez today.
NYM
@
CHW
Sun, Aug 23 • 2:10 PM ET
Moneyline
NYM (-121)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
New York offers a major pitching edge with a dominant bullpen posting a 2.90 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 25.6% strike rate over the last 14 days. With Chicago starting an undecided arm against Nolan McLean, backing the Mets at a short, playable price avoids laying massive juice later.
Total RBIs
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Miguel Vargas ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the majors.. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nolan McLean.. Miguel Vargas will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
SF
@
BOS
Sun, Aug 23 • 3:15 PM ET
Total Hits
Caleb Durbin u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 14th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Caleb Durbin is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers.
Total RBIs
Victor Bericoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.35
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Victor Bericoto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the highest humidity of all games on the slate today at 82%.. Victor Bericoto will have the handedness advantage against Jake Bennett in today's game.. Victor Bericoto has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.
PIT
@
LAD
Sun, Aug 23 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.26
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 96°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Shohei Ohtani will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carmen Mlodzinski today.
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 96°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
CHC
@
SEA
Sun, Aug 23 • 4:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CHC (+101)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
The Cubs are mashing the ball, posting a 116 wRC+ and .218 ISO over the last 14 days. Seattle's bullpen has melted down recently, posting a 7.59 ERA and 1.64 WHIP. Shota Imanaga gives Chicago the stability needed to keep the Mariners' lineup in check and exploit Seattle's pitching struggles at plus-money.
Total Hits
Weston Wilson u0.5 Total Hits (+100)
Projection 0.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Weston Wilson in the 9th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Weston Wilson is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of all the teams on the slate today.
MIN
@
SD
Sun, Aug 23 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Cronenworth o1.5 Total Bases (+172)
Projection 1.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge today.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Kody Clemens ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage over Walker Buehler in today's game.
CIN
@
AZ
Sun, Aug 23 • 4:15 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total Bases
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Bratt throws from, Sal Stewart will have an advantage today.
ATL
@
MIL
Sun, Aug 23 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total Bases
Ozzie Albies o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his better side against Shane Drohan in today's game.. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
