MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 11, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Thu, Jun 11 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the game's 5th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 89°.
Total Bases
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 89°.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will get to bat from his strong side against Keider Montero in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 15th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ New York Mets logo NYM Thu, Jun 11 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Carson Benge logo
Carson Benge o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Carson Benge's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carson Benge is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 90°.. Carson Benge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today's game.. Carson Benge has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+126)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 90°.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Thu, Jun 11 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's game.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Stowers stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Gabriel Moreno logo
Gabriel Moreno o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Gabriel Moreno is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Gabriel Moreno has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 91.2-mph over the past week.. Posting a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 79th percentile for offensive skills.. Based on Statcast metrics, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 92nd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Thu, Jun 11 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #10 venue in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 22.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total Home Runs
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Projection 0.22
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 22.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Thu, Jun 11 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 18th-best home run batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Strikeouts Thrown
Edward Cabrera logo
Edward Cabrera u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-157)
Projection 4.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Louie Krupa profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be umping in today's game.. Projected catcher Carson Kelly projects as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The #1 venue in the game for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense.. The Colorado Rockies have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Edward Cabrera in this matchup.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Thu, Jun 11 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD -1.5 (+112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Mitch Keller has been tagged for a .312/.389/.634 slash line against the Dodgers, and with LA southpaw Justin Wrobleski ranking in the 98th percentile in pitching run value at Baseball Savant, I’m more than comfortable laying the run line with the defending champs.
 

Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. PNC Park profiles as the #3 park in the league for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Thu, Jun 11 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday logo
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Jackson Holliday will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Jackson Holliday hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Colton Cowser logo
Colton Cowser o1.5 Total Bases (+161)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 86th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Colton Cowser is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°.. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Colton Cowser will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Jun 11 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+127)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #7 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers.. Hitting from the opposite that Anthony Kay throws from, Austin Riley will have the upper hand today.. Austin Riley has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the past week's worth of games.
Total Bases
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o1.5 Total Bases (+116)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #7 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Anthony Kay in today's matchup.. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. In the past week, Ozzie Albies's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.7% up to 18.2%.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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