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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 29, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.65 |
-155 
|
o7.5 -115 
|
-1.5 +110 
|
|
3.16 |
+136 
|
u8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -130 
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-0 in Luzardos last 8 starts vs. National League East.
- Phillies are 8-0 in Luzardos last 8 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Luzardos last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Luzardos last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Miami
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Marlins are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 7-2 in Marlins last 9 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
+119
|
o8.5 +101
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.59 |
-131
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +152
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Rodriguezs last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Rodriguezs last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Rodriguezs last 5 road starts.
- Diamondbacks are 9-1 in Rodriguezs last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Pirates are 4-0 in Jones' last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-1 in Jones' last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.35 |
-120 
|
o9.5 +101
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
4.71 |
+106
|
u9.5 -116
|
+1.5 -152
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Washington
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.39 |
-110
|
o8.0 -118
|
-1.5 +158
|
|
5.29 |
+101
|
u8.5 -109
|
+1.5 -186
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Braves are 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League East.
NY Mets
- Under is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Mets last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.66 |
+150
|
o7.5 -116
|
+1.5 -148
|
|
4.71 |
-161
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +134
|
Baltimore
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Orioles are 8-0 in Rogers' last 8 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 5-0 in Rogers' last 5 starts as a road favorite.
Detroit
- Under is 5-0 in Skubals last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Skubals last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
-118
|
o7.5 -107
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
4.14 |
+105
|
u7.5 -102
|
+1.5 -161
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 road games.
- Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Under is 6-0 in Giants last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Webbs last 4 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5 +210
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.49 |
+124
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
5.13 |
-136
|
u8.5 -122 
|
-1.5 +158
|
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games.
- Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
San Diego
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Padres last 7 vs. National League West.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.32 |
+119
|
o7.5 -107
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.41 |
-136
|
u7.5 -109
|
-1.5 +158
|
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Rays last 6 home games.
- Rays are 14-3 in their last 17 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.66 |
-126
|
o8.5 -121
|
-1.5 +132
|
|
4.53 |
+115
|
u9.0 -113
|
+1.5 -145
|
Cleveland
- Under is 9-0 in Guardians last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Cantillos last 4 starts as a road underdog.
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Reds last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Singers last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.06 |
-155
|
o7.5 +105
|
-1.5 +109
|
|
|
3.95 |
+140
|
u7.5 -116
|
+1.5 -131
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League East.
- Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 games as a favorite.
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0-1 in Scotts last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Scotts last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Scotts last 5 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5 +260
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
+154
|
o8.5 -102
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
-- |
-170
|
u9.0 -122
|
-1.5 +125
|
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 overall.
- Under is 8-0 in Royals last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 on grass.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota
- Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.95 |
-140
|
o7.5 -107
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
4.18 |
+126
|
u7.5 -104
|
+1.5 -137
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0-1 in Schlittlers last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 road games.
- Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Schlittlers last 7 starts as a road favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 5-0 in Martins last 5 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Martins last 5 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-112
|
o7.5 -121
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
-- |
+101
|
u8.5 -122
|
+1.5 -165
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0-1 in Boyds last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Boyds last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Boyds last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Boyds last 4 road starts.
St. Louis
- Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 11-2 in Cardinals last 13 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Cardinals last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-126
|
o9.5 -107
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
-- |
+112
|
u9.5 -103
|
+1.5 -142
|
Houston
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 road games.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
LA Angels
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-148
|
o10.5 -107
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
-- |
+130
|
u11.0 -125
|
+1.5 -118
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
- are 5-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-2-1 in last 8 overall.
Top Projection
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total Home Runs (+630)
o0.5 +630
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
+130
|
o9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
-- |
-144
|
u9.5 -116
|
-1.5 +140
|
Seattle
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mariners last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mariners last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Hancocks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Hancocks last 5 starts as an underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-127
|
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Rays last 6 home games.
- Under is 9-2-1 in Rays last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 overall.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 on grass.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Royals last 5 games as an underdog.
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0-1 in Obers last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Obers last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 5-0 in Obers last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Obers last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-111
|
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 road games.
- Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-1 in Burkes last 8 starts vs. American League East.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts during game 4 of a series.
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Imanagas last 7 starts as an underdog.
St. Louis
- Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 11-2 in Cardinals last 13 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-132
|
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Reds are 6-0 in Greenes last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Greenes last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League East.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-154
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Grays last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Grays last 7 road starts.
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 5-2-1 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-2-1 in last 8 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 vs. National League West.
San Diego
- Under is 6-1 in Padres last 7 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mariners last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
TOR
@
WAS
Wed, Jul 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Moneyline
WAS (+105)
Chris Gregory
Publishing Editor
You'd think Trey Yesavage would give the Blue Jays an edge against Zack Littell, but I'm not so sure considering he's allowed 10 earned runs over his 11 2/3 innings in his last three starts. Yes, Littell got rocked for eight runs against the A's, but hasn't allowed more than two runs in five straight otherwise. I'll take the better team and the better price.
MIL
@
SF
Wed, Jul 29 • 3:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
ATL
@
NYM
Wed, Jul 29 • 7:10 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (+101)
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst
The Mets have consistently hit Chris Sale well, producing a .920 OPS against him. New York’s bats are also heating up, ranking fifth in OPS over the past week. Meanwhile, Christian Scott faces a daunting challenge against a Braves lineup that's been one of baseball’s best against right-handed pitching this month. Add in Atlanta’s struggling bullpen, and this game has a strong chance to clear the total.
Total Home Runs
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total Home Runs (+560)
Projection 0.18
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Citi Field.. This game is forecasted to have the highest humidity on the slate today (82%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Ozzie Albies has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 4.4% seasonal rate to 11.8% in the last week's worth of games.
BOS
@
ATH
Wed, Jul 29 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. Among all major league stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 102°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs
TW
Tommy White o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. Among all major league stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 102°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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Moneyline
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It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
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Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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