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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 19, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.93 |
+143 
|
o7.5 -120 
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
4.90 |
-150
|
u8.5 -130 
|
-1.5 +145
|
Detroit
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 road starts.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-0 in Skenes' last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Skenes' last 4 home starts.
Top Projection
Henry Davis o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
o0.5+254
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.51 |
-128 
|
o8.5 -115 
|
-1.5 +135 
|
|
4.70 |
+120 
|
u8.5 +105
|
+1.5 -140
|
San Diego
- Over is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 games as a favorite.
NY Mets
- Under is 7-0 in Mets last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Stocks last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Stocks last 5 starts overall.
Top Projection
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
o0.5+250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.95 |
-104
|
o8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
5.00 |
+105
|
u8.5 +105
|
+1.5 -160
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Braves are 11-0 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as an underdog.
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
o1.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.84 |
+130
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.38 |
-136
|
u8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +158
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+184)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.28 |
+131
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.99 |
-140
|
u8.5 -113 
|
-1.5 +145
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Pfaadts last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Pfaadts last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Pfaadts last 5 road starts.
- Under is 16-4-1 in Diamondbacks last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Tolles last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Tolles last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
Top Projection
Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.00 |
+115
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
5.63 |
-121
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +165 
|
Miami
- Under is 8-0 in Alcantaras last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0 in Alcantaras last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-0 in Phillies last 7 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Nolas last 8 starts vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.78 |
-115
|
o9.0 -109
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.68 |
+110
|
u9.5 -120
|
+1.5 -150
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in Frieds last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 11-1 in Yankees last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Baltimore
- Under is 5-0-1 in Orioles last 6 home games.
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
o1.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.06 |
+185
|
o7.5 -109
|
+1.5 -110
|
|
4.84 |
-195
|
u8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +108
|
Toronto
- Over is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 7-0-1 in Rasmussens last 8 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Rasmussens last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rays are 5-0 in Rasmussens last 5 starts.
- Over is 7-1 in Rays last 8 overall.
Top Projection
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
o0.5+250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.63 |
+163
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.82 |
-177
|
u7.5 -107
|
-1.5 +125
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 8-2 in Giants last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
o0.5+181
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
+130
|
o8.5 -103
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.87 |
-140
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +150
|
St. Louis
- Over is 4-0 in Liberatores last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Liberatores last 6 starts as a road underdog.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Reds are 6-0 in Burns' last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Reds are 4-0 in Burns' last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Top Projection
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.71 |
+120
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
5.15 |
-130
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +160
|
Athletics
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Royals are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Jonah Heim o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+223
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
+110
|
o7.0 -118
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.11 |
-117
|
u7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +180
|
Seattle
- Under is 3-0-2 in Mariners last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 interleague starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+295)
o0.5+300
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.17 |
+127
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -188
|
|
4.15 |
-130
|
u7.5 -106
|
-1.5 +180
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Nationals are 7-0 in Cavallis last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Cavallis last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Nationals are 5-0 in Cavallis last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Texas
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+271)
o0.5+271
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.19 |
+147
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
4.68 |
-155
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +135
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 road games.
Houston
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-2 in Astros last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.87 |
-180
|
o11.5 +110
|
-1.5 -120
|
|
5.22 |
+175
|
u11.5 -115
|
+1.5 +110
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Sasakis last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 on grass.
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+124)
o0.5+124
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 5 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 on fieldturf.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Roupps last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Roupps last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 overall.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in Williams' last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Williams' last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
- are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Over is 6-0-2 in Kirbys last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Kirbys last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 6-0 in Gassers last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Gassers last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-115
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 7-1 in Orioles last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Alvarezs last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Alvarezs last 5 road starts.
Texas
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a road underdog.
Houston
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
DET
@
PIT
Wed, Aug 19 • 12:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Esmerlyn Valdez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Esmerlyn Valdez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Esmerlyn Valdez will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 13th-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Jackson Jobe throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game.. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.. Oneil Cruz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
SD
@
NYM
Wed, Aug 19 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (+152)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 85°.. Bo Bichette will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.04
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 85°.. Given Robert Stock's large platoon split, Jackson Merrill will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Jackson Merrill has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
ATL
@
MIN
Wed, Aug 19 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Luke Keaschall is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Luke Keaschall will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Royce Lewis u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Royce Lewis is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.. The #5 field in the game for suppressing home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Among all stadiums, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest.. The league's 5th-tallest average fence height can be found at Target Field.. This matchup is expected to have the 5th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
CHW
@
CHC
Wed, Aug 19 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas u1.5 Total Bases (-174)
Projection 0.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Wrigley Field profiles as the #21 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, the 7th-tallest fences are at Wrigley Field.. Batting from the same side that Clay Holmes throws from, Miguel Vargas will not have the upper hand today.. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today.. Miguel Vargas will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-118)
Projection 2.2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-shallowest left field fences in MLB.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Seiya Suzuki will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
AZ
@
BOS
Wed, Aug 19 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corbin Carroll projects as the 20th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.
MIA
@
PHI
Wed, Aug 19 • 6:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Joe Mack o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.35
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Citizens Bank Park projects as the #9 stadium in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for HRs.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Joe Mack will have an edge today.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.1
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #9 stadium in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for HRs.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.
NYY
@
BAL
Wed, Aug 19 • 6:35 PM ET
Moneyline
NYY (-121)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
Chris Bassitt throws a ton of different pitches, and not many have been plus pitches for him this season. However, his sweeper has been one of his better strikeout and put-away pitches, posting a +1 run value. The problem for Bassitt is that the pitch loses some of its effectiveness against a Yankees lineup that could have as many as seven left-handed hitters. The sweeper will be breaking right into the barrels of those left-handed bats, potentially taking away Bassitt's primary put-away pitch. Camden Yards also won't do Bassitt any favors, as it's much easier for left-handed hitters to hit the ball out to right field than it is for right-handed hitters to pull a home run to left. The Yankees are trading as a 54-cent favorite on Polymarket, but I price them closer to a 57-cent favorite, which is why I'm hitting the button.
Total
o9.5 (+100)
Kyle LaRusic
Publishing Editor
TOR
@
TB
Wed, Aug 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 17th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best stadium in the game for right-handed home runs.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball batters like Junior Caminero usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Scherzer.
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins u1.5 Total Bases (-245)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cedric Mullins's BABIP skill is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Typically, bats like Cedric Mullins who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Max Scherzer.
SF
@
CLE
Wed, Aug 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+162)
Projection 1.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for left-handed base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.
Total RBIs
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
Projection 0.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Jo Adell ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Progressive Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Progressive Field's left field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.
STL
@
CIN
Wed, Aug 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the league's 16th-best home run batter.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the highest humidity of the day at 83%.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs
Nathan Church o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nathan Church is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the highest humidity of the day at 83%.. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Nathan Church will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
ATH
@
KC
Wed, Aug 19 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+474)
Projection 0.21
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Salvador Perez will have the upper hand today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Salvador Perez will hold that advantage in today's game.
Strikeouts Thrown
Seth Lugo o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-110)
Projection 5.04
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Seth Lugo has averaged 91.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 78th percentile.. The Athletics have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Max Muncy, Henry Bolte, Zack Gelof).. Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage over 6 opposing bats in this game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Seth Lugo will hold that advantage in today's game.
SEA
@
MIL
Wed, Aug 19 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his batting average skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 11th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. The #8 field in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the lowest fences in the league.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
Total Bases
Dominic Canzone o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Dominic Canzone has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. American Family Field profiles as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the lowest fences in the league.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
WAS
@
TEX
Wed, Aug 19 • 8:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge today.
Total Bases
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge today.
LAA
@
HOU
Wed, Aug 19 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Minute Maid Park projects as the #27 ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, the 3rd-tallest average fence height are at Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -8° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Minute Maid Park.
LAD
@
COL
Wed, Aug 19 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Coors Field projects as the #1 venue in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 83°.
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (66% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Coors Field projects as the #1 venue in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 83°.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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