MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 4, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

5.09 @ 5.37

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Angels vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

5.09

+130

o8.5 -116

+1.5 -161

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

5.37

-142

u9.0 -120

-1.5 +146

Washington @ Philadelphia
Matchup

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.38 @ 5.59

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Nationals vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.38

+216

o8.5 -121

+1.5 +105

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.59

-240

u9.0 -115

-1.5 -116

Top Projection Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-155)
o1.5 -140
Athletics @ Cincinnati
Matchup

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

5.79 @ 5.15

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Athletics vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

5.79

+120

o9.0 -114

+1.5 -175

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

5.15

-126

u9.5 -121

-1.5 +152

Top Projection Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
o0.5 +155
NY Mets @ Cleveland
Matchup

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.43 @ 4.59

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Mets vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.43

+134

o7.5 -112

+1.5 -161

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.59

-142

u8.0 -125

-1.5 +152

St. Louis @ NY Yankees
Matchup

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

4.26 @ 4.90

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Cardinals vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

4.26

+146

o8.0 -118

+1.5 -140

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.90

-161

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +129

Top Projection Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5 +215
Chi. White Sox @ Boston
Matchup

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.40 @ 5.24

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

White Sox vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.40

+115

o8.5 -121

+1.5 -175

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

5.24

-125

u9.0 -110

-1.5 +165

Top Projection Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
o0.5 +169
Miami @ Atlanta
Matchup
Top Projection Owen Caissie o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
o1.5 +250
Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee
Matchup

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.68 @ 4.60

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Pirates vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.68

+147

o7.5 -103

+1.5 -161

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.60

-155

u7.5 -105

-1.5 +146

Top Projection Henry Davis o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
o1.5 +295
Minnesota @ Kansas City
Matchup

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

5.63 @ 4.66

KC
KC logo
KC

Twins vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

5.63

-140

o9.0 -115

-1.5 +114

KC logo
KC
KC

4.66

+130

u9.5 -121

+1.5 -130

Top Projection Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
o0.5 +176
San Francisco @ Texas
Matchup
Top Projection Drew Gilbert o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+210)
o1.5 +210
LA Dodgers @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup

Predicted Score

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.42 @ 3.63

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Dodgers vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.42

-191

o8.5 -116

-1.5 -121

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

3.63

+183

u9.0 -120

+1.5 +110

Toronto @ Houston
Matchup

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.31 @ 4.55

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Blue Jays vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.31

+114

o8.5 +101

+1.5 -183

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.55

-126

u8.5 -112

-1.5 +158

Top Projection George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5 +200
Tampa Bay @ Colorado
Matchup

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

6.66 @ 5.83

COL
COL logo
COL

Rays vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

6.66

-138

o11.0 -106

-1.5 +112

COL logo
COL
COL

5.83

+129

u11.5 -121

+1.5 -121

Top Projection Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
o1.5 +170
Detroit @ Seattle
Matchup

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

4.71 @ 4.84

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Tigers vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

4.71

+125

o7.5 -121

+1.5 -168

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.84

-135

u8.0 -108

-1.5 +152

Top Projection Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total Home Runs (+650)
o0.5 +650
San Diego @ Arizona
Matchup

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

4.80 @ 4.77

AZ
AZ logo
AZ

Padres vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

4.80

+120

o8.5 -116

+1.5 -175

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.77

-126

u9.0 -121

-1.5 +160

Top Projection Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+162)
o0.5 +162
Toronto @ Houston
Matchup

Predicted Score

Blue Jays vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

--

-103

--

--

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

--

-126

--

--

LA Dodgers @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup

Predicted Score

Dodgers vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

--

-103

--

--

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

--

-121

--

--

San Francisco @ Texas
Matchup

Predicted Score

Giants vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

--

+129

--

--

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

--

-155

--

--

Tampa Bay @ Colorado
Matchup

Predicted Score

Rays vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

--

-142

--

--

COL logo
COL
COL

--

+124

--

--

LA Angels @ Baltimore
Matchup

Predicted Score

Angels vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

--

+129

--

--

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

--

-148

--

--

NY Mets @ Cleveland
Matchup

Predicted Score

Mets vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

--

+101

--

--

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

--

-126

--

--

Athletics @ Cincinnati
Matchup

Predicted Score

Athletics vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

--

+119

--

--

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

--

-142

--

--

Washington @ Philadelphia
Matchup

Predicted Score

Nationals vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

--

+129

--

--

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

--

-155

--

--

St. Louis @ NY Yankees
Matchup

Predicted Score

Cardinals vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

--

+124

--

--

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

--

-155

--

--

Chi. White Sox @ Boston
Matchup

Predicted Score

White Sox vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

--

+124

--

--

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

--

-148

--

--

Miami @ Atlanta
Matchup

Predicted Score

Marlins vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

--

+114

--

--

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

--

-137

--

--

Minnesota @ Kansas City
Matchup

Predicted Score

Twins vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

--

-107

--

--

KC logo
KC
KC

--

-112

--

--

Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee
Matchup

Predicted Score

Pirates vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

--

-116

--

--

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

--

-137

--

--

Detroit @ Seattle
Matchup

Predicted Score

Tigers vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

--

+109

--

--

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

--

-142

--

--

San Diego @ Arizona
Matchup

Predicted Score

Padres vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

--

-112

--

--

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

--

-131

--

--

Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Tue, Aug 4 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Josh Lowe logo
Josh Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+265)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Josh Lowe's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Josh Lowe's true offensive talent to be a .308, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .050 deviation between that figure and his actual .258 wOBA.
Total Bases
Tyler O'Neill logo
Tyler O'Neill o1.5 Total Bases (+151)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Tyler O'Neill projects as the 20th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tyler O'Neill has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.. Tyler O'Neill will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Tue, Aug 4 • 6:40 PM ET
Spread
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI -1.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Kyle LaRusic image
Kyle LaRusic
Publishing Editor

Projected Phils' starter Jesus Luzardo got blasted in his last time out, but before that he had given up just one earned run or less in six straight outings. I think he finds his form against the Nats on Tuesday. Our projections also have the Phillies scoring 5.78 runs, which will provide enough of a cushion to cover.

Total Bases
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (-103)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #9 park in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Tue, Aug 4 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Tyler Soderstrom logo
Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.25
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The #5 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 83°.. Tyler Soderstrom will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer today... and even more favorably, Singer has a huge platoon split.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+111)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Sal Stewart ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The #5 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 83°.. Sal Stewart has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Tue, Aug 4 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez logo
Francisco Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Progressive Field grades out as the #6 park in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs
Luis Robert Jr. logo
Luis Robert Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Progressive Field grades out as the #6 park in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Luis Robert Jr. will have an advantage today.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.238) suggests that Luis Robert Jr. has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .216 actual batting average.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Aug 4 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. In MLB, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage over Andre Pallante in today's game.. The St. Louis Cardinals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Ben Rice is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game.
Total Bases
Blaze Jordan logo
Blaze Jordan o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Jordan in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. In MLB, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Blaze Jordan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's matchup.. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst among every team on the slate today.. Blaze Jordan has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 8.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last week.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Tue, Aug 4 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 82°.
Total Bases
CM
Colson Montgomery u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Fenway Park has the 2nd-tallest average fence height in the majors.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Because of Patrick Sandoval's large platoon split, Colson Montgomery will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of every team playing today.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Colson Montgomery in today's game.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Tue, Aug 4 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+151)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Total Bases
Joe Mack logo
Joe Mack o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. The 3rd-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Joe Mack will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes in today's game.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Tue, Aug 4 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Endy Rodriguez logo
Endy Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+211)
Projection 1.49
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the lowest average fence height among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Endy Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Logan Henderson in today's game.
Total Bases
Henry Davis logo
Henry Davis o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
American Family Field profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the lowest average fence height among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Henry Davis's launch angle recently (44.3° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 19.9° seasonal mark.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Tue, Aug 4 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Carter Jensen logo
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Carter Jensen ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carter Jensen is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #7 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Royce Lewis ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Royce Lewis is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The #7 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Tue, Aug 4 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Drew Gilbert logo
Drew Gilbert o1.5 Total Bases (+300)
Projection 1.29
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Globe Life Field has the 2nd-lowest fences in MLB.. Drew Gilbert has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 2.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last week.. Drew Gilbert has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.1-mph to 96.3-mph over the past 7 days.. Over the last two weeks, Drew Gilbert's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.3%.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+144)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 2nd-lowest fences in MLB.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Rafael Devers's 47.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.3%.. Utilizing Statcast data, Rafael Devers is in the 82nd percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .348.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Tue, Aug 4 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense.. There has been a significant improvement in Teoscar Hernandez's launch angle from last season's 9.8° to 14.7° this season.. Teoscar Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 16.1% on the season to 37.5% in the past week's worth of games.. Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Teoscar Hernandez has posted a .326 BABIP this year.
Total RBIs
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+233)
Projection 0.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field has the 9th-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage today.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Houston Astros logo HOU Tue, Aug 4 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+136)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average skill.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Despite posting a .307 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been unlucky given the .060 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .367.. Based on Statcast metrics, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is in the 100th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .327.. As it relates to plate discipline, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.3 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 93rd percentile.
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena logo
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+138)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 13th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.. Jeremy Pena is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage today.. Over the last 14 days, Jeremy Pena's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.5-mph over the course of the season to 99.4-mph recently.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, Aug 4 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
TJ Rumfield logo
TJ Rumfield o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T.J. Rumfield is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. T.J. Rumfield will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
Total Bases
Willi Castro logo
Willi Castro o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Freddy Peralta in this game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Tue, Aug 4 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Dominic Canzone logo
Dominic Canzone o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Dominic Canzone is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. T-Mobile Park has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Troy Melton throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an edge today.
Total Bases
Colt Emerson logo
Colt Emerson o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.25
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
T-Mobile Park has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. Hitting from the opposite that Troy Melton throws from, Colt Emerson will have an edge today.. Colt Emerson has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Colt Emerson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.6°, Colt Emerson has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.8° mark in the past week's worth of games.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Tue, Aug 4 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+162)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field ranks as the #4 venue in baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage in today's game.
Total Hits
Max Kepler logo
Max Kepler u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Max Kepler has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 21% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.. In today's matchup, Max Kepler is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.5% rate (84th percentile).. Max Kepler has put up a .236 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 2nd percentile.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

Total Hits
Dansby Swanson logo Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson has been one of the worst hitters in baseball this season with a .177 batting average, while ranking in the second percentile in xBA. Additionally, his hitting profile does not match up well at all against Cease, who has elite swing-and-miss stuff. 

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.