Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 23, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
SD
@
COL
Thu, Apr 23 • 3:10 PM ET
CHW
@
AZ
Thu, Apr 23 • 3:40 PM ET
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
LAD
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SF
Thu, Apr 23 • 3:45 PM ET
LAD (-148)
Don’t sweat the vig. Dodgers righty Tyler Glasnow has held opposing batters to a .182 average while spinning a tidy 3.08 xFIP and dominant 30.8 K% since joining the club in 2024, and the Giants send a middling offense to the dish against righties (.320 wOBA and .121 ISO). San Fran has also won consecutive games to start the series, so I’m anticipating the Los Angeles offense putting crooked numbers on the board against Logan Webb. The Dodgers lead the majors in wOBA against righties, and Webb has surrendered 51.6% hard-hit rate alongside his 5.40 ERA.
Tyler Glasnow o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-110)
NYY
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BOS
Thu, Apr 23 • 6:10 PM ET
u8.5 (-120)
This Under lives and dies with Schlittler, and that's a bet worth making. He’ll get plenty of chase (Boston’s top 7 whiff rate and bottom 7 chase contact rate looms large) and that should be the story. Sure, Tolle's command issues could let the Yankees get to four or five runs, but this still doesn't feel like an eight-run ballgame.
NYY (-143)
Schlittler's most thrown pitch, the fastball, has been one of the best pitches in baseball, ranking in the 100th percentile of run value. Boston righty Payton Tolle, meanwhile, is walking over 10% of batters he faces and is carrying a 4.70 xERA. New York shouldn’t need to score much to get the win.
MIN
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NYM
Thu, Apr 23 • 7:10 PM ET
While the Mets may have broken their 12-game losing streak, it wasn’t due to a sudden offensive explosion. The three runs New York put up last night did little to change the fact that it ranks last in runs per game (3.25) and OPS (.622). I’ve been banking on the Twins to help cover the Over, but their bats have been quiet in New York. And while I have concerns about Scott, he’s allowed three runs or less in seven of his nine career starts. With neither team likely to break out tonight, the Under is my play.
The New York Mets squeaked out a win last night, but they face a significantly more challenging task on Thursday. The Mets will likely be without Francisco Lindor for at least a day or two after he left Wednesday’s game with calf tightness. They’ll also be starting Christian Scott, whose MLB career consists of nine starts in 2024. Joe Ryan gets the nod for the Minnesota Twins, and he's had a strong start following his All-Star campaign in 2025. Ryan has a sterling 0.878 WHIP in his first five starts, and he gives Minnesota a clear edge in tonight’s game.
PIT
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TEX
Thu, Apr 23 • 8:05 PM ET
PIT (+140)
The Pittsburgh Pirates are offering strong expected value today, trading at +140 with a fair price closer to +111, per THE BAT. It’s easy to see why. The starting pitching gap isn’t as wide as it looks, with Bubba Chandler trending up after a slow start, while Jacob deGrom lasted just 12 outs last time and is averaging around 85 pitches per start. deGrom is great, but might be too priced in considering a potential 90-pitch leash. Both bullpens rate above league average, and Pittsburgh has nearly a full group available. Offensively, there isn’t a clear edge for the Texas Rangers. deGrom’s reputation is too priced in for a pitcher who may not go deep, making +140 too long for a capable Pirates side.
Jacob deGrom o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-136)
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