Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 10, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
NYY
@
CLE
Wed, Jun 10 • 1:10 PM ET
o7.5 (-122)
NYY (+100)
There's not much pop in this Cleveland Guardians lineup outside Jose Ramirez, best indicated by its second-to-last barrel rating, which means Rodon's soft-contact profile gets stronger. While I like Parker Messick a great deal, once he exits, the game tilts. With the Guardians' bullpen overextended, Stephen Vogt is forced to lean on non-premium arms.
BOS
@
TB
Wed, Jun 10 • 1:10 PM ET
WAS
@
SF
Wed, Jun 10 • 3:45 PM ET
CIN
@
SD
Wed, Jun 10 • 4:10 PM ET
o8.0 (-115)
Brady Singer has conceded at least three earned runs in five of his last six starts. The Reds ‘pen ranks 27th in xFIP over the last 60 days and isn’t overflowing with fresh arms after using six on Tuesday night. While Michael King has a solid matchup, he sits in the 41st percentile in xERA. He is not untouchable. Play the Over to -125.
SD (-160)
Brady Singer is in miserable form, posting a remarkably high 1.80 WHIP and 4.86 HR/9 over the last month. The Reds rank 23rd in wOBA and 25th in ISO when facing righties on the road, and Michael King has posted a 1.14 WHIP while allowing 0.94 HR/9 at home. Back the Padres to -170.
SEA
@
BAL
Wed, Jun 10 • 6:35 PM ET
Dominic Canzone o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-121)
Dominic Canzone finds himself in a great spot to continue his recent surge at the plate against Orioles right-hander Brandon Young. The Mariners slugger has cleared this hits, runs, and RBI prop in six of his last 10 elite-rated spots, according to Batters-Box, and his underlying metrics receive a significant boost against Young's pitch mix. Canzone has been scorching right-handed pitching lately, posting a 1.324 OPS, .857 slugging percentage, and .428 ISO over his last 30 plate appearances. With Young struggling to contain left-handed bats and allowing plenty of hard-hit fly balls, Canzone is worth backing tonight.
MIN
@
DET
Wed, Jun 10 • 6:40 PM ET
AZ
@
MIA
Wed, Jun 10 • 6:40 PM ET
The Marlins rank 26th in overall xwOBA across the past 30 days, while the Diamondbacks check in sixth, so I’m expecting the Snakes to put enough runs on the board to pull away tonight. Arizona star Corbin Carroll has also hit the Over in this market in 19 of his past 26 games, and he’s also posted a monster .375 wOBA against righties since the beginning of 2025. Turning to Diamondbacks starter Ryne Nelson, he’s dipped to a 16.8 K% across his past seven starts while throwing fewer fastballs and adding a sinker to his pitch mix. It’s a clear recipe for success with his solid 2.89 ERA and 0.99 WHIP during the stretch, too.
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+101)
Kyle Stowers is in a great spot to clear over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI against Arizona. The Marlins outfielder owns an elite Batters-Box rating and has surpassed this number in 57.14% of his elite-rated games. He draws Ryne Nelson, a right-hander who has struggled badly against left-handed bats this season, allowing strong expected power numbers and plenty of elevated contact. Stowers also matches up well against Nelson's pitch mix and enters swinging a hot bat, posting a .901 OPS, .556 SLG, 56.3% hard-hit rate, and 12.5% barrel rate over his last 30 plate appearances against righties.
LAD
@
PIT
Wed, Jun 10 • 6:40 PM ET
o7.5 (-125)
The Dodgers are in a favorable spot against Jared Jones, but both bullpens also point toward offense. Los Angeles owns a 4.50 bullpen xERA over the last week, while Pittsburgh's relievers have posted a 4.41 xFIP and 5.63 BB/9 over the last 14 days.
LAD -1.5 (-118)
Jared Jones has struggled badly lately, posting a 5.78 xERA, 50% hard-hit rate, and 1.93 HR/9 over his last two starts. That's a dangerous combination against a Dodgers lineup ranked fourth in home runs. Shohei Ohtani counters with a 2.27 FIP over his last four outings.
PHI
@
TOR
Wed, Jun 10 • 7:07 PM ET
Brandon Marsh o0.5 Total Home Runs (+585)
Let's add another left-handed bat against Max Scherzer in his first start off the IL. There aren't many pitchers in baseball who allow as many fly balls as the veteran right-hander while also carrying one of the highest HR/FB rates in the league this season. Marsh is just two games removed from homering in three straight contests. Over the last two weeks, he leads the Phillies in ISO, slugging percentage, HR/FB rate, and wOBA. His low 16% groundball rate also pairs perfectly against a fly-ball pitcher like Scherzer. Almost every visiting bat is projecting as +EV to go deep today, and the Phillies team total Over 1.5 home runs at plus money is another strong way to attack this matchup.
PHI (-131)
This Philadelphia Phillies lineup against Max Scherzer, specifically in Rogers Centre—yeah, it’s darn near impossible not to love the Phillies in this spot with the gauntlet of left-handed bats they feature at the top of their lineup. It’s a small sample size this season, but Scherzer has served up five home runs in 51 at-bats and is allowing left-handed hitters to bat .314 with a 1.037 OPS. Pair that with a Phillies lineup featuring Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, and Brandon Marsh in three of the top four spots, and that fading slider breaking into the barrel of left-handed bats makes Scherzer’s arsenal start to look like BBQ chicken in this ballpark. We have a significant edge at this price point, as I make the Phillies a -190 favorite in this spot.
STL
@
NYM
Wed, Jun 10 • 7:10 PM ET
o8.5 (+101)
The runs should come early and often. Austin Warren's flyball profile is a concern against a patient Cardinals lineup, while Andre Pallante's contact-heavy approach gives the Mets opportunities to respond. With both bullpens likely involved early, expect plenty of scoring. Play the Over to +100.
STL (+117)
The Mets are favored, but St. Louis has the pitching edge. Austin Warren's low groundball rate and hard-contact issues are concerning, while Andre Pallante excels at generating grounders and weak contact. The Cardinals' patient lineup matches up well here. Play St. Louis down to +100.
TEX
@
KC
Wed, Jun 10 • 7:40 PM ET
u9.5 (+100)
Seth Lugo has dominated Texas hitters throughout his career, holding Rangers batters to a .141 batting average across 85 at-bats. Texas ranks just 25th in runs scored per game, while Kansas City is even lower at 27th. With two below-average offenses and the pitcher-friendly confines of Kauffman Stadium, expect runs to be at a premium.
ATL
@
CHW
Wed, Jun 10 • 7:40 PM ET
o7.5 (-105)
Martin ranks in the 13th percentile in hard hit rate allowed while the Braves rank third on the road against righties. As good as Sale is, the White Sox are an elite offense against lefties – they sit second in ISO and third in wOBA. Play the Over to -115.
ATL (-150)
Chris Sale has posted a 2.81 xFIP over the past 30 days, which is the lowest mark among all of the day’s starting pitchers. While Davis Martin is a quality arm, his xERA (3.68) is more than a full run higher than his ERA (2.61). The Atlanta Braves rank first in OPS against righties on the road and should provide Sale with run support. Play to -165.
CHC
@
COL
Wed, Jun 10 • 8:40 PM ET
Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total Home Runs (+470)
There is no better home run matchup to target today than the Rockies against Imanaga. The Cubs' starter has allowed 12 home runs over his last four starts, owns the worst BlastContact% of any starter on the slate over the last 30 days, and over that same stretch ranks second-worst in HR/FB rate. Tovar went deep last night at a similar price in a tougher matchup. He has three homers over the last 14 days, ranks second on the team in ISO over the last two weeks, and is getting the ball in the air at a healthy rate. The fair price should be closer to +320.
MIL
@
ATH
Wed, Jun 10 • 9:05 PM ET
u14.5 (-108)
A total of 14.5 requires sustained offense from both sides. The Athletics' bullpen owns a 2.37 FIP over the last week, while Milwaukee Brewers relief corps has posted a 3.04 xERA. Recent Brewers outbursts have inflated the number, making 15 runs difficult to reach.
MIL (-104)
The Milwaukee Brewers enter red-hot, posting a 144 wRC+ with 14 home runs and a 43.1% hard-hit rate over the last week. The Brewers face Jack Perkins, who owns a 4.80 xFIP and 5.14 BB/9 recently, creating opportunities for another productive offensive performance.
HOU
@
LAA
Wed, Jun 10 • 9:38 PM ET
Angels right-handed hitters Zach Neto and Oswald Peraza have a sneaky matchup with Astros starter Peter Lambert sporting reverse splits and allowing a healthy .365 wOBA to righty bats. Neto and Peraza both hit in the top half of the Los Angeles lineup and check in with respective .372 and .375 wOBAs against right-handed arms this season. While Angels starter Reid Detmers sports an impressive 28.5 K% this season, I’m anticipating him having a tougher time racking up punchouts with the Astros ranking sixth in wOBA while striking out at the fourth-lowest clip against southpaws.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-110)
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
NYY (-135)
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
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