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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 26, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.77 |
+114 
|
o8.0 -105 
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.45 |
-118 
|
u8.5 -120 
|
-1.5 +170 
|
Texas
- Rangers are 7-0 in Gores last 7 starts on grass.
- Rangers are 5-0 in Gores last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in Gores last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 6-0 in Burkes last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.73 |
-105
|
o8.0 -125
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
4.35 |
+101
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -165
|
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Bradishs last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 13-3 in Orioles last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0-1 in McGreevys last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 on grass.
Top Projection
Carlos Narvaez o1.5 Total Bases (+280)
o1.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.88 |
-129
|
o10.0 -120
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
4.80 |
+125
|
u10.5 -110
|
+1.5 -130
|
Minnesota
- Over is 2-0-3 in Prielipps last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Prielipps last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Athletics
- Under is 3-0-1 in Ginns last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Ginns last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Top Projection
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
o0.5+178
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 |
+105
|
o9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
4.72 |
-111
|
u9.5 -115 
|
+1.5 -175
|
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 on grass.
Washington
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Nationals last 9 overall.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Nationals last 9 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.33 |
-110
|
o8.5 +105
|
+2.5 -450 
|
|
|
4.24 |
+100
|
u10.0 -225
|
-2.5 +325
|
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 road games.
- Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 on grass.
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
+135
|
o8.0 -122
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.91 |
-145
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
Houston
- Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 games as an underdog.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games as a road underdog.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 on grass.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
-105
|
o8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
4.19 |
+101
|
u8.5 -114
|
+1.5 -165
|
Kansas City
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 10-1 in their last 11 overall.
- Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Royals are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
-210
|
o7.0 -115
|
-1.5 -110
|
|
3.63 |
+200
|
u7.5 -120
|
+1.5 +105 
|
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 on grass.
- Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
NY Mets
- Over is 7-0 in Manaeas last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.95 |
+101
|
o7.0 -110
|
-1.5 +180
|
|
4.06 |
-110
|
u7.5 -130
|
+1.5 -190
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.01 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
3.68 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road games.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 10-2 in Diamondbacks last 12 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games as a home favorite.
TEX
@
CHW
Wed, Aug 26 • 7:40 PM ET
Walks
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Walks (+123)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Miguel Vargas has been one of the most patient hitters in baseball lately, leading the league in walk rate over his last 10 games at nearly 30%. Even across his last 15 games, he ranks third at 23.3%. Tonight, he draws MacKenzie Gore, who I already love to go over his strikeout prop. Gore has not been walking many batters lately, but the Rangers bullpen has, posting an 11.1% walk rate over their last 21 games and an 8.8% rate against right handed hitters on the road. Vargas is worth a look above +120, but take this down to +110.
Strikeouts Thrown
Sean Burke u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+124)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
This shows as the best value, per the projections, of all the strikeout props today. The Chicago starter projects for 88 pitches and 5.4 total Ks, making this a plus-money Under a buy to -110 or better. Sean Burke has recorded four or fewer Ks in three of his last four starts and has plenty of arms available in the pen today. He's allowed 4+ runs in back-to-back starts for just the second time this year, while his leash averages 91 pitches. His workload could also come into question late in the season with the White Sox pushing for a playoff run. This is a bet where I trust the projection inputs, and the plus-money price makes this a great bet on a better-than-50% probable outcome.
BAL
@
STL
Wed, Aug 26 • 7:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Colton Cowser o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.28
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Colton Cowser ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage today.. Colton Cowser has big-time HR ability (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (30.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy doesn't generate many whiffs (8th percentile K%) — great news for Cowser.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
MIN
@
ATH
Wed, Aug 26 • 9:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the best ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 104°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Zack Gelof ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zack Gelof has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 park in the league for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 104°.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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