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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
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Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 27, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.92 |
+105 
|
o9.5 +100
|
+1.5 -220
|
|
4.86 |
-113 
|
u9.5 -110 
|
-1.5 +155
|
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 on grass.
Washington
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Nationals last 9 overall.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Nationals last 9 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.34 |
-115
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.24 |
+105
|
u8.5 -114 
|
+1.5 -160
|
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 road games.
- Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 on grass.
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
+143 
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.87 |
-150
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +140
|
Houston
- Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 games as an underdog.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games as a road underdog.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 on grass.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
o1.5+113
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.62 |
-108
|
o8.0 -119
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
4.33 |
+101
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -165
|
Kansas City
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 10-1 in their last 11 overall.
- Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Royals are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.82 |
-210
|
o7.0 -115
|
-1.5 -115 
|
|
3.76 |
+200
|
u7.5 -124
|
+1.5 +105
|
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 on grass.
- Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
NY Mets
- Over is 7-0 in Manaeas last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+145)
o1.5+145
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.02 |
+101
|
o6.5 -125
|
-1.5 +180
|
|
4.13 |
-110
|
u7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+228)
o0.5+228
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.14 |
-110
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
3.97 |
+101
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -170
|
Arizona
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road games.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 10-2 in Diamondbacks last 12 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+180
COL
@
WAS
Thu, Aug 27 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Zac Veen o0.5 Total Home Runs (+950)
Projection 0.13
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.6-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Zac Veen will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup.. Zac Veen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.6-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an edge in today's matchup.
HOU
@
NYY
Thu, Aug 27 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate.
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his batting average skill, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 19th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate.
KC
@
TOR
Thu, Aug 27 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 3rd-best hitter in the game when it comes to his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Bobby Witt Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams today, the 11th-best infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays.
MIL
@
NYM
Thu, Aug 27 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+320)
Projection 0.36
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. This matchup is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.6-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.. Francisco Alvarez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. This matchup is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.6-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
LAD
@
ATL
Thu, Aug 27 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
LAD (-103)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
This is about as close to appointment television as you can get, with Yoshinobu Yamamoto facing Chris Sale in a matchup between two of the National League's best teams. The Braves are going for the sweep on Thursday, and I've been on the wrong side of their wins in this series, but I'm going back to the Dodgers on the moneyline. The Dodgers are trading at 50 cents on Polymarket, but I price them closer to a 53-cent favorite, which gives us enough of an edge to get back on the Dodgers bandwagon. Sale is one of the best pitchers in baseball, but I think the swing paths of several Dodgers hitters give them a better chance to generate offense than the market is pricing in. Sale's sweeping slider can be a nightmare for hitters, but with Mookie Betts' compact hands and Freddie Freeman's short, inside-out swing, I think this lineup can muster enough offense to get the job done.
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today.. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 12th-strongest out of every team playing today.
AZ
@
SF
Thu, Aug 27 • 9:45 PM ET
Total Hits
TH
Turner Hill u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Total Hits
DC
Drew Cavanaugh u0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Cavanaugh in the 21st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 7th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest among every team playing today.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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