MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 20, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Mon, Jul 20 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Royce Lewis is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. Royce Lewis pulls many of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.. Royce Lewis's 12.8% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) ranks in the 84th percentile this year.. Ranking in the 75th percentile, the hardest ball Royce Lewis has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.4 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.
Total Home Runs
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
Projection 0.19
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Royce Lewis is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. Royce Lewis pulls many of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.. Royce Lewis's 12.8% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) ranks in the 84th percentile this year.. Ranking in the 75th percentile, the hardest ball Royce Lewis has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.4 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.
View 10 Picks
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ New York Yankees logo NYY Mon, Jul 20 • 7:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

The Yankees aren't scoring runs with enough consistency for me to be confident in them, even at home, against the Pirates. Braxton Ashcraft has emerged as a solid No. 2 behind Paul Skenes and gives Pittsburgh the SP edge over Ryan Weathers.

Total Bases
Jose Caballero logo
Jose Caballero o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
Projection 1.21
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's game.
View 11 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Mon, Jul 20 • 7:07 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo Toronto Blue Jays logo u7.5 (-104)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Dylan Cease has been the most competent Blue Jays hurler this season, and Toronto's offense has been beyond putrid. I can't favor the Jays on the moneyline at the current number, especially with Nick Martinez starting for the Rays. Martinez may very well be fool's gold, but he hasn't turned into a pumpkin yet, and this is not the offense to expose him.

Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Among every team playing today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.
View 11 Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Mon, Jul 20 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+127)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage today.. Bryce Harper has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage today.. Bryce Harper has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage in today's game.
View 10 Picks
Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Mon, Jul 20 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 20th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Tolle throws from, Pete Alonso will have the upper hand in today's game.. This year, Pete Alonso has an average exit velocity of 93.7 mph, which ranks among the best in MLB at the 98th percentile.
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday logo
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.38
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jackson Holliday's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Jackson Holliday has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Jackson Holliday are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tolle.
View 10 Picks
San Diego Padres logo SD @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Jul 20 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+114)
Projection 2.11
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 89°.. Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game.. Jackson Merrill's 94.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 82nd percentile this year.
Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+142)
Projection 2.07
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 89°.
View 10 Picks
New York Mets logo NYM @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Mon, Jul 20 • 7:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Spread
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL -1.5 (+112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Unless Freddy Peralta suddenly taps into how he pitched for Milwaukee, he's going to get lit up by Milwaukee. With Jacob Misiorowski starting for the Brewers, this is a great spot to target the run line over the moneyline.

Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Misiorowski in today's matchup.. Juan Soto has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Milwaukee Brewers only has 1 same-handed RP.
View 11 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Mon, Jul 20 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Vinnie Pasquantino logo
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Given Trevor McDonald's large platoon split, Vinnie Pasquantino will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Vinnie Pasquantino will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Heliot Ramos logo
Heliot Ramos o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.04
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Heliot Ramos has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 8.9% rate last season to 16% this season.. Heliot Ramos has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last season's 93.3-mph figure.
View 10 Picks
Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Mon, Jul 20 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Seiya Suzuki will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (-125)
Projection 2.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.5-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks
Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Mon, Jul 20 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ezequiel Duran logo
Ezequiel Duran u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ezequiel Duran is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -14° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Erick Fedde will hold the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Duran in today's game.
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Wyatt Langford will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. In notching a .283 batting average this year, Wyatt Langford grades out in the 88th percentile.
View 10 Picks
Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Houston Astros logo HOU Mon, Jul 20 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jose Altuve logo
Jose Altuve o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Jose Altuve will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Jose Altuve has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph EV.
Total Hits
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Isaac Paredes's BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -12° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Isaac Paredes encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. This year, the hardest ball Isaac Paredes has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 106 mph (a reliable metric to assess power), ranking in the 4th percentile.
View 10 Picks
Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Mon, Jul 20 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Andres Chaparro logo
Andres Chaparro u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Chaparro in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Andres Chaparro will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (-134)
Projection 2.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. James Wood may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.
View 10 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Mon, Jul 20 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Tyler Locklear logo
Tyler Locklear u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tyler Locklear is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.146) may lead us to conclude that Tyler Locklear has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .175 actual batting average.. Placing in the 13th percentile, Tyler Locklear has put up a .162 batting average since the start of last season.
Total Bases
Tyler Soderstrom logo
Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Grading out in the 83rd percentile, the hardest ball Tyler Soderstrom has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.2 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.
View 10 Picks
Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Mon, Jul 20 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Randy Arozarena logo
Randy Arozarena o1.5 Total Bases (+143)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Randy Arozarena will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. This year, Randy Arozarena's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) is in the 84th percentile at 94.8 mph.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against George Kirby in this game.. Elly De La Cruz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of every team today.
View 10 Picks
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Mon, Jul 20 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+146)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+113)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best batter in the league.. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Mike Trout's 19.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 99th percentile this year.. Mike Trout's 96.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 95th percentile this year.
View 10 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

View 16 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 28 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

What are Covers’ MLB Free picks and predictions?

Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.

We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.