MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 5, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.92 @ 4.51

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Blue Jays vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.92

+159

o8.0 -115

+1.5 -135

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.51

-169

u8.5 -121

-1.5 +125

LA Dodgers @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup

Predicted Score

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

4.95 @ 5.41

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Dodgers vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

4.95

+110

o9.5 -103

+1.5 -186

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.41

-113

u9.5 -108

-1.5 +160

Top Projection Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
o0.5 +178
San Francisco @ Texas
Matchup

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

3.73 @ 4.42

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Giants vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

3.73

+160

o8.0 -120

+1.5 -140

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.42

-170

u8.5 -116

-1.5 +122

Top Projection Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5 +200
Tampa Bay @ Colorado
Matchup

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

6.95 @ 6.02

COL
COL logo
COL

Rays vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

6.95

-154

o11.5 -107

-1.5 -103

COL logo
COL
COL

6.02

+150

u11.5 -103

+1.5 -107

Top Projection Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+167)
o1.5 +167
LA Angels @ Baltimore
Matchup

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.69 @ 4.52

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Angels vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.69

+130

o8.0 -115

+1.5 -168

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.52

-126

u8.5 -117

-1.5 +164

Top Projection Jose Siri o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5 +300
NY Mets @ Cleveland
Matchup

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.70 @ 4.75

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Mets vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.70

-107

o8.5 +101

-1.5 +152

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.75

-102

u8.5 -110

+1.5 -166

Top Projection Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5 +190
Athletics @ Cincinnati
Matchup

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

5.25 @ 5.87

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Athletics vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

5.25

+124

o9.5 -112

+1.5 -161

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

5.87

-130

u10.0 -120

-1.5 +146

Top Projection Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+159)
o0.5 +159
Washington @ Philadelphia
Matchup

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.50 @ 5.58

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Nationals vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.50

+152

o9.5 -107

+1.5 -137

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.58

-160

u10.0 -125

-1.5 +120

Top Projection Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5 +170
St. Louis @ NY Yankees
Matchup

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

4.20 @ 4.79

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Cardinals vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

4.20

+135

o8.5 -116

+1.5 -155

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.79

-145

u9.0 -120

-1.5 +140

Top Projection Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
o1.5 +140
Chi. White Sox @ Boston
Matchup

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.96 @ 4.89

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

White Sox vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.96

+110

o8.0 -115

+1.5 -190

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.89

-120

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +173

Top Projection Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+171)
o0.5 +171
Miami @ Atlanta
Matchup

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

5.32 @ 5.15

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Marlins vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

5.32

+115

o8.5 -115

+1.5 -183

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.15

-125

u8.5 +105

-1.5 +168

Top Projection Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5 +150
Minnesota @ Kansas City
Matchup
Top Projection Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
o0.5 +155
Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee
Matchup

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

3.92 @ 3.83

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Pirates vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

3.92

+130

o7.0 -115

+1.5 -190

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

3.83

-131

u7.5 -125

-1.5 +168

Top Projection Rafael Flores Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+371)
o0.5 +371
Detroit @ Seattle
Matchup

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

4.34 @ 5.01

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Tigers vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

4.34

+135

o7.5 -116

+1.5 -155

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

5.01

-145

u8.0 -115

-1.5 +146

San Diego @ Arizona
Matchup

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

5.13 @ 4.66

AZ
AZ logo
AZ

Padres vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

5.13

-116

o9.0 -120

-1.5 +140

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.66

+110

u9.5 -120

+1.5 -148

Top Projection Max Kepler o0.5 Total RBIs (+212)
o0.5 +212
LA Angels @ Baltimore
Matchup

Predicted Score

Angels vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

--

+140

--

--

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

--

-175

--

--

Athletics @ Cincinnati
Matchup

Predicted Score

Athletics vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

--

+165

--

--

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

--

-200

--

--

NY Mets @ Cleveland
Matchup

Predicted Score

Mets vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

--

+105

--

--

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

--

-121

--

--

Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee
Matchup

Predicted Score

Pirates vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

--

+134

--

--

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

--

-155

--

--

Toronto @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup
Detroit @ Seattle
Matchup

Predicted Score

Tigers vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

--

+105

--

--

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

--

-116

--

--

Washington @ Philadelphia
Matchup

Predicted Score

Nationals vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

--

+226

--

--

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

--

-279

--

--

Chi. White Sox @ Boston
Matchup

Predicted Score

White Sox vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

--

+146

--

--

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

--

-161

--

--

Miami @ Atlanta
Matchup

Predicted Score

Marlins vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

--

+124

--

--

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

--

-148

--

--

Minnesota @ Kansas City
Matchup

Predicted Score

Twins vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

--

-107

--

--

KC logo
KC
KC

--

-116

--

--

San Diego @ Arizona
Matchup

Predicted Score

Padres vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

--

-116

--

--

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

--

-112

--

--

Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Houston Astros logo HOU Wed, Aug 5 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage today.. Yordan Alvarez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.2-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 94.6-mph mark.
Total Bases
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Walker is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Minute Maid Park.. Christian Walker will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Christian Walker has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 91.8-mph.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Wed, Aug 5 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+138)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will have an advantage today.. Teoscar Hernandez's launch angle this season (14.7°) is quite a bit better than his 9.8° angle last season.. In the last week, Teoscar Hernandez's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.1%.
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.23
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Over the past week, Shohei Ohtani's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.8% up to 27.3%.. In the last week's worth of games, Shohei Ohtani's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.8-mph over the course of the season to 110.6-mph of late.. With a .403 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Shohei Ohtani has performed in the 99th percentile for offensive skills.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Wed, Aug 5 • 2:35 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 2nd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 40.3% on the season to 47.2% in the last 14 days.. Rafael Devers has posted a .348 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Strikeouts Thrown
Cody Bradford logo
Cody Bradford o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-132)
Projection 4.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The San Francisco Giants have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Grant McCray, Willy Adames, Daniel Susac, Rafael Devers).. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching.. Cody Bradford has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed bats in this game.. Cody Bradford will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his metrics in all categories.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Wed, Aug 5 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (-159)
Projection 2.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 14th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Coors Field projects as the #1 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.19
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Coors Field projects as the #1 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Wed, Aug 5 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+122)
Projection 1.98
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best batter in the majors.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 ballpark in the league for overall righty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 82°.
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday logo
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #10 park in Major League Baseball for overall lefty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 82°.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams playing today.. Jackson Holliday will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Wed, Aug 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Carson Benge logo
Carson Benge o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Carson Benge is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for lefty base hits.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This contest is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total Bases
Chase DeLauter logo
Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Chase DeLauter is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for lefty base hits.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This contest is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Wed, Aug 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler logo
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Lawrence Butler will have the handedness advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's game.. Lawrence Butler has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Jeff McNeil logo
Jeff McNeil o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jeff McNeil has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (95% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage over Rhett Lowder today.. Jeff McNeil pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Wed, Aug 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Jake Irvin logo
Jake Irvin u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+126)
Projection 3.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Jake Irvin to be limited in this game, projecting a maximum of 76 pitches.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Philadelphia Phillies with a 19.7% underlying K%.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humidity on the schedule today at 85%.. The Philadelphia Phillies have 6 bats in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in this game.. Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Irvin in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.05
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the league's 3rd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The #9 stadium in the league for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humidity on the schedule today at 85%.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ New York Yankees logo NYY Wed, Aug 5 • 7:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The #9 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The #9 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Wed, Aug 5 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 83°.. Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+133)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 83°.. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Colson Montgomery will have an edge today.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Wed, Aug 5 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 stadium in the majors for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of the day at 82°.
Total Bases
Owen Caissie logo
Owen Caissie o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Owen Caissie's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Owen Caissie is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 park in baseball for overall lefty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of the day at 82°.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Wed, Aug 5 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ryan Jeffers logo
Ryan Jeffers o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #7 stadium in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.
Total Hits
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The deepest LF fences among all parks are found in Kauffman Stadium.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.8-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will bat from his weak side (0) today against Noah Cameron. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among every team on the slate today.. Josh Bell will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Wed, Aug 5 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Esmerlyn Valdez logo
Esmerlyn Valdez u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This matchup is predicted to have the 3rd-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Esmerlyn Valdez today.. Over the past 14 days, Esmerlyn Valdez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 24.1% down to 16%.. Esmerlyn Valdez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 97.9-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 93.3-mph in the past two weeks.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Esmerlyn Valdez's true offensive ability to be a .330, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .083 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .413 wOBA.
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. American Family Field grades out as the #10 park in baseball for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Wed, Aug 5 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Colt Keith logo
Colt Keith o1.5 Total Bases (+245)
Projection 1.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colt Keith's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colt Keith is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, T-Mobile Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 84°.
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+131)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. In MLB, T-Mobile Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 84°.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Wed, Aug 5 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 4th-best field in baseball for run-scoring.. Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Bratt today.. Manny Machado has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.2% seasonal rate to 18.9% in the past two weeks.
Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+122)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 4th-best field in baseball for run-scoring.. Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Bratt today.. Manny Machado has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.2% seasonal rate to 18.9% in the past two weeks.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

Total Hits
Dansby Swanson logo Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson has been one of the worst hitters in baseball this season with a .177 batting average, while ranking in the second percentile in xBA. Additionally, his hitting profile does not match up well at all against Cease, who has elite swing-and-miss stuff. 

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.