MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 23, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Houston Astros logo HOU @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Tue, Jun 23 • 4:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. George Springer is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB home runs.. George Springer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.
Total Bases
Yainer Diaz logo
Yainer Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+149)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-best venue in baseball for RHB home runs.. Yainer Diaz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Yainer Diaz has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .254 rate is a good deal lower than his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Yainer Diaz has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important talent for batting average), checking in at the 82nd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today's game.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+151)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Jake Burger is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Jake Burger has shown some good exit velocity stats recently, averaging 107.3-mph on his flyballs over the past week.. Using Statcast data, Jake Burger grades out in the 79th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.900.. Jake Burger has averaged 26.4 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 77th percentile for power.
Total RBIs
Josh Jung logo
Josh Jung o0.5 Total RBIs (+249)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Josh Jung is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Josh Jung hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Josh Jung has been hot in recent games, compiling a 94-mph average exit velocity over the last 7 days.. Josh Jung has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits recently, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 66.7% of the time in the last 7 days.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Kerry Carpenter will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Kevin McGonigle is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Kevin McGonigle will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Lane Thomas logo
Lane Thomas o0.5 Total RBIs (+290)
Projection 0.38
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Lane Thomas is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Lane Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team today.. In the last week, Lane Thomas has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power).
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Tue, Jun 23 • 6:45 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (-125)
Projection 2.24
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the game's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today's matchup.. Kyle Schwarber has a ton of pop (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (29.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Zack Littell doesn't generate many whiffs (11th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.
Total Bases
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.. This game is predicted to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge today.. Bryson Stott has displayed some good exit velocity metrics of late, averaging 96-mph on his flyballs over the past two weeks.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ New York Mets logo NYM Tue, Jun 23 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Carson Benge logo
Carson Benge o1.5 Total Bases (+147)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Carson Benge is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Carson Benge will hold the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's matchup.. Carson Benge has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Home Runs
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Projection 0.15
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Dansby Swanson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Dansby Swanson has been lifting the ball well recently, compiling a 30.7° launch angle in the last 14 days.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Tue, Jun 23 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Andrew Vaughn logo
Andrew Vaughn o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #1 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 5th-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (-119)
Projection 2.31
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jackson Chourio's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Tue, Jun 23 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.4
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 17th-best home run hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #7 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. Colson Montgomery will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total Home Runs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1000)
Projection 0.18
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 17th-best home run hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. Colson Montgomery will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Colson Montgomery has been hot lately, notching a a 12.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) over the last week.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Tue, Jun 23 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Ryan Ward logo
Ryan Ward u0.5 Total Hits (+105)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ward in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Ryan Ward is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.. Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF dimensions in MLB.. This game is expected to have the 4th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Ryan Ward will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Ryan in today's game... and even more favorably, Ryan has a large platoon split.
Total Bases
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Kody Clemens is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Kody Clemens will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Posting a 92.2-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks' worth of games, Kody Clemens has been in great form of late.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Jun 23 • 7:45 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+189)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ketel Marte ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences in MLB.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. In the past week's worth of games, Ketel Marte's maximum exit velocity (a strong indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 111-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball.
Total RBIs
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Geraldo Perdomo o0.5 Total RBIs (+272)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences in MLB.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Kyle Leahy.. In the last 7 days, Geraldo Perdomo's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 33.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, Jun 23 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Marcelo Mayer logo
Marcelo Mayer o1.5 Total Bases (+144)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts the best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Marcelo Mayer can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team in action today.
Total Bases
Willi Castro logo
Willi Castro o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Willi Castro is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts the best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Sonny Gray.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Tue, Jun 23 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jo Adell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences among all stadiums.. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.. Jo Adell will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences among all stadiums.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today.. Coby Mayo has been hot of late, notching a a 13.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) in the past two weeks' worth of games.. In the past 14 days, Coby Mayo has averaged an impressive 101.6-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ San Diego Padres logo SD Tue, Jun 23 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. Austin Riley has been hot in recent games, putting up a a 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) in the past 7 days.. In the last 7 days, Austin Riley's maximum exit velocity (a good proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 110.5-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball.
Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Tue, Jun 23 • 9:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage today.. Matt Chapman has been hot lately, putting up a a 20.8% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) in the past two weeks' worth of games.
Total Bases
Henry Bolte logo
Henry Bolte o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Bolte as the best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Henry Bolte will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like Henry Bolte usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ New York Mets logo NYM Wed, Jun 24 • 1:10 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo New York Mets logo o8.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Chicago is hot at the dish with a fifth-ranked wOBA, ISO and xwOBA over the past two weeks while averaging 5.7 runs per game, and New York has statistical correction coming offensively. The Mets rank 23rd in BABIP with their .311 wOBA below their 12th-ranked .321 xwOBA to go along with a sixth-ranked hard-hit rate across the past 30 days.

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Cubs are heating up at the dish with a fifth-ranked wOBA, ISO and xwOBA over the past two weeks while averaging 5.7 runs per game. Chicago lefty Shota Imanaga has also flipped the script with just a single run allowed and opposing hitters limited to a miniscule 19.3% squared-up contact rate and 3.5% blast contact rate across 10 2/3 innings over his past two starts. The Cubbies should also have their way with struggling New York Mets righty Kodai Senga. His 5.12 xERA ranks in the 17th percentile, and he has negative pitch values on three of his most frequent four offerings, after all.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: yesterday
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 11 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 4 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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