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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 21, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.12 |
+130 
|
o5.5 -115
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
3.92 |
-135 
|
u6.0 -114 
|
-1.5 +175
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as an underdog.
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 home games.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Dominic Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+450)
o0.5+500
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.54 |
+240
|
o8.0 -110 
|
+2.0 -125 
|
|
5.14 |
-240
|
u8.5 -120
|
-2.0 -104
|
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.
Top Projection
Joshua Baez o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5+270
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.71 |
+185
|
o7.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.70 |
-193
|
u7.5 -115 
|
-1.5 +115
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.97 |
+136
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.09 |
-140
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Lords last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Nationals are 5-0 in Lords last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Miami
- Under is 5-0 in Gustos last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games.
- Under is 7-2 in Marlins last 9 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+263)
o0.5+263
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.08 |
+162
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.61 |
-168
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +130
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Webbs last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 8-0 in Grays last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
o0.5+235
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+116
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.73 |
-119
|
u8.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +175
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 games on grass.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Rays are 12-1 in their last 13 road games.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 7-0 in Rogers' last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.39 |
+131
|
o7.0 -177
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.59 |
-140
|
u8.0 -113
|
-1.5 +155
|
NY Mets
- Mets are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 7-0 in Burkes last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Burkes last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Top Projection
Brett Baty o0.5 Total RBIs (+340)
o0.5+340
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.63 |
+165
|
o7.0 -200
|
+3.5 -315
|
|
4.52 |
-172
|
u8.5 -120
|
-3.5 +240
|
Athletics
- Over is 5-0-1 in last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Over is 3-0-1 in Wesneskis last 4 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Wesneskis last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Wesneskis last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
-108
|
o8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.95 |
+105
|
u8.5 -119
|
+1.5 -160
|
Detroit
- Tigers are 5-0 in Meltons last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Tigers are 5-0 in Meltons last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Tigers are 5-0 in Meltons last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.55 |
+130
|
o7.5 +105
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
3.99 |
-135
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +160 
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Detmers' last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in Detmers' last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
Texas
- Rangers are 6-0 in Gores last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rangers are 5-0 in Gores last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rangers are 5-0 in Gores last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Oswald Peraza o0.5 Total RBIs (+325)
o0.5+325
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.02 |
-150
|
o10.5 -110
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
5.05 |
+143
|
u10.5 +100
|
+1.5 -110
|
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Cantillos last 4 starts as a road underdog.
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Gordons last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
+135
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.65 |
-140
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Reds last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 8-0 in Rodriguezs last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Rodriguezs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rodriguezs last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rodriguezs last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Dane Myers o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5+270
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.72 |
+110
|
o8.0 -111
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.40 |
-115
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +165
|
Minnesota
- Over is 7-0-2 in Prielipps last 9 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Prielipps last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss.
Top Projection
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.50 |
+212
|
o8.0 -108
|
+1.5 +100
|
|
5.37 |
-220
|
u11.0 -481
|
-1.5 -105
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 on grass.
- Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League West.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Yamamotos last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yamamotos last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yamamotos last 4 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5+255
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.80 |
+100
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -220
|
|
4.31 |
-105
|
u8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +180
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Boyds last 5 interleague starts.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Boyds last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Seattle
- Under is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
o0.5+199
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+110
|
o7.0 -105
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
|
-- |
-130
|
u7.0 -115
|
-1.5 +160
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 5-0 in Weathers' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+110
|
o8.0 -105
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
|
-- |
-130
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +160
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 9-1 in Braves last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 6-0 in Hendersons last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Brewers are 7-0 in Hendersons last 7 home starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+150
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
|
-- |
-180
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +115
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 games as an underdog.
Miami
- Under is 4-0 in Perezs last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Perezs last 4 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+115
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
|
-- |
-140
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Painters last 5 starts on grass.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Texas
- Under is 7-0 in Rangers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 9-2 in Rangers last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-140
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
|
-- |
+115
|
u8.0 -105
|
+1.5 -145
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 games on grass.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Rays are 12-1 in their last 13 road games.
- Rays are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Youngs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+110
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
|
-- |
-130
|
u8.0 -105
|
-1.5 +155
|
NY Mets
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+180
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -120
|
|
|
-- |
-220
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +100
|
Athletics
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- are 6-1 in Lopezs last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 5-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+210
|
o8.0 +100
|
+1.5 -105
|
|
|
-- |
-260
|
u8.0 -120
|
-1.5 -115
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Jones' last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
- Pirates are 5-1 in Jones' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-2-1 in Dodgers last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+100
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
|
-- |
-120
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -205
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-110
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
|
-- |
-110
|
u7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts on grass.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts.
Seattle
- Under is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+150
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
|
-- |
-180
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +115
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Red Sox last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+135
|
o8.0 -105
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
|
-- |
-165
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +130
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in Sorokas last 7 starts as a home favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-140
|
o11.0 +100
|
-1.5 +110
|
|
|
-- |
+115
|
u11.0 -120
|
+1.5 -135
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Bibees last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Bibees last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Colorado
- Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 overall.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 games on grass.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Rays are 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in Martinezs last 4 road starts.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 overall.
Miami
- Over is 5-0 in Junks last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Houston
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 16-4-1 in Astros last 21 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Over is 5-0-1 in Valdezs last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Valdezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 vs. American League West.
- Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
Texas
- Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 home games.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 vs. American League West.
- Under is 9-2 in Rangers last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
ATL
@
MIL
Fri, Aug 21 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Gary Sanchez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Chris Sale attacks right-handed bats with a steady dose of fastballs, and that’s good news for lefty-masher Gary Sanchez.
He has gone nuclear against four-seamers thrown by southpaws, barreling up more than 22% of the time while posting a .684 ISO.
I'd bet this to +480
Total
o6.0 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Chris Sale is exceptional but he has averaged 5.5 innings of work over his last 10 starts, and Milwaukee’s patience at the plate should chase him in six innings or less.
That’d afford plenty of opportunity to scratch together runs against a bullpen sitting 25th in xFIP the last month.
Jacob Misiorowski is not immune to power, allowing multiple homers in three of the last seven starts.
I’d play the Over to -122.
STL
@
PHI
Fri, Aug 21 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+281)
Projection 0.38
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #9 field in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Ivan Herrera will have the handedness advantage against Jesús Luzardo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a huge platoon split.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+213)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #9 field in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Jordan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesús Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a huge platoon split.
TOR
@
NYY
Fri, Aug 21 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+550)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Kazuma Okamoto has hit two homers in his last three games, and has one against Schlittler in his rookie season, too. Okamoto's in the 83rd percentile for barrel percentage (12.5%) and is in a good spot to go yard at Yankee Stadium... again.
Game Prop
o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Offense has come from the entire lineup over the last month and change, but nobody has been hotter than Alejandro Kirk, who has 15 hits, three homers, and nine RBI across his nine-game hit streak. Look for this team to scrape and claw to get three or more runs on the board, especially at one of the most hitter-friendly ballparks in the big leagues.
WAS
@
MIA
Fri, Aug 21 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Griffin Conine o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Griffin Conine stands out as a prime home run candidate on today's slate. The Marlins slugger has been firing missiles lately, producing a 65% hard-hit rate, 25% barrel rate and just a 25% ground-ball rate over his last 10 games, while owning a .767 SLG and .434 ISO. He also enters today with the highest matchup rating in the current season dataset, and through 13 home games with an elite rating, he has gone deep 23% of the time.
Conine draws Washington Nationals right-hander Brad Lord, who has allowed left-handed hitters to bat .269, with a .444 SLG and .827 OPS this season. Conine also covers over 88% of Lord's arsenal, making this a great spot for the Marlins slugger to go deep.
Strikeouts Thrown
Brad Lord o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-110)
Projection 3.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Miami Marlins have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Esteury Ruiz, Owen Caissie, Griffin Conine, Heriberto Hernandez).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 9th-best park in baseball for strikeouts.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to worse offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. With 6 batters who bat from the same side in the opposing team's projected offense, Brad Lord figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
SF
@
BOS
Fri, Aug 21 • 7:10 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (+105)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Logan Webb's SIERA is 1.44 runs higher than his ERA over the past month, a sign regression could be looming for the veteran righty.
The San Francisco Giants aren’t the sexiest team on paper but their offense has quietly been potent on the road in August, ranking Top-6 in ISO and wOBA vs. righties.
Bet to -107.
Total Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 95th percentile or higher in xwOBA, xSLG, ISO, and hard hit rate against right-handed pitching over the last 30 days.
Logan Webb has predictably been more prone to conceding homers on the road, and Abreu went for extra bases in the only two head-to-head bats we’ve seen.
Bet to +450.
TB
@
BAL
Fri, Aug 21 • 7:15 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Freddy Peralta o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+110)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Orioles are catching a great price against Freddy Peralta, who has struggled mightily since joining the Rays. Through his first three starts with Tampa Bay, Peralta owns a 7.53 ERA, 6.01 xERA and 1.47 WHIP while allowing a 49% hard-hit rate and 13.33% barrel rate. Baltimore has also been making plenty of hard contact, posting over a 45% hard-hit rate and nearly 10% barrel rate over its last 21 games. Despite a cold week, the Orioles still own a 116 wRC+, .339 wOBA and .773 OPS over their last 12 games. At +110, Baltimore is worth backing and fading Peralta.
Total Home Runs
Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+405)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Fifteen of the 20 homers Perlta has allowed have came against left-handed hitters across 83 innings, who have posted a .270/.332/.477 line, and he has surrendered a 19.2% pull-air rate. Gunnar Henderson is Baltimore's primary left-handed power bat, and Camden Yards is where Peralta's fastball problem gets punished, a that Gunnar has led the O's in hard-hit rate against. Play to +330.
NYM
@
CHW
Fri, Aug 21 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Randal Grichuk o0.5 Total Home Runs (+414)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Randal Grichuk remains an intriguing home run look against Mets left-hander Sean Manaea, despite the possibility of being pinch hit for later in the game. Grichuk is one of the highest-rated hitters on Batters-Box, covering over 91% of Manaea's arsenal. Against left-handed pitching over his last 30 plate appearances, he owns a .828 SLG and .380 ISO while generating a 50% hard-hit rate. Manaea has struggled against right-handed hitters, allowing a 51.5% hard-hit rate and 15.2% barrel rate over his last 60. The potential pinch-hit concern creates some risk, but Grichuk is still a strong look at +400 or better.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-114)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Miguel Vargas is my preferred right-handed hitter against Mets left-hander Sean Manaea tonight, with the possibility of Randal Grichuk being pinch-hit for making Vargas the better option. Vargas enters Friday with a .718 SLG, .410 ISO, 51.5% hard-hit rate and 12.1% barrel rate over his last ten games. He also carries an elite rating on Batters-Box, covering 100% of Manaea's pitches, while going over this prop 55.56% of the time this season when rated elite. Manaea has struggled against right-handed hitters, with his last 60 opponents producing a 51.5% hard-hit rate, 15.2% barrel rate and .360 xBA. The White Sox need to get back on track, and it starts with Vargas. Take this down to -125 if you have to.
ATH
@
HOU
Fri, Aug 21 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Zack Gelof ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zack Gelof is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors.
Total RBIs
Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+197)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Christian Walker is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors.. The Athletics infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams in action today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage today.
DET
@
KC
Fri, Aug 21 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Eduardo Valencia o0.5 Total Home Runs (+575)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Eduardo Valencia is hitting .358 against lefties with seven of 10 hits going for extra bases.
Valencia has been powerful against the changeup, and that’s Noah Cameron’s most-used pitch facing right-handed bats.
Kansas City's bullpen ranks dead last in HR/9 so Valencia will remain live even after Cameron departs.
Play to +550.
Moneyline
DET (-120)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Noah Cameron’s impressive run over the past month has been aided by an unsustainable .149 batting average on balls in play, miles below his .263 career output.
The Detroit Tigers sit fourth in wOBA the past 30 days and have already faced Cameron twice this season, better equipping them to produce.
Back Detroit to -130.
LAA
@
TEX
Fri, Aug 21 • 8:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Mike Trout o0.5 Total Home Runs (+414)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Mike Trout is only 2-for-9 versus Gore in his career, but has hit a homer against him and owns a .465 xSLG in this specific matchup. Trout has been in a power drought as of late, but his last homer came on August 10 - against Gore. Let's fire him up at this price to do it again.
Total
u7.5 (-121)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Not only is this a fantastic pitching matchup, but the trends are on our side here, too. The Under is 9-2 in the Rangers' last 11 home games against a team with a losing record, which bodes extremely well for a low-scoring affair in this spot.
CLE
@
COL
Fri, Aug 21 • 8:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Joey Cantillo o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Joey Cantillo draws another strong strikeout matchup against the Rockies in Denver. The Guardians southpaw has maintained a strikeout rate above 30% over his last five outings and owns a 25.44% strikeout rate away from home this season. Colorado has struggled against left-handed pitching, striking out 25.4% of the time at home this season. Over their last 60 at-bats against lefties, only two Rockies hitters own strikeout rates below 17%, while the rest sit at 25% or higher. Four hitters are striking out at a 31.7% clip, making six strikeouts an appealing target at -120 or better.
Total Bases
Travis Bazzana o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.02
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Travis Bazzana is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Gordon throws from, Travis Bazzana will have an advantage today.
CIN
@
AZ
Fri, Aug 21 • 9:40 PM ET
Spread
AZ -1.5 (+146)
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst
The numbers strongly favor Arizona to win comfortably tonight. Over the past month, the Diamondbacks rank first in home OPS and second against left-handed pitching, while Cincinnati ranks 27th on the road and 28th versus lefties. Eduardo Rodriguez also owns an ERA nearly two runs lower than Nick Lodolo, who has led the Reds to a 4-10 record in his starts. Throw in a struggling Reds bullpen, and we have the recipe for a lopsided Dbacks W.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Sal Stewart ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Chase Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for overall right-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
MIN
@
SD
Fri, Aug 21 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
SD (-121)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Total Home Runs
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+456)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Fernando Tatis Jr. enters Friday in an excellent spot against Twins right-hander Connor Prielipp. The outfielder owns the third-highest matchup rating in this game over on Batters-Box and has been seeing the ball extremely well over his last ten games, posting a .765 SLG and .500 ISO while generating a 54.8% hard-hit rate and 25.8% barrel rate. Prielipp has struggled against right-handed hitters, posting a 7.71 ERA while allowing a 50% hard-hit rate, 11.1% barrel rate and 61.1% elevation rate over his last 30 righties faced. With Tatis swinging a hot bat, +420 is simply too great to pass up.
PIT
@
LAD
Fri, Aug 21 • 10:10 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-131)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
The Dodgers have cashed the Under in four consecutive Yoshinobu Yamamoto starts, and his splitter should work optimally in his matchup (Pittsburgh is 23rd in runs above average per 100 splitters seen). Bubba Chandler, meanwhile, has even better numbers than Yamamoto in their last six respective outings. Both bullpens rank in the top 10 in FIP over the last 14 days (L.A. 3.37, Pittsburgh 3.53) and are refreshed after Thursday's off day, so run suppression is a likely outcome of tonight's ballgame.
Bubba Chandler has allowed no more than three earned runs in any of his last six starts while turning in a 2.56 ERA, 2.39 FIP, and 2.3% barrel rate. The market is underpricing him against a slumping L.A. lineup (91 wRC+ in the last 14 days; Pittsburgh 104).
CHC
@
SEA
Fri, Aug 21 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Home Runs (+309)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Pete Crow-Armstrong is having another fantastic season with 31 dingers, already equal to last year’s output, while ranking in the 99th percentile in batting run value and 89th percentile in barrel %. PCA has gone yard four times in his last four contests, and he matches up well against Hancock. The Cubs slugger has nine dingers against right-handed four-seamers this season, tied for the ninth most in the majors.
Total
o7.5 (-121)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
The Cubs own the second-best offense in MLB (5.13 runs per game), and Hancock is susceptible to giving up hard hits.
Boyd also owns a 6.16 ERA over his last three starts, so the Mariners could do some damage of their own.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
