MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 31, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, May 31 • 12:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.. Kazuma Okamoto's 14.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) is in the 88th percentile this year.
Total Bases
Leody Taveras logo
Leody Taveras o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.38
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Leody Taveras has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (97% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 8% to 18%.. Leody Taveras has put up a .278 batting average this year, placing in the 83rd percentile.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, May 31 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Washington Nationals logo WAS (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

There's isn't much to like about Griffin Canning's form this year (7.54 ERA). Zack Littell counters, and his 2.19 ERA in May shines by comparison. The Nats' bats are also doing much better over the last two weeks, ranking fourth while San Diego is 24th.

Total Bases
Gavin Sheets logo
Gavin Sheets o1.5 Total Bases (+118)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Gavin Sheets has been hot in recent games, whalloping 3 home runs in the last 14 days.. Gavin Sheets has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well in recent games, posting a 30° angle on such balls in the past week's worth of games.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, May 31 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Braxton Ashcraft logo
Braxton Ashcraft o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+134)
Projection 5.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Braxton Ashcraft in the 85th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.. The Minnesota Twins have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Byron Buxton, Alex Jackson, Tristan Gray).. Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 4th-least humidity on the slate at 27%.. Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Braxton Ashcraft will hold that advantage today.. Braxton Ashcraft's 96.3-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 88th percentile among all starters.
Total Bases
Henry Davis logo
Henry Davis o1.5 Total Bases (+225)
Projection 1.28
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage today.. This season, Henry Davis has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.9 mph compared to last year's 92.5 mph mark.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.221) suggests that Henry Davis has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .157 actual batting average.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Juan Soto logo Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+273)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Juan Soto has absolutely mashed the baseball this season, sitting in the 99th percentile in xSLG, 97th percentile in Barrel%, and 93rd percentile in average exit velocity.

He's also beaten up right-handed pitchers, with a .659 SLG and nine of his 12 homers coming vs. righties.

Total RBIs
Owen Caissie logo
Owen Caissie o0.5 Total RBIs (+308)
Projection 0.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Owen Caissie is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Batting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Owen Caissie will have an advantage in today's game.. Owen Caissie hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences today.. In the past 7 days, Owen Caissie has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 36° angle.. Owen Caissie is quite toolsy, grading out in the 80th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.33 ft/sec this year.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 field in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks.. Mike Trout will hold the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan today.
Total RBIs
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+146)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Junior Caminero as baseball's 17th-best home run hitter.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 field in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Austin Hedges logo
Austin Hedges u0.5 Total Hits (-120)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hedges in the 0th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Austin Hedges is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Out of every team in action today, the best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits.. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand today.. Wilyer Abreu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16.7% to 20.5%.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Matt Olson logo Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+325)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Nick Lodolo's sinker has an xBA of .421 and an xSLG of .764, yet he’s still throwing it 23% of the time.

Matt Olson has gone yard four times against the sinker this year, while batting .310 with a .643 SLG vs. that pitch.

Total Hits
Jorge Mateo logo
Jorge Mateo u0.5 Total Hits (+134)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Mateo ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jorge Mateo is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.. Jorge Mateo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.144) may lead us to conclude that Jorge Mateo has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .245 actual batting average.. Jorge Mateo has notched a .188 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 3rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sun, May 31 • 2:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (-182)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

I refuse to believe Tatsuya Imai has suddenly "figured it out" for the Astros after tossing six scoreless innings as part of a no-hitter last Tuesday. His ERA is still a sky-high 6.17. He can't hang with Jacob Misiorowski (1.83 ERA), so back the Brewers to -200.

Total Home Runs
Christian Yelich logo
Christian Yelich o0.5 Total Home Runs (+650)
Projection 0.16
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Christian Yelich ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for lefty home runs.. Christian Yelich will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tatsuya Imai in today's game... and moreover, Imai has a large platoon split.. Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sun, May 31 • 2:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Detroit Tigers logo Chicago White Sox logo o7.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

The White Sox have an Over record of 8-2-0 in their last 10 games.

Spread
Chicago White Sox logo CHW -1.5 (+166)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

The White Sox have won five of seven against the Tigets, with four of those wins coming by at least two runs.

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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sun, May 31 • 2:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Danny Jansen logo
Danny Jansen u0.5 Total Hits (-110)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Danny Jansen's BABIP talent is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Danny Jansen is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today's game.. Globe Life Field profiles as the #30 stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest CF fences in the majors.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Salvador Perez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .275 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .045 disparity.. Posting a 36.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Salvador Perez finds himself in the 96th percentile for power.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sun, May 31 • 3:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Casey Schmitt logo Casey Schmitt o0.5 Total Home Runs (+370)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Casey Schmitt has been on fire with six dingers in the last 13 games, and he'll be hitting out of the most batter-friendly park in the majors today.

Rockies starter Tanner Gordon is also suscepitble to the long ball, ranking in the bottom five percentile in Barrel% and bottom 17 percentile in Hard-Hit%.

Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in the game for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, May 31 • 4:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
New York Yankees logo Athletics Athletics logo u10.5 (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Will Warren's release slot suppresses launch angle, while New York's MLB-leading groundball bullpen extends the Yankees' advantage. With Jacob Lopez also generating weak contact, this 10.5 total is too high. Play Under 9.5.

Spread
New York Yankees logo NYY -1.5 (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Will Warren's optimized release slot helps his 3,005-RPM sweeper generate elite horizontal movement, making it a tough matchup for Oakland's lineup. With New York's bullpen leading MLB in rolling groundball rate, play Yankees -1.5 to -105.

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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Sun, May 31 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-107)
Projection 2.27
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #2 park in the game for boosting home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. In MLB, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
Total Hits
Brandon Marsh logo
Brandon Marsh u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Marsh today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brandon Marsh's true offensive ability to be a .317, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .040 disparity between that figure and his actual .357 wOBA.. Posting a 4.64 K/BB rate this year, Brandon Marsh has displayed weak plate discipline, placing in the 10th percentile.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sun, May 31 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Corbin Carroll pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs
Adrian Del Castillo logo
Adrian Del Castillo o0.5 Total RBIs (+246)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Adrian Del Castillo is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs.. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Adrian Del Castillo will have an advantage in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams playing today.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sun, May 31 • 7:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Michael Busch is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 83°.. In the past week, Michael Busch has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 28.2° angle.
Total Hits
Miguel Amaya logo
Miguel Amaya u0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 13th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Miguel Amaya is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.. Homers are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in Major League Baseball.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Miguel Amaya today.. Miguel Amaya's quickness has fallen off this season. His 25.93 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.06 ft/sec now.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 8 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero logo Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+401)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 days ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Junior Caminero continues to crush the baseball, hitting .409 over the last week with 13 home runs on the season. Ryan Weathers has allowed all eight of his homers this year to right-handed batters, which sets up well for the powerful Tampa Bay slugger.

Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (+115)
Pick made: 8 days ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

Drew Rasmussen vs. the New York Yankees is a mismatch on paper — the righty is 4-1 with a 1.03 ERA and 51 punchouts in eight career games against New York. Coming off a thrilling comeback win on Friday, the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays are primed to keep the foot on the gas behind their dynamic arm to create more separation in the AL East.

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