All Picks
NFL
NCAAF
MLB
NBA
NCAAB
NHL
CFL
WNBA
Golf
World Cup
What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 1, 2026.
New
Computer Picks powered by
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.86 |
-116 
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +135 
|
|
4.51 |
+109 
|
u8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -148
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 8-0 in Ashcrafts last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts as a favorite.
Cincinnati
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+211)
o0.5 +211
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.14 |
-138
|
o8.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
3.71 |
+129
|
u8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -126
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-0 in Sanchezs last 8 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-2-2 in Phillies last 12 interleague games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 on grass.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
o0.5 +150
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 |
-120
|
o8.0 -120 
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.99 |
+110
|
u8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -155
|
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
o1.5 +155
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
+152
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.60 |
-164
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +130
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. National League West.
- Guardians are 6-0 in Messicks last 6 interleague starts.
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
o0.5 +226
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.96 |
+105
|
o6.0 -115
|
+1.5 -210
|
|
3.25 |
-110
|
u6.5 -120
|
-1.5 +155
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Frieds last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 8-1 in Yankees last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+282)
o0.5 +282
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.19 |
+150
|
o9.0 -134 
|
+2.0 -196
|
|
5.92 |
-161
|
u9.5 -112
|
-2.0 +148
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Mikolas' last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 7-0 in Nationals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Mikolas' last 5 starts as an underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 5-0 in Lopezs last 5 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 7-0 in Lopezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+184)
o0.5 +184
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.53 |
+106
|
o11.5 -112
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
6.55 |
-114
|
u12.0 -112
|
+1.5 -170
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 9-0 in Royals last 9 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
+134
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.90 |
-144
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +146
|
San Francisco
- Under is 6-0-1 in Mahles last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Mahles last 6 starts on grass.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5 +202
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.97 |
+150
|
o7.5 -103
|
+1.5 -142
|
|
5.13 |
-160
|
u7.5 -107
|
-1.5 +130
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
o1.5 +180
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.15 |
-138
|
o8.5 -121
|
-1.5 +114
|
|
4.83 |
+129
|
u9.0 -112
|
+1.5 -125
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Gassers last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Gassers last 4 starts as a favorite.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Angels are 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5 +195
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.51 |
-158
|
o10.5 -107
|
-1.5 -107
|
|
4.75 |
+146
|
u10.5 -103
|
+1.5 -103
|
Detroit
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 on grass.
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Perkins' last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Perkins' last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Perkins' last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
o0.5 +175
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.07 |
+110
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
|
5.22 |
-116
|
u9.5 -183
|
-1.5 +155
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Nationals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cavallis last 4 starts as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 overall.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.01 |
-128
|
o7.5 -124
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
|
4.44 |
+120
|
u8.5 -148
|
+1.5 -152
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-0 in Wheelers last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Phillies are 6-0 in Wheelers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 8-2-2 in Phillies last 12 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts as an underdog.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 overall.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.21 |
+100
|
o9.0 -105
|
+1.5 -229
|
|
4.80 |
-110
|
u10.5 -191
|
+1.5 -182
|
St. Louis
- Under is 7-0-1 in McGreevys last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in McGreevys last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in McGreevys last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Scherzers last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 |
-112
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -252
|
|
4.96 |
+106
|
u10.5 -191
|
+1.5 -160
|
Miami
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. National League East.
NY Mets
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.80 |
+134
|
o8.5 -105
|
+2.5 -293
|
|
|
5.67 |
-144
|
u9.5 -209
|
-1.5 +146
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 4-0 in Kellers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Pirates are 6-1 in Kellers last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 8-0 in Burns' last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Reds are 7-1 in their last 8 games as an underdog.
- Reds are 7-1 in Burns' last 8 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+130
|
o7.5 -122
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.29 |
-138
|
u8.5 -148
|
-1.5 +153
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Rays are 5-0 in Jaxs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.10 |
+128
|
o8.0 -110
|
+2.5 -309
|
|
|
4.69 |
-137
|
u9.5 -229
|
-1.5 +153
|
Arizona
- Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Kellys last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a favorite.
- Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.93 |
+112
|
o9.0 +100
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
|
4.71 |
-121
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +164
|
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Rockers last 5 starts on grass.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.51 |
-125
|
o6.5 -110
|
-1.5 +138
|
|
|
3.90 |
+116
|
u7.5 -200
|
+1.5 -160
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Coles last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Coles last 7 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-2 in Reas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Cubs are 6-0 in Reas last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.79 |
+100
|
o12.5 -105
|
+2.5 -309
|
|
|
6.90 |
-110
|
u13.5 -183
|
+1.5 -170
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Lugos last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-215
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 -126
|
|
|
-- |
+198
|
u8.0 -117
|
+1.5 +110
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-104
|
o11.0 -110
|
+1.5 -219
|
|
|
-- |
+101
|
u11.5 -120
|
+1.5 -160
|
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Athletics
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
+128
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
-- |
-135
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +153
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts on grass.
- Twins are 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts overall.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0-2 in Kirbys last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kirbys last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Kirbys last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
o8.0 -110
|
+2.5 -309
|
|
|
-- |
-138
|
u9.5 -229
|
-1.5 +159
|
San Francisco
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Roupps last 6 starts on grass.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 4-0 in Kings last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+142
|
o9.0 +100
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
|
-- |
-154
|
u9.5 -142
|
-1.5 +136
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
PIT
@
CIN
Sat, Aug 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
PIT (-112)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Pittsburgh’s pitching efficiency carries the day here, posting a sixth-ranked 3.10 SIERA alongside a robust 19.7% K-BB% rate. Braxton Ashcraft matches up against Andrew Abbott, where Cincinnati’s offensive struggles (83 wRC+) and high strikeout tendency (26.4% K%) make the Pirates a clean road target.
Total Bases
Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #5 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate at 85%.. Bryan Reynolds has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
PHI
@
BAL
Sat, Aug 1 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+109)
Projection 2.02
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 ballpark in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.
Total RBIs
Bryan De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 ballpark in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Bryan De La Cruz has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.. Bryan De La Cruz has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 18.3° figure is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (88th percentile).
TEX
@
HOU
Sat, Aug 1 • 7:10 PM ET
Runs
Jeremy Pena o0.5 Runs (+115)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Jeremy Pena has been a steady table-setter for Houston, hitting .393 over his last six games with eight runs scored. His .414 OBP and .507 wOBA during that stretch show how often he is creating chances, while reaching safely in 12 straight games gives him a strong run-scoring profile tonight.
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ronel Blanco bled homers over his first two starts, and the Texas Rangers slot Top-5 in both ISO and hard hit rate the past two weeks.
Jacob deGrom has not pitched as well on the road (4.33 ERA, 1.86 HR/9), and he ranks in the fifth percentile in hard contact allowed.
Expect homers to help push this Over again. Bet to -115.
AZ
@
CLE
Sat, Aug 1 • 7:15 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-115)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Arizona Diamondbacks slot 22nd in ISO against lefties on the road, and they'll have a tough time ramping up against Parker Messick.
Kohl Drake lifts the floor and ceiling of the Cleveland Guardians offense but it’s still not overly high. They’ve hit just .238 with a .125 ISO at home against lefties.
Bet the Under to -130.
Moneyline
CLE (-160)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 18-30 against teams over .500, and their struggles should continue Saturday afternoon.
Arizona generally hits lefties well but will have their hands full against Parker Messick. The young hurler has held opponents to a .205 average and allowed only 0.79 homers per nine innings.
Bet Cleveland to -175.
NYY
@
CHC
Sat, Aug 1 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Singles
Alex Hoppe o0.5 Total Singles (-111)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Alex Bregman has been locked in at the plate, batting .407 over his last six games while riding a five-game hitting streak. He has produced 11 hits during that span, including five singles, and has a strong history against Max Fried, going 6-for-16 lifetime with five singles in that matchup.
Total
u6.5 (-121)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
We saw just how ineffective these offenses can be with barrel suppression yesterday in a 2-0 Yankees win. I'm backing another low-scoring affair and would play the Under to 6, particularly considering the weather in store.
Rain and wind blowing in at Wrigley are not small variables, especially with the pitchers in mind.
Fried fits the weather. His 50% ground-ball rate and almost non-existent barrel rate make it difficult for the Cubbies to create power. Peterson’s overall profile is shakier, but he still owns a 49% ground-ball rate, and the weather helps cover some of his air-contact risk.
WAS
@
ATL
Sat, Aug 1 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total Home Runs (+325)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
CJ Abrams continues to bring major home run upside, posting a .520 ISO with four long balls over his last seven games. His 26.1-degree average launch angle and 15.8% barrel rate fit well against Reynaldo Lopez, who has allowed 1.80 HR/9 with a 50% fly-ball rate recently.
Total
o9.5 (+101)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
Reynaldo Lopez hasn't bounced back from shoulder trouble, and Miles Mikolas might be the worst regular starter in MLB. Lopez's FIP is nearly a full run worse than his ERA, and he's susceptible to the long ball. That's trouble against a Washington offense that leads MLB in OPS and home runs. The Nats have boosted their OPS by 124 points in the second half, hitting 45% over league average. In July, they had an .895 OPS and 146 OPS+. I'd take Washington money until about +140.
KC
@
COL
Sat, Aug 1 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (-117)
Projection 2.34
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Carter Jensen ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carter Jensen is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. The #1 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 94°.
Total Bases
Isaac Collins o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 94°.
SF
@
SD
Sat, Aug 1 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total Bases
Daniel Susac o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.33
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Daniel Susac's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Daniel Susac's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.5-mph over the course of the season to 97.6-mph of late.. Over the last week, Daniel Susac's 45.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.3%.
BOS
@
LAD
Sat, Aug 1 • 9:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+250)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Shohei Ohtani is showing elite power indicators again, carrying a .476 ISO with two homers over his last five games. His 62.5% hard-hit rate and 18.8% barrel rate give him a clear path against Payton Tolle, who has allowed 2.45 HR/9 across his previous two appearances.
Boston has cashed the Under in six of Payton Tolle's last nine starts. The bullpen behind him has a 1.61 ERA since the Break, helping lead to a 2-8 O/U mark in its last 10. On the flip side, Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed no more than two earned runs in nine of his last 11 starts and can limit Boston (81 wRC+ against RHP in the last 14 days).
MIL
@
LAA
Sat, Aug 1 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°.. Zach Neto will have the handedness advantage over Robert Gasser in today's game... and even better, Gasser has a large platoon split.
Total Bases
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Jo Adell ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°.. Given Robert Gasser's large platoon split, Jo Adell will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Jo Adell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
DET
@
ATH
Sat, Aug 1 • 9:40 PM ET
Total
o10.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The park factors and weather are projected to give a 34% boost to homers. Jack Perkins is sporting a 7.34 ERA and allowing 2.28 HR/9 over six starts with a HR boost of 30% or more.
Framber Valdez owns 6.28 ERA and has allowed 1.63 HR/9 over eight starts vs. Top-10 in opponents in OPS against lefties.
Bet the Over to -125.
Moneyline
DET (-145)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Framber Valdez' 52.7 GB% trails only Cristopher Sanchez among today’s starting pitchers.
That will help him sap power out of the Athletics offense, as will the absence of Shea Langeliers.
Jack Perkins ranks in the 11th percentile in GB%, which could be disastrous on a scorching hot day with the wind blowing out.
Bet Detroit to -155.
MIA
@
NYM
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:40 PM ET
Moneyline
MIA (+114)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Although Miami’s relief corps has been shaky, former Cy Young winner Sandy Alcantara serves as the ultimate equalizer. Alcantara consistently pitches deep into games, protecting his bullpen from heavy exposure. Getting a proven ace against an unannounced Mets starting option makes the Marlins an irresistible value play.
DET
@
ATH
Sun, Aug 2 • 4:05 PM ET
Moneyline
DET (-108)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Both bullpens have surrendered plenty of traffic over the last two weeks, shifting the edge directly to the starting rotation and offensive consistency. Detroit holds a firm advantage in contact metrics and run-creation stats, giving Tigers starter Keider Montero enough early padding to edge out the A's on the road.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
-
Visit all available MLB odds View now MLB odds
-
MLB Scores + Matchups View now MLB Scores + Matchups
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
