MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 22, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

New York Yankees logo NYY @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Mon, Jun 22 • 6:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Gerrit Cole profile picture
Gerrit Cole u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
Earned Runs Allowed
Jose Caballero profile picture
Jose Caballero o0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
New York Yankees logo
NYY
Moneyline
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Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Gerrit Cole owns a 3.29 xERA and has limited opponents to a 27.6% hard-hit rate over his last two starts. Meanwhile, Framber Valdez has struggled lately, posting a 4.85 FIP over the last month and a 5.72 home FIP. Jose Caballero enters in form with a .388 wOBA and is 6-for-13 lifetime against Valdez.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

Though the Detroit Tigers carry some home momentum after sweeping the White Sox, their bottom-tier offense is severely outmatched here. Detroit averages just 4.1 runs per game with a subpar .706 OPS, while the New York Yankees lead the majors in slugging percentage and home runs. Backing New York’s elite bats against a struggling Framber Valdez makes the Yankees moneyline a sharp play at -124.

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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Mon, Jun 22 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+152)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. Kyle Stowers will have the handedness advantage against Kumar Rocker in today's matchup... and even better, Rocker has a large platoon split.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Mon, Jun 22 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cedric Mullins's BABIP ability is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather forecast forecasts the 7th-most suitable pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total Bases
Yandy Diaz logo
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average skill.. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Out of every team in action today, the 6th-worst outfield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Yandy Diaz will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Mon, Jun 22 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Curtis Mead is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Curtis Mead will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best hitter in the league.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for bats.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Mon, Jun 22 • 7:07 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+440)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Hunter Brown throws a heavy dose of the four-seamer and sinker, and doesn’t get a lot of chase on those pitches. Most of Okamoto‘s team-leading 16 home runs have come off the fastball this season, where Okamoto owns a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

 

3 LEG PARLAY
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. profile picture
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. profile picture
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. u0.5 Total Strikeouts
Total Strikeouts
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Bet now
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Vladdy matches up well against Brown and has been chasing fewer pitches lately, resulting in only two K’s in his last eight games — including no strikeouts in four straight games. George Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games, and profiles well against Brown, who’s primarily a fastball pitcher.

 

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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ New York Mets logo NYM Mon, Jun 22 • 7:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

The Chicago Cubs feature a much healthier and deeper lineup, featuring steady production from Seiya Suzuki and Ian Happ. Given Kodai Senga’s severe struggles to pitch deep into games or prevent big innings, Chicago's patient hitters should be able to drive up his pitch count early and exploit a vulnerable New York Mets bullpen. Backing the hotter pitcher against a depleted Mets roster is the clear, sharp play.

Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 56 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Kodai Senga.. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 8th-worst among all the teams today.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Mon, Jun 22 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+186)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt McLain ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.. Matt McLain has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
David Hamilton logo
David Hamilton o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.34
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Given Brady Singer's huge platoon split, David Hamilton will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. David Hamilton has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Mon, Jun 22 • 7:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo Minnesota Twins logo o9.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Joe Osborne image
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

The Twins lead MLB in OPS over the last two weeks and have seen 10 of their last 13 games clear the total, while the Dodgers have gone Over in 10 of their last 14. Minnesota hitters own a 1.094 OPS against Eric Lauer, Zebby Matthews has allowed seven earned runs twice in his last four starts, and now he faces a Dodgers team that leads MLB in runs per game on the road. Add in the Twins' bullpen that has a 7.36 ERA over the past two weeks, and this has all the makings of a slugfest.

Total Bases
Luke Keaschall logo
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+176)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Luke Keaschall will hold the platoon advantage against Eric Lauer in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 9th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Luke Keaschall will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Mon, Jun 22 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+154)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 17th-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Colson Montgomery will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Colson Montgomery will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Home Runs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+290)
Projection 0.21
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 17th-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Colson Montgomery will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Colson Montgomery will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Mon, Jun 22 • 7:45 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
St. Louis Cardinals logo
STL
Moneyline
Andre Pallante profile picture
Andre Pallante u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
Earned Runs Allowed
Alec Burleson profile picture
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
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Pick made: 38 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Andre Pallante enters in excellent form with a 2.57 xERA over his last two starts and has stayed Under his earned-runs total in three straight appearances. Meanwhile, Merrill Kelly owns a 5.31 FIP over his last two outings and has allowed 2.20 home runs per nine innings over the last month, creating opportunities for a surging Cardinals offense and Alec Burleson.

Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage over Merrill Kelly in today's game.. Alec Burleson has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.. Alec Burleson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Mon, Jun 22 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of the day at 86°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.6-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Anthony Seigler logo
Anthony Seigler o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Anthony Seigler is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of the day at 87°.. Anthony Seigler will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Feltner in today's matchup.. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Anthony Seigler stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Mon, Jun 22 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+138)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 56 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters.. Taylor Ward will hold the platoon advantage over Samuel Aldegheri in today's game.. Among every team today, the 6th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.
Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+134)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the majors.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. This matchup is projected to have the 13th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.2-mph in this game, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters.. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Samuel Aldegheri today.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ San Diego Padres logo SD Mon, Jun 22 • 10:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
San Diego Padres logo SD (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

Although the Atlanta Braves boast a superior overall record, sending a back-of-the-rotation arm against Michael King on the West Coast creates a tough uphill battle. The San Diego Padres have historically excelled in this exact spot, carrying a strong 23-17 record this season as underdogs or tight-line options. With King primed to neutralize Atlanta's power bats and force an early call to a taxed bullpen, San Diego holds the definitive situational edge to take the series opener.

Total Bases
Rodolfo Duran logo
Rodolfo Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+295)
Projection 1.13
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rodolfo Duran will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 22 hours ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 10 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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