MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 23, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sat, May 23 • 1:10 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 92%.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 92%.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, May 23 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Ryan Vilade logo
Ryan Vilade u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for mound aces.. Ryan Vilade hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. The New York Yankees infield defense profiles as the 5th-best out of all the teams playing today.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Junior Caminero as the league's 19th-best home run batter.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Junior Caminero will have an edge in today's game.. Junior Caminero has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 13.4% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last week.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sat, May 23 • 2:20 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Houston Astros logo Chicago Cubs logo u7.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Houston's Under record is 8-0-1 in its last nine games. 

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-142)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Colin Rea has allowed just four earned runs in his last three home starts, going 2-0 with a 2.37 ERA.

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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sat, May 23 • 3:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best park in MLB for left-handed home runs.. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Brandon Lowe has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.6% seasonal rate to 26.7% in the last 7 days.
Total Bases
Marcell Ozuna logo
Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases (+156)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The #3 park in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, May 23 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Over the past 7 days, Munetaka Murakami's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 21.4% down to 12.5%.. Munetaka Murakami's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 94.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 92.3-mph in the past two weeks.. Munetaka Murakami's launch angle in recent games (9.5° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly lower than his 14.5° seasonal figure.
Total Bases
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. This game is forecasted to have the 4th-most humidity of all games today (82%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Matt Chapman will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, May 23 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Jeremiah Jackson u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jeremiah Jackson is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 56°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Jeremiah Jackson's launch angle this year (6.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 11.7° mark last season.. Posting a 9.56 K/BB rate this year, Jeremiah Jackson has shown bad plate discipline, grading out in the 1st percentile.
Total Hits
Weston Wilson logo
Weston Wilson u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Weston Wilson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Weston Wilson is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 56°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Weston Wilson's quickness has declined this year. His 28.15 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.71 ft/sec now.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sat, May 23 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Brandon Marsh logo
Brandon Marsh u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 54°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Among all the teams today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians.. Brandon Marsh's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 89.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 86-mph over the last week.. Brandon Marsh's launch angle in recent games (5.3° over the last two weeks) is considerably lower than his 10.8° seasonal mark.
Total Hits
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 54°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Among all the teams today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians.. Kyle Schwarber's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, falling from 21.3% on the season to 0% in the last week.. Despite posting a .410 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Schwarber has had positive variance on his side given the .041 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .369.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.24
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average talent.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.
Total Bases
Cole Young logo
Cole Young o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cole Young is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.. Cole Young will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Stephen Kolek in today's game.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Hayden Senger logo
Hayden Senger u0.5 Total Hits (-110)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Hayden Senger ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Hayden Senger is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.. 42% of the time that Hayden Senger has started against a northpaw since the start of last season, he has been pinch hit for.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Max Meyer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hayden Senger in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Juan Soto today.. Juan Soto's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 42.2% to 34.6%.. Juan Soto's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, going from 34.6% on the season to 25% in the last 14 days.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.. Matt Olson has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 16.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week's worth of games.. Matt Olson's launch angle recently (2.2° over the past week) is quite a bit worse than his 17.5° seasonal figure.. Matt Olson has been lucky this year, notching a .386 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .350 — a .036 deviation.
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+117)
Projection 1.98
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Truist Park ranks as the #6 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 81°.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Trevor Larnach logo
Trevor Larnach u0.5 Total Hits (+132)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Hitting from the opposite that Jovani Moran throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an advantage in today's game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
Total Hits
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. Byron Buxton will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sat, May 23 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Spencer Steer logo
Spencer Steer u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Spencer Steer has a tough challenge today.. Spencer Steer has been lucky this year, compiling a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .024 deviation.. Spencer Steer has recorded a .218 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Jose Fermin logo
Jose Fermin o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Jose Fermin pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Sporting a .284 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jose Fermin is positioned in the 92nd percentile.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, May 23 • 7:15 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo Milwaukee Brewers logo u9.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

The Dodgers (2.98; 2nd) and Brewers (3.22; 6th) both have elite bullpens, while the pitchers will benefit from a field with the fifth-lowest Park factor (97) in the majors.

LA will also likely be without top slugger Max Muncy, who left Friday's game after taking a heater to the wrist.

Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Roki Sasaki throws his four-seamer 43% of the time, and that's something the Brewers' bats will take advantage of.

Opponents are hitting .342 vs. Sasaki's fastball, while the Brewers rank ninth in batting average against that pitch type when facing righties (.261).

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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sat, May 23 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+128)
Projection 2
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shea Langeliers projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Shea Langeliers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Shea Langeliers is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of San Diego (#3-worst on the slate today).
Total Bases
Brent Rooker logo
Brent Rooker o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Brent Rooker projects as the 16th-best home run batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brent Rooker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. In MLB, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Brent Rooker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Brent Rooker has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph mark.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sat, May 23 • 10:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 6th-worst ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average.. Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Nolan Schanuel logo
Nolan Schanuel u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nolan Schanuel's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 90.9-mph figure last year has dropped to 87.7-mph.. There has been a significant decline in Nolan Schanuel's launch angle from last year's 13.4° to 9.9° this season.. Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.9°, Nolan Schanuel has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.8°) in the past two weeks.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sat, May 23 • 10:10 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 7th-best park in the league for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°.. Ezequiel Tovar has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.7-mph.. Despite posting a .247 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ezequiel Tovar has suffered from bad luck given the .048 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .295.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 7th-best park in the league for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°.. Posting a 29.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Hunter Goodman finds himself in the 86th percentile for power.
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