MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 1, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

4.71 @ 4.97

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Cardinals vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

4.71

+134

o8.0 -133

+2.0 -232

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.97

-142

u8.5 -107

-2.0 +173

Chi. White Sox @ Tampa Bay
Matchup

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.15 @ 4.55

TB
TB logo
TB

White Sox vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.15

+148

o7.5 -112

+1.5 -135

TB logo
TB
TB

4.55

-160

u7.5 +101

-1.5 +132

Top Projection Jordan Hicks o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+160)
o1.5 +160
Miami @ NY Mets
Matchup

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.72 @ 5.15

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Marlins vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.72

+118

o8.5 -126

+1.5 -175

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

5.15

-126

u9.0 -114

-1.5 +158

Top Projection Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
o1.5 +270
Minnesota @ Seattle
Matchup

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

3.91 @ 4.04

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Twins vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

3.91

+146

o7.0 -136

+1.5 -148

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.04

-158

u7.5 -116

-1.5 +132

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati
Matchup

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.84 @ 4.49

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Pirates vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.84

-112

o8.5 -103

-1.5 +146

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.49

+105

u8.5 -107

+1.5 -160

Top Projection Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5 +205
Philadelphia @ Baltimore
Matchup

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.17 @ 3.78

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Phillies vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.17

-140

o8.5 -103

-1.5 +119

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

3.78

+130

u8.5 -107

+1.5 -130

Top Projection Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
o0.5 +145
Texas @ Houston
Matchup

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.76 @ 4.00

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Rangers vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.76

-120

o8.5 +101

-1.5 +136

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.00

+110

u8.5 -112

+1.5 -155

Top Projection Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
o1.5 +155
Arizona @ Cleveland
Matchup

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.29 @ 4.54

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Diamondbacks vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.29

+152

o8.0 -120

+2.5 -250

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.54

-164

u8.5 -112

-2.5 +185

NY Yankees @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup

Predicted Score

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

3.00 @ 3.31

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Yankees vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

3.00

+101

o6.0 -125

-1.5 +173

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

3.31

-106

u6.5 -115

+1.5 -191

Top Projection Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+295)
o0.5 +295
Washington @ Atlanta
Matchup

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

5.35 @ 5.92

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Nationals vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

5.35

+158

o9.5 +102

+1.5 -130

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.92

-172

u9.5 -112

-1.5 +119

Top Projection CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
o0.5 +169
Kansas City @ Colorado
Matchup

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

6.52 @ 6.54

COL
COL logo
COL

Royals vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

6.52

+106

o11.5 -112

-1.5 +155

COL logo
COL
COL

6.54

-114

u12.0 -115

+1.5 -175

Top Projection Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+114)
o0.5 +114
San Francisco @ San Diego
Matchup

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

4.53 @ 4.91

SD
SD logo
SD

Giants vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

4.53

+129

o8.5 +101

+1.5 -160

SD logo
SD
SD

4.91

-138

u8.5 -106

-1.5 +146

Top Projection Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
o0.5 +206
Boston @ LA Dodgers
Matchup

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

3.88 @ 4.99

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Red Sox vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

3.88

+146

o7.5 -103

+1.5 -148

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

4.99

-156

u7.5 -107

-1.5 +134

Top Projection Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
o1.5 +175
Milwaukee @ LA Angels
Matchup

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.12 @ 4.80

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Brewers vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.12

-112

o8.5 -103

-1.5 +142

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.80

+105

u8.5 -104

+1.5 -155

Top Projection Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)
o0.5 +192
Detroit @ Athletics
Matchup

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

6.51 @ 4.76

ATH
ATH logo
ATH

Tigers vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

6.51

-138

o10.5 -107

-1.5 +109

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.76

+129

u11.0 -125

+1.5 -120

Washington @ Atlanta
Matchup

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

5.09 @ 5.14

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Nationals vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

5.09

+114

--

--

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.14

-131

--

--

Philadelphia @ Baltimore
Matchup

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.05 @ 4.48

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Phillies vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.05

-126

--

--

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.48

+109

--

--

St. Louis @ Toronto
Matchup

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

5.27 @ 4.81

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Cardinals vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

5.27

-107

--

--

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.81

-112

--

--

Miami @ NY Mets
Matchup

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.77 @ 5.11

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Marlins vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.77

+114

--

--

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

5.11

-137

--

--

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati
Matchup

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.71 @ 5.56

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Pirates vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.71

+119

--

--

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

5.56

-137

--

--

Chi. White Sox @ Tampa Bay
Matchup

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.17 @ 4.39

TB
TB logo
TB

White Sox vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.17

+134

--

--

TB logo
TB
TB

4.39

-155

--

--

Arizona @ Cleveland
Matchup

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.08 @ 4.70

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Diamondbacks vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.08

+109

--

--

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.70

-131

--

--

Texas @ Houston
Matchup

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.93 @ 4.71

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Rangers vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.93

+101

--

--

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.71

-126

--

--

NY Yankees @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup

Predicted Score

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.17 @ 3.62

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Yankees vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.17

-112

--

--

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

3.62

-103

--

--

Kansas City @ Colorado
Matchup

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

6.90 @ 7.01

COL
COL logo
COL

Royals vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

6.90

-107

--

--

COL logo
COL
COL

7.01

-107

--

--

Milwaukee @ LA Angels
Matchup

Predicted Score

Brewers vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

--

-240

--

--

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

--

+197

--

--

Detroit @ Athletics
Matchup

Predicted Score

Tigers vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

--

-121

--

--

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

--

+101

--

--

Minnesota @ Seattle
Matchup

Predicted Score

Twins vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

--

+119

--

--

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

--

-148

--

--

San Francisco @ San Diego
Matchup

Predicted Score

Giants vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

--

+129

--

--

SD logo
SD
SD

--

-148

--

--

Boston @ LA Dodgers
Matchup

Predicted Score

Red Sox vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

--

+146

--

--

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

--

-168

--

--

St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sat, Aug 1 • 3:07 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. JJ Wetherholt will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup.. JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average ability.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Quinn Mathews in today's game.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
View 10 Picks
Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sat, Aug 1 • 4:10 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Drew Rasmussen logo Drew Rasmussen u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-109)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Drew Rasmussen enters in excellent form, carrying a 1.94 xERA over his last two starts while allowing no home runs. He also owns a strong 2.81 home FIP this season and faces a White Sox lineup sitting at 98 wRC+ over the last week, giving him a favorable run-prevention setup.

Total
Chicago White Sox logo Tampa Bay Rays logo u8.5 (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

This matchup profiles as lower scoring if both bullpens continue their recent form. The Tampa Bay Rays relief corps has been sharp with a 2.08 xERA over its last 24.2 innings, while the Chicago White Sox bullpen has also limited damage lately.

View 13 Picks
Miami Marlins logo MIA @ New York Mets logo NYM Sat, Aug 1 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Luis Robert Jr. logo
Luis Robert Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+154)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Citi Field.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
A.J. Ewing logo
A.J. Ewing o1.5 Total Bases (+133)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing as the 8th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability.. A.J. Ewing is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, A.J. Ewing will have an edge in today's game.
View 10 Picks
Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sat, Aug 1 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Victor Caratini logo
Victor Caratini o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Victor Caratini is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. In the league, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for dingers.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Victor Caratini will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Logan Gilbert in today's game.
Total Bases
Trevor Larnach logo
Trevor Larnach o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.38
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Trevor Larnach will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sat, Aug 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Pittsburgh’s pitching efficiency carries the day here, posting a sixth-ranked 3.10 SIERA alongside a robust 19.7% K-BB% rate. Braxton Ashcraft matches up against Andrew Abbott, where Cincinnati’s offensive struggles (83 wRC+) and high strikeout tendency (26.4% K%) make the Pirates a clean road target.

Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+116)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The #5 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate at 92%.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Braxton Ashcraft.
View 11 Picks
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, Aug 1 • 7:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+208)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryson Stott's batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 ballpark in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 83°.. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz today.. Bryson Stott hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Bryan De La Cruz logo
Bryan De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+211)
Projection 0.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #10 ballpark in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 83°.. Bryan De La Cruz has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.
View 10 Picks
Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sat, Aug 1 • 7:10 PM ET
Runs
Jeremy Pena logo Jeremy Pena o0.5 Runs (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Jeremy Pena has been a steady table-setter for Houston, hitting .393 over his last six games with eight runs scored. His .414 OBP and .507 wOBA during that stretch show how often he is creating chances, while reaching safely in 12 straight games gives him a strong run-scoring profile tonight.

Total
Texas Rangers logo Houston Astros logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ronel Blanco bled homers over his first two starts, and the Texas Rangers slot Top-5 in both ISO and hard hit rate the past two weeks.

Jacob deGrom has not pitched as well on the road (4.33 ERA, 1.86 HR/9), and he ranks in the fifth percentile in hard contact allowed.

Expect homers to help push this Over again. Bet to -115.

View 14 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sat, Aug 1 • 7:15 PM ET
Total
Arizona Diamondbacks logo Cleveland Guardians logo u8.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Arizona Diamondbacks slot 22nd in ISO against lefties on the road, and they'll have a tough time ramping up against Parker Messick. 

Kohl Drake lifts the floor and ceiling of the Cleveland Guardians offense but it’s still not overly high. They’ve hit just .238 with a .125 ISO at home against lefties.

Bet the Under to -130.

Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (-160)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 18-30 against teams over .500, and their struggles should continue Saturday afternoon.

Arizona generally hits lefties well but will have their hands full against Parker Messick. The young hurler has held opponents to a .205 average and allowed only 0.79 homers per nine innings.

Bet Cleveland to -175.

View 12 Picks
New York Yankees logo NYY @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sat, Aug 1 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Singles
Alex Hoppe logo Alex Hoppe o0.5 Total Singles (-111)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Alex Bregman has been locked in at the plate, batting .407 over his last six games while riding a five-game hitting streak. He has produced 11 hits during that span, including five singles, and has a strong history against Max Fried, going 6-for-16 lifetime with five singles in that matchup.

Total
New York Yankees logo Chicago Cubs logo u6.5 (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

We saw just how ineffective these offenses can be with barrel suppression yesterday in a 2-0 Yankees win. I'm backing another low-scoring affair and would play the Under to 6, particularly considering the weather in store.

Rain and wind blowing in at Wrigley are not small variables, especially with the pitchers in mind.

Fried fits the weather. His 50% ground-ball rate and almost non-existent barrel rate make it difficult for the Cubbies to create power. Peterson’s overall profile is shakier, but he still owns a 49% ground-ball rate, and the weather helps cover some of his air-contact risk.

View 12 Picks
Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sat, Aug 1 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Keibert Ruiz logo
Keibert Ruiz o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. The 5th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Reynaldo Lopez in today's game.
Total Bases
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+103)
Projection 2.09
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. The 5th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
View 10 Picks
Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sat, Aug 1 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Troy Johnston logo
Troy Johnston o1.5 Total Bases (+149)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #1 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 94°.. Troy Johnston will hold the platoon advantage against Luinder Avila today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Troy Johnston will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen logo
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (-117)
Projection 2.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Carter Jensen ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carter Jensen is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. The #1 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 94°.
View 10 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sat, Aug 1 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Over the last two weeks, Willy Adames's 29.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.1%.. Grading out in the 82nd percentile, Willy Adames has put up a .315 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
View 11 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Sat, Aug 1 • 9:10 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo Los Angeles Dodgers logo u7.5 (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

Boston has cashed the Under in six of Payton Tolle's last nine starts. The bullpen behind him has a 1.61 ERA since the Break, helping lead to a 2-8 O/U mark in its last 10. On the flip side, Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed no more than two earned runs in nine of his last 11 starts and can limit Boston (81 wRC+ against RHP in the last 14 days).

Moneyline
Boston Red Sox logo BOS (+140)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

Boston is still undervalued despite winning 12 of its last 15. Payton Tolle has been tremendous on the road (2.89 ERA and 0.96 WHIP), and L.A. has struggled against southpaws this month (98 wRC+). Boston's edge in the bullpen (2.50 FIP since the Break to L.A.'s 5.36) isn't accurately accounted for in the price.

View 12 Picks
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sat, Aug 1 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Zach Neto will have the handedness advantage over Robert Gasser in today's game... and even better, Gasser has a large platoon split.. Zach Neto will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Mike Trout will hold the platoon advantage over Robert Gasser in today's game... and even better, Gasser has a large platoon split.. Mike Trout will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
View 11 Picks
Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sat, Aug 1 • 9:40 PM ET
Total
Detroit Tigers logo Athletics Athletics logo o10.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The park factors and weather are projected to give a 34% boost to homers. Jack Perkins is sporting a 7.34 ERA and allowing 2.28 HR/9 over six starts with a HR boost of 30% or more.

Framber Valdez owns 6.28 ERA and has allowed 1.63 HR/9 over eight starts vs. Top-10 in opponents in OPS against lefties.

Bet the Over to -125.

Moneyline
Detroit Tigers logo DET (-145)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Framber Valdez' 52.7 GB% trails only Cristopher Sanchez among today’s starting pitchers.

That will help him sap power out of the Athletics offense, as will the absence of Shea Langeliers.

Jack Perkins ranks in the 11th percentile in GB%, which could be disastrous on a scorching hot day with the wind blowing out.

Bet Detroit to -155.

View 12 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

Total Hits
Dansby Swanson logo Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson has been one of the worst hitters in baseball this season with a .177 batting average, while ranking in the second percentile in xBA. Additionally, his hitting profile does not match up well at all against Cease, who has elite swing-and-miss stuff. 

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.