Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 27, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
SEA
@
TEX
Mon, Jul 27 • 2:35 PM ET
AZ
@
PIT
Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET
o9.0 (+100)
I don't trust either starter even a lick, and considering the Pirates have scored the most runs in baseball in the last 30 days and the Diamondbacks are seventh on that list, this has the makings of a night to forget for Merrill Kelly and Mitch Keller.
BAL
@
DET
Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET
PHI
@
MIA
Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET
TOR
@
WAS
Mon, Jul 27 • 6:45 PM ET
o10.0 (-105)
Aggressively fading Max Scherzer is not something I ever thought I'd do, but here we are. He returns to the Blue Jays rotation out of necessity and to show whatever is left in the tank. Not much, if the early returns of 2026 are to be believed. Plus, the Nationals own the highest-scoring offense in baseball. By a lot. The reason they're not better is that their pitching staff has the fourth-worst ERA, so even an anemic offense like Toronto's can scratch across a few runs against Andrew Alvarez & Co.
CLE
@
CIN
Mon, Jul 27 • 7:10 PM ET
ATL
@
NYM
Mon, Jul 27 • 7:10 PM ET
NYY
@
CHW
Mon, Jul 27 • 7:40 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
I’m playing the Over because Schultz gives New York too many ways to build offense. The Yankees do not need a perfect travel spot if they are getting free traffic and airborne contact from a pitcher allowing a 63.3% air-ball rate.
Chicago can contribute enough on the other side, too. The White Sox are not a pure power offense, but their .324 OBP and 381 walks give them a path to pressure Max Fried into traffic. Fried is Fried but you get the sense that the White Sox offense won't have to do much here. I'd play this to 9.
NYY (-137)
I’m backing the New York Yankees and would play them up to -150.
Noah Schultz’s profile is a poor fit against this lineup. He owns a 6.07 xERA, near-11% barrel rate, and a bottom-15th percentile walk rate. That is a bad mix against a Yankees offense built to punish free traffic and loud contact. Even without Aaron Judge, New York remains in the AL East race because of strong pitching and impact contact, ranking first in barrel rate and third in hard-hit rate. This is the right matchup for the Yankees to do damage early
CHC
@
STL
Mon, Jul 27 • 7:45 PM ET
HOU
@
LAA
Mon, Jul 27 • 9:38 PM ET
BOS
@
ATH
Mon, Jul 27 • 9:40 PM ET
BOS -1.5 (+101)
I actually like A's starter Jack Perkins in spite of his 6.75 ERA. His under-the-hood metrics all grade out better than the results have shown, but pitching at Sutter Health Park has proven to be a minefield for him and most of the Athletics' hurlers. The Over is also in play, but I like Boston's bats, which should include a debuting Curtis Mead, enough to take the run line for the red-hot visitors.
MIL
@
SF
Mon, Jul 27 • 9:45 PM ET
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
ATL (-112)
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-110)
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
NYY (-135)
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
o7.5 (-116)
SF (+124)
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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