MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 10, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Fri, Jul 10 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
HL
Hao-Yu Lee o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hao Yu Lee's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hao Yu Lee is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to more offense.. Hao Yu Lee will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.04
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Fri, Jul 10 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Jake Bauers ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Bauers is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. The #3 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Jake Bauers will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total RBIs (+244)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Jake Bauers ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Bauers is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. The #3 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Jake Bauers will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Fri, Jul 10 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.1
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 86°.. Carson Palmquist will have the handedness advantage over Ben Rice today... and it's a particular mismatch considering Palmquist's large platoon split.. Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Paul Goldschmidt logo
Paul Goldschmidt o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 86°.. Paul Goldschmidt has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Fri, Jul 10 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 51 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #10 park in baseball for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 51 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #10 park in baseball for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Bobby Witt Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Fri, Jul 10 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cedric Mullins is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #4 venue in the league for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo in today's game... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split.. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as baseball's 7th-best home run batter.. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #4 venue in the league for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Nick Martinez.. Cal Raleigh has strong power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Nick Martinez has a pitch-to-contact profile (20th percentile K%) — great news for Raleigh.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Fri, Jul 10 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.22
Best Odds
Pick made: 46 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Sal Stewart ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. This matchup is expected to have the 12th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Sal Stewart will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's game.
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson logo
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. The #1 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. This matchup is expected to have the 12th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tyler Stephenson will have the handedness advantage over Shota Imanaga in today's game.. Tyler Stephenson has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Fri, Jul 10 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Sandy Alcantara logo
Sandy Alcantara u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-121)
Projection 4.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Cleveland Guardians have 8 bats in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Sandy Alcantara in this matchup.
Total Hits
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers u0.5 Total Hits (+145)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in the league for LHB batting average.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to less offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Parker Messick throws from, Kyle Stowers will be at a disadvantage today.. Kyle Stowers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Mets logo NYM Fri, Jul 10 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jorge Polanco logo
Jorge Polanco o1.5 Total Bases (+197)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.6-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Sonny Gray.. Jorge Polanco will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.6-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Fri, Jul 10 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Zack Gelof logo
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Zack Gelof ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers.. This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.
Total Bases
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 14th-best home run batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.. This game is expected to have the 4th-highest humidity on the slate (75%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Colson Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Lopez today.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Fri, Jul 10 • 8:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Houston Astros logo HOU (-131)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

While Hunter Brown has limited Rangers hitters to a .671 OPS, Cal Quantrill has struggled against Astros batters, with Houston boasting a .302/.381/.511 slash line against the right-hander. Take Houston to prevail in the series opener of this Lone Star showdown.

Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.21
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in MLB.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. Yordan Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill today.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Fri, Jul 10 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.24
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Jorge Soler logo
Jorge Soler o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Jorge Soler is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Fri, Jul 10 • 8:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera logo
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Ivan Herrera will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and moreover, Sale has a huge platoon split.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jordan Walker will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale today... and the cherry on top, Sale has a huge platoon split.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ San Diego Padres logo SD Fri, Jul 10 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. George Springer is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. George Springer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against JP Sears in today's game... and the cherry on top, Sears has a large platoon split.
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Kazuma Okamoto will have the handedness advantage against JP Sears today... and even more favorably, Sears has a large platoon split.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Fri, Jul 10 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-103)
Projection 2.34
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #2 venue in MLB for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences in the league.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Shohei Ohtani will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Freddie Freeman projects as the 15th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #2 venue in MLB for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences in the league.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Fri, Jul 10 • 10:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Casey Schmitt logo
Casey Schmitt o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Casey Schmitt is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Casey Schmitt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Cole Carrigg logo
Cole Carrigg o1.5 Total Bases (+146)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cole Carrigg is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 18 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 28 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 21 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.