MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 23, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sat, May 23 • 2:20 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 9 Computer Picks
Total
Houston Astros logo Chicago Cubs logo u7.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Houston's Under record is 8-0-1 in its last nine games. 

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-142)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Colin Rea has allowed just four earned runs in his last three home starts, going 2-0 with a 2.37 ERA.

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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sat, May 23 • 3:07 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Jesus Sanchez logo Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+725)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Lets continue with the Sanchez train and bet a quarter unit on him hitting a home run tonight. Homering off Skenes isn’t easy, but Sanchez has been a consistent hitter for the Blue Jays and has some pop in his bat, ranking in the 69th percentile in average exit-velocity. 

Total Hits
Jesus Sanchez logo Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total Hits (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Sanchez has been quietly consistent recently, sporting a five-game hitting streak while going Over his 0.5 hits total in nine of his last 10 outings. Sanchez owns a .333 average against the four-seam fastball and a .294 average against the sinker, the two pitches that Paul Skenes uses the most. 

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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, May 23 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Harrison Bader logo
Harrison Bader u0.5 Total Hits (+181)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Harrison Bader is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.. Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Bryan Hudson will have the handedness advantage against Harrison Bader in today's matchup.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Harrison Bader's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 92.3 mph to 88.7 mph.
Total Hits
Will Brennan logo
Will Brennan u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Since the start of last season, Will Brennan has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 54% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Will Brennan and his -1.3° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 3rd percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sat, May 23 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as baseball's 2nd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi today.
Total Bases
Jose Ramirez logo
Jose Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Jose Ramirez has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9% seasonal rate to 15% in the past week's worth of games.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
George Kirby logo George Kirby o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-163)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

George Kirby has compiled 52 strikeouts in 62.2 innings of work this season, and he's cashed the Over in punchouts in four consecutive appearances. The right-hander struck out six last time out against the San Diego Padres. Kirby faces the Kansas City Royals tonight, who he's held to a .210 average across 62 at-bats. KC is around the middle of the pack in team Ks, but they're striking out nearly 10 times per game across their previous three contests. 

Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average talent.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
New York Mets logo Miami Marlins logo YRFI/NRFI (No: -122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Freddy Peralta has allowed a first-inning run only once in 10 starts this season, while Max Meyer owns an impressive 8-2 NRFI/YRFI record. Both offenses have struggled to score early lately, making this matchup a strong spot for another scoreless opening inning.

Total Home Runs
Juan Soto logo Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+308)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Juan Soto is red-hot at the plate, batting .423 over the last week with four home runs, including homers in three of his last four games. While Max Meyer has limited long balls this season, Soto’s current form and recent power surge make him a strong value play.

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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
CJ Abrams logo CJ Abrams o0.5 Total Home Runs (+560)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

CJ Abrams has been one of baseball’s best hitters this season, already launching 11 homers while batting .299 with 45 RBIs. He’s also homered twice in his last three games, and Grant Holmes has shown vulnerability against left-handed hitters.

Runs
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Runs (-149)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored in five of his last six games and continues to make an immediate impact since returning from injury. He also has strong numbers against Jake Irvin, while the Atlanta Braves elite offense and Washington’s shaky bullpen create another favorable spot for Acuna to cross the plate.

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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Wilyer Abreu has notched a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Hits
Austin Martin logo
Austin Martin u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Hitting from the same side that Jovani Moran throws from, Austin Martin meets a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sat, May 23 • 7:15 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Cincinnati Reds logo CIN (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
Shawn Krest image
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Leahy is in the Bottom 20% in MLB in fastball and offspeed run value, and allows more hits, walks, and homers than Pallante. The Reds also get Eugenio Suarez back, while the Cardinals placed outfielder Nathan Church on IL.

Total
St. Louis Cardinals logo Cincinnati Reds logo o9.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
Shawn Krest image
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

The bullpens will be taxed in the second game of a twin bill, and Leahy will be challenged by a Reds order hitting 25% over league average across the last two weeks.

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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, May 23 • 7:15 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD (-117)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

Roki Sasaki is on the bump for the Los Angeles Dodgers as they look to rebound from a Game 1 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers in this series. His 5.09 ERA is a bit inflated, but his electric strikeout stuff means he can dominate any lineup when he's on. Expect a strong response from L.A. behind their young right-hander.

Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo Milwaukee Brewers logo u9.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

The Los Angeles Dodgers (2.98; 2nd) and Milwaukee Brewers (3.22; 6th) both have elite bullpens, while the pitchers will benefit from a field with the fifth-lowest Park factor (97) in the majors. L.A. will also likely be without top slugger Max Muncy, who left Friday's game after taking a heater to the wrist.

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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sat, May 23 • 9:40 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Gavin Sheets logo Gavin Sheets o0.5 Total Home Runs (+540)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Gavin Sheets has been heating up, smacking three home runs across the last week while hitting .353. He's hit all nine of his bombs this season off right-handed pitchers, and he'll face righty JT Ginn of the Athletics tonight. Sheets is also 2-for-2 lifetime against Ginn with a long ball.

Game Prop
Athletics Athletics logo San Diego Padres logo YRFI/NRFI (No: -115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

JT Ginn has been excellent in the opening inning this season with a 7-1 NRFI/YRFI record, and San Diego is batting just .140 in the first inning. The Athletics have also struggled offensively early in games, while Lucas Giolito looked sharp in his season debut with a scoreless first frame.

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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sat, May 23 • 10:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 6th-worst ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average.. Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Evan Carter logo
Evan Carter u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Evan Carter is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. 14% of the time that Evan Carter has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 6th-worst ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average.. Evan Carter will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Over the last week, Evan Carter's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 91.2 mph to 88.4 mph.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sat, May 23 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jake McCarthy logo
Jake McCarthy u0.5 Total Hits (+210)
Projection 0.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This year, Jake McCarthy has been pulled from the game early in 35% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Jake McCarthy hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's game.. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among every team in action today.. Jake McCarthy will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Jake McCarthy has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.3-mph dropping to 79.7-mph over the past 14 days.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in the majors for righty batting average.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°.. Posting a 29.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Hunter Goodman finds himself in the 86th percentile for power.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, May 24 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Adley Rutschman logo
Adley Rutschman u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the coldest weather of all games today at 53°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. In the last week, Adley Rutschman's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 93.1 mph to 82.5 mph.. Adley Rutschman has recorded a .252 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 9th percentile.
Total Home Runs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
Projection 0.15
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.9°, Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24° mark in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Based on Statcast metrics, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 89th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 30.400.. Power-wise, Spencer Torkelson finds himself in the 77th percentile, having averaged 22.4 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 7 Computer Picks
Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo New York Yankees logo u7.0 (+102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I'm on the market here and wouldn't play this below 7, but at a plus-money price with how the Yankees are swinging lately, I'm inclined to lean towards the Under. The Yankees' offense, one of the best in the sport for long stretches over the past three years, has really struggled lately. It's been held to three runs or fewer in nine of its past 14 games. It should be ugly conditions in Yankee Stadium today, add in Ryan Weathers' strikeout rate, which ranks in the 97th percentile of baseball, and both offenses should stay fairly quiet.

Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (+122)
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Rasmussen has been a New York Yankees nightmare, posting a 1.03 ERA across eight career outings against the Bronx Bombers. This type of stat is meaningless without context, and we have it here. He's been able to do this because the Yankees are constantly reliant on their power, and Rasmussen is one of the best barrel suppression arms in baseball, sitting in the 96th percentile in such rates this season. Playbale to +100. 

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