What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 25, 2026.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.53 |
-136 |
o7.0 -115 |
-1.5 +120 |
|
|
3.57 |
+132 |
u7.5 -120 |
+1.5 -130 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.35 |
-125 |
o7.5 +100 |
-1.5 +140 |
|
|
4.12 |
+120 |
u8.0 -115 |
+1.5 -150 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.58 |
+140 |
o8.5 +100 |
+1.5 -150 |
|
|
4.35 |
-145 |
u8.5 -110 |
-1.5 +145 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.57 |
+131 |
o8.5 -115 |
+1.5 -155 |
|
|
5.01 |
-140 |
u8.5 +105 |
-1.5 +145 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.87 |
+116 |
o8.5 -115 |
+1.5 -190 |
|
|
4.64 |
-120 |
u8.5 +105 |
-1.5 +170 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.56 |
-156 |
o7.5 +105 |
-1.5 +115 |
|
|
3.98 |
+150 |
u12.5 -810 |
+1.5 -120 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.88 |
-148 |
o8.5 -118 |
-1.5 +115 |
|
|
4.84 |
+143 |
u8.5 +100 |
+1.5 -125 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.72 |
-105 |
o7.5 +105 |
-1.5 +160 |
|
|
4.01 |
+100 |
u7.5 -115 |
+1.5 -170 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.24 |
+116 |
o8.0 -115 |
+1.5 -180 |
|
|
4.64 |
-124 |
u8.5 -115 |
-1.5 +170 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.83 |
-135 |
o7.0 -110 |
-1.5 +125 |
|
|
3.31 |
+131 |
u7.5 -130 |
+1.5 -135 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.01 |
-105 |
o8.0 -114 |
+2.5 -500 |
|
|
4.38 |
+101 |
u8.5 -115 |
-2.5 +285 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.21 |
+112 |
o7.0 -120 |
+1.5 -205 |
|
|
3.73 |
-119 |
u7.5 -115 |
-1.5 +180 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.78 |
-144 |
o10.0 -105 |
-1.5 +105 |
|
|
4.72 |
+140 |
u13.5 -375 |
+1.5 -115 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.77 |
+100 |
o7.5 -120 |
+2.5 -500 |
|
|
4.61 |
-102 |
u8.0 -110 |
-2.5 +290 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.41 |
+100 |
o7.5 -110 |
+1.5 -220 |
|
|
4.36 |
-105 |
u7.5 +100 |
-1.5 +180 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.28 |
+100 |
o8.0 -110 |
-1.5 +168 |
|
|
4.26 |
-118 |
u8.0 -110 |
+1.5 -205 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.77 |
-108 |
o8.5 -120 |
-1.5 +150 |
|
|
4.46 |
-108 |
u8.5 -102 |
+1.5 -182 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.01 |
-106 |
o7.5 -120 |
-1.5 +162 |
|
|
3.57 |
-110 |
u7.5 -102 |
+1.5 -196 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.14 |
-136 |
o9.0 -118 |
-1.5 +116 |
|
|
3.85 |
+116 |
u9.0 -104 |
+1.5 -140 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.34 |
-130 |
o7.0 -105 |
-1.5 +138 |
|
|
3.23 |
+110 |
u7.0 -115 |
+1.5 -166 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.46 |
+108 |
o8.5 -110 |
+1.5 -210 |
|
|
4.39 |
-126 |
u8.5 -110 |
-1.5 +172 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.45 |
-158 |
o7.5 -120 |
-1.5 +108 |
|
|
3.79 |
+134 |
u7.5 -102 |
+1.5 -130 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.40 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.77 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.01 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.73 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.46 |
+114 |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.48 |
-134 |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-154 |
o8.0 -120 |
-1.5 +112 |
|
|
-- |
+130 |
u8.0 -102 |
+1.5 -134 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-130 |
o9.0 -102 |
-1.5 +132 |
|
|
-- |
+110 |
u9.0 -120 |
+1.5 -160 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114 |
o8.0 -110 |
+1.5 -194 |
|
|
-- |
-134 |
u8.0 -110 |
-1.5 +160 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-108 |
o8.0 -115 |
-1.5 +155 |
|
|
-- |
-108 |
u8.0 -105 |
+1.5 -188 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Sometimes it's all about price, and that's where I am with Yandy Diaz vs. Jackson Jobe on Tuesday night at +700 or better. It's a favorable matchup against Jobe, who has allowed two dingers over 14 innings this year and should see his ground-ball rate regress closer to his career numbers. Diaz hits right-handed pitching well, with an OPS that's five points better than against lefties, which is why I'm scratching my head over why today's HR price is 250 points longer than yesterday's in a similar, if not better, matchup. It's a .300 hitter with 25-HR potential getting priced like a No. 9 hitter in a good matchup. Sign me up.
The Tampa Bay Rays have been one of the hardest teams in baseball to strike out, owning the lowest strikeout rate on the season and the second lowest over their last 21 games. They also lead baseball in contact rate during that stretch at 81.8%. That sets up poorly for Detroit Tigers right hander Jackson Jobe, who has struggled since returning from injury and owns a 5.49 xERA, 1.36 WHIP and 18% strikeout rate on the season. With eight Rays bats under a 20% strikeout rate, including six under 17.9%, Jobe should struggle to reach four strikeouts tonight. Take this down to -135.
Will Warren has allowed a .297 ISO and 2.28 HR/9 over his last 10 starts. He is really struggling to keep the ball in the park, and playing at Yankee Stadium won’t help the cause.
Yordan Alvarez is the most likely candidate to take advantage. He owns a .313 ISO and 13.8% barrel rate against Warren’s two most-used pitches vs. lefties, the fastball and changeup.
The Houston Astros are ninth in SLG and second in HR/FB against righties this season. They hit for power, playing into Will Warren's weaknesses.
The New York Yankees rank 24th in wOBA vs. righties in August, and are unlikely to score enough to separate.
Back Houston +1.5 to -165.
Tonight is a perfect night to rip the monkey off his back. Lugo will live in the zone, is not overpowering, and is getting barreled this season. It's time for Vlad to get one; we'll take advantage at this price.
While the Royals have won eight straight, the Jays are catching them with the struggling Seth Lugo on the bump tonight. The former ace has allowed five earned runs in three of his last four starts and is in the middle of the worst season of his career, sporting a career-high 5.18 xERA and .280 xBA. He's simply not missing bats, and the Jays are about to take advantage at home.
This is a big price for a pitcher who hasn't pitched in the MLB in four months on a roster that is handling its pitching staff very carefully with the postseason in sight. Glasnow is coming off the IL with a back injury that has sidelined him since early May. He has built up to 77 pitches in his rehab outings, but the Dodgers have no reason to push the right-hander today, making the projected 87-pitch workload feel aggressive. The Under is already showing value at this number. Covers projects Glasnow for 5.51 Ks on 87 pitches, which feels high to me. The Dodgers were off yesterday, so the bullpen is fully rested and ready to pick up the slack. The fair price based on those projections is around -115. Glasnow is an elite pitcher, but this is the spot to fade him. I see a shorter leash and fewer outs than the market is pricing in.
Bryce Elder has been much worse against righties than he has been against lefties, opening the door for Mookie Betts to take him deep tonight at Truist Park with a better number than what we're getting for Max Muncy or Shohei Ohtani.
Ezequiel Duran is a value power look despite only one recent homer. His 64.7% hard-hit rate, .300 ISO, and 50% air-contact profile show he is squaring the ball up. Kay’s recent fly-ball rate and the White Sox bullpen’s Monday vulnerability give Duran a path to leave Rate Field tonight.
The Under 7.5 is built on pitching and bullpen form. deGrom is locked in after arguably his best start of the season, while Kay has been steady enough to avoid a blowup. Both relief corps have strong recent FIP numbers, and Chicago must solve deGrom to threaten this total tonight overall.
Coby Mayo finds himself in a great spot against Matthew Liberatore, who has struggled against right handed hitters. So far this season on the road against them, he is allowing a 67.9% elevation rate and 40.6% hard hit rate, while the last 60 he has faced own a .315 xBA, .497 xSLG and 10.8% barrel rate. Mayo has been on a tear over his last ten games, producing a 55% hard hit rate and 20% barrel rate, with a .591 xSLG and .258 ISO. In his last 60 at-bats against left handed pitching, he has a .764 SLG and .455 ISO.
Alec Burleson has been hitting the cover off the ball over his last 10 games, posting a .605 SLG, .237 ISO, 51.7% hard-hit rate, and 10.3% barrel rate. He has failed to homer in eight of those games, however, making this an intriguing spot to finally leave the yard. Baltimore right-hander Chris Bassitt has struggled recently, sporting a 5.25 xERA, 1.79 WHIP, and 15.6% strikeout rate. The last 30 left-handed hitters he faced own a .328 xBA, .544 xSLG, and .454 xwOBA. Burleson covers almost 100% of Bassitt's arsenal and owns an elite Batters-Box rating.
The Over 8.5 works because both lineups are producing and Arizona’s bullpen is leaking runs. The Cubs own a 140 wRC+ lately, while the Diamondbacks sit at 116. Pfaadt’s homer issues create early scoring upside, and Arizona’s 6.57 bullpen FIP gives Chicago a late path too at Chase Field.
Chicago has the cleaner edge with Clay Holmes limiting walks, barrels, and homers since arriving at the deadline. Brandon Pfaadt is also pitching respectably, but his recent homer issues meet a Cubs lineup carrying a .261 ISO and 140 wRC+ over the last week. Chicago owns the stronger power profile tonight.
Aaron Nola hasn't pitched terribly of late, but this is still a pitcher on the downswing of his career who remains one of the hardest-hit pitchers in baseball. Only nine other MLB starters have a worse BlastContact% than the Philadelphia right-hander. Nola is also coming off a 100-pitch outing, something he hadn't done in 20 straight starts. That extra workload could negatively affect his efficiency today, and it's not like he has been regularly getting to 18 outs. He's 4-11 O/U on this number over his last 15 starts. It's a road start against a Mariners team that finally got Cal Raleigh going, while the Phillies have all three of their left-handed reliever options available today. Fading Nola is a no-doubt look.
George Kirby attacks lefties most prominently with a fastball-sweeper combination, and that’s a recipe for disaster against Bryce Harper.
He has absolutely crushed those two pitches this season, posting ISOs of .536 and .875 against right-handed pitching while hitting 15 homers.
Play to +350.
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.