What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 2, 2026.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.38 |
+108 |
o8.5 -124 |
+1.5 -200 |
|
|
5.26 |
-116 |
u9.0 -114 |
-1.5 +160 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.06 |
-132 |
o7.5 -121 |
-1.5 +129 |
|
|
4.45 |
+124 |
u8.0 -110 |
+1.5 -135 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.15 |
+119 |
o8.5 -115 |
+1.5 -183 |
|
|
4.78 |
-126 |
u9.0 -120 |
-1.5 +165 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.20 |
-112 |
o8.5 -118 |
-1.5 +140 |
|
|
5.17 |
+106 |
u9.0 -120 |
+1.5 -155 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.66 |
+126 |
o8.5 -118 |
+1.5 -161 |
|
|
5.47 |
-131 |
u9.0 -120 |
-1.5 +146 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.08 |
+132 |
o7.5 -103 |
+1.5 -168 |
|
|
4.33 |
-142 |
u7.5 -107 |
-1.5 +146 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.34 |
+152 |
o7.5 -116 |
+1.5 -142 |
|
|
4.97 |
-164 |
u8.0 -115 |
-1.5 +129 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.83 |
+122 |
o8.5 -107 |
+1.5 -168 |
|
|
4.79 |
-126 |
u8.5 -102 |
-1.5 +155 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.19 |
-116 |
o6.5 -116 |
-1.5 +158 |
|
|
3.70 |
+106 |
u7.0 -125 |
+1.5 -170 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.47 |
+114 |
o11.5 -103 |
+1.5 -175 |
|
|
7.12 |
-120 |
u11.5 -107 |
-1.5 +152 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.64 |
-215 |
o7.5 -107 |
-1.5 -126 |
|
|
3.65 |
+198 |
u7.5 -105 |
+1.5 +115 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.05 |
-110 |
o10.5 -121 |
-1.5 +135 |
|
|
6.24 |
+102 |
u11.0 -115 |
+1.5 -148 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.85 |
+124 |
o7.0 -120 |
+1.5 -175 |
|
|
3.91 |
-134 |
u7.5 -124 |
-1.5 +162 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.20 |
+132 |
o8.0 -110 |
+1.5 -161 |
|
|
4.37 |
-142 |
u8.5 -126 |
-1.5 +146 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.38 |
+158 |
o8.0 -125 |
+1.5 -130 |
|
|
5.37 |
-172 |
u8.5 -107 |
-1.5 +120 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.26 |
+140 |
-- |
-- |
|
|
6.05 |
-161 |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.46 |
+152 |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.67 |
-183 |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.46 |
+134 |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.66 |
-161 |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.35 |
-112 |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.36 |
-107 |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.43 |
-142 |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.64 |
+124 |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.98 |
+124 |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.97 |
-142 |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
7.28 |
-168 |
-- |
-- |
|
|
6.00 |
+134 |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.95 |
+105 |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.99 |
-131 |
-- |
-- |
Alec Burleson is one of my favorite home run plays of the day. He enters with an elite Batters-Box rating and covers 100% of Max Scherzer's pitch mix, giving him an ideal matchup. Burleson has also been locked in since the All-Star break, posting a .370 batting average, .877 OPS, 50% hard hit rate, and 13.6% barrel rate over his last 60 at bats against right handed pitching. Scherzer has struggled to keep left handed hitters in the yard, allowing plenty of hard contact and quality contact metrics. Burleson has all the tools to take advantage and go deep this afternoon.
Although Miami’s relief corps has been shaky, former Cy Young winner Sandy Alcantara serves as the ultimate equalizer. Alcantara consistently pitches deep into games, protecting his bullpen from heavy exposure. Getting a proven ace against an unannounced Mets starting option makes the Marlins an irresistible value play.
Junior Caminero is one of the strongest home run candidates on Sunday's slate. He has crushed left handed pitching over his last 60 at bats, posting a .320 batting average, .580 SLG, .441 wOBA, and 1.013 OPS while generating elite hard contact. He also draws an ideal matchup against Anthony Kay, who has been hammered by right handed hitters all season. Caminero owns an elite Batters-Box rating, has homered in 23% of his elite-rated matchups over the last three seasons, and matches up well with Kay's pitch mix. Everything points toward another big swing from the Rays' young slugger.
The Rays rank dead last in hard-hit rate (23.4%) since the All-Star break. Their ISO of .140 is 10th-lowest, as is their K%.
Thankfully for them, the White Sox aren’t much better. They sit third-worst in HH% (29.3%) since the break, and are Bottom 10 in xwOBA, K%, and BABIP.
This game will be a low-scoring affair.
Yordan Alvarez enters with an elite Batters-Box rating, covers 100% of Kumar Rocker's pitch mix, and has homered in 43.75% of his elite-rated games at home this season. Rocker has improved recently, but he continues to struggle against left handed hitters, allowing excellent expected contact metrics while producing very few ground balls. Alvarez has also been crushing right handed pitching, generating nearly a 60% hard hit rate and an 18% barrel rate over his last 60 plate appearances. Everything lines up for the Astros slugger to leave the yard this afternoon.
Gerrit Cole has pitched like an ace over the last month, limiting runs effectively while posting a high K rate and excellent contact profile.
Colin Rea owns a 3.69 ERA in pitcher friendly conditions, and the strong winds will help him neutralize New York’s power.
Bet to -115.
Gerrit Cole has allowed just 10 runs over his last five starts while posting a 2.78 xFIP and 11.57 K/9. The New York Yankees have been up and down offensively, but should have their troubles eased against Colin Rea and his eighth percentile xERA.
Seth Lugo may not profile as a high strikeout pitcher, but this matchup gives him a real chance to clear 4.5 punchouts. Despite carrying one of the lower strikeout ratings on Batters-Box, Lugo has consistently reached this number in average rated matchups. The biggest reason is Colorado's lineup, which continues to swing and miss at an alarming rate against right handed pitching. Multiple Rockies hitters own strikeout rates well above league average, with Hunter Goodman leading the way. Even with this game taking place at Coors Field, I like Lugo to take advantage of the matchup and finish with at least five strikeouts.
If you're backing Jacob Misiorowski to dominate, the Brewers run line offers more value than laying a heavy price on the moneyline. Milwaukee has been one of baseball's hottest offenses over its last 21 games, posting a 113 wRC+, .334 wOBA, and .753 OPS, while the Angels have struggled with a 91 wRC+, .299 wOBA, and .664 OPS. Walbert Urena has pitched exceptionally well recently, which could limit Milwaukee's scoring, but Misiorowski should keep the Angels' offense in check. I prefer the Brewers on the run line, though I'd still consider the moneyline if you can find -130 or better.
This game profiles as a low scoring pitching duel between Jacob Misiorowski and Walbert Urena. Batters-Box rates just two hitters as poorly rated and none as elite or strongly rated, reinforcing the expectation of limited offense. Misiorowski enters as the NL Cy Young frontrunner and has posted an incredible 40.57% strikeout rate, while the Angels continue to strike out at one of the highest rates in baseball. Urena has also been dominant at home with a 2.77 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. Milwaukee is the only lineup I trust to produce runs, making the under my favorite play down to -115.
Both bullpens have surrendered plenty of traffic over the last two weeks, shifting the edge directly to the starting rotation and offensive consistency. Detroit holds a firm advantage in contact metrics and run-creation stats, giving Tigers starter Keider Montero enough early padding to edge out the A's on the road.
Some of it is smoke and mirrors, but Michael King ranks in the 91st percentile in Pitcher Run Value and is taking on an underwhelming Giants offense. This is not a spot he should run into much trouble.
Landen Roupp is a high-end power neutralizer, allowing 0.63 HR/9 this season. His ability to keep the ball in the park limits bulk scoring and keeps the Giants in games.
Bet to -113.
The San Francisco Giants sit 28th in hard hit rate vs. righties over the past 10 games, and Michael King owns a sparkling 1.95 ERA over eight starts against opponents who ranked Bottom-10 in that category in the 10 contests prior. The San Diego Padres rank second in wOBA and fifth in OPS against righties the last month, and should provide King – and a strong bullpen – enough support to win.
Wilyer Abreu is one of my favorite player prop targets on Sunday night. He enters the matchup with a strong Batters-Box rating and 60% arsenal coverage against Emmet Sheehan. Historically, Abreu has thrived in these spots, going over this prop 57.14% of the time in road games with a strong rating. Sheehan has also struggled against left handed hitters recently, allowing a .513 xSLG and .471 xwOBA over his last 60 left handed batters faced. With Boston's offense continuing to swing the bats well, I expect Abreu to have multiple opportunities to cash this prop. Avoid laying juice on this play.
The Red Sox offense is in a great spot against Emmet Sheehan, who owns poorly rated ISO and ground ball metrics on Batters-Box. Sheehan has struggled recently, posting a 5.17 ERA over his last three starts while allowing plenty of hard contact, including a 44% hard hit rate at home this season. Boston has stayed hot at the plate, producing a 112 wRC+, .178 ISO, and .754 OPS over its last six games. I expect the Red Sox to carry that momentum into this matchup and put early pressure on Sheehan. If the price worsens, I'd rather play an alternate first five team total or his earned runs allowed.
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.