Nottingham Forest host Man City in Saturday's headline Premier League game at the City Ground, and my Nottingham Forest vs. Man City prediction expects City to come out on top. Sitting in the relegation zone, Forest need to start picking up points.
Man City are favorites with a 57% chance of winning, while Nottingham Forest have a 21% chance and a draw sits at 24%. The game kicks off Saturday, Nov. 7, at 12:30 p.m. ET on NBC. Don't miss more of our free picks.
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps. For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
Nottingham Forest vs Man City prediction
My Nottingham Forest vs Man City top pick: Man City to win (57% probability)
Enzo Maresca's Man City team have looked stronger away from home this season, losing just once on the road in all competitions and scoring in every away game. Erling Haaland is averaging a goal per game. His finishing is sublime, and he's overperforming his xG because of it, even though he also ranks first in the Premier League in that stat.
With Jeremy Doku, Phil Foden, or Iliman Ndiaye, City can use their wide players to exploit the space in behind Forest's attacking wing-backs before running at the central defense and feeding Haaland and Rayan Cherki, or shooting themselves.
My Nottingham Forest vs Man City Over/Under pick: Over 2.5 (59% probability)
Man City are the Premier League's highest-scoring team, with firepower that should get them the win. The issue is defense: City have conceded in seven straight games across all competitions, allowing 14 goals in that span, with Maresca seemingly unsure of his best back four, especially when the fullbacks' attacking forays frequently leave them open.
Forest, who have given up 12 goals in just nine Premier League games, are also the league's biggest underachievers according to xG. Forest have taken the second-most shots in the league and, with an xG of 14.9, should have scored the third-most goals, but they've managed only six. The data shows they're getting into the right positions, so goals will come.
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Nottingham Forest vs Man City combo
Man City to win
Both teams to score
The numbers show that Forest are taking plenty of shots and will be encouraged against a City defense that's conceding a lot of goals, but Maresca's team will take all three points.
Nottingham Forest vs Man City odds
Nottingham Forest
Man CityOdds courtesy of Kalshi.
How to watch Nottingham Forest vs Man City
| Location | City Ground, Nottingham, England |
| Date | Saturday, Nov. 7, 2026 |
| Time | 12:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
| Weather | Cloudy. |
Nottingham Forest vs Man City key injuries
Nottingham Forest: Nicolo Saona DEF (Out), Nicolas Moninguez CM (Questionable), Igor Jesus STR (Questionable).
Man City: No key injuries to report.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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