Bayern Munich showed no mercy last week when they faced their Bundesliga rivals in the first leg of their Champions League Round of 16 clash, winning 3-0.
Given Leverkusen's need for goals, my Leverkusen vs. Bayern Munich predictions and betting picks opt to take the hosts to score Over 1.5 goals rather than take them on the moneyline in this Tuesday, March 11 match.
Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich picks and predictions
My best bet:
Leverkusen Over 1.5 goals (+120 at TonyBet)
My analysis
Things didn't go Leverkusen's way last week in Munich. The undefeated Bundesliga champions of last year succumbed to a 3-0 defeat less than three weeks after drawing Bayern 0-0 in the domestic league.
That goalless draw left viewers feeling Leverkusen were massively unlucky not to win the game. The story was different in the Champions League, as if both teams underwent a metamorphosis that created new "avatars" to represent them on the pitch.
Despite losing to Werder Bremen 2-0 at the weekend, last year's champions are still convinced they can put Bayern through some pain on Tuesday.
Leverkusen have won all four Champions League games at home this season, with Italian giants Inter Milan (1-0) and AC Milan (1-0) among their victims. They finished the revamped Champions League main round in the Top 8, allowing themselves automatic qualification into the Round of 16.
Despite trailing Bayern by eight points in the league, Leverkusen have shown their pedigree has changed under Alonso. Their defeat to Werder was only their second of the Bundesliga campaign.
Before their 0-0 draw vs. Bayern on February 15, Leverkusen scored at least two goals per game in six of their previous seven encounters. Another detail worth taking into consideration is Manuel Neuer's absence.
The brilliant German shotstopper injured his calf while sprinting to celebrate Bayern's second goal vs. Leverkusen last week with his teammates. To replace him came 21-year-old Jonas Urbig, who Bayern signed in January from second-tier side FC Koln.
Urbig also started in the Bayern net at the weekend as the powerhouse shockingly lost 3-2 at home to relegation-threatened Bochum.
With a young netminder in over his head and the need for goals, Leverkusen will put the pressure on Bayern.
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Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich same-game parlay (SGP)
Leverkusen Over 1.5 goals
Patrick Schick anytime goalscorer
Patrick Schick has been in great form this season. He's on 22 goals already and has one assist to his name. However, in seven outings, he's only hit the net once in the Champions League.
His team needs him to be at his best against Bayern, so this is a massive chance for him to shine exactly when needed and finally break through in UCL play.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich odds
Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich live odds
Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich opening odds
- Moneyline: Leverkusen +180 | Bayern Munich +139
- Draw: +240
- Over/Under: Over 2.5 (-114) | Under 2.5 (-112)
Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich side and Over/Under analysis
- Before beating them 3-0 last week, Bayern Munich have seen under 2.5 goals in their previous three matches against Bayer Leverkusen in all competitions.
- Bayer Leverkusen were undefeated in their previous six matches against Bayern Munich in all competitions before losing 3-0 in the Champions League Round of 16 first leg last Wednesday.
- Leverkusen have won all four Champions League main round matches at home this season.
How to watch Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich
| Location | BayArena, Leverkusen, Germany |
| Date | Tuesday, 3-11-2025 |
| Time | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Paramount+ |
| Weather | POP; 70%, Wind: 7 mph, Temp: 43F |
Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich key injuries
Leverkusen: Jeanuel Belocian CB (Out), Nordi Mukiele CB (Out), Florian Wirtz AM (out), Martin Terrier AM (Out).
Bayern Munich: Manuel Neuer GK (Out).
Not intended for use in MA.
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